Chapter 466: The Current Situation in the Soviet Union!
Lin Yu decided to remind Gorbachev euphemistically, and he said: "I am full of confidence in the reform and development of the Soviet Union under your leadership. However, the laws of modern economy are very complex, and whether simple planning and guidance can meet the needs of the market still needs to be seriously considered, and you can appropriately open up a part of the market and let the market play a certain role in the allocation of resources.
Oh yes, I'm somewhat interested in the reforms you are talking about, and if I can, I would like to invest in some projects in your country. ”[http://.net.
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Gorbachev nodded and said: "We will consider this, but the characteristic of socialism is a planned economy, and this subject must not be shaken." As for the investment you are talking about, I personally welcome it. ”
"Your country is not weak in light industry and agriculture at present, so my initial idea is to buy a batch of food and daily necessities and vegetables from outside and sell them beyond your country. I hope to alleviate the crisis in your country in this regard. ”
"Oh?" Gorbachev's eyes lit up, he thought for a second, and immediately stated: "Lin, if you can really do this, then we will be close allies in all-round cooperation, and the Soviet Union will give you the greatest support." ”
"Hehe, if I can, I want to order more than 10 billion dollars of arms from the Soviet Union every year, and these arms may include the most advanced equipment of the Soviet Union, I don't know what you think?" Lin Yu said with a smile.
Gorbachev thought for a moment before he said: "What you said is too important for me to decide on my own." However, if the arms you buy do not involve our most advanced technology and weapons, I can still agree to it. ”
"I buy 10 billion dollars of arms from the Soviet Union every year, and then sell more than 3 billion dollars of food and household goods to the Soviet Union every year. And I guarantee that my initial investment in the Soviet Union will exceed $10 billion, and as for future investments, this will depend on the investment environment of your country. Lin Yu said.
Gorbachev was a little moved when he heard this, but when he thought that the other party wanted to buy the most advanced weapons of the Soviet Union, this gave him a huge boost to economic reform. The goal he envisioned would soon be achieved: the Soviet Union would grow rapidly, keep pace with the United States, and he would be remembered in the history books as the greatest Soviet leader in history.
Lin Yu looked at Gorbachev and said slowly: "Before coming to the Soviet Union, my assumption was no problem. But when I came here, I realized that the truth was a little more complicated than I thought: productivity was too low, and the management and bureaucracy were very high. Even if I invest 100 billion US dollars at a time, it will have no impact on your country's economy, but if your country's reform can have some effect, then I promise to invest more than 100 US dollars in your country every year. ”
Without waiting for Gorbachev's reaction, he continued: "In recent years, I have been working on the acquisition of oil fields in Iraq and other regions, although the results are not very good yet, but if the Iran-Iraq war can meet my expectations, then some oil fields in Iraq and Iran will be included in my name, and then we can work with OPEC countries to raise oil prices to yuan per barrel, so that the Soviet Union's oil and gas revenues can increase by 10 billion US dollars a year." That's 10 billion dollars in money, and I think 10 billion dollars a year would go a long way toward your reform package. ”
Gorbachev was happy in his heart, the Soviet Union had been looking forward to the increase in world oil prices for a long time, and because the terrain of the Soviet Union was relatively harsh, it was not as easy to extract oil as in the Middle East. The cost of oil exploitation in the Soviet Union was relatively high, and under the previous international oil prices, the oil industry could only barely maintain itself, and it could not create much foreign exchange for the country, but Lin Yu's price increase can be said to be a long-term drought! But what is uncertain is whether what the man in front of him can say.
Lin Yu continued: "I am ready to invest 8 billion US dollars to complete the construction of the oil pipeline from Tyumen to Europe with you. I would like to be able to establish a joint venture company with the most advanced management personnel using the most modern management methods to manage and maintain this oil pipeline. Once this work is completed, the cost of oil transportation will be greatly reduced, and the ability of the Soviet Union to export oil will be greatly strengthened, which I estimate will also have at least KC billion dollars. ”
Gorbachev nodded, he believed it. At the beginning, the Soviet Union invested more than $10 billion in the construction of the Tyumen oil baby road, and the value of this pipeline has been assessed, at least to increase the country's income by more than $1 per year, which is still the income when oil prices are low, and when oil prices rise, this income may not be less than $15 billion.
Lin Yu continued: "At the same time, I hope to be able to work with the Soviet Union to develop the oil resources of the Caspian Sea and its coast, and transport this part of the oil to Indonesia, I will establish a state-of-the-art oil processing equipment in Indonesia, the introduction of the most advanced petroleum processing equipment, the price of high-grade petroleum products after processing will increase significantly, and this part of the income is estimated to be at least more than 4~6 billion US dollars." ”
"In addition, I want to develop some minerals with your country's 'government', there are many mineral resources in some parts of your country, but there is a lack of labor, lack of capital and technology, so it cannot be developed, so I plan to provide labor, capital and technology to develop some mines in remote areas of your country, which may greatly provide funds to your country's 'government'."
