Southeast Asian countries are not weak, the region has a large population, a huge market, a huge economy, and a strategy of relying on the left and right, which makes them quite arrogant in the face of China's demands! For decades, China has been forcibly occupying some of China's islands and insisting that these islands and the nearby waters belong to them, and although China is getting stronger and stronger, the sense of resistance has never been abandoned, and it has been preparing for a certain situation. Although China has successively set up three aircraft carrier battle groups under the pretext of the "United States issue," the Japanese issue, and the complicated Taiwan issue, and its naval and air force strength has risen rapidly, some countries with interests have not compromised at all and have deepened their ties with the United States, Japan, India, and Australia, and even the European Union and Russia at various levels, hoping to confront China in this way. They believe that China is not popular in the world, and can even be said to be quite isolated, "there is no need to be afraid of the Chinese threat"; Moreover, there is a deep-seated sense of resistance to China in the minds of the people, which has existed for decades and often manifests itself as the world situation changes. In addition, the deliberate support of some countries has made China a strong country that does not dare to easily put forward its own demands. For example, Malaysia has more military exchanges with China, and in the midst of the economic crisis, it even imported a large number of advanced fighters from China, and is not afraid of spending money or anything, which makes the world commentators feel quite incomprehensible when a war breaks out between China and Malaysia.

The economic crisis has hit Southeast Asian countries far more seriously than China and Japan, but the strange thing is that some key countries have not focused their main efforts on economic recovery and popular relief, but have aimed the spearhead at a large number of overseas Chinese with savings, although under the influence of the international community, it has not caused a major riot, but many countries seem to have suddenly become interested in arms, and it is commented that Southeast Asia is one of the most intensive regions in the world for arms procurement. After all, these procurement activities belong to the "internal affairs of the country," and as long as the situation of overseas Chinese is okay, the government of country Z, which is "busy with internal affairs," basically does not care, and even Malaysia's arms procurement requirements are met as much as possible; of course, the United States, Japan, and the European Union and other countries that supply a relatively large amount of arms are the United States, Japan, and the European Union, and even Russia and India have "sent" a lot of military supplies. And these arms materials are still picked up and sold (most of them were produced in the previous stage)!

Relations between countries in Southeast Asia are relatively stable, and China naturally knows what these neighbors want, and it is obviously a ridiculous reason to reduce the financial pressure on governments, so China is also secretly stepping up some of its own work! After the easing of relations between China and Japan, China has not actually given up some of its work, and military training has not been relaxed, although large-scale conscription has been stopped, but the previous conscription work has achieved remarkable results, plus joining the army is also a good way for some people to support their families, and there is no shortage of soldiers; On the other hand, the work of upgrading equipment has also been stepped up, and "increasing social employment" is also a good excuse. Just as the economic crisis is an opportunity for the fairy of the legendary company, the economic crisis is also a "God-given opportunity" for China, which is gradually becoming stronger, and the relative dilution of the contradiction between China and Japan, especially Japan's deep involvement in the Chinese market, is an extremely beneficial thing for China, because it greatly limits the possibility of military and political conflicts between Japan and China, and fundamentally relieves the pressure on China in the surrounding areas! However, the United States is too busy to take care of itself, so that it no longer maintains its comparative advantage in the confrontation in the Far East, and the most obvious example is that it gave up supporting Japan in the first place, which has greatly weakened its influence in East Asia, and even the Taiwan authorities are extremely dissatisfied with the United States, fearing that they will become the next object to be discarded.

