Chapter 480: A Developing Problem!
The old man led the way slightly and said, "That's right, it's to keep a clear head." We now have some comrades, that is, blindly worship the foreign, the moon is a foreign round, not like words" then frowned, Shen yín for a moment before saying: "As for the introduction of technology you said, we develop it ourselves, I think this is feasible, if there is anything you need to know, you can talk to Xiaoyu, in terms of economy, he can be said to be an expert among experts, I believe he will give you some good advice." ”
Hearing this, the "Lord" and the "President" both laughed on their faces, what they were waiting for was the old man's words, Lin Yu's understanding of the economy is absolutely world-class, otherwise how could there be such a force as now.
Seeing the smiles of the "Lord" and the "President", the old man was stunned for a moment, and then laughed: "You, even my old man has a nose. ”
"What the old man said is that Xiao Yu is definitely an expert among experts in terms of economy, and we still need to consult Xiao Yu on some things." The general manager said with a smile.
"1 Xiaoyu is absolutely convincing in terms of economy, Xiaoyu, what do you think of our current economic development?" One of the crowd said with a smile.
Lin Yu turned his head and looked, this person Lin Yu is no stranger, he is now the deputy general manager, if possible, it is very likely to become the general manager after the change, but I don't know how many terms I can do.
"Uncle Zhu has won the award, I only have some research in some aspects, and I haven't graduated from college yet, so it's better that I still don't participate in national affairs." Lin Yu said with a smile.
"You are too modest, saying that your judgment and experience of Jingji are definitely ahead of your time, and you have been abroad for a long time, and you are also very familiar with some foreign economic models, so you can say at will, whether it is right or wrong, believing will give us some enlightenment. But I don't think it's better for you to mention the college graduation you said, if you continue like this, you won't be able to graduate for another ten years. The Lord said with a smile.
Lin Yu smiled, and didn't care, he really hadn't been to school as the Lord said.
"Our country's economic development can be said to be generally good, the vision of the godfather is absolutely ahead, the general direction is set, the rest is some branches, as long as the general direction is good, even if there are some mistakes can be corrected in time, and the other step is a little smaller, accumulate experience, after all, we are a socialist country, and the economic model of the Soviet Union is not suitable for us, so we can only take our Chinese special socialism."
"If you look at the map of the world's economic history, you will find that the modern industries of the economic powers all originated on the coast, but the economies of the successful powers soon turned to the industrial-intensive areas of the interior, at least in the economic history of the United States. The American economy developed along this path, while France, Spain, the Netherlands, and the Hanseatic League weakened on the opposite path. Before the Civil War,1 the productive forces and markets of the United States were mainly concentrated in the Northeast, but the Americans did not indulge in the development policy of an export-oriented economy for a long time, but turned westward and followed the development path of an "inward-looking" economy.
Especially in the early part of the century, new technologies in the transportation and communications industries drove economic growth in the United States. The United States imported capital from Britain through its financial centers on the eastern seaboard cities of New York and Bōston, which it used to establish new industries such as steelmaking and coal mining in states such as New York, Pennsylvania, and Ohio. These products are shipped inland to supply emerging cities such as Chicago and cities on the West Coast.
These new cities have developed new agricultural production areas in the heart of the United States to supply the world market. Neighboring countries, such as Canada, Mexico, and Caribbean countries, provide the United States with raw materials and certain manufactured goods to meet the needs of American industrial production. At the same time, the emergence of financial instruments ranging from corporate bonds to equity financing marked the maturity of the Wall Street capital securities market at the end of the 19th century, which provided a financial platform for industrial restructuring and corporate mergers and acquisitions in the 20th century, on which the large corporations and multinational corporations of the 20th century grew up. As a result, half a century later, the entire western region was overflowing with the national productive forces of the United States, laying the material foundation for the United States to rapidly step into a world power. At the beginning of the 20th century, when the national productive forces of the United States were sufficient to dominate the world, the banner of "cosmopolitanism" and "mén household openness" was raised. ”
"In addition, from the current economic aspect, I found that there are some problems in our country's economy, it should be said that there is too much currency issuance, and the fiscal deficit is a bit large, in this regard, I think the country should pay more attention to it, most of the economic crises in the United States and Japan are due to the fiscal deficit, this is not a problem of the system, but the problem of whether the income and expenditure of the government can be equal to each other, for example, our height and weight are the same, short height, and heavy body, then we will be fat, and too tall, If the weight is too low, it will be thin, and only if the height and weight can balance each other, can a person be healthy. ”
Hearing this, everyone here frowned, the people here can sit in the current position, basically have a more or less understanding of the economy, and have also discovered some of the situation that Lin Yu said, and now the central government also attaches great importance to this piece, but I didn't expect Lin Yu to see this directly, sure enough, Xiao Yu is an expert among experts in the economic face.
