Stock commentary: Looking through the financial news in recent days, while the policy is calm, what I see is a screen full of bullish headlines. Rhetoric of resolutely going long before the Spring Festival abounds.

There is also a headline pointing out that the stock market in 2015 is even better.

Thinking about the crazy trend on the last trading day of New Year's Day, tomorrow may become a high probability event, but what about after it is red?

Let's take a look at the research and judgment of brokers, private equity and celebrities in 2015: some see 5,000, and some see 8,005. There are even more who see 12,000.

Thinking about the crazy bull market in 07 at that time, the bricks just said that 10,000 points was not a dream.

Deng Xuewen of Jinghui Tiancheng believes that the Shanghai Composite Index will rise to at least 12,000 in one or five years, and proposes to dare to speculate on big blue chips.

Seeing eight thousand five, the capital private placement someone, not nominated. Make at least 8,000 points of in-circle speech.

The eldest son of the Li family wants to say, who was slapped in the face when he saw it!

Actually, it goes without saying. These extremely optimistic people must not have come from a research background.

Their main basis is estimated, the so-called wave theory. A swipe of the mouse will naturally go to the sky. In fact, I myself speculated with the wave theory. When I looked at the result, I muttered: Isn't this a fool?

Why?

There is no doubt about the policy of the city. What about the economy? The stock market is a good economic barometer! Although the Shanghai Composite Index is 8,000, 12,000 will definitely be seen in the next few years. But it's hard to show up this year.

Since the Shanghai Composite Index has seen a mad bull market in the last month of one or four years, this also indicates that the index market in the past five years will be greatly discounted.

After all, the Shanghai Composite Index has been rushing to 2,000 since the end of November. By the end of the year, it closed at 3,234 points. In just 28 trading days, it skyrocketed by 30 percent. The speed, the magnitude of the increase, and the steepness of the upward slope are staggering! The daily trading volume has also risen sharply from 300 billion to 400 billion yuan in the first four months of the slow bull stage to an average of 790 billion yuan, with a maximum trading volume of more than 1 trillion yuan and a daily turnover rate of 4.5%. This is clearly excessive speculation.

In addition, there is also irrational speculation in large-cap stocks in cyclical industries and surplus industries.

The huge incremental funds and trillions of financing disks that have swarmed in the market have concentrated on attacking the low-priced large-cap stocks that the market has not dared to speculate for a long time, and cannot be speculated, and are lying on the floor. This is clearly contrary to the medium. The spirit of 'further intensifying structural adjustment in 15 years' emphasized by the central work conference.

Now, it has not only increased the index bubble, but also consumed a lot of money in the market, and the current index surge may really come to an end......

I dare to predict that it will be difficult for the Shanghai Composite Index to break through 4,03 in 15 years, and it will not be easy to reach 3,08 points.

After all, it comes with large financial bills, insurance, and banking. and the rotation of major weighted sectors such as resource coal, steel, ports, shipping, aviation, and real estate. The madness phase is fading away.

In other words, despite the inertia of the hype weight. However, the extreme divergence of the 28 market is tending to ease and weaken. An inflection point can occur at any time.

At that time, some high-quality small and medium-sized stocks that have been wrongly killed will be greatly increased in the annual report and the high proportion of distribution plans of 10 to 5 or more. and other catalyst factors to set sail again, and the elephants that have been running fast all the way will fall into a phased adjustment.

(How to find stocks with high transfer in F10, I will use the storyline for you in the novel)

Of course, some heavyweight stocks with state-owned enterprise reform expectations or good performance will continue to rise, but it is absolutely impossible for the weights to rise to the sky.

Therefore, after New Year's Day, the 28 phenomenon will be greatly weakened and eased. High-quality heavyweight stocks with state-owned enterprise reform expectations and small and medium-sized market capitalization stocks that have been wrongly killed, with large performance increases and high distribution plans will jointly lead the market.