Of course, the reason why Southeast Asia is doing this at a time when the power and influence of the United States are rapidly declining must also be emboldened. From the intelligence analysis, in the early stage of the economic crisis, these countries did not purchase arms on a large scale, but in March 36, there were some signs of increase, and in July 36, they went against the world trend and officially carried out arms procurement, although the amount was relatively small, but it was from Russia, China, Japan, the United States and the European Union for arms procurement, and these procurement costs were not high, and they belonged to the products produced by the "wrong" judgment of the situation by the major powers, and some of them were even half given away and half sold. But by April 37, its arms procurement was greatly accelerated, and a large number of American-style equipment was exported to Southeast Asia, and by October, more American-style arms poured in, and at the same time, European-style arms and Russian-style arms also increased sharply. Although these arms deals are not widely advertised, people with a discerning eye know what these arms, especially advanced fighters, can be used for; The government of country Z did not protest, and the international arms companies and the government also pretended to be deaf and dumb, and no one was worried about this, especially the United States and Japan, whose exports were very large, and the United States mainly used air equipment, while Japan mainly used army and naval equipment.

The reason for this situation is inseparable from the current world situation, and it can be said that it is related to the connivance of some countries, the provocation of some countries, and the audacity of some countries, and it is caused by the world powers! First of all, one reason is that China is strong, and unlike other countries, China's strength is believed to have been "peacefully" strengthened through economic development. Before the economic crisis, China has become an economic power second only to the United States, and after the economic crisis, it seems inevitable to really become a strong country, the relative decline of the United States, and the relative decline of many major powers in the world at the same time, makes China more prominent, especially after solving the Sino-Japanese problem, many countries feel uncomfortable! In the event of a war between China and Japan, the countries of the world were reluctant, especially under the circumstances at that time, and even more impermissible, but when there was really "peace" between the two countries, the world powers felt that China was a little cheaper, and to some extent weakened China became a common understanding, and it was for this reason that the European Union and Russia acquiesced in the exports of certain countries and personally participated in it!

Although she is unwilling and incapable of confronting China head-on and cannot afford to lose, she is naturally unwilling to waste the existing opportunities in front of her, so she has become one of the big powers that strongly supports Southeast Asia. It can be said that without the support of Japan from all sides, it remains to be analyzed whether the war in Southeast Asia can occur! For Southeast Asian countries, Japan is an important ally, a staunch supporter of their financial and political resources, and even a military ally, and no one believes that she will willingly give up the interests of China's continental shelf in the East China Sea, and no one believes that a paper contract can stop the flame of "revenge" of the Japanese, and once China stabilizes the situation in Southeast Asia, then she may never turn over. The Japanese are not reconciled, the Americans are even more unwilling, if the fairy's abandonment of the energy strategy is what they consider to be the biggest failure, then the Americans were forced to give up supporting their allies against China in the early days of the economic crisis, which was also their huge failure, the fairy failed in energy, but miraculously succeeded in India, then, the Americans also fantasized about gaining influence in Southeast Asia to regain influence in the Far East. She was more anxious than the Japanese to weaken China's influence in the Far East, and politicians unabashedly expressed their support for Southeast Asia, giving strong support in various ways......

Moreover, some countries are also trying to maintain the situation in Southeast Asia or block China because of their interests, and give more support as the economic crisis gradually ends. Australia is an ally of the United States and has a greater influence in Southeast Asia, and has always regarded this region as her sphere of influence, and has a deep relationship with Indonesia. For her, if she wins the battle between Southeast Asia and China, she can increase her influence and subtract a strong competitor, and if she loses it, she can stick to her regional power in Oceania, and in any case, the loss is not large, so she becomes the earliest supporter and the most resolute wartime country, but she does not contribute to the work. Unlike Australia, India is ambitious to compete with China and even the United States and Japan for dominance in Southeast Asia, and will not allow Southeast Asia, which she does not look at, to lose in the struggle with China. Of course, India can show itself in this way, first, it has its own capital, and its national strength is also quite strong, with only three aircraft carrier battle groups, which are not weaker than China in any way, and the arms industry is also quite good; The second is to get rid of the impact of the economic crisis, by the end of 39, she has basically got rid of the economic crisis, the so-called "Indian miracle" has greatly increased the self-confidence of Indians, and they have the courage to fight with China, at least the ability to drag China back.

