Chapter 145: **Psychology
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"Come in!" Gongsun Qi shouted in place of Liu Dongwei, who was not present.
Jimo Yudian pushed open the door, holding Apple's mobile phone in his hand, his eyes swept around the office, and he asked softly: "Mr. Liu...... You're out of the office? Oooh......"
Gongsun Qi saw Jimo Yu nodding and shrinking, and after nodding and apologizing to himself, he took the door and walked away.
Li Dabao looked at the gate a little inexplicably, and Gongsun raised his hand and unconsciously held on to the pocket of his coat equipped with an anti-bugging device and said, "Let's go on, in fact, you should also hear it." China's stock market, especially the mainland stock market, is very similar to casinos. The more investors participate, the more people will trade, and the greater the probability and wealth of the banker. How similar do you say this is to our country's investment market and our banking?
If you compare every bookmaker to a casino owner. Then each stock is a small casino, and no stock is a different game. And every investor who participates in the Chinese stock market is a gambler! ”
Li Dabao's face changed slightly, and he nodded emphatically. The content that he had already thought of came out of Gongsun Qi's mouth, and he was still a little shocked.
At this time, Gongsun Qi did not leave Li Dabao time to vent his shock. He casually continued: "The origins of this gambling psychology can be traced back to the Middle Ages a thousand years ago.
In fact, a long time ago, some countries in Europe where gambling was legalized...... In particular, casino owners in Britain and Russia are like the business departments of securities companies today. Under the pressure of extremely fierce competition and ultra-high taxes, they spontaneously created various measures to "retain gamblers". ”
"They should be better than the current securities company, right? Now the brokerage is not as good as it should be, Mr. Gongsun, you don't know our difficulties. The handling fee has been reduced again and again, and I really have to drink the northwest wind......" Li Dabao complained a few words, and saw that Gongsun Qi was looking at himself with some displeasure.
Li Dabao grinned, knowing that he was off topic. Hurriedly said, and then said to Gongsun Qi: "You continue, you continue!" ”
Gongsun snorted, nodded and continued: "The development and perfection of betting psychology has reached its peak. But it was perfected with the great development of psychology, to be exact, this betting psychology was finally completed in Las Vegas in the last century. ”
Li Dabao nodded, oh.
I heard Gongsun Qichong himself continue: "Due to the ban on gambling in the mainland, as well as the demonization of gambling in the general environment. Therefore, in China, everyone rarely has the opportunity to learn the psychology of betting. ”
"Is it really that miraculous and scarce?" Li Dabao asked rhetorically.
Gongsun thought for a while and said: "That's not it, what is currently circulating on the Internet is "Gambling Psychology", which is excerpted from the book "Defeating the Banker" by Bozhi.
But I would say that for orthodox betting psychology, the book "Beat the Banker" is just a specious scratch in the surface. To put it mildly, the appreciation is a pile of garbage. ”
Li Dabao looked at the disdainful expression on this Gongsun Qi's face. smiled helplessly......
Gongsun Qi didn't give Li Dabao time to ask questions, and said to himself: "In 2002, Kahneman, an Israeli professor at Princeton University in the United States, won the Nobel Prize in Economics for "effectively combining psychological research and economic research to explain how to make decisions under uncertain conditions."
And his most successful theory is the expectation theory. Also known as prospect theory. “
Li Dabao didn't have much of a feeling about the expectation theory. But at this time, if you change to a more senior shareholder. Perhaps the atmosphere of the lecture is a different story.
Gongsun Qi then went on to say: "The data survey of the expectation theory shows that all risk decision-making processes. Namely: before gambling, venture capital. Investors will have a reference point or desire level for expected gains and expected losses.
That is, when the reference point or desire level is reached, the process ends. But at the reference point of the expected return, about 96 gamblers end up risking. And by the time the reference point for the expected loss is reached, only 12 gamblers end up with risk.