At that time, the harmonious market speculation arbitrage atmosphere will really appear, and we are looking forward to the slow bull multi-win pattern of the super bull market!

A lot of people ask me about the recent trend. I just want to say: behind the short-term madness, a wave of adjustment has begun to brew. Take control of your positions and protect your chips. The big bull market is coming, and you're out of bullets......

I'll be depressed then!

6th

Stock Comment: (Additional Sentence: It is recommended to add optional varieties at the end)

As mentioned yesterday, the first transaction after the New Year, the red plate is a high probability event. Today is off to a good start. Moreover, this good start ended the whole day with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 115 points.

But yesterday, the eldest son of the Li family also mentioned that the red plate was over ......

Let's take a look at today's plate first. Driven by the impact of oil, coal, and nonferrous metals on the market, the long-term momentum of the blue-chip sector has been released across the board! The market once again pulled out of Changyang, breaking through the pressure of the 3330 point line.

Yesterday, a group friend asked me: "How did you sell at the opening?" It felt like the stakes were high, and I felt bad. Or do you think you can rush three thousand three? ”

I said through the penguin: "It's not a big problem in the morning, look at the afternoon, if you turn around, you need to reduce your holdings." Three thousand three is not a problem to the touch. ”

Today's trend is not just touching 3,003? That's 50 points more than expected! And today's market also put on a big *b* wave situation that directly impacts the 3478 point line,

But under the hot plate. I also raised the issue of hidden dangers in the group.

There is a gap in the market, and it is a daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly, and yearly gap.

I haven't seen such a gap in eight years. I have the impression that it appeared when I was a big cow. But it was soon made up for as well.

This gap also appeared after the continuous continuous yang of the weekly line and the long yang of the monthly line, and the possibility of the market being made up for is even greater.

In other words, today's gap leaves the hidden danger of a big oscillation for the market outlook!

And after today's close, the futures index contract came out of a wave of diving after the stock market closed.

To sum up: the trend of tomorrow and the day after tomorrow may rise and fall.

Recently, the weathered old stockholders have been so crazy about the market and have begun to gradually reduce their positions.

Some began to gradually reduce their positions, and radical conservatives began to wait and see. In fact, these are all right, it is better not to make than to lose.

Warren Buffett also once said: I have two principles, the first principle, never lose your chips. The second principle, never forget the first principle.

Controlling risk and choosing investment products and investment methods with a high probability of success are the keys to success!

To state my opinion: in the short term, the risks are intensifying. There is a pullback demand in the broader market. In the long run, you will enjoy watching more. That is: short-term risk control, long-term firm bullishness!

At the same time, I also believe that in the near future, second-tier real estate and low-cost home appliance stocks will usher in the main upward stage. Such as: TCL Group, Little Swan, Chunlan, AUCMA......

7th

……

Stock Commentary:

Ling Chen mentioned: "Today's gap has left the hidden danger of big oscillation for the market outlook!" "or" And after today's close, the futures contract came out of a wave of diving after the stock market closed. ”

Today's market really started a volatile trend.

From a technical point of view, today's Shanghai Composite Index closed with a low open and high positive doji.

The volume of this bullish doji has shrunk slightly from yesterday, indicating that investor caution has increased. From the perspective of the moving average system, although the Shanghai Composite Index has fallen intraday today, it still has not touched the 5-day moving average below, indicating that the technical picture of the market is still very strong. However, today's market volume has shrunk, indicating that investors are not willing to chase higher, and if the market continues to shrink, the technical side of the market is likely to retest the 5-day moving average.

This is why it was mentioned yesterday: "Strictly prevent the rise and fall of today and tomorrow".

To sum up: Today's market opened low and rushed high to meet the resistance to fall, although the trend was thrilling, but there was no danger, or barely closed in the red. However, today's weighted blue chips have pulled back overall. The second- and third-tier theme stocks are on the offensive sharply!

