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When the others went out and only Liu Wei, Rogers, Gates and Rice were left in the room, Rice raised a more important topic, that is, what kind of impact the changes would have on neighboring countries, especially some countries with which relations were very tense. Pen, fun, pavilion www. biquge。 info

This topic is very sensitive, Liu Wei didn't want to participate, but just stayed, so he had to express some opinions.

"In general, in addition to Russia, there are three other countries that are very worried about the future of the company." Liu Wei's wording was very cautious, and he was afraid that he would slip out. "One is North Korea, the second is South Korea, and the third is the mainland. Due to historical reasons, the relationship between these three countries and the Zoben is very delicate. The DPRK and the ROK are said to be too weak to have much say in the country, while the latter is an ally of the United States, and as long as the United States gives more support and help on security issues, it will not overreact to the changes that have taken place in Japan for the time being. ”

"You mean, the mainland is going to be a problem?"

"The trouble is the book, not the mainland." Liu Wei smiled and said, "In the past few decades, the mainland has always pursued the development policy of putting the economy first, and has not played the role that a big country should play on many issues. In order to ensure economic development, the mainland has even sacrificed some national interests. In the short term, there will not be much change in the mainland's development policy, because after all, more than 1 billion people need to live a good life, so they must put economic construction in the first place. In this regard, Ms. Rice and Mr. Gates should be very clear that as long as there is a stable and peaceful external environment, the mainland is not a threat. ”

Rice smiled, and Gates also smiled, seemingly agreeing with Liu Wei's point of view.

"Under the control of the United States, the threat posed to the mainland by the United States is very limited. As the mainland no longer moves forward under the command of the United States, the mainland will inevitably feel the immediate threat and will make major adjustments in its national strategy and foreign policy. Liu Wei paused slightly and said, "This point has been reflected in the mainland's national defense policy in recent years. As the Chinese language gradually moves toward military literacy, the mainland is strengthening its armaments. Because there are problems left over from history, it is impossible for the mainland to turn a blind eye to the changes in the text. ”

"If, as you said, the mainland embarks on the road of militarism, how will the mainland respond?"

"I don't know if Ben will embark on the road of militarism, and I don't want to know. I only know one thing, if compromise does not bring the security it needs, then the mainland will have no choice. Liu Wei turned his gaze to Gates and said, "In our Eastern culture, 'harmony is precious' is the mainstream thought. Whether it is to maintain national stability or obtain a peaceful external environment, only under the premise of peace can the country develop and society progress. In a sense, many of the policies pursued by the mainland are aimed at creating peace, not destroying it. Because of ideological and cultural differences, many Westerners are unable to understand the mainland's practices, but instead think that the mainland is a country without edges and corners. Also influenced by culture, when expressing national concepts and interests, Eastern countries are often more subtle and not too direct. If you misunderstand this implicit expression, it will inevitably lead to misunderstandings. ”

"What do you mean......"

"Although I don't know much about the mainland authorities, judging from the mainland's development over the past few years, especially its armament buildup, I have already expressed a strong sense of unease."

"Uneasy?"

Liu Wei smiled and said: "If this sentiment is not controlled, but is stimulated even more, then the mainland will regard some of the actions or inactions of other countries as a real threat to its own interests, and thus make adjustments to its basic policies." ”

"What kind of adjustments?"

"What would you do if you found that the existing international order was no longer able to protect your interests and threatened you?"

Gates' brows jumped a few times and said, "You mean, the mainland will go to the other extreme?" ”

"It is not extreme, but the mainland will have to defend its national interests with its own means, instead of continuing to maneuver with its opponents in the rules of the game set by Western countries."

"By what means?" Rice asked.

"It's very simple, if you encounter a bad wolf, you have to use a stick." Liu Wei smiled and said, "According to my understanding, the mainland's defense spending is already the second in the world, and the growth rate is the first in the world. Before the outbreak of the conflict over the four northern islands, there had been friction between the mainland and Yueben in the East China Sea, but the initiative was in the hands of Yueben, and the mainland did not have a large enough grasp of it, so in the end it did not lead to a military conflict. ”

"The problem is that this does not mean that the mainland and Yuben can live in peace."

"Completely correct, it is absolutely impossible for these two countries to live in peace, especially after the two countries are armed, and the mainland will not let history repeat itself." Liu Wei paused slightly, and then said, "The current situation is obvious, no matter what the outcome of this conflict is, it will strengthen its armaments, and it is even possible to embark on the road of militarism." Under these circumstances, the mainland has no choice but to strive to build a stronger army to protect its vital interests. ”

"If this is still not enough to protect its own interests, what will the mainland do?"

