Determining where to buy and sell a stock is a worldwide problem, not to mention put warrants, which have risen by more than 150% in one morning.

It is true that put warrants are the only short-selling tool in China's securities market, but this short-selling tool is actually watery.

To put it simply, the premium of this put warrant is very serious, don't look at the current with the collapse of the market, the put warrant is rising very crazy, but it can be expected that once the market stops falling and stabilizes, when everyone comes to their senses again, this crazy rise will eventually go back and forth.

The value of a put warrant is the right to sell the stock at a specified price when the underlying stock falls.

The problem is that the market that started in 2006 has been going on for more than a year. During this period, almost all stocks in the stock market have seen very large increases. This of course also includes several put warrants of the underlying stock.

For example, the underlying stock of the put warrants that Sun Haoyang is now buying is Jiangnan Copper. According to the terms of the put warrant, the holder of this warrant can sell one share of Jiangnan Copper shares at a price of 8.26 yuan per warrant.

So what is Jiangnan Copper's stock price today? According to the price of the day's falling limit, it is 24.54 yuan.

In other words, unless the price of Jiangnan Copper falls by more than 66% from the current price, the put warrant of Jiangnan Copper is a piece of waste paper that is not even worth a penny.

When the bull market ends in the future and the bear market comes again, Jiangnan Copper's share price may really fall back below 8.26 yuan, but that will be at least a year or two later.

But now that the South Copper warrants are about to expire in half a year, in the eyes of most people, even if the stock market continues to be worse, it is impossible for a stock to fall by more than 66% in just half a year.

The situation of other put warrants in the current market is also roughly the same as this Nantong put warrant.

Therefore, this morning's crazy rise in put warrants is, to put it bluntly, a game of foolishness, depending on which fool will take the last baton.

From this point of view, the martial heroes who have played Hong Kong stocks have a deep understanding. The trend of put warrants in China's stock market today is a bit like the penny stocks that have been speculated in the Hong Kong stock market.

Therefore, how long the put warrant market can last depends on the next trend of the market. If the broader market rebounds in the afternoon or tomorrow, then the put warrants will inevitably retreat.

And if the stock market continues to have a thousand-share drop limit tomorrow like today, then maybe this put warrant may be speculated again.

But now the question is, how big is the impact of this 530 incident on the stock market? Will China's stock market collapse or will it be a temporary correction?

Such a complicated situation cannot be seen through with Sun Haoyang's current ability.

The uncertainty of the future of the stock market is huge, and in this case, Sun Haoyang certainly does not dare to give others random instructions.

Sun Haoyang's own put warrants have risen by more than 150%, and even if the price falls back after the afternoon open, he has already made a profit.

But if Sun Haoyang is allowed to buy it now, he will not dare to give him ten more dares.

As long as the price of this warrant rises from 150% to 100%, the decline is 20%, which is worse than buying a stock and eating a down limit. And from a 150% rise to a 100% rise, it may only take half an hour or even less.

Now that Sun Haoyang's work is so busy, it is impossible to stare at the price of warrants every minute, unless he doesn't want this job anymore.

Sun Haoyang didn't want to say it, but the retail investors around him were unwilling to let him go.

Under the entanglement of everyone, Sun Haoyang had no choice but to think of a workaround: "This put warrant has now gone crazy, and I am not completely sure whether it will continue to rise next." But I can teach you a short-term trading method.

If you are going to chase the bullish mark, I suggest you take a look at the minute candlestick of the put warrant.

In the afternoon, if the 1-minute K-line of the put warrant is above the 5-minute moving average price, then you can buy or continue to hold; Once the 1-minute price falls below the 5-minute moving average to form a dead cross, it needs to be sold immediately.

To put it simply, the 1-minute price is bullish above the 5-minute moving average, and bearish below, following the trend.

If there is still a market for put warrants today and tomorrow, then this method will definitely not be short. If the market is crazy, maybe it is not impossible to double it again.

And in case this wave of hype ends here, judging by the moving average, you will not suffer huge losses. ”

The operation method that Sun Haoyang is talking about here is actually a deformation of the moving average trading method that he talked to Wang Yue about before.

Previously, Sun Haoyang and Wang Yue talked about the moving average trading method, which uses the golden cross and death cross of the 5-day moving average and the 20-day moving average to judge the stock trend.

Now Sun Haoyang has just made a downward deformation, turning the daily moving average into a minute moving average, and the principle is still the same, still judging the trend of the stock through the changes in the short-term and long-term moving averages.

Sun Haoyang's recent research found that the moving average trading method is very ineffective when the stock price is sideways in the box, because when the stock is in the sideways stage, it is easy to buy at the top of the box and sell at the bottom of the box by relying on the average judgment.

In this case, not only will you not make any money by using the moving average trading method, but you may also lose a lot of money.

However, once the trend of the underlying stock has a sustained surge and plummet, the use of moving average trading method can be wonderful.

Therefore, investors must pay attention to the timing when using the moving average trading method. This method is only suitable for big bull markets and big bear markets with sharp rises and falls, but it is not suitable for monkey markets with moderate trends.

Now the price of put warrants has risen by more than 150% in a single morning, which certainly qualifies for a sharp rise and fall using the moving average trading method.

As soon as Sun Haoyang's moving average trading method came out, he quickly won the praise of everyone around him.

Sun Haoyang originally researched the moving average trading method, mainly to highlight its simple and convenient operation method, basically anyone will hear it.

In the bull market where stock prices are rising wildly, in fact, many shareholders know that the stock they are optimistic about will have a lot of room to rise in the future, but in the end, they always can't pass the psychological level for various reasons, and finally fall short, watching a big dark horse slip away from under their noses.

In the stock market, new investors study technology, old mages study psychology, and often their own hearts are the most difficult enemies to defeat.

The moving average method can very well overcome the ambivalence and fear of retail investors who want to buy but dare not buy, so to a certain extent, this method defeats not the market, but the people's hearts.

P.S. has been upgraded to be a father, and the mother and son are safe.

I witnessed the bloody and horrific whole process in the delivery room, and I was about to faint when I saw the back.

Compared to the horror of having a baby, "Saw Horror" is as mild as a children's show.

I had only heard of the pain of women giving birth to children, but after I actually saw it, I found that it was beyond my imagination.

It's not easy to be a woman, please be kind to your own women in the future.

In addition, I don't even care about my children and wives, I insist on updating everyone, everyone should support me more! Don't be stingy with the flower VIP ticket in your hand~

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