Today, many people are asking me: "Small and medium-sized forces, the GEM is soaring!" It seems that the eighty-two pattern is striking again? What do you think about the back? ”

To answer the question: Will the market hotspot switch to the "eight" part of the stock again? Actually, it takes coherence!

Personally, I think that the market does not have the conditions to switch to the "eight" part of the stock for the time being, and today's "eight" part of the stock rally can only be seen as a by-product of the temporary rest of the weighted blue chips, and their rebound is technical, not trending.

Let's talk about the market: Many people ask, can the market continue to rise?

Actually, this question is a bit difficult to answer.

I only want to say my own opinion, I personally think that since the market has come to this position, then if the news and policy side are not unexpectedly negative! The broader market should challenge the important previous high near 3480.

As for whether the challenge can be successful, it will be analyzed on a case-by-case basis.

After so many years in the stock market, I have caught up with two rounds of bull and bear conversions. Many markets are indifferent if they see too much.

It's rare to see such a tough market recently. I haven't even seen it, and it's even better than the market in 2007, so in the face of such a crazy market, I put forward the idea of controlling the position and being optimistic.

A lot of people reacted to my tips to the extreme. That is, short positions and other adjustments. It's a bit too pessimistic. I'm just talking about controlling your positions and lowering your positions. You might as well wait and see what happens. Calmly walk one step at a time.

The heart is too enthusiastic in the market bulls, don't be infected, but don't be afraid of the market.

Otherwise, you won't be able to control it, but will be swayed by it! In the end, it's just a son of mentality.

Let's talk about two individual stocks: bullish on the three treasures of medicine on the pre-holiday trading day: Ejiao, Yunbai, and Pien Tze Huang. Medicine is prominent at this time, but if you want to be in a high position, I recommend being cautious and cautious.

Bull market, rotation......

That's good for your stocks, waiting to see what happens is the king!

As for the rotation space, quite a few stocks have not been launched.

For example, the focus of reform in the energy sector will shift to oil reform this year. Oil and gas reform is likely to "make a big move" this year, upstream exploration and development or partial liberalization, and the mixed ownership reform of the two major oil companies will be deepened, which is the biggest driving force for the two barrels of oil to rise and fall in recent days.

It is expected that in the future, the natural gas import rights of some large enterprises will be further liberalized. Therefore, such as Haiyue shares, Meidu Energy, Guanghui Energy, etc., can be concerned! After all, the margin of safety is very high......

9th

PS: Sorry, slightly ill. caused the stock fairy to break off for a day, and I am here to accompany you for a crime.

Stock comment: The last stock review mentions: the market volume has shrunk, indicating that investors are not willing to chase higher, if the market continues to shrink, the technical side of the market is likely to retest the 5-day moving average. Yesterday, I was not fat in the group, and the market should be adjusted. A lot of people scoffed at it.

And I immediately responded: Count Wednesday, it will fall in three days! It's all in the chat log. It's not nonsense.

At that time, I put forward a point of view, today's shrinkage continues to rise, the wide range of shocks to have a downward trend, and the short-term is to face the limit of adjustment. Take a look at today's trend: the Shanghai Composite opened 2 points lower at 3371 points, slightly rebounded to the highest point of the day at 3381 points, and then rebounded slightly after a rapid decline; After the opening of the afternoon market, a slight shock rebounded, and the end of the market showed a downward trend step by step, bottoming out at 3285 points, and rebounding slightly to close at 3293 points, down 80 points, and the trading volume shrank to 399.2 billion yuan, closing out a long black line. The market is falling today!

Look at the Shenzhen Component Index, which plummeted after the opening. The two intraday reversals were unsuccessful, and both fell back in an arc.

First of all, congratulations to the book friends who controlled their positions and successfully avoided risks with me in the group.

Yesterday, I also knew that many group friends intervened in the Haiyue shares recommended by the stock review.

Today, Haiyue shares bucked the trend and rose by 6.53 percent. Strong pull up all day! Although I know that some group members are not doing too well in position control, they should have made up for a lot of losses by intervening in Haiyue shares. Which of the few people who entered the warehouse full, let's not be too happy.