To put it simply, when a gambler starts gambling, he will have a psychological preparation process of "stop when he wins" and "leave if he loses".
However, by the time the gambler won that number, 96 people actually stopped; And when you lose that number, there will be 88 people who choose to continue gambling. So, after in-depth research, Kahneman came to the conclusion that, in most cases that can be calculated, the gambler's estimate of the value of what he lost is twice as high as the value of what he would have gained. “
Li Dabao was holding the tip of the pen in his hand and quickly recording Gongsun Qi's words, as if he understood something in his heart, but he couldn't summarize it when he let himself summarize it......
………………
……”
Liu Dongwei stiffened his neck and said to Jimo Yudian: "Mr. Gongsun said that you can order casually?" Give a fixed seat next to Deju, and go to Quanjude to eat at noon! ”
"Oh!" Jimo Yudian nodded with a wry smile. Turning his head and smiling bitterly at Gongsun Qi, his body had already turned over. At this time, I heard Gongsun Qi hurriedly say: "Just eat a little and it's over." Why are you so polite......"
"Mr. Gongsun came to my Tianpeng Fund, although my brother can only barely be regarded as a host, but I must not let Mr. Gongsun eat a working meal!" After Liu Dongwei finished speaking, he turned his head to look at Li Dabao, who was engrossed in staring at the computer screen at this time, and quickly transcribing on the notebook in his hand, shook his head slightly helplessly.
"You get out!" Liu Dongwei found that Jimo Yudi was still standing in the office and did not leave, and his brows furrowed slightly.
Gongsun laughed loudly: "I don't think it's necessary......
Liu Dongwei's face leaked an expression of "you look down on me".
Gongsun Qi pursed his lips, knowing that Liu Dongwei had always wanted to climb the big tree of Xiaoteng. And Liu Dongwei did a few beautiful things for Li Xiaoteng.
"If Brother Xiao Teng knew that you were giving me such an extravagant banquet, he would definitely be jealous!" Gongsun laughed and made a joke.
Liu Dongwei grinned and said: "Etiquette is still exchanged, courtesy is still exchanged, hehe......"
Li Dabao was simply deaf to the conversation between Liu Dongwei and Gongsun Qi at this time. Staring at the "know-how" of sitting in the village in a notebook, it is like a hungry person in the desert seeing an oasis lake, and the behavior of absorbing it is almost crazy!
Liu Dongwei raised his hand and looked at the time on his wrist, smiled and said to Li Dabao: "It's almost time, let's go eat first." ”
The tip of the pen in Li Dabao's hand quickly continued to splash ink on the notebook. Liu Dongwei stood in place and stared at Li Dabao without speaking, but the smile on his face became slightly stiff......
seemed to notice something, and Li Dabao paused the tip of his pen. Turning his head to Liu Dongwei, he asked blankly, "Are you talking to me?" ”
Liu Dongwei grinned. Nodding his head, he said, "Isn't it just talking to you?" Dinner went to ......"
Li Dabao glanced at the computer screen with some reluctance, and saw that he had only digested part of the content, and the content he copied was a large part worse than what Gongsun Qi told him in the morning, and his tangled look was even more understandable than Sima Zhao's heart.
Liu Dongwei smiled beside him and said, "What? Don't even eat in order to study? What is poured into the brain, after all, it still has to be verified in the market. You can get a general idea of it. You don't have to be a golden rule, right? ”
Li Dabao frowned slightly. I am qualified to sit here because of Liu Dongwei, who was contacted by Xia Yu. It is also because of the platform that Xia Yu built for himself that he was able to be appreciated by Li Xiaoteng by extreme chance.
He is honest but does not mean that he is stupid, in fact, Li Dabao can see the sour smell coming out of Liu Dongwei's words, although he tried his best to cover up something before Gongsun was full, but Li Dabao can still read something from Liu Dongwei's words and deeds.
Li Dabao didn't know if Gongsun Qi smelled this faint sourness.
I smelled that sour smell anyway...... r1152
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