From 1982 to 1986, the country has continuously experienced overdistribution of national income, especially in 1984~
In 1986, the growth was very strong and the number was very large. The reason for this is the expansion of both accumulation and consumption, the excessive issuance of money, and the increase in the fiscal deficit. Now some comrades do not agree with this return, and they believe that this is the reason for the distribution economy, and now some people in the Central Committee are beginning to wonder whether this situation is a problem in the economy, a problem in the process of progress, or an outbreak of years of mistakes and concentrations. If it is the concentrated violence of years of mistakes, then it has to change course and cannot continue to go on.
This attitude of the responsible person of the Central Committee has hindered the in-depth analysis and serious resolution of the overdistribution of national income.
"Then Xiaoyu, what do you think should be done when this happens?" Looking at Lin Yu, the general manager asked.
"The main problems of China's economy now are concentrated on the problem of overdistribution of national income and how to solve the problem of overdistribution of national income, these two problems have been thought about by many countries, but some have succeeded, and some have failed." Lin Yu said with a smile.
Indeed, since 1986, the domestic controversy has focused on whether or not to recognize the overdistribution of national income and how to solve it.
In December 1986, the Office of the Central Leading Group for Financial and Economic Affairs drafted a report on the request for instructions from the Central Committee and the Standing Committee of the Central Committee. The report pointed out: For three consecutive years, there has been a contradiction in which aggregate social demand exceeds aggregate supply, and the problem of overdistribution of national income has not been fundamentally resolved. If we do not do so, by the second half of next year, when the fiscal deficit will further increase and the currency issuance will not be able to be controlled, there will be a more serious rise in prices, and we may therefore be forced to make greater adjustments, which will be very unfavorable to the development of the national economy, and we must strive to avoid such a situation. When the Central Leading Group for Financial and Economic Affairs was discussing the report, the responsible comrades who were in charge of the work of the Central Leading Group for Financial and Economic Affairs at that time disagreed that the distribution had been overdistributed for three consecutive years, saying that if that was the case, it would be necessary to make a major adjustment. As a result, there has been little determination to control demand.
However, Lin Yu was very disdainful of what the people in the financial group said, this is purely nonsense, the problem of overdistribution of national income is that the total demand of the people exceeds the total national income, the total demand is greater than the total supply, and the money supply is greater than the demand for money, which is just another way of saying excessive demand or inflation.
"Actually, speaking of this kind of imagination in foreign countries there is another term called inflation, when the total demand of national income exceeds the total supply, the money supply is greater than the demand for money, the currency will depreciate, just like the "wide" field agreement, the yen depreciated a lot, when it appears in this situation, there will be through inflation, to solve this situation, it is necessary to eat the stability of prices, appropriate rise is necessary, but not too much, the other is to solve the problem of food and food, with prices to stabilize the economy, In addition, it is necessary to tighten finances and credit to stabilize the economy. However, some problems may arise in the process of doing so, so we must proceed from the basic national conditions of our country, prevent one-sided pursuit of excessively high development speed, and take into account the rural areas, small and medium-sized enterprises
The feeling of the enterprise, only in this way, can we do this well. ”
However, in the process of solving the problem, the central government changed its adjustment plan, which caused more and more problems, and the government's estimation of the rural situation was too optimistic, which was unfavorable to the blind development of the construction industry, and in the process of reforming the economic system that was too unified and overly managed, it neglected comprehensive balance and strengthened macroeconomic regulation and control. It can be said that this kind of rectification is divorced from the country's national conditions, surpasses the national strength, and is too eager to achieve results, and it can be said that it is the most important lesson of the past 40 years.
Old Man Lin listened and said solemnly: "It seems that in a socialist country like ours, it is indeed difficult to learn the methods of the Western market economy. In economic activities, the central authorities should concentrate the powers that must be concentrated, proceed from the basic national conditions of our country, firmly establish the idea of sustained, stable, and coordinated development, always put the continuous improvement of economic efficiency in the first place in economic work, and resolutely prevent one-sided pursuit of excessively high development speed, and it is impossible to eat a big fat man in one bite. ”!。