"It depends on what favorable conditions the international community can provide to the mainland." Liu Wei glanced at Rice and said, "If the international community can restrain Yueben, at least in the short term, so that Yueben cannot pose a threat to neighboring countries, and has no ability to change the balance of power in the region and allow the mainland to gain more time for development, then the mainland will not make any moves for the time being, at least not to provoke conflict first." ”

"If ......"

"If the international community has no way to restrain the country, and if the country that has embarked on the road of militarism poses a serious threat to the peace of neighboring countries and even the region, then the mainland will certainly be quickly armed. It's just that, relying only on military struggle, the mainland can only get war, but not the peace it wants. ”

"You're saying that what the mainland needs is peace?"

"I have already said that in Eastern thought, everything is about 'harmony is precious', only peace can bring prosperity and prosperity, and only peace can make a country and a nation continue to develop."

"If that's the case, what will the mainland do?"

"If we really want to get to this point, the mainland will face a very difficult choice."

"What choice?"

"As I have already mentioned, the current international order, or the rules of the game between nations, were set by the West, and the rules of the game were set before the United States became strong. As a post-country, the mainland can only abide by the rules of the game and make as many benefits as the rules allow. If the rules are broken in the first place and pose a threat to the interests of the mainland, and the Western countries do nothing, the only choice for the mainland is to stop abiding by the rules of the game or create a new one. ”

Rice and Gates both frowned, hearing the deep meaning of Liu Wei's words.

"In fact, it was a very difficult decision. Leaving aside for the time being whether the current rules of the game can be maintained, just from the point of view of establishing new rules of the game, the mainland does not have this strength. Liu Wei glanced at the two of them and said, "The maker of the rules of the game must have the strength to dominate the world." In recent history, there is only one country that has such a foundation, and it is not the United States. It can be said that the current set of rules of the game was established during the British Empire. It cannot be denied that in the short term, the mainland still does not have the strength to dominate the world, and even in the future, the mainland will not be able to obtain this strength. It must also be admitted that if the mainland embarks on the road of strong armament warfare, the impact will certainly be far greater than that of the previous ones. Imagine what the consequences would be if the mainland's policymakers believed that the current rules of the game could no longer protect national interests and had to fight against the Western-dominated world order without a foundation. ”

Rice glanced at Gates and said to Liu Wei: "According to your meaning, the mainland will become the second Germany?" ”

"This possibility is not big, after all, the mainland has abundant resources and can obtain the necessary resources for survival. Culturally, the mainland also has no tradition of foreign expansion. I would like to say that when it comes to defending national interests, the continent is the same as other countries, and the same as the United States. Liu Wei smiled and said, "The most important thing to consider is not what the mainland will do, but what will affect the United States and what countermeasures it will take when the mainland is forced to engage in an arms race with the mainland and the pattern of the Western Pacific is completely disrupted." ”

"If something like this happens, the situation will quickly get out of control."

"So we have to find a way to stop this from happening, and if we can't stop it, we have to delay as much as possible, or try to reduce the scope of impact."

"What do you mean......" Gates glanced at Liu Wei.

"As I said earlier, if the book cannot be controlled, it can only be used to make the future book develop in a direction that is beneficial to the United States as much as possible."

Gates smiled and said, "Mr. Liu, I want to know, as a Hong Kong person, or as a Chinese, how do you think you should use this book?" ”

"Mr. Gates, first of all, I have to emphasize that I am a knight of the British Empire and an honorary citizen of the United Kingdom. Although I am Chinese, there are many ways to protect the interests of the nation. In the long run, cooperating with the United States to jointly safeguard world peace is the best choice to realize the interests of the Chinese people. ”

"The problem is that this will inevitably put the mainland in a more dangerous situation."

"There are great opportunities for every danger. If a regime cannot cope with external challenges, there is no need for it to survive. Liu Wei smiled and said, "Besides, if I were the leader of the mainland, I would also put the immediate threat in the first place." Instead of facing two opponents, it is better to deal with one opponent first. If competition between the mainland and the United States is inevitable, then before that, it is necessary to sort out the relationship. The same is true for the United States, except that the best option for the United States is to push the book to the front. ”

Gates nodded slightly, not saying anything more.

Rice didn't ask any new questions, because Liu Wei had made it clear enough.

(To be continued)