The future is bullish though. But the big box pressing is still there. The stock price may return to the support of the 30-day moving average in the near future. Under the premise of the support of the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, it may be possible to fluctuate one or two. Bullish stocks should also sell high and buy low, and we will communicate the specific situation intraday.

Let's talk about the market that more people are paying attention to.

The overall market is a downward trend. Some predict a positive end on Friday, with anything possible against the backdrop of a voluptuous stock market.

But I'm just analyzing one or two from a rational point of view:

Next week will enter the new issuance area, when there will be 22 new shares issued, and there will be new shares issued every trading day throughout the week. The 22 new stocks are expected to raise a total of 12.203 billion yuan, but the market predicts that the corresponding frozen funds will be about 2 trillion yuan.

Technically, do not look for reasons for the decline from factors such as new stocks.

As I mentioned before, the gap between the days and the month and the year was quickly filled when it appeared in the seventh year. It is precisely because of this gap that I analyze that the market has experienced a large level of shock. It has now been fulfilled.

Yesterday, the group said: It will be adjusted within three days, and the book friends in the group don't believe it and ask the reason.

I pointed out that the stock price has risen and the volume has continued to shrink. And yesterday's old hot spots can't be sustained, which is a more obvious sign before the adjustment!

Looking back, it will be a relatively safe trend to make up for the gap in the fall. It's really better to make up late than to make up early.

Before hitting the 3478-point high, a relatively adequate wash is very necessary from a technical point of view. This can solve the worries first, otherwise it is a matter of low probability to attack important resistance with a top back.

In the short term, the stock index will adjust before each round of new trading, so the probability that the stock index will continue to fall tomorrow is relatively high.

On Friday, the resistance level of the broader market was at the 3350 level. Support level 3200 line.

For specific stock issues, you can leave a message in the customer group, book friend group, alliance leader group @ me, and not in private chat.

11th

……

Stock Commentary:

Thursday's stock review had prompted: Haiyue shares are still suppressed by the large box. The stock price may return to the support of the 30-day moving average in the near future. Under the premise of the support of the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, it may be possible to fluctuate one or two. Bullish stocks should also sell high and buy low. On Friday, Haiyue shares really launched a volatile market. If it shows a downward trend on Monday, it may wish to intervene appropriately above the 20-day moving average. If there is a volatile trend, you can hold the original chips and trade in the short term......

Let's talk about the big market:

At present, in the eyes of the long-short divergence, people who are bullish find countless reasons to be bullish, and those who are bearish have also pulled a lot of evidence for themselves. At this time, the views of retail investors in the market actually confirm the trend of big shocks on the market.

Recently, I have been talking about the problem repeatedly, the gap after the New Year, which is a collection of days, weeks, months, and years. Corresponding to the big shock pattern behind, the recent trend of the disk confirms my statement very well.

At the same time, I also expressed my opinion: there is no gap that cannot be filled.

My friend Big Brother, while Brother Ban refuted me, he even found a gap of only one point on the way to the rise in 06 years. I looked at the screen and couldn't laugh or cry......

In fact, when it comes to the index, I am more concerned about the true validity of the index!

After all, the recent rise in the past two months or so is all due to the lifting of banks, brokers, and two barrels of oil weighted stocks, and the rest of the small and medium-sized market capitalization stocks have suffered serious blood loss, a typical 19 market!

The upward momentum of these big-name heavyweights lies in the recovery of value after undervaluation, and then there is the theme of state-owned enterprise reform. Is it possible that big-name blue-chip and small- and mid-cap growth stocks will always have a seesaw effect in a bull market? The two should not be incompatible, and it is normal for them to rise alternately!

At present, I think that large-cap blue-chip stocks will complete their historical mission after leading the market to break through the important high of 3478, and the subsequent market should appear in the small and medium-sized market capitalization sectors with good growth and benefits from reform.

