readx;

"Have you seen the news lately?" Li Tingxuan chose the meeting place on the beach, and deliberately changed into a set of construction workers' work clothes, so that Liu Wei had to wear that blue-gray clothes. Pen % fun % Pavilion www.biquge.info

"I watch it every day." Liu Wei took out two cigars.

"So, you're having a pretty good time." Li Tingxuan smiled, took the cigar handed by Liu Wei, and said, "What do you think about what has happened recently?" ”

"The Yankees are in a mess."

When lighting the cigar, Li Tingxuan glanced at Liu Wei and said, "Although you are right, don't underestimate the Yankees." ”

"Anyway, the Yankees aren't as powerful as they seem."

Li Tingxuan smiled and said: "A big reason why you can succeed is that the United States has been focusing on foreign counter-terrorism battlefields over the years, and since the outbreak of the war in Afghanistan, the United States has never suffered a large-scale terrorist attack at home, so its vigilance has been relaxed. ”

Liu Wei also smiled and did not argue with Li Tingxuan.

"There is no doubt that the United States is preparing for the next war."

"The action is very big, and I am afraid that there will be no results for a while."

"In your opinion, should this war be fought, or should it not be fought?"

Liu Wei hesitated for a moment and said: "It must be fought, the Yankees are desperate to jump into the fire pit, and it's very good that we didn't push it in the back." ”

"You're saying that the United States can't win the next war?"

"Whether it's against North Korea or Iran, it's hard for the U.S. to achieve its war goals in a few months, as it did with Iraq." Liu Wei took two puffs of cigarette and said, "As long as the war drags on, the U.S. military will suffer heavy casualties." Even if the ability of Americans to sustain war casualties is not taken into account, the ability of the American authorities to sustain the war must be considered. I am afraid that in less than half a year, the US economy will suffer the worst recession since the Great Depression. Without money, no matter who lives in the White House, it is impossible to fight a decent war. ”

"Have you ever thought that war is an effective means of solving problems?"

"Lao Li, I don't understand economics, but I think that the current world situation is completely different from before the Second World War, and it is impossible to solve different problems in the same way."

"What's the difference?"

Liu Wei thought for a moment and said: "This financial crisis, in essence, is that the United States has spent too much military spending in the war on terror in order to maintain world hegemony. In order to reduce the burden of political axes, or to make other countries pay for a war in which only the United States played the leading role, America's financial geniuses came up with a lot of tricks, which led to the subprime mortgage crisis, which further triggered the global financial crisis. ”

Li Tingxuan nodded and asked Liu Wei to continue.

"The nature of the crisis is clear, the United States owes too much debt. If we want to end the financial crisis, we can only find ways to close the loopholes. Whether it's the war on terror or the next war, it's about widening loopholes, not plugging them. In the first few years of Norris's administration, he did a lot of work and put a lot of effort into economic issues. It's a pity that he is just one person and simply cannot confront huge interest groups. If his policy is followed, the arms dealers, financial companies, and manufacturing industries in the United States will all suffer the worst recession since the war. As a result, in the last few years of his administration, especially in the second term, the US federal government not only did not try to cut back on spending, but instead borrowed heavily and used new debt to pay off old debt. ”

"The hole is getting bigger and bigger."

Liu Wei nodded and said: "By now, the debt burden of the United States has far exceeded its ability to repay, and if it were not for the supporting role played by the dollar, the United States would have gone bankrupt long ago." What happened in Manhattan has fundamentally shaken the dominance of the dollar in international finance. During this time, the price of gold has risen more than ten times, and it has not yet reached the end. The prices of commodities such as oil and grain are also skyrocketing, and it is difficult to fall in the short term. I am afraid that within half a year, the financial turmoil caused by the loss of the dollar's ability to maintain its value will turn into an economic crisis. At that time, no country will be willing to hold US dollars, let alone US Treasury bonds. When a large amount of dollars flows back, the US economy will be devastated. Even with my ability to understand the economy, I can see that this economic crisis is definitely worse than the one in '29. ”

"So America needs a war."

"The problem is that when the Great Depression broke out in 29, the U.S. federal government had no debt burden and was very creditworthy, and the fundamental problem in the United States was not that the federal government axe lacked money, but that there was a lack of liquidity in the market, so the economic crisis could be effectively alleviated by issuing Treasury bonds and injecting money into the market through large-scale civil engineering projects. The ensuing outbreak of the world war provided a driving force for the development of the manufacturing industry in the United States. The situation is now quite the opposite, and it is not the market that is short of money, but the federal axe. Under U.S. law, the federal government does not have the power to expropriate personal property, and therefore it is impossible to appropriate private assets for themselves. The continued issuance of banknotes will only increase the liquidity of the market and allow the dollar to continue to depreciate, thus diluting the wealth of the people. Without the issuance of banknotes, the US federal axe would not have been able to obtain the funds needed to wage war. ”

"So, have you considered the root cause behind this syndrome?"

