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While Abye was singing praises for the victory of this time, what was officially called the strategic decisive battle, there was inevitably a chorus of mourning in Israel. Pen & Fun & Pavilion www.biquge.info

At the high-level cabinet meeting, all the senior Israeli military and political officials were present, but the atmosphere was solemn, and the spacious round table hall was filled with smoke, reflecting the gloomy and ugly faces.

The question that haunted everyone's minds was what to do with the war after the defeat in the First World War in the South.

In this war, Israel is definitely a war in which it is pouring its national strength and gambling on its national fortunes.

It is true that in modern warfare, the standing equipment of the active forces is used for consumption in the early stage of war, and the key to victory or defeat in a war is often related to a country's strategic depth and industrial production capacity.

However, Israel's land area is too small, and its strategic depth can be ignored, and after losing the battle in the south, Abye has already driven straight into the heart of Israel.

Fortunately, before the war began, Gerald and other high-level government officials had the foresight to transfer and preserve nearly 80 percent of the country's military production lines.

This is probably the main reason why everyone present has an ugly face, but there is no despair in their eyes.

"We can still fight." Army Commander-in-Chief Bernal said in a deep voice, his deep eyes revealed determination, the defeat in the southern war, the greatest loss of the army's strength, and the elite armored forces were not one out of ten, and Bernal was also holding back a fire, wanting to save face.

There were few responders present, and the Minister of Industry rubbed his temples and said: "We have established a rear base in the Elon area, processing and working overtime for production, but due to the lack of skilled workers, there are only a dozen production lines running now, and in a short period of time, I am afraid that we will not be able to provide sufficient weapons and equipment." ”

Elon is the northernmost town in Israel, further north than the important northern city of Haifa. It was the Arab zone of Israel, which had already had a lot of ethnic problems, but fortunately, it was a small number of people, and it was also suitable for establishing a rear base.

However, since the beginning of the war, Abyeh has been looking for an important Israeli military industrial base, and Israeli radar has already monitored the presence of Abyeh reconnaissance aircraft near Haifa, and it is only a matter of time before Elon's rear base is discovered.

This is also the reason why Abyeha's armor did not dare to go out. Otherwise, the unscrupulous mecha will search everywhere, and it won't take long to find out.

The Minister of Industry meant very clearly, and listening to the tone, it seemed that there was also a bit of a broken jar, as if he was talking. If you want to continue fighting, you can, but if you want weapons and equipment, no, it's not my dereliction of duty, it's really limited by reality, and production and supply can't be met.

these cases. Although the high-level officials present did not see the complete report, they also knew it in their hearts, and they also knew very well that the losses in the first battle in the south were too heavy, and the armored forces were almost wiped out.

And what about the fighter group, from the very beginning of the war, the Israeli Air Force was at a disadvantage and suffered huge losses. At present, there are probably less than 300 fighter planes that can still be put into combat throughout the country.

Once the equipment is exhausted, what is left, only people remain, and in the face of Abyeji's steel torrent, flesh and blood are undoubtedly too fragile.

Gerald, who was sitting at the top of the table, looked up, his face was extremely pale. I haven't slept well for many days, with huge dark circles under my eyes, but my eyes are still sharp, and tears shoot out of my tenacious gaze. He asked in a deep voice, "Okay, if you have any other opinions, let's talk about them." ”

Gerrard didn't blame anyone for the defeat in the first battle in the south, Holson's command was not brilliant, but there was nothing wrong with it, it was decent, and there was only one reason for the loss, that is, the gap in strength.

Israel claims to be the strongest military power in the Middle East and one of the top ten military powers in the world, but who would have thought that even a newborn Abye could no longer do it.

Therefore, Gerald does not blame anyone, he does not care about the mistakes of the past, he just looks forward and looks for remedies and solutions.

Everyone looked at each other, but they couldn't say a single thing, Defense Minister Zamir was far-sighted and very strategic, but now he also has no idea.

But at this moment, Ibaka, the director of the Bureau of Statistics, who was sitting at the very back, suddenly spoke softly and opened his mouth.

It stands to reason that this kind of high-level meeting is hung under the Ministry of Finance, and the director of the district statistics bureau cannot attend, but with the beginning of the war, a lot of statistical coordination work has become important, and Ibaka will also participate in some high-level meetings, but generally have no right to speak, only to be named and ask questions.

This time I took the initiative to speak, which is a special case.

Gerald is also familiar with Ibaka, a top student, graduated from Stanford University in the United States, and later studied in Europe, he has a natural sensitivity to numbers.

Now, Gerrard would be hoping that Ibaka would have the confidence that numbers are everything, and that he would come up with some useful advice.

Seeing everyone looking at him, Ibaka, who was in his forties, still had a stiff face, just took out a document he was carrying, walked to the back of the conference room, pulled over a writing board, and said, "I don't have a good idea, I just want to ask you to see some numbers." ”

Everyone frowned, Bennal was quite dissatisfied in his heart, we are discussing the strategic matter of the fate of the country, what is the use of you showing us the numbers, do you want to use the numbers to tell us once again how serious our losses are?

Zamir stopped Benal with his eyes, and then looked at Ibaka with a hesitant gaze, he felt that Ibaka wanted to say something at this time, this person has always been strict, not the kind of frivolous and eye-catching person.

