Fourth, six major problems

Wang Youcai also put a white seed on the plate, and said: "According to you, the development trend of the world economy is more than lucky. Pen | fun | pavilion www. ｂｉｑｕｇｅ。 ｉｎｆｏ”

Wen Jinyong said: "It is not enough to say that there is more than one bad luck in front of us, but from the perspective of the long-term trend of world economic development, it is indeed worrying!"

Wang Youcai asked, "What are you worried about?" ”

Wen Jinyong put a sunspot into the plate, and he said: "You think that the fall in oil prices will inevitably lead to a decline in the prices of coal, shale oil, shale gas, biofuels, coal-to-liquids and other fuels." The decline in oil prices will also lead to a decline in the prices of food, chemical products, and food.

When the price of oil falls below the cost of producing shale oil, shale gas, biofuels, and coal-to-liquids, these industries will shut down.

The slump in fuel production will directly affect the employment opportunities of workers, and if the real estate recession continues, it will inevitably have a great impact on the global job market if there is a difficulty in finding employment in these two labor-intensive industries. Full employment of workers is the cornerstone of social stability, and it is difficult to say whether this shock will cause social instability at the beginning or not. ”

Wang Youcai put a white chess piece between his fingers and put it on the plate, and said thoughtfully: "What you said is also true, there is another problem, that is, the production of robots, which is now gradually forming a large-scale industry in the world." I think that according to the production capacity of the existing manufacturing industry, it will take more than ten years at most, and robots will run full in factories around the world, and if robots are used to produce robots, the unemployment rate of workers will be higher. ”

Wen Jinyong followed up and said: "I also see this problem, there is an article on the Internet that if a large number of robots are used in the industrial and service industries, 23 percent of the world's working-age labor force will be unemployed." He reached out and placed a black chess piece on the board.

Wang Youcai stretched out his hand and put a white chess piece into the plate, and said in a deep mouth: "Unemployment now seems to be the biggest problem in economic development.

Wen Jinyong didn't answer immediately, he just looked at the chess pieces on the chessboard, and the two of them held the chess pieces After you came and went for a while, Wen Jinyong said heavily: "To solve the existing problems in the world, I think the only way to solve them is to rely on war." ”

When Wang Youcai heard this, he hurriedly said: "War is unacceptable, the existing nuclear weapons are so powerful, once nuclear weapons are used in war, the world will fall into ruin." ”

Wen Jinyong said slowly: "Did you know that the Malthusian population theory believes that the population has a geometric growth trend, and the food supply only has a calculus growth trend. As a result, the growth of the means of subsistence has not kept pace with the growth of the population. To solve these problems, Malthus proposed a solution to the dilemma of a world war every few decades to address the imbalance between food supply and population growth. ”

Wang Youcai smiled contemptuously when he heard this, and he said: "What Malthus said is unreliable in the real world, and now there is a trend of declining population growth in both developed and developing countries in the world, and on the other hand, with the improvement of the level of science and technology, grain production increases, and there is no imbalance between population and food supply in the increase of food supply. ”

Wen Jinyong said: "Yes! What Malthus said is not reliable. But there are six major problems in the real world. ”

Wang Youcai asked: "What are the six major problems, can you talk about them?" Wen Jinyong elaborated in detail, he said: "The first major problem is that the existing nuclear weapons in the world are like a sword of Damocles hanging over the heads of the world's mankind, and he may fall on the heads of the world's mankind because of war, causing the world to fall into destruction."

The second major problem is environmental pollution.

The third major problem is the debt problem of all countries in the world, and the high level of debt of all countries in the world may drag down the growth of the world economy.

The fourth major problem is the advent of the Internet era and the era of robots, the wide application of the Internet and robots in various fields around the world, and the rapid development of e-commerce, which can subvert the traditional business and service industry models, resulting in a large increase in laid-off personnel in the industry and service industry.

The sixth major problem is that when the number and scale of urban construction and the construction of railways, highways, reservoirs, and canals have reached the maximum limit of the carrying capacity of the earth's land and cultivated land, will people lose the room for further construction-------。 ”