Chapter 005: Mind Reading?
The essence of card counting is to get rid of the dependence of gambling on luck and use the overall science to summarize random phenomena. Shi Hu admits that card counting gives him a lot of chances to win, but as he has previously emphasized, even if you have a 60% chance of winning, in turn, you have a 40% chance of losing.
Unfortunately, on the fourth day of battle, Shi Hu frequently hit the 40%.
At the 21-point table, he was beaten by small cards several times in a row, bypassing the effective jurisdiction of card counting, and his losses once reached as much as 800,000. According to the market price in the mainland, this can buy a house. Luck is something that doesn't exist when you need it, but it kills people when you need it.
Fortunately, it is not the capital that loses, but the funds that are won.
After four days of fierce fighting, he successfully laundered 5 million into his personal account and earned an additional 1 million. But the bad luck in the afternoon made him lose most of it, and now he only has 200,000 cash yards left, and he has no interest in devoting himself to 21 points for the time being. His spirit has been too tense these days.
After finding a restaurant to eat, but there is nowhere to go, Macau is very small, either to gamble, or to go to the night club, watch a close-fitting striptease, and check **...... But it's daytime now, and capitalist entertainment is usually staged only at night. After thinking about it, I unconsciously returned to the casino.
He didn't plan to play at 21 o'clock, and his luck was not good today, not to mention that he came to 21 o'clock every time, which was easy to attract attention. He walked around the hall, tried a few slot machines, won dozens of dollars, and then moved to the table of Baccarat, bet on the banker, and shouted with a group of excited gamblers.
But this kind of game that completely leaves the victory and defeat to luck, he is not enthusiastic.
He is not a gambler, nor is he addicted to gambling, blackjack because he can control the probability, he throws himself into it. You can also play tricky poker games, such as Stud and Texas Hold'em. Going back to the VIP room, the Texas Hold'em table could not be found, but there was a stud.
Stud is similar to Texas Hold'em in that it is a game in which the dealer does not participate and players play against each other. The four players at the table were battling wits and courage, and Shi Hu put 200,000 chips on the table, ready to participate in the game. The idea came to him suddenly, but it was necessary.
Speaking from last night, he met three times in the short corridor of Lisboa, and all of them were beautiful girls with long legs, wearing miniskirts and low-neck clothes. His mind was full of blackjack and he was slow to react until the reflex arc told him the truth.
He didn't walk away, but verified what he was thinking: "Quotes? ”
The girl didn't hesitate: "500 full set." ”
As he felt, he asked again, "What about Bao Ye?" ”
“1500。”
Still the same, Shi Hu asked again: "Where are you from?" ”
"Does it make a difference?" The girl asked warily.
"Province X? (X does not represent any region)," Shi Hu guessed. She was stunned for a moment, and then said by default: "I speak without an accent, boss?" ”
Shi Hu shook his head and asked again, "No, how old are you?" ”
"Are you sick?" She frowned.
“22?” He said.
"Nerves." She shook off and turned to leave.
Shi Hu grabbed her, and the chips worth five hundred were sent to him: "Answer me, this is yours." ”
The girl had never seen such a strange thing, so she looked left and right to see if there were no spies, and accepted it with a smile: "Satisfying customers is our basic quality." It's dripping, I'm twenty-two. ”
"Think in your head but don't answer, what's your last name?" He asked.
The girl was scared, and Shi Hu said, "Surname Li? ”
"Wong Tai Sin?" She covered her mouth in surprise.
"Idiot." Shi Hu returned it as it was, turned around and left in style.
Mind reading, yes, he can increase the probability of hitting in certain situations, depending on the environment, expression, movement and breathing - so he sat down at the stud table and was ready to test his idea: can he judge his opponent's hole cards through mind reading?
Stud's rules are not difficult, five cards are bigger, one face down (covered), four cards are face-up, and you can call, raise or fold from the second card dealt. The comparison of hand sizes is: straight flush> four of a kind> three of a kind with a pair> flush > straight...... Balabala's.
If he can read his opponent's hole cards, he can almost know the winner.
"Almost" means that there is a probability that he will be swayed by luck just like 21 o'clock today.
But if you can grasp the probability, it is not a gamble in Shi Hu's eyes, but a mathematics - perhaps there is more metaphysics in the mind reading of this kind of thing.
After the end of the game, Shi Hu participated in the gambling game.
Although Shi Hu is not a master, but he also has a lot of experience, such as stud, Texas such a very competitive game, after participating in the gambling game, don't rush to start, first observe, observe the opponent, observe their play, habits, is good at camouflage, steady and steady, or bluff?
So for the first half hour, he basically played small bets, and his style was uncertain, and sometimes he folded and quit when he got a big hand. He tries not to give others his own style, and at the same time uses mind reading to guess the hole cards in their hands through the essence.