Speaking of 3478, I have to talk about the point of 3394. The highest position of the day of the good start! It is only 84 points away from the rebound high of 3478 points in 09.

In other words, it is not enough for the Shanghai Composite Index to rise in one day!

In this range, the historically piled volume even exceeds the volume around 6124 points. In other words, the biggest hedge in history is at this point.

Can such an important point be accomplished overnight? Without experiencing violent shocks and shuffling, without experiencing a large turnover of hands and shuffling, without experiencing the toss up and down, it is impossible for the index to cross the threshold of 3,005, and even if it breaks through for a while, it will be repeatedly saw-sawed.

3,005 is the pivot point of A-shares!

It is normal for stock indices to fluctuate up and down around this line. Even if the previous gap is filled, the trend of oscillation will not change. This is one of the issues I would like to emphasize. Don't think about filling the gap. Even if the boots hit the ground!

Therefore, the current strategy should be bullish and not long, and bearish and not short.

The so-called bullish and not long means that you can't chase up! Control the stocks in your hands, and reduce your holdings if they rise!

The so-called bearish and not short, means that there is no need to kill the fall. Buy when the stock falls!

In terms of position control: I still recommend half position. At present, most of the group members have already controlled the position, if your position is still very heavy, I still say, if you don't control the position, how can you advance and retreat freely?

13th

……

As mentioned in the stock commentary above:

The gap must be filled! The trend of the big index shock will not change!

At the same time, the article also emphasizes a problem: even if the gap is filled, the trend of oscillation will not change.

Later, I even gave: bullish not long, bearish not short trading strategy! (How to perform without repeating!) ）

The original sentence mentions: "In terms of position control: I still recommend half position operation. At present, most of the group members have controlled the position, if your position is still very heavy, I still say, do not control the position, how to advance and retreat freely? ”

Here, congratulations to those who have taken control of the position. Lock in profits, half a position in the face of market adjustment! It should be cool, right......

Let's talk about today's market: the Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.71%, the ChiNext Index rose 2.12%, and the small and medium-sized board index bucked the trend and rose 0.23%. Small and mid-cap stocks are relatively resistant, in line with the previous analysis in this article!

On the news side, some media reported that the "Belt and Road" plan has been officially approved, and authoritative media such as CCTV and Xinhua News Agency have continued to report on the progress of the "Belt and Road" recently. Considering that this year is the 60th anniversary of the establishment of the New × Xinjiang Self-× and × Zone, combined with the construction of the core area of the Silk Road, the central government is likely to give a series of preferential policies. New × Xinjiang urban construction, Beixin Road and Bridge are worthy of everyone's own attention!

Today, I found that there are book friends in the book friend group, and I just use the futures index to prompt the market in the group, and I will mention one more sentence today: according to the public data of the China Financial Exchange, the top 20 long and short positions were reduced by 2195 hands and 1513 hands respectively. Among them, the CITIC futures bulls increased their positions by 1,573 hands, and although the bullish strength has recovered, the futures index may be volatile in the short term. Like the volatile market, it is more difficult to arbitrage the futures index, so you may wish to reduce the number of positions you open and wait for the trend to clear......

Today, many book friends have repeatedly asked me what I think of the future generations:

In the market outlook, I firmly believe that the current market is at a relatively high level!

Considering that there are new shares subscribed this week, in other words, every day is a new feast! Therefore, I think that there will be a significant diversion of market funds, and many parties will definitely have some scruples.

Therefore, I believe that the Shanghai Composite Index will still fluctuate and consolidate in a reasonable range in the future. If it falls below 3215 points intraday, you can increase your position in the short term by holding blue chips. rose to 3,003, and the first line reduced positions.

There is no need to worry too much about the continued sharp decline of the broader market on Tuesday. After all, the truth of the stock market subverting the aunt is: the curtain is closed in madness, and the turn is in despair. It doesn't matter if it goes up or down. Not crazy, not capricious. Look at the broader market sensibly. It is enough to control the position!