"Let's look at this set of numbers first, according to the IMF, Abyeh has the Federal Statistical Office, all aspects of the aggregate data, last year, that is, in 2021, Abyeh's GDP surpassed South Africa for the first time, reaching 100 million US dollars, becoming Africa's largest economy. However, it is worth noting that since the founding of the People's Republic of China, Abyeh's GDP growth rate has exceeded 15% every year, and the economy has shown a trend of sharp expansion and upward growth, except in 2021, GDP growth has declined for the first time, falling to 12.3%.

"I have analyzed this situation and summarized the views of international experts from all walks of life, and I can boldly speculate that under the premise of global economic recovery, Abyeh's GDP growth rate has fallen for the first time because it has reached the peak and trough of economic development. Here I can cite a few figures. In the proportion of GDP of Abyej's regions, the capital city of Kaduli has a GDP contribution of 131.6 billion, the port city of Port Sudan has a GDP contribution of 76.5 billion, and the largest city in the north, Khartoum, has a GDP contribution of 62.4 billion. The central city of Obayd, 38.9 billion, these four major cities, together contributed $309.4 billion, accounting for more than 73% of the total GDP. ”

Ibaka looked calm and wrote random numbers. Eloquent, easy-to-speak, and extraordinary.

However, the people present, especially many high-ranking military officials, were confused when they heard it, and Bernal tried hard to remember those numbers, but he was already confused. shouted: "You hurry up and stop, I don't know what the outcome of the war has to do with these figures, in my opinion, you better not talk about it." ”

Ibaka frowned, and was about to retort, but Zamir raised his hand and said, "Ibaka, you continue." ”

Zamir held his chin in one hand. Looking at the numbers on the blackboard with interest, he seemed to think of something.

Ibaka continued: "This extreme GDP structure has a huge correlation with Abyeha's economic policy, and I am not blaming this economic policy for being bad, but it is a very common way to gradually drive the development of the surrounding areas in the early stage of economic development with a dotted economic center. ”

Ibaka is right. Yang Tian was indeed thinking about this when he was implementing economic policies, with Khartoum in the north and Port Sudan on the northeast coast. There is Oubaid in the middle, and there is Kaduli in the hinterland of the south, and there are three roads in the upper, middle and lower, which lead the area with points, and finally drive the economy of the whole country.

No economic expert can blame this economic strategy for its mistakes.

"However, any kind of economic policy is not perfect, to point to area, a large number of people and resources in low-development areas poured into high-development areas, to provide economic development momentum, so that a certain city or region high-speed expansion development, if in the later stage, high-development areas and then feed back to low-development areas, will comprehensively drive economic development."

However, during this period, there will be a blank period, the point area is highly developed, and the effect of driving the area in a short period of time is not too strong, and it will form a hollow economic development, polarization at both ends, a few points are highly developed, and a large area is highly impoverished. This blank period will change according to the specific regulation and control of the government, whether long or short, is the most critical and dangerous time for economic development, and the best way is to make a smooth transition, gradually shrink the economy, and slow down the pace of development. ”

Zamir interjected: "Ibaka, you mean, now there is a problem with Abyeh's economic policy, no, there is a hidden danger, Kaduli and other cities are highly developed and have reached a development bottleneck. ”

What Ibaka said was cloudy and foggy, but Zamir's words were much more concise and straightforward, and the expressions of everyone present suddenly became serious, and they all looked at Ibaka.

Ibaka nodded vigorously and said: "The general situation is like this, I can give a few figures at will to prove it, Kaduli's house prices are inflated, and the exchange rate of Abye's yuan against the US dollar fluctuated slightly, falling by six percent for the first time, and so on." ”

The economy is a digital world, and there is no doubt that Ibaka has a natural acumen for this, and is able to extract all the useful information from the numbers.

"According to the budget and economic policy analysis announced by Abye in early 2022, Abye has also consciously contracted the economy and regulated economic development to solve this hidden danger."

"However, at this time, Abye has already started a war!" Ibaka slapped the clipboard abruptly and said categorically.

"Over the years, Abyeh's fiscal revenue has accounted for about 30 percent of GDP, reaching more than 100 billion US dollars, and more than 50 percent of these fiscal revenues have been invested in armament development; in just five years, Abyeh has expanded its army by 500,000, established a relatively sound logistical support system, maintained an armored force with more than 4,000 armor, a fighter group of more than 1,000 planes, and built a huge naval fleet."

"Although this is related to ABC's amazing production capacity and special capital structure, these investments cannot be met by fiscal revenue alone, and the Abyeh government has issued a large amount of government bonds to the private sector, with a total amount of more than 600 billion US dollars."

"If there is no war and a fast-growing economy, these problems are not a problem. However, Abyeh's government has started the war. Since the beginning of the war, we have made statistics that every day, Abyeha's military spending has reached an average of 630 million US dollars, which is more than three times that of the Iraq war and the United States. ”

"Based on all aspects, such as the central bank's fiscal reserves, the reduction in foreign export trade and investment due to the war, I can boldly speculate that if this war continues until September this year, then Abyeha's economic problems will break out in full swing, and they will be dragged down by the economy!"

Ibaka put down the marker, looked ahead, and said loudly with confidence.

Everyone present was completely dumbfounded when they looked at this inconspicuous person, shouting that numbers determine everything, and seemed to be exaggerated and useless. (To be continued.) If you like this work, you are welcome to come to the starting point (.) to vote for recommendation, monthly pass, your support, is my biggest motivation. For mobile phone users, please go to m.. Read. )