Chapter 153: Time is running out
(Thank you for the big steamed bun tip, thank you for subscribing.) )
A leader of the National Oil Company waited until Chen Mo's words came to an end before saying: "Isn't your words a little too arbitrary, Putin is only an acting president now, and there is no evidence to prove that he can sit firmly in the position of president." In the latest polls, Zyuganov's public approval rating is higher than Putin's, and although Primakov has lower votes in the polls than Putin, he is still the most powerful contender for the presidency. ”
Chen Mo was not easy to answer this question, but Minister Zhang took his words and said: "The poll is only a kind of universal suffrage prediction in the West, and Russia obviously does not have the real democratic soil yet. The damage inflicted on the Russian people by the Russian Communist Party has not yet healed, and the participation of ordinary people in elections is far from being comparable to that of the oligarchs who manipulated the media. Neither the liberals nor the oligarchs will allow the Russian Communist Party to return to power, so the threat of the Russian Communist Party does not need to be cared for. Because everyone knows that as long as the Russian Communist Party comes to power, the first thing to do is to settle the old accounts of the past few years, and no one will bear such a result. ”
"As for Primakov, after his defeat in the race for the chairman of the Duma, he no longer poses much threat to the position of president, and according to the results of our investigation, he even intends to withdraw from the presidential election. Therefore, although Putin has many opponents, there are not many that can really pose a threat to him. ”
Which leader nodded and said, "Okay, since that's the case, I don't have any different opinions." ”
Minister Zhang nodded, and Chen Mocai said: "According to some of the main contradictions in Russia at present, we can find that the oligarchs who once stabilized the situation in the early stage of reform. Because it occupies too many social resources, it has become a tumor restricting Russia's development, and after Putin stabilizes the situation, he will definitely clean up these oligarchs. So, how can we take advantage of this opportunity to reap the greater benefits? It needs to be seriously considered. And some of the cooperation between the oligarchs who stood on the opposite side of Putin before must be replanned, otherwise, it will only be a bamboo basket for nothing. ”
Mr. Zou asked: "Are you specifically referring to the cooperation we negotiated with Yukos on the oil pipeline?" ”
Chen Mo nodded, shook his head again and said, "My words contain pessimism about this cooperation, but it is not specifically mentioned. Although the current cooperation project on oil pipelines is a representative project between China and Russia, the difficulties we are facing cannot be resolved by unilateral actions. ”
Mr. Zou nodded and said: "Although we have encountered many difficulties and setbacks at present, we have paid attention to them by the governments of both sides. The project is still progressing steadily, and I would like to know the basis for your pessimism about this project. ”
Although he didn't like Chen Mo's words, Mr. Zou, as a senior leader, was still tolerant. The tone of conversation with Chen Mo still remained gentle and polite.
Although Chen Mo knew that he had become a typical figure later, he didn't know the specific reason, and looked at him at this time. I just think that he is a very dignified and charismatic person.
"There are three reasons why I don't want to work on this project. First. Yukos boss Khodorvsky's grudge with Putin. Khodorvsky was indeed a very capable figure, and in just ten years, he went from an ordinary middle class to the richest man in Russia. However, most of his wealth was obtained in the process of turning public to private, and he could not afford to investigate deeply. In order to protect his property, he actively participated in politics, not only supporting a large number of politicians. Even I have to participate in this presidential election. All I can say is that he has been carried away by his success, and none of us here will choose his move, right?! With one hand he has a huge amount of wealth, and with the other he wants to hold the power of Russia. This is what kind of nervous talent it takes to dare to do it! There will only be one consequence of him doing this, that is, after Putin sits in a stable position, he will be the first to cut him, so your cooperation with him now seems to be going very well, but it is just a delaying tactic by the Russian government against Yukos, if we don't change the cooperation partner, I believe that this pipeline will still not be built in ten years. ”
Kang Xuedong said: "Let you analyze the facts, not let you judge, you just need to say your reasons, your judgment will only affect everyone's thinking." ”
Mr. Zheng smiled: "Xuedong, don't talk about him, I think what Chen Mo said is very good." You go on and say, we don't affect you. "Although PetroChina and PetroChina are brothers, they are also competitors after all, and Chen Mo said this about Petronas, which will only make Mr. Zheng feel happy.
