The topic of the stock review in the early hours of Friday morning: it is said that it will fall sharply tomorrow! As the title, I made the title of the stock review of the day.

All right! The big drop in the internal discussion of the brokerage circle is coming as scheduled! Why do you say that? Let's talk about it before today's weekly review:

The bull market on the tip of the bar mentioned in the previous stock commentary is an irrational market with elephants dancing. In fact, if the financing continues, the elephant will be dancing on the tip of the bar.

But the state kicked hard to support the lever of the elephant, and now that there is such a plunge, it seems that there is no need to find any reason.

Looking back now, if you read the advice of the Li family to stay away from the big blue chips. If you control your position, then even the broader market will continue to perform irrational declines on Monday. What's the matter?

The current bull market is so empty that my brother breaks out in a cold sweat every day. It doesn't matter if some people ridicule the "bear market mentality", but it was ridiculed before by people for "holding shares with half a position? Isn't this blocking the brothers' way of wealth? "And, those who sneered at the eldest son of the Li family, I covered the blue chips for a long time, and I didn't have many book friends who couldn't open margin financing and securities lending, and the proportion was low. If you are calm and calm now......

Will you pronounce a good sentence from the eldest son of the Li family?

At present, the media is cheering for the bull market, the two mouths of stock critics, and countless bull market remarks have misled the new shareholders of the post-80s and post-90s generations and the Chinese aunts who have jumped to give it a try!

This abnormal short-forcing rally, as well as abnormal trading volume, have been artificially ignored.

The market is crazy, the shareholders are crazy, but if you think about it, these are all forced!

Gathered into one sentence: The world has been suffering for a long time!

This week's stock review mentioned on the eve of the RRR cut, and there will definitely be shareholders who rush in to be the main force of the pick-up man, and let the main force cut leeks! What are the facts?

After that, Friday's trend actually made me feel a trace of despair, the smell of broken jars! This emotion is very scary.

After all: in the short term, there is no reason to push the market to new highs, and Thursday's RRR cut is good for the main market to use for shipments!

The attitude of the management to reduce leverage will not change, next week's IPO task has been scheduled to issue time, from the analysis of the timetable for new share subscription, the market has no greater chance of rebound before the Spring Festival, and at the same time, do not expect that there will be too much rebound after the subscription funds are unfrozen.

(Mainly to show that there will be a rebound.) But don't expect the kind of big rally that came before! ）

Therefore, the market trend will become more and more desperate in the case of continuous outflow of existing funds, and this despair may erupt collectively next week.

But the possibility of an outbreak is not too big! (The beautiful vision of the eldest son of the Li family, but to avoid this situation.) More on that later! ）

When someone mentions that the big blue chips want to suck the chips, and the big blue chips like PetroChina have to cover them to the death, dear, please don't forget to spit on him!

Getting back to business, this week's stock review.

In addition, this week's ChiNext index rose 3.0% and refreshed a record high and climbed to 1809 points, the trend of the small and medium-sized board and the ChiNext board is much stronger than the Shanghai Composite Index, which is a significant feature of this week, in line with our expectations!

The key reflection of the finger is that in the early hours of Thursday morning, after learning the news of the RRR cut, it is recommended that everyone open the early market and ship decisively, and then return to the trading strategy after the fall.

There are many book friends in the group of immortals! This is a place where I deserve my praise.

But the subsequent continuous decline still exceeded the expectations of the Li family. I must admit that although the book lovers successfully threw a lot of chips high in Thursday morning, the recovering of the afternoon lows was still a bit early in the overall situation!

The lessons are worthy of my personal reflection!

The article hangs on it, look at the table of contents page. Shame on the brothers! Even if every 10,000 words accumulated in the stock review will be summarized into one article, but the original text has never changed a word!

Let's go back and analyze the technical side:

This week, the weekly K-line of the Shanghai Composite Index closed out of the yin with a long upper shadow. It shows that the upper gear selling pressure is very heavy!

Most of the weekly technical indicators continue to run downwards! It shows that the medium-term adjustment trend of the market will continue, and there will be a certain amount of time and space for adjustment in the future.

On the daily K-line, the short-term moving average turned around and formed a bearish arrangement after the high death fork, which also formed a greater suppression of the short-term rebound of the market.

Technology is always at the service of high-level policy. If you analyze the technical side in detail, it is not difficult to find a problem.

On the news side, the market will usher in two blockbuster events:

The first is that a new round of new shares will be subscribed early next week.

Second, stock options were officially listed on Monday.

Two major events. Whether A-shares are bad or good is actually all about how to interpret it.

At present, judging from the performance of each new share subscription market, the market does not change the overall trend because of the freezing of new funds! And the listing of stock options can be said to be significantly short. On Friday, I also explained how to participate in stock options in the stock fairy group.

With such harsh conditions, rich is the local tyrant of human nature who can't enter!

And at this point where the market is running, I don't think the main force dares to short! After all, everyone has long-term allocation funds in their hands. To put it mildly, they are still shipping at a high level. Smashing at this time? Crazy?

Moreover, the market is currently breaking down. However, after the central bank cut the reserve requirement, it ushered in the market digging market, which is not because the main funds ignore the good, but because of the two major events next week!

The management had to take a position to suppress the situation in order to prevent a more violent decline in the stock index next week. Therefore, this week's decline is to stabilize the stock index. There is a high probability that two bearish patterns will come out.

From another point of view, after the stock index fell, many stocks in the market ushered in the gold increase point, and the rebound that is not destined to be too high will follow.

To sum up, it seems to echo the Wednesday and Thursday position increase strategy mentioned by Sister Shangguan Hao in our group before......

Since there are always two sides to everything, in other words, this decline is a double-edged sword.

Where are the market opportunities after the change of major players? This seems to be what we should be most concerned about.

Also, before the holiday fell through, to the post-holiday "two sessions market" reserved space, before the stock commentary repeatedly emphasized that the first quarter of the Shanghai Composite Index on the pressure level of 3478 points, if the pre-holiday passed 3478 points, then the "two sessions market" that has never been aborted will cease to exist this year!

However, the "two sessions" are basically every year. In that sense, it's a good thing to fall through now!

To sum up: exclude the impact of sudden positive and negative news over the weekend! As long as there is no desperate killing sentiment of retail investors in the intraday. Then next week around Wednesday there will be an upward trend!

But I have repeatedly said that there is limited space for the attack, and it is also reasonable. After all, there are still seven trading days before the Spring Festival. Historically, the trading volume before the Spring Festival has gradually shrunk!

No quantity? What about height? So even if it rebounds, the position should not be too heavy. And you have to make money and be willing to sell!

Operation: The first key point is to continue to control your position. Even if the market falls willfully, the 60-day moving average is a strong support. But it is not advisable to grab a rally here. Chip control from 4 to 70% is crucial!

The wave of shareholders who were full of positions fell. It must be unusually sour!

What the stock fairy book friends suggest is to wait for the bottom platform to be consolidated, and use a reserve army in the middle of the week on the premise of holding about half a position!

Repeatedly, please remember: tamp the bottom, it's time to enter the venue. Don't say you're out of bullets, you're still in a full position!

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