After all, in the adjustment stage, you can't be too aggressive! At this stage, the more stable operation strategy is to hold shares, buy low and sell high.

Actually, I also know that some friends have been waiting for a long time! What I am waiting for is this adjustment, but in this volatile situation, I would like to remind: do not chase the blue chips of the large market.

You can consider buying super-falling stocks and stagflation varieties, mainly small and medium-sized! Entrepreneurship needs to be observed! Communicate in specific groups.

14th

……

Stock Commentary: Mentioned yesterday: "I think the Shanghai Composite Index will still fluctuate and consolidate in a reasonable range in the future." If it falls below 3215 points intraday, you can increase your position in the short term by holding blue chips. Rise to 3,003, the first line to reduce positions"

Today's lowest point of the market is just right to step back to .5 points! Then the end of the game launched a weak reversal. I also said in the group: Is today's volatile market about to shake everyone up? But fortunately, today's market is fluctuating strongly. But yesterday also focused on the operation idea of grasping small amplification. Small and medium-sized caps, today can be regarded as ushering in a small spring. Everyone's flexible operation is a little gain!

Some people are worried about the trend of the market tomorrow, in fact, we can put aside the news side and see how the technical side of the market is expressed:

On Friday, the index rose and fell strongly at the end of the day, and the daily line was an inverted hammer-shaped black line.

On Monday, the trend stabilized after a sharp decline, and the daily line is a medium yin line with a long lower shadow.

On Tuesday, the market fluctuated and closed in the sun.

The daily line of the three trading days has actually formed a typical kneading combination. It shows the recent prediction of the market shock.

Behind this shock, in fact, the mystery of the main drawing has been revealed. Attentive investors should pay attention to several details on the market:

First, the trading volume did not enlarge when the market fell, indicating that the market was reluctant to sell, and the main funds did not flee.

The second is that the main force is either deliberately suppressed at important technical points, or shot to protect the disk, and the traces of the disk are very obvious.

Third, the weak stocks in the early stage, the gem and the small and medium-sized board rose against the trend when the main board was adjusted, indicating that the trend and rhythm of the bull market were not "chaotic". The above are the basis for continuing to be bullish on the market outlook!

On the news side: On Tuesday, the central bank issued the "Guiding Opinions on Promoting the Healthy Development of Mobile Financial Technology Innovation". The "Guiding Opinions" emphasize that mobile finance is an effective way and method to enrich financial service channels, innovate financial products and service models, and develop inclusive finance. Promoting the wide application of mobile finance in various fields is conducive to expanding the depth and breadth of the financial industry to serve the real economy. Internet finance concept stocks are profitable again. You can add Tempus International and Hanbao shares to your own observation.

In terms of stock index futures: the futures index continued to fluctuate intraday. The main contract IF1501 closed down 4.2 points, or 0.12%, and the open interest decreased by 4,295 contracts to 77,100 contracts, with a premium of 15.56 points. According to the public data of the China Financial Exchange, the top 20 long and short positions reduced their positions by 2,665 and 1,829 hands respectively. Among them, Haitong shorts increased their positions by 1,237 lots, and the top two bulls slightly reduced their positions. Book friends of stock index trading, I still maintain yesterday's views unchanged!

Operation strategy: In the shock adjustment stage, don't be too aggressive! In particular, the position should not be too heavy. At this stage, the more stable operation strategy is still to hold half positions, and you can increase your position after falling below 3215 points in the intraday, and reduce your position when it rises to around 3300 points.

Today's group also gave a low-buy strategy for several short-term bottom flag breakout varieties.

But this is just a reminder for everyone to keep a tight grip on their positions. After today's closing, I just learned that there was a brother who was still holding a full position.

15th

……

Stock Commentary: The last stock review ended with this sentence.

"I just learned after today's close that there is a brother who is still full of shares. One more persuade: Brother, don't you feel like you're on a roller coaster when you control the market so much? ”

Recently, we have repeatedly reminded everyone to control positions and operate half positions.

