Chapter 121: Ye Tianyi's analysis
Obviously, Germany had no money at this time, after all, its own country had just experienced a turmoil! Therefore, Germany at this time did not have much money to rebuild East Germany!
But the lack of money to rebuild the GDR means that Germany will not rebuild the GDR? This is obviously impossible!
As a result, Germany will pay more attention to its own economic problems and will have less time to help other European countries through economic difficulties, which will have far-reaching consequences for the economies and currencies of other European countries.
You must know that the Maastricht Treaty was signed on February 7, 1992. As a result of this treaty, some European currencies such as the British pound and the Italian lira are obviously overvalued, and the central banks of these countries will face tremendous pressure to cut interest rates or depreciate their values.
This is obviously impossible, although Germany has just gone through turmoil, but after all, his German foundation is there!
Therefore, when the "chain" is loosened, countries will definitely ask Germany to lower interest rates, but can Germany lower them? This is impossible, because Germany is going to rebuild East Germany, so it is absolutely impossible to lower interest rates!
That is, the current mark has only the potential for appreciation, but there is no danger of depreciation, because Germany will not allow him to depreciate! Because as soon as the mark is devalued, Germany will be under great pressure and disaster!
Therefore, the German mark is determined to appreciate in value!
After Ye Tianyi's explanation, Chen De also somewhat understood what Ye Tianyi said! But at this time, Chen De was speechless in surprise, is this still something that a child who looks to be about ten years old analyzes? This analysis is too close!
"And you know what it means for the mark to appreciate?" Ye Tianyi sat on the edge of the bed and asked with a smile, at this time Lu Ya and Qin Wu also surrounded him, although Qin Wu couldn't understand it, but Qin Wu wanted to listen, because Qin Wu admired those smart people very much.
"As soon as the mark appreciates, then the pound must also keep up with the pace of the mark's appreciation, but at this time the UK is still at a low ebb of the economy, and the UK at this time simply cannot afford such a large exchange rate...... Don't ......" Chen De thought of something, but suddenly said: "The pound will not depreciate......"
"Huh." Ye Tianyi chuckled and said, "Are you saying that Germany will help it?" ”
"Hmm!" Chen De nodded.
Suddenly, Ye Tianyi laughed louder: "You are wrong, Germany will definitely not help Britain, let alone other countries!" Because Germany will never sacrifice its own national interests to help other countries! And more importantly, if the rest of the countries can't stabilize their exchange rates, then the biggest winner of this financial war is Germany! ”
Chen De was silent, at this time, the firm belief in his heart that the pound would not depreciate had been gradually loosened by Ye Tianyi's fluctuations!
You must know that the pound has been the world's main currency for 200 years, and the original pound sterling adopted the gold standard and was pegged to gold, and the pound occupied an extremely important position in the world's financial market. It was only the First World War and the stock market crash of 1929 that forced the British political axe to abandon the gold standard and adopt a floating system.
"But there's the Bank of England." Chen De couldn't help but argue.
Yes, the Bank of England, as an important institution to ensure market stability in the United Kingdom, is a strong pillar of the British financial system, with extremely rich market experience and strong strength, no one has dared to oppose this country's financial system, or even dare to think about it.
Without Germany's help, could Britain not help itself?
Ye Tianyi smiled indifferently and said, "Do you think that only our family will make money here at that time?" I'm sure that no one among the big financial investors will be willing to give up this opportunity, and the money that the Bank of England can come up with to bail out will only be a drop in the bucket! Ye Tianyi added another sentence in his heart, not to mention that there is a big head like Soros taking the lead!
Ye Tianyi's face was serious, staring at Chen Dedao: "Remember, this is the United Kingdom in 1992, not the United Kingdom two hundred years ago!" ”
Chen De was silent, he knew that what Ye Tianyi said was extremely reasonable! At this time, Chen De was already excited, defeating the towering giant tree of the Bank of England, this is something that others can't imagine in their lives!
Seeing that Chen De's face slowly showed an excited smile, Ye Tianyi knew that Chen De had already begun to accept the news that the pound was going to depreciate!
Breathe a sigh of relief, now that Chen De's heart has been awakened, then the next thing should be easier!
"Well, I'll let you do this financial war, I'll only be there to assist, or provide important information that I analyzed! Although our principal is very small, I hope that we will share a big cake from the profits of this war, and we have no confidence! Ye Tianyi stood up and said.
"Yes!" Chen De's face was flushed with excitement, what he had done at this time was an earth-shattering move!
Seeing Chen De's flushed face, Ye Tianyi's mood became extremely good: "Well, that's good, it's up to you how to do it!" I don't ask about the pass, I just need the result, the amount of money earned! And this result must be big, unimaginably big! I hope you can do it, as long as you do it, I will give you the life you want, gallop in the financial world, and let all women who love money bow at your feet! Including that Li Meng! ”
"Li Meng!" Chen De thought secretly in his heart, and his heart was suddenly full of firmness: "Don't worry, I will definitely use the least amount of money to earn the maximum profit!" ”
"Well, remember your words today! Go back and write me a plan now, I hope you're not a big talker! Ye Tianyi smiled indifferently, from now on, it is time for him to take off!
"Look at my performance!" Although Chen De usually doesn't take things seriously, once he comes into contact with finance, his whole thinking brain cells will immediately grow geometrically!
Chen De and Qin Wu left, and the two of them lived in a suite, right next door!
Seeing Chen De and Qin Wu leaving, the corners of Ye Tianyi's mouth slowly curled up while lying on the bed: "Chen De, I hope you don't let me down!" ”
"Sister Lu Ya, rest early! It's time for me to go to bed too! Ye Tianyi said to Lu Ya, who was still reading a book on the side.
Lu Ya sat on another bed and looked at a financial book, at this time, she was already stimulated by Ye Tianyi's analysis just now!
Because Lu Ya at this time can't play any role at all, but Lu Ya doesn't want this!
"Well, I'll take another look." Lu Ya replied casually.
Ye Tianyi smiled bitterly, it seems that this Lu Ya was overstimulated, and there are some things that can't be learned from books! That was to be experienced personally, but seeing Lu Ya so serious, Ye Tianyi was still a little unbearable: "Sister Lu Ya, don't look at it, it's so late now!" Reading like this is not good for your eyes, you have to believe in yourself, you are very smart, so ah, these things should come slowly, in a hurry. ”
ps: It seems that I have made a lot of efforts to read the information about Soros's sniping of the pound at that time in the past few days, and by the way, sort out the ideas and plots! Hey, I'm so tired!
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