Gorbachev estimated at this time that Lin Yu's plan would bring more than 35 billion ~ 45 billion US dollars of investment to the Soviet Union, and it was already possible to earn 35 billion US dollars so far. Coupled with Lin Yu's plan to order more than $10 billion in arms and $3 billion in food and daily necessities and $100 million in investment from the Soviet Union, this is already more than $50 billion, and this is basically a long-term thing, Gorbachev was a little moved in his heart.
In the days of the long-term planned economy, shortages of non-staple food items seemed to have become commonplace in the Soviet Union, and even in large cities like Moscow, there were long queues for necessities. There was a negative growth in industrial production and a shortage of consumer goods. The Soviet Union had first-class scientific and technological personnel, but there was a serious disconnect between scientific and technological development and production.
The Soviet predicament was described this way: "Soviet rockets could find Halley's Comet and fly to Mars with astonishing accuracy, and its spacecraft could travel through space, but its cars lacked sufficient power, broke down frequently, and consumed prohibitively fuel; Many household appliances were outdated, and television explosions were so frequent that the Soviets joked that their own television sets should be given to the enemy..."
In the mid-to-late 70s of the 20th century, the new economic system of the USSR was swallowed up by the old one. But unlike under Stalin, the new economic system was "euthanized" by Brezhnev. While the economy is in recession, the ambition for hegemony continues to swell. In 1979, Brezhnev launched an armed invasion of Afghanistan. The war, which lasted almost 0 years, ended with the forced withdrawal of Soviet troops, and the Soviet Union paid a heavy price - more than 50,000 casualties and 45 billion rubles. It was very bad in those days. There was no food, no clothes, no daily necessities in the store, and this continued for 10 years. Despite the hardships of life, the majority of the Soviet people relied on the consciousness of a "strong Soviet Union" to support themselves, and they were immensely proud of their country's achievements in space and the military industry. Most people believe that material life is not their first need. Until one day, the strong will finally could not withstand the violent impact of various contradictions.
Lin Yu knew that Gorbachev's statement that the current per capita gNo of the Soviet Union was only 396 US dollars was a nihilism at all, and Gorbachev spoke out loud about this kind of nothingness.
In 1986, there was a joke circulating in the Soviet Union that compared the Soviet Union to a train that could not continue because the tracks had reached the end of its tracks, and each leader handled the crisis in his own way: Stalin ordered the driver and conductor to be shot, Khrushchev made them ordinary, Brezhnev pulled the curtains on the ice and ordered the train to be rocked left and right, creating the illusion that the train was running, and Gorbachev opened the curtains, leaned out of the window and shouted: "There are no more rails ahead, there are no more rails ahead!" ”
Although the Soviet Union claimed to be the "most developed socialist country", the supply of major consumer goods was chronically insufficient. After more than 70 years of construction, in 1985 the per capita GNO of the Soviet Union was 3,396 US dollars, which not only lagged behind the developed countries of the West, but also lagged behind some countries in Asia and Latin America. The per capita income of the Soviet Union was about one-third of that of Western countries, but due to the Soviet Union's policy of controlling consumption and high accumulation, the living standards of the Soviets were even more different from those of the West. Moreover, the chronic shortage and undersupply of major consumer goods, which often required the supply of tickets, concealed the danger of inflation, and the people's living standards fell from the fifth place in Europe before the revolution to the eighty-eighth place in the world in the eighties. In 1985, the per capita housing area was only 5 square meters, which was the highest in Western countries; The number of cars per 100 households is 14, which is only 17 in Western countries.
Soviet agriculture was backward and inefficient for a long time. Although the Soviet Union spent 27 percent of its state-invested labor force on agriculture, compared with the United States, the productivity of agricultural labor in the Soviet Union was only one-seventh that of the United States. In the early 80s, there were as many as 3 million people in the Soviet Union's agricultural management organs alone, which exceeded the entire agricultural population of the United States, but the Soviet Union's agriculture failed year after year, and it was forced to spend foreign exchange, which was already a scarce resource, to import grain, spending more than $7 billion a year, and the economy was stretched. At the same time, the scrapping rate of agricultural tractors in the USSR amounted to 12% per year, three times that of the United States; A large number of crops are lost because they cannot be harvested in time, and even if they are harvested, 20% of the grain and potatoes are spoiled every year due to poor storage, and they are inedible; [4] In 1980, half of the country's collective farms and state farms were not profitable.
If such a USSR is not extinguished, then Gorbachev is a god...