Today, this wide range of the market. In this way, you can attack and retreat, and you can defend!

Here I would like to congratulate the book friends who have controlled the position!

Let's talk about the big picture.

The broad markets of Shanghai and Shenzhen both opened higher on Wednesday, but then there was a polarization between large-cap and small-cap stocks. Blue chips rose, and small and mid caps retreated. I thought that I was going to stage a nineteen market again today, and I was in doubt! The market has gradually declined.

Although there was a slight reversal at the end of the session, the two cities finally closed with a small black line.

The trading volume of the two markets continued to shrink, indicating that the market began to trade cautiously. The main funds as a whole are in wait-and-see.

On the news side, the media reported on the central government this year. Document 1 is expected to be published by the end of January. It is rumored that the document has been issued internally, and the division of labor between ministries and commissions has been initiated, which will focus on promoting agricultural modernization and rural reform with the reform of the land system as the mainstay.

The agricultural sector is expected to benefit from agricultural machinery, seed industry, land circulation and other varieties. The first two varieties of individual stocks are not repeated, after all, most book friends have already laid out in the group.

Let's talk about land circulation: Huilong shares belong to the earliest varieties involved in large-scale land circulation, and are expected to benefit from the wave of rural reform in the future. You can add a choice, buy some plate communication!

In 2014, the first annual report was released, and the net profit of Wohua Pharmaceutical in 14 years increased by 244% year-on-year, mainly due to the continuous growth of operating income, and the distribution plan was 2.1 yuan for every 10 shares converted to 12 shares. The company expects earnings in the first quarter of 2015 to increase by 560% to 610% year-over-year.

Wohua Pharmaceutical may have a better performance in the future!

From the small to the big, we can draw inferences and ponder a question: why can he go so well?

The reasons are none other than this: small plates, improved performance, and high delivery!

Here are the top three reasons why the stock is a maverick! Therefore, looking for stocks in the secondary market with performance exceeding expectations and high distribution is the primary choice at present.

Technicals: The market is still on an upward trajectory. The extra-long upper shadow on January 9 takes a long time to digest. The flight of profitable funds from the market and the freezing of new funds have made the market adjustment helpless.

Market makers are adapting to the market and choosing the trading mode of selling high and buying low. And large funds are also conforming to the market model, choosing the trading mode of selling high and buying low. The weak shock pattern has become so reasonable.

At present, it is necessary to beware of the risk of the main force rushing high and tempting more!

For stocks that have no capacity, huge gains, bleak performance and the main flight, profits should rebound out. If you are losing money, you should reduce your position when it rebounds. Today, I also listed a few similar stocks in the group.

At present, the rebound of the broader market is constrained by volume, but small and medium-capitalization stocks have begun to strengthen secretly, indicating that the market style continues to overtrend small-cap stocks. Therefore, it may be possible to take advantage of the trend and appropriately adjust positions and exchange shares for small-cap stocks with favorable policies!

Operationally: I still maintain my judgment in the near future.

That is, it is believed that the reasonable area of the Shanghai Composite Index should fluctuate and consolidate in the range of 3215-3350 points, and after controlling the position in the intraday, the position can be increased after the market falls below 3215 points, and the position can be reduced when it rises to around 3300 points.

After all, in recent days, the market has been magically pulled back after falling below 3215 points, and this point may not be missable in the eyes of the bulls!

Finally, it's the same sentence: don't be too aggressive. In particular, the position should not be too heavy!

Not available: Book friends of the alliance leader book friend group can leave a message in the book review area. I will also respond to your questions. But beware, numbers can't be typed......

16th

……

Stock Commentary:

Recently, I've been suggesting that you add your own picks to the stocks I recommend. Someone did this, and bought the second-tier household appliances recommended by the previous stock review: Little Swan.

After the layout, I harvested a price limit, congratulations......

