Chapter 43 Shipment
In the minds of ordinary retail investors, the dealer's shipment is to pull up and distribute, which seems very simple when I think about it. That's because they simply haven't operated such a large stake in funds.
For a small and mid-cap stock with an outstanding share capital of between 100 million and 1 billion shares, the sale of a small number of shares, such as 100,000 shares, will have little impact on the market.
However, if you buy and sell more than 1 million shares, if you buy them all at once, it will inevitably have a huge impact on the market.
Generally, in a bull market or a hot stock that is pulled up, the average daily turnover rate of small and medium-cap stocks is about 5%~10%.
Taking Jiangzhou Machinery as an example, the total number of outstanding shares of this stock is 500 million shares, and the daily trading volume is about 2, 30 million shares.
Lu Jialiang holds more than 200 million shares of Jiangzhou Machinery, with a market value of more than 3 billion yuan at the current price. But if Lu Jialiang immediately sells all the stocks in his hand now, the blow to the stock price will definitely be huge.
According to today's trading volume, even if all the buying volume is given to Lu Jialiang every day, he needs to sell for more than half a month. And once Lu Jialiang starts selling stocks, a large number of sales will definitely lead to a heavy drop in stock prices.
Nowadays, retail investors are all thieves, basically every stock market veteran has read a few books such as handicap secrets and dancing with Zhuang, as long as Lu Jialiang starts to ship, those short-term speculators will definitely run faster than rabbits.
If Lu Jialiang wants to sell his shares at the current price, he needs to find a huge sum of 3 billion to buy his own stocks. With so much money, it's obviously not so easy to attract.
Although the market has rebounded by nearly 20% from 1,000 points, the general trend is still in a bear market, and it is not easy for a stock to attract more than 3 billion funds in a bear market.
In the face of this situation, Lu Jialiang wants to ship, one is to take a long-term view and use the technical form to distribute it slowly. However, judging from the current number of positions, it takes a lot of time to adopt this method, at least half a year to a year.
And this must also be matched by the trend of the market, if it is in a bear market, it cannot be sold at all.
The second way is to find a trust, which is simply to pay for the stock market to recommend your own stocks.
The cost of Lu Jialiang to raise funds is not low, and he must solve it quickly, so he has paid for several trusts now.
As the saying goes, the sedan chair is lifted by everyone, Jiangzhou Machinery has just been reorganized, and the stock price has risen rapidly after the reorganization, so those analysts who have received Lu Jialiang's money are very willing to push it again at this time.
Therefore, in the securities column of the TV station in the past few days, many people are talking about the stock of Jiangzhou Machinery.
Analysts with a little bit of professional ethics are just analyzing the prospects after the asset restructuring on a case-by-case basis, while the black mouths who have lost their discipline have completely blown the stock to the sky.
However, despite the vigorous promotion, the actual effect is not too ideal.
Today's stockholders, there are few who really believe in the words of stock critics, and they are really afraid of those black mouths.
In this year, people who dare to listen to stock critics recommend buying stocks are either novices or extremely stinky in stock speculation, and both of these people have a characteristic, that is, they will never have much money.
But despite this, the black mouth still has to be invited. It's not that you can trust the words of stock critics, but to increase the exposure of your own stock.
To put it bluntly, this method is equivalent to advertising your own stock.
There are more than 2,000 stocks in Shanghai and Shenzhen, and more than 80% of them are stocks that many investors have never bought or even heard of in their lifetimes.
If you want to attract retail investors to buy a stock, you must first get them to pay attention to the stock. Otherwise, it is useless for the dealer to make the technical form beautiful and attractive.
As a digression, I would like to ask you a question: What is the probability that you will not see the sun tomorrow?
The answer given by statisticians is 99.9999%.
If tomorrow the universe is destroyed, you will not be able to see tomorrow's sun, and the probability of the universe being destroyed is assumed to be 1 in 10,000.
If the Milky Way is destroyed tomorrow, you won't see the Sun tomorrow, and the probability of the Milky Way being destroyed is assumed to be 1 in 10,000.
If the solar system is destroyed, you will not see the sun tomorrow, and the probability of the destruction of the Milky Way galaxy is assumed to be 1 in 10,000.
Other 999,999 reasons why you can't see the sun tomorrow include that the sun is out, the earth doesn't turn, you're dead, it's raining, you're sleeping, you're staying in your room, you're blind......
In order to avoid people saying that I am pouring water to make up the number of words, I will not continue to list.
As a result, add up all the possibilities and you're almost certainly not going to see the sun tomorrow.
Why do you suddenly tell everyone this nonsense story? Because there is a philosophical relationship between this and the stock market.
Many people who speculate in stocks have had such an experience, obviously holding a big dark horse stock, but they sold it halfway and failed to stick to it, for which many people regret it.
But next time, everyone will still inadvertently buy a dark horse stock and then sell it halfway through again.
The reason is because everyone has been watching him and thinking about him all the time.
After every short-term investor buys a stock, he can't help but ask himself a question, should I sell him?
Assuming that the probability of a shareholder choosing to sell the stock is 50%, if a shareholder asks himself once a day whether he wants to sell it, then the probability that he will continue to hold the stock after one day is 50%, 25% after 2 days, 12.5% after 3 days, and after two weeks, the probability that he will continue to hold the stock is less than 1 in 10,000.
So the best way to speculate on stocks is to buy a stock and never look at it again, especially in a bull market.
Because as long as you look at him, you can't help but think cranky, and once you think cranky, then there is a good chance that you will sell it halfway.
Therefore, there is a classic saying in the stock market: what the dealer is most afraid of is that retail investors do not look at him.
The same is true for selling stocks, and the same is true for buying stocks.
What Lu Jialiang needs most now is the exposure of the name Jiangzhou Machinery in front of shareholders, and it is best for shareholders to see the news of this stock as soon as they open the securities website.
In this way, regardless of whether the final shareholder chooses to buy or not, when they want to buy the stock, they will definitely think of the stock first.
It may be that a stockholder sees the introduction of Jiangzhou Machinery on the Internet after the probability of buying is only 1 in 10,000, so the average 10,000 stockholders will have a person to buy, and 10 million stockholders will have 1,000 people to buy.
Of course, this is not enough, after all, the power of retail buying in a bear market is too weak.
In order to get rid of the stocks in his hand as soon as possible, Lu Jialiang has another killer move......
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