Chen Mo didn't think of this, nodded and continued: "The second reason is that other oil companies are inseparable from Yukos and the interests of the Russian state-owned pipeline company and the oil tanker company. The starting point is located in Angarsk, which, although it is closer to our country, is mainly an oil producing area of the Yukos company. Although there is a pipeline from the Tyumen and Omsk fields to Angarsk, the share of other companies is too small, which causes other companies to have other ideas about this plan. The 2,400 kilometers from Angarsk to Daqing, according to the 30 million tons per year transportation design, the entire investment only needs more than a billion dollars, and the benefits are too small, which also makes the Russian Duma have little interest in this plan. ”
"As we all know, Russia implements a management model of privatization of oil fields and nationalization of pipelines, although oil production is controlled by private companies, but if you want to ship out of Russia, you must rely on state-controlled pipeline companies. If other countries want to make a fuss about this, they only need a plan to maximize the interests of the Russian Duma to veto our project. That's the third reason I'm going to talk about. ”
"Eight years ago, the United States proposed the Pacific Solution, which wanted to increase its oil reserves by buying Russian oil and injecting it into their waste wells in Alaska and California. Japan, like South Korea, has been actively seeking to develop a direct pipeline from Western Siberia to Nakhodka to increase domestic supply. Therefore, the Ontario pipeline project was affected by these countries from the very beginning, because such a design of transportation volume is only enough to meet our needs, but not to meet their needs. If we want to make this plan a reality as soon as possible, we must solve these three challenges. I'm done talking. ”
The big leader asked: "Since you have pointed out the problem, you must have some experience on how to solve it, right?" ”
Chen Mo knew that he had been in the limelight enough today, and if he made an axe in front of such a group of leaders, he would really be unscrupulous. No matter how much you have a vision, it is also based on your own knowledge of the future. As long as the other party asks himself why he is doing this, he will be blind, so he should be low-key or low-key.
He shook his head and said: "Being able to see these problems does not mean that I can solve them, everything still needs the planning of the leaders." I only hope that I can be a soldier for the leaders, and make my own contribution to the development of the oil industry according to the will of the leaders. ”
Kang Xuedong relieved himself and secretly praised Chen Mo. He left a good impression on the leaders today, and he will benefit immensely in the days to come.
Minister Zhang continued: "Hearing Chen Mo's analysis, I remembered another thing that happened recently. Yukos has enlisted a group of European investors to build a project in Murmansk with a total investment of up to $4.5 billion. But the project did not involve pipeline transport companies, which apparently caused displeasure among the latter, as well as with the Russian government. If Yukos insists on going its own way, I believe that all walks of life in Russia will not let Yukos have a good time. ”
Mr. Zou said: "I also know part of this matter, and it does cause our current project to be difficult in the review process. But I still have some questions, is the Russian government willing to cut off this matter that is beneficial to the country and the people, and is beneficial to both sides? ”
Mr. Zheng said with a smile: "Lao Zou, don't think too highly of the consciousness of some people in Russian politics, if the oil is sold sooner or later, it will have little impact on them, and even the soaring oil prices in the future will become their achievements." But for us, if we don't increase the supply when the price of oil is still above $20, and wait until the price of oil rises to $40, $50, we will have to pay a lot more than that. ”
Mr. Zou sighed: "Time is not waiting for me......"
The big leader nodded and said, "Indeed, each of us must have a sense of urgency that we don't want to wait. I read Chen Mo's young man's analysis of future oil prices and think what he said is very reasonable. It's just that he has reservations about what he said that the price of oil will rise to more than $100, and if the price of oil really rises that much, then most of us can't afford to use oil! However, if it does become a reality, it will be a great burden on our economic development. So we need to make bold assumptions, argue carefully, and strive to have a whole set of solutions before future changes. ”
Everyone nodded, and he said again: "Lao Zheng, I also heard that your CNPC has made hundreds of millions of dollars in the futures market this year, and it was inspired by Chen Mo!" From this point of view, Chen Mo, a young man, is a blessing, you have to make good use of him. (To be continued.) )