Stock Commentary People say: Tomorrow is Black Thursday

The afternoon comment will not be detailed today, but after the general content comment index fluctuates and consolidates around 3300 points, the index will once again charge towards the 3400 integer mark.

At the same time, the group prompted "Guodong Construction". Treat this stock as a virtual stock, just a book friend who just has fun watching it misses out on some wealth.

The book friends who bought it, the Li family eldest said to everyone: Wishing you prosperity.

At the same time, at noon, I reminded the one mentioned in the early stage: Tieling New Town.

The above condensed word count, back to today's evening stock commentary:

Today, the market of the two cities rose and fell, and finally the Shanghai Composite Index closed with a slight increase of 0.15%, and the trading volume was basically the same as yesterday; after the ChiNext index rose sharply yesterday, it showed a volatile consolidation trend today, and finally the ChiNext index fell 0.46%, and I dare not say that the current adjustment is beginning to appear. But the cabinet looks like it's starting to head down from the top.

Trend analysis: The two city indexes rose and fell in the intraday throughout the day, and the Shanghai Composite Index rose more than 1% in early trading, driven by the weighted sectors. The Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index also surged higher in early trading, but then there was a protracted volatile downward trend.

In the afternoon, the three major indices all turned green. However, the decline was not large, and the small and medium-sized board index with the largest decline was less than 1%.

Today's disk review combing plate can be seen: brokers. Insurance. The three major banking sectors performed relatively strongly, of which bank stocks were almost all in the red.

The four major insurance stocks also showed a pattern of rising across the board.

Although the brokerage stocks were differentiated, the leader Guojin Securities once hit the price limit in early trading.

Besides. The real estate sector also performed better. It became the sector with the largest number of daily limiters on the day.

In terms of theme plates: stimulated by the news that the domestic mobile game market will exceed 100 billion. The mobile game sector soared across the board today. By the announcement of the outline of the preparation of the photovoltaic poverty alleviation pilot implementation plan, the performance of photovoltaic concept stocks today is eye-catching. Qianzhao Optoelectronics, Tianlong Optoelectronics, and Risen Energy have a strong daily limit, detonating solar energy concept stocks.

In terms of volume and energy sustainability, it must be emphasized that China Southern Airlines and Qingdao Haier hit the daily limit, driving the aviation and home appliance sectors to soar across the board, leading the market. This type of breed is a strong breed and is popular with funds.

Although Guojin Securities and Xinhua Insurance soared together in early trading, the insurance, brokerage and banking sectors once collectively strengthened! It has just been described. But it is not difficult to find that they are strong and just wishful thinking. More Shangshu institutions play and sing by themselves, and they are lonely and self-appreciating. If you don't follow the trend, it's like singing on the stage and the audience below.

In the end, the average rush up and down, in fact, I have already hinted online. You can take a look at the chat history......

Lack of capacity. It has become the biggest reason for the Shanghai Composite Index to rise and fall today.

It is gratifying that varieties such as the construction of Guodong in the tail plate have not changed after recent reviews, and the trend is gratifying. This seems to have brought some warmth to all book friends in this not warm spring......

After careful study, it is not difficult to find that today's market trend is relatively stable.

After all, today is the day of this week's concentrated subscription of new shares, it is estimated that about 1.5 trillion yuan of funds will be diverted to participate in the new market, and the fall at the end of yesterday and today's rise and fall is the reason why some of the funds in the market retreated to hit the new stocks. (Even many people in our small circle have begun to retreat to buy new stocks.) Isn't that a microcosm? )

Let's talk about the news side that everyone is most concerned about:

In the case that the country has not been able to get rid of the pattern of shocks, the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security said that "the pension plan is expected to be reported to the State Council in the second half of the year". "We will not invest all of our investment in the stock market, and there will be restrictions on the proportion of investment in the stock market."

Stock Immortal: Many book friends are discussing the situation of pensions, so let me say my opinion: the above statement of the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security. Isn't it a sign that the long-awaited pension market is expected to open the floodgates? However, everyone should pay attention to the fact that the pension is not for everyone to come in. The national team has always been ambushed below to cut leeks!

Moreover, it will not come soon!

The reality may be that the stock market has become more important in the economy and reform. In the initial stage, the safety of the funds will be the first priority, so the scale will not be too large.

This will bring a certain amount of incremental capital to the stock market, which is a facilitation effect. However, under the current market volume, it is expected that the positive effect will be more reflected in investors' enthusiasm for short-term longs.

Technical analysis: the market rose and fell, and the diversion of new funds is still one of the reasons restricting the market's upward breakthrough. And this financial shock will come to an end after tomorrow, and technically the two doji after the long white candlestick show that the market has a direction selection requirement. Moreover, the volume of early trading seems to be luring more, and the large market K-line closed out a shooting star with a long upper shadow.

The candlestick combination shows that there is a lot of upward pressure! Individual stock opportunities disappear quickly, and the difficulty of operation is slightly increased. Tomorrow's new stock subscription will be intensive, and the Shanghai Composite Index will return from two upward attacks in vain, which seems to indicate that the market will repeat the historical trend of new stock subscription.

Operationally: If the disk really encounters the expected large-scale shock, I expect that this oscillation will not last too long.

After the 3230-3330 point range is properly shaken and consolidated, it may be a little deeper, but I believe that it will be withdrawn soon. After that, the Shanghai Composite Index is expected to attack the 3,400-point integer mark again. This is also a trend judgment that has been repeatedly mentioned recently.

Many people have said that tomorrow may be a dark Thursday, and the market will fall, adjust, and fall.

The market and the recent historical market have indeed outlined such a graph, and at the same time, the capital side has tightened, and the probability of rising is indeed small.

But you might as well think about it in a different way.

At the lowest point of each time, do you take the elevator and pull the drawer with the stock? Or are you staring at the empty position?

Book friends, have you intervened properly at the lowest point of adjustment?

More than once reminded everyone of the box big spell, bottom support, trading opportunities and so on.

This time, if your position is suitable, if you have allocated your chips reasonably as I prompted. So do you want to grasp the low point this time?

Of course, the above conditions are met before you can grasp it......

Let's talk about individual stocks:

Hongda Mining: According to media reports, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is currently studying the adjustment of tax and fee policies to promote the reduction of the burden on domestic iron ore mines, and the iron ore industry will benefit from it. Hongda Mining is mainly engaged in iron ore mining and deep processing, its circulating share capital is only 165 million shares, and its earnings per share have been stable between 0.41-0.99 yuan for three consecutive years, corresponding to its stock price of less than 10 yuan, which is obviously low, and its proposed additional offering price of 8.4 yuan is to block the stock price decline.

Recently, the stock fluctuated slightly around the 20-day moving average, once there is market capital attention, the market attack before the high 11.46 yuan will be a high probability event. (To be continued)