Let's talk about the big market:

Today, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 100 points to close at 3,336 points, and the total trading volume of the two cities also returned to above 500 billion. The market is full of confidence, especially financial stocks: brokerages and insurance companies are showing signs of scrambling.

Then here's the problem!

At present, the futures index does not have the conditions to pull up, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen indices are naturally worried! The counterattack was good, but he came a little early.

After all, there is still a new share subscription on Friday, and it is also the delivery day of stock index futures.

The short-term long and short power of the market is relatively large, and Thursday's counterattack makes the short-term profit chips pile up more, if once the bears counterattack on Friday, the bulls will definitely be difficult to deal with! To sum up, if the multiple sides fight back on Friday, it will not only psychologically dispel everyone's fear. By the way, it also consumes the power of the empty side! When the time comes, the short funds will be killed, and the short power will be relatively small next week.

Now that the counteroffensive is in advance, the burden instantly falls on Friday. If it can't continue the upward offensive, I expect the two markets to be in turmoil and it will be extended......

Technical: Today's Shanghai and Shenzhen markets rose, as mentioned earlier, the financial team, blue chips, second-tier blue chips and small and medium-sized market reactions are relatively flat. The 19-day market continues!

Why did it rise, after the review, I personally believe that there are three reasons for Thursday's rise:

First, international oil prices rebounded strongly overnight, driving two barrels of oil to rise sharply. (Far-fetched, but count)

Second, the weighted stocks have been adjusted for many days, and they have gathered rebound demand.

Third, a large number of funds for subscribing for new shares will flow back to the secondary market.

It has risen sharply, but there is one thing that everyone must pay attention to, the trading volume has not been effectively amplified, and the volume can seriously match the rise!

In other words, banks, securities, and insurance have been unable to attract capital enthusiasm. There are many reasons for this. I can guess a variety of reasons in an instant, so I won't repeat them for now. After all, what can be seen is that the differences between the long and short sides are increasing. This is very detrimental to the continuous rise of heavyweight stocks, and the pressure on both sides has increased sharply after approaching the previous high!

Moreover, both barrels of oil will face technical pressure on the upper orbit. The upper band is basically close to the previous high. A situation of double pressure coincidence will be formed.

Therefore, the bulls will face a big rise on Friday! It's not a good dilemma if it rises too much!

Not rising much, the market's confidence in doing long can not be firm, and the end of the dive will become an inevitable trend.

If it rises more, the market will also be more positive when it is close to technical pressure, and wider and longer shocks will follow.

Therefore, in terms of operation, "that is, the reasonable area of the Shanghai Composite Index should fluctuate and consolidate in the range of 3215-3350 points, and after controlling the position in the intraday, the position can be increased after the market falls below 3215 points, and the position can be reduced when it rises to around 3300 points." ”

Having said this for many days, if you continue to track the stock commentary and control the position to firmly increase your position when it falls below 3215 points, it will now be your position to take profits and reduce your holdings. The remaining half of the warehouse, we can attack and retreat and defend!

Today, I also repeatedly reminded in the group: hold blue-chip and financial stocks. It is recommended to start gradually reducing holdings above 3300 points. 3350 points enter the danger zone. It is recommended that you control your position, hold half a position, do not miss profits, and flexible funds can also be maneuvered!

If someone asks: Li family's eldest son, I am now full of empty positions, what should I do?

I responded: After Friday's small board stocks were adjusted on Thursday, it is estimated that they will be reborn! We're waiting to verify!

Looking back, there are two words of advice: the upward offensive provides an opportunity for everyone who is full of positions to fluctuate with the ups and downs of the market. If you are still planning to "go full of positions", then I can only suggest that you take a look at the recent stock reviews and appreciate the importance of strategy, after all, sound operation is the firm cornerstone of the leftover.

Today, I mentioned a good stock, but it was communicated to a small number of people, a listed company in Daxing, Beijing, at our doorstep. Leave it to be validated ......;