The poker masters are poker faces, and you should never try to find any clues in their expressions. But the human heart cannot be concealed - Shi Hu has a sense of psychological changes, using subtle details to guess ideas. At a higher level, this can be called "mind reading".
In fact, world-class poker masters have similar abilities. They can deduce their opponent's hole cards based on how they played, called, or raised, and the top players got them 70% or more accurate. It can be thought of as the ability to read cards brought about by practice.
It is said that the FBI also has special training in mind reading, which belongs to the special agent program.
It is difficult to understand the human brain and thoughts, and it is more of a coincidence, such as the last time Shi Hu read the heart of the gambling table and the psychology of the dealer who is eager to get off work. Relatively speaking, reading the opponent's hole cards is simpler than reading their thinking, and Shi Hu's accuracy rate is 85%.
After several tests against four opponents, Shi Hu was already able to determine the accuracy of the card reading. In the past hour of the game, two players have been emptied of their chips, and the most chips are currently an old gentleman, 500,000; The second largest also has 300,000, and Shi Hu is making a small fuss, and it is currently 200,000.
He decided to get into the groove and play seriously.
Because he got a good card, all the clubs, three cards of clubs, and the hole cards are also clubs. The old gentleman's face card is three nines, and the hole card is a jack. After the fifth card is dealt, the stone tiger is still a club, forming a flush; And the old gentleman is a 10, but he has a triumphant expression.
The old gentleman made a heavy bet, 150,000.
He is deceiving everyone in this way: he is getting a gourd (three of a kind 9 and two 10).
The tall player hesitates, he is three queens, there is no right, if the opponent is a gourd, he loses, if the opponent is not, he wins. But according to the style of the game, this guy has a very short time to think about after getting a good hand, which is obviously a good hand and not worth the risk of him.
The tall man was scared away: "Fold the card." ”
It was Shi Hu's turn. He is a flush, if the old man's card is a gourd, and the gourd > a flush, he loses; But Shi Hu read the cards and determined that the opponent was not a gourd, and the opponent was only three of a kind, and he would win himself. But when you are about to place a bet, you are not sure, what if you read it wrong?
There had been an example of misreading before, and he felt uneasy.
The old gentleman smiled mysteriously: "Guy, flush is so rare, you can get this card." ”
Obviously, the opponent knew that he was a flush.
Shi Hu counted the chips, and he had to stud (all-in) to call, and if the opponent was really a gourd, he would be emptied of the chips. Coming to Macau to fight hard for many days, although the principal was washed away, but the wins were also lost, which is really a bit worthless...... Maybe the next round can be flipped over?
"I ......" Shi Hu was about to fold, but he was suddenly stunned, and wanted to smoke his ear - is he here to gamble?
He's here to win in mathematics! What he needs to do is follow the probabilities, not the luck!
He now has an 85% win rate, so why not follow?
"I'm stud!" Shi Hu pushed out all the chips in front of him, and it was up to him to win or lose.
The old gentleman didn't follow, and threw the hole cards back to the dealer: "It didn't scare you." ”
Shi Hu glanced at the opponent's hole cards, there was no doubt that it was a J, he guessed correctly.
"It's a fluke." Shi Hu is modest, but he is very proud in his heart, he got 550,000 yuan for this card, deducted his 200,000, and made a net profit of 350,000, which is faster than 21 points.
With his mastery of card reading, he can push the probability of winning to more than 80%.
The only thing left to determine whether he wins or loses is luck.
In this game, the bad luck of playing 21 points did not recur, he relied on his accurate ability to read cards, constantly constructed traps, lured opponents, did many beautiful slaughters, and emptied the tall man after half an hour, leaving only him and the old gentleman. In another half hour, he managed to clear his opponent.
"Hou Shengzi, Lak! (Awesome) "Although the other party lost, he generously sent congratulations.
Shi Hu smiled: "I've had a lot of luck recently." ”
"Interesting." The other party smiled and walked away with his hands behind his back.
Shi Hu counted the chips and exchanged the small denominations for the big ones. With this hand, he won back the 800,000 he had lost before, and with the 200,000 in his hand, the chips exceeded 1 million again. After recovering the loss, he was in a good mood, drew two chips worth 10,000 and threw them to the dealer as a tip.
"Thank you, sir." The dealer takes the chips.
You treat people generously, and the dealer will also be friendly to you: "Chen Sheng is a frequent visitor to poker here, and he will play stud and Texas, and he treats people very well." ”
"I call it a branded product." Shi Hu sorted out the chips and snapped his fingers to beckon the waiter: "I want a glass of lemonade and ice, thank you." ”
Playing cards without drinking, Shi Hu is very self-disciplined.
Waiting for the dealer to shuffle the cards, a few gamblers around came to sit down, and the dealer was surprised: "There are a lot of people playing cards tonight, Shi Sheng, do you want to continue?" ”
"Anytime." Shi Hu glanced at the fish who came to send money, welcome.