Fourth, and crucially, the relationship of interests, especially economic interests, has prompted many countries to pay attention to Southeast Asia. The Strait of Malacca is one of the most important straits in the world, and for many countries, the best state of this strait is to be undefended and maintain a relative balance of power in many aspects, and they do not want the Americans to control this strait, nor do they want this strait to fall into the hands of the Chinese. On the other hand, the abundant natural and fishery resources of the South China Sea are also coveted treasures by many countries, and it does not seem like a very good thing for them to fall into the hands of the already very powerful Chinese, and it seems appropriate to be able to drag China here because of this. Southeast Asia has a large population and a huge market, if China controls this region, then its huge market will go where, no one dares to imagine, it is not an exaggeration to say that the experience of interests determines political orientation, an independent or balanced Southeast Asia is in the interests of most countries, although China has an innate advantage in this dispute.

Among all these international forces, the key role is still played by the United States, the de facto arbiter of the Far East issue, and the world's number one rectification, economic and military power that is now unwilling to withdraw from the Far East stage, and has never given up the mentality of never being willing to let China sit on the throne, until the outbreak of the war in Southeast Asia, the expansion and continuation! The United States is extremely concerned about China's growing strength, and once spared no effort to protect Taiwan and forced China, which has two aircraft carrier battle groups, to continue to maintain the situation of no reunification and no independence between the two sides of the strait; even after China's third aircraft carrier was launched, it still did not change its mind and enlisted the countries of the Far East to contain China, with the result that China has not been able to complete the reunification of the country 80 years after the founding of the Republic. However, the outbreak of the economic crisis and the natural Sino-Japanese conflict gradually made the United States feel powerless, especially at the strong demand of the European Union, Russia and India, to abandon support for Japan and miss the best ally in the conflict with China, which made the international prestige of the United States "decline sharply with the depreciation of the dollar". The U.S. retreat of the Sino-Japanese controversy and Japan's "compromise and retribution" have a very great impact on the United States and political circles, and the impact on the ordinary people is also very bad, and the direct result is that in the U.S. presidential election held in 36 years, the former president was "mercilessly" abandoned, although he also increased military assistance to certain countries during his term of office. At that time, one of the key scoring points of the US presidential campaign was the Far East issue, which everyone kept silent, and some commentators even pointed out that "any candidate can defeat the incumbent president", when in fact the former president was not even approved by the party nomination. Since the inauguration of the new president, George F. Kennedy, the United States has increased its arms exports to certain countries dramatically, although there has been no targeted adjustment of the country's military capabilities. This is because, according to the planning standards of the US military, within a week, she can "quickly move the elite units of the navy, air force, and marine corps to any corner of the world." It is the most powerful war group in peacetime, and it is completely capable of maintaining the normal implementation of its war intentions!

China naturally has a clear understanding of the calculations of various countries, knowing that Japan is not willing to "fail," that the European Union is not willing to allow China to sit on the throne, that Russia, a so-called strategic partner, has no good intentions, and that the United States will not easily withdraw from the "Far East dance ground" to which they have long been accustomed. According to the changes in the situation, the mixed fleet was divided into two, and after strengthening the power of the East China Sea Fleet, it placed heavy forces in the South China Sea and formed the South China Sea Fleet. The South China Sea Fleet was formed in September '37 and has conducted many joint exercises with some air forces over the past few years, which can be said to be quite well prepared. Although the situation in Southeast Asia has gradually become obvious, like the United States, China has not made a big deal of it, and even some officers and soldiers have been on vacation, of course, the scale is much smaller, and the standing strength of some troops is quite strong, especially some elite troops in Yunnan and Guangxi, as well as the army rapid reaction forces in Henan and Hebei provinces, have not taken vacations at all, and the whole country is tight inside and outside, and the top level of the government is nervous!