"What is the root cause?"

"There are a large number of floating surnames in the market, but the people lack purchasing power, and a large number of small and medium-sized enterprises lack development funds, where does that money go?"

"This ......"

Li Tingxuan smiled and said: "Obviously, most of the money flowing into the market is concentrated in the hands of interest groups, especially those who control the state's financial enterprises. ”

Liu Wei nodded, not refuting Li Tingxuan's point of view.

"As you know, the Federal Reserve Bank is privately owned and has nothing to do with the federal government." Li Tingxuan paused slightly, and then said, "If it weren't for the Manhattan incident, the financial crisis would have continued, perhaps for many years, because the major conglomerates in the United States need to plunder the wealth of other countries through this crisis, complete the redistribution of wealth, and finally fill the loopholes you said." The attack on Manhattan changed the course of history. As the dollar loses its value, a large amount of dollars will be forced back to the United States, which will not only deal a fatal blow to the US federal political axe, but also affect the big American conglomerates, and their efforts will be in vain. ”

"So, they're not going to allow that to happen."

"Unfortunately, subjective will cannot change objective facts. As long as the United States abides by the rules of the game it has set, American conglomerates will not be able to stop the return of dollars. As things stand, the United States will not break the rules of the game, because the consequences of doing so are much more serious. ”

"Since you can't change it, what else can you do?"

"Do you think it is the US federal political axe that dominates the world, or the US consortium that controls the world economy?"

"This ......"

Li Tingxuan smiled and said: "This is obviously not a problem, because everyone knows that the American elite group represented by the Skull Party controls the federal political axe, and all these people can be called elites, precisely because they control the American consortium, so in the final analysis, it is the American consortium that controls the world economy, not the federal political axe." ”

Liu Wei nodded, indicating that he understood what Li Tingxuan meant.

"To get to this point, for those so-called elites, a choice must be made between individual interests and collective interests. The fact that American conglomerates were able to make a fortune by plundering other countries is inseparable from the strong comprehensive power of the United States. In other words, without the backing of a strong country, let alone making profits, it is very difficult to even survive. Li Tingxuan let out a long breath and said, "The Americans have done a better job than us on this issue." As the saying goes, if the skin does not exist, the hair will be attached. For the sake of national interests and for the sake of future survival and development, the major US conglomerates must sacrifice their personal interests. ”

"Will they do it?"

"Definitely, and it's already happening."

Liu Wei's brows jumped a few times, waiting for Li Tingxuan to continue.

"The U.S. Congress will soon pass a bill to raise the national debt ceiling, and then the U.S. Federal Axe will go on a borrowing spree. Although countries like us, which hold a lot of dollar assets, will not continue to buy US Treasury bonds, the US consortium led by financial groups will certainly actively follow suit. To put it simply, the major consortia in the United States lend money to the federal axe, and let the federal axe buy arms, weapons and equipment, and so on. ”

"It's equivalent to returning the money to the major consortia, and at the same time making the U.S. federal political axe a lot of debt."

"It's still a small matter, the key is whether the United States can win the next war." Li Tingxuan smiled and said, "As long as the next war is won, the hegemony of the United States will not be shaken, and at least in the following decades, it will still have strength far beyond other countries." During this period, the United States will gradually withdraw from some minor regions, giving the national economy a chance to recuperate. With just one or two presidents who are trying to govern themselves, or a decade to twenty years of respite, the United States can weather this difficult time. ”

"You mean, the American consortium is betting all its bets on the next war?"

"Do they have any other choice? If the U.S. swallows its breath, the dollar will be the first thing to do, and then the U.S. economy will collapse across the board, with unemployment rising rapidly and social unrest. At this point, the United States still has to find ways to transfer its internal contradictions to the outside world, and war is also inevitable. Rather than taking action when you are terminally ill, it is better to start a war and gain respite when you still have the most powerful military in the world and the people's vengeful mood has not yet waned. ”

"In this way, the United States is determined to win."

"Whether we win the war or not depends on who the opponent the United States chooses."

"Are you saying that the United States will choose Iran and let North Korea go?"

Li Tingxuan nodded and said: "Although Iran's comprehensive national strength is stronger than that of North Korea, and it is much more than North Korea in terms of land area and population, Iran is relatively isolated, and neither we nor Russia will turn their faces against the United States for Iran, at most make small moves." As long as the United States has won the war as its number one goal, it will choose Iran instead of staring at North Korea. ”

"That's not a bad thing for us."

"It's not necessarily a good thing."

Liu Wei smiled, he had already heard the meaning of Li Tingxuan's words.

(To be continued)