When the Southeast Asian countries stopped their large-scale procurement of weapons and equipment, and after they had stockpiled an astonishing amount of advanced munitions, it was only a matter of time before war broke out. At the same time, the longer it drags on, the more unfavorable it will be for Southeast Asian countries, because their domestic economy is still a mess, and China is already "bright", and if it doesn't make a move, it may collapse without a fight, which they will not allow, Japan will not allow it, India will not allow it, and the United States, which is eager to recover its prestige, will not allow it, so the incident was cleverly created! The Philippines seized the opportunity and embarrassedly "banned" the traditional Chinese New Year during the Chinese New Year!

On the third day of the first lunar month, the Spring Festival celebrations of some Filipino Chinese and overseas Chinese were deliberately sabotaged by some ill-intentioned people. It is said that two Chinese died in a certain place, more than a dozen people were injured, and the perpetrator was also killed 7 people, and more than 20 people were injured, this incident was seriously dealt with by the local conscientious police, because the local Chinese are relatively strong, the police in the handling of the incident "severe hemiplegia" Chinese, this incident caused a strong reaction in the Philippines, even the government has been dispatched. In the face of China's "concern", on the eighth day of the first lunar month, that is, on February 16, the Philippine government announced a nationwide discussion on whether the Chinese "retain the traditional Spring Festival" voting activities, the next day, the "statistics" came out of the "public opinion", announced the "ban" of the traditional activities of the Chinese, and said that "will not succumb to any pressure", this resolution was officially implemented at 8 o'clock in the morning on February 18, 40, and at the same time, the Chinese side issued an emergency military order of "all officers and soldiers on leave to return to the barracks immediately"!

This Spring Festival is an unusual holiday for Chinese, and people who are celebrating the economic crisis suddenly find that the whole country has entered a state of war, and this sudden turn has overwhelmed many people because they are not aware of the coming of war.

The economic crisis is so shocking that people's attention is all attracted and they don't have the heart to pay attention to things that have nothing to do with life, and this war, contrary to the previous "national mobilization without actual action", has caught the people off guard. In the opinion of many, the country is far from being ready for war, because the army has not yet been fully mobilized...... For many years, China has been the strongest army and the weakest navy, if the army has not moved, then how can it be considered ready! Even if everyone knows that China's navy and air force are no longer what they used to be, they have not been tested in any way, not to mention that the combat power of the opponent's navy and air force, especially the air force, is extraordinary, and even experts are surprised by China's self-confidence. On 18 February, a notice was issued saying that the officers and men of the army who were on leave for family visits should leave for their homes within 36 hours, that is, with the time of their trips, the assembly of all units would not be completed until at least 21 February, and as for the deployment to the war zone, it would take at least two or three days, and it would take at least a week or so to form a combat strength.

But the war has indeed happened, and it is progressing very rapidly, from the 18th to the beginning of the confrontation, only two days later, officially broke out, modern rapid communication can only be understanding or persuasion, no one can stop the spread of the war! Internationally, governments are "very helpless" about this, and everyone is still busy with internal affairs, and they simply "did not expect" that a war would break out in Southeast Asia so soon, although some people have long recognized the seriousness of the problem, although this region has already been "full of people"! In the eyes of countries around the world, although Southeast Asia is clamoring and catharsis, but if the government of country Z can "restrain itself", this war can still be avoided, because China is already a responsible power in the world, why not resolve disputes through diplomatic channels, when the previous conflict was more serious, major international commentators believed that China prevented the war from happening within a certain range, but why did it suddenly promote the outbreak of war? There is also reason to worry about the situation in the Far East, where the economic crisis has made the region conflict-sensitive, with the Sino-Japanese conflict in the early stage and the chaos in Southeast Asia in the later stage...... This has become the focus of attention, but only the experts are worried! Once the war breaks out in Southeast Asia, it will not be a problem between one or two countries, because Southeast Asia is originally an interest group, and outside of this group, there are various influences of the United States, Japan, India, and Australia, which can be said to be an extremely chaotic "powder keg". Therefore, when the war broke out, world pacifists cried out and demanded that the countries concerned stop confrontation and settle disputes peacefully!