613 Calendar Trade Frictions

Huang Gang has always trusted Lin Zhenhua's predictions very much, which is probably also derived from the true biography of his mentor He Haifeng, He Haifeng has repeatedly been impressed by Lin Zhenhua's accurate predictions in his more than 20 years of interaction with Lin Zhenhua, thus forming such a habit.

Hearing Lin Zhenhua say that anti-dumping is just a dessert before a meal in Western countries, Huang Gang asked seriously: "Brother Lin, then in your opinion, what sanctions are we likely to encounter from Western countries in the future?" ”

"That's a lot." Lin Zhenhua said. In the years before he crossed, the trade war between Western countries and China was in full swing, although Lin Zhenhua was only a graduate student in the Department of Mechanics, he had heard a lot of things, and now he just took it out to talk to Huang Gang, maybe it can also play a rainy day role.

"First of all, this anti-dumping. Do you think that we are facing a lot of anti-dumping investigations now, but in fact, this is just the beginning, and there will be more and more such cases in the future, and the state must not only be psychologically prepared to respond to the lawsuit, but also make the knowledge and system preparation for the lawsuit, and institutionalize and normalize the response to anti-dumping. ”

Huang Gang nodded and said, "We are indeed already preparing for this matter. In fact, a few years ago, our country's products were also subject to anti-dumping investigations, and anti-dumping duties were also levied, but the number of cases at that time was small and the scope of impact was also small. In recent years, foreign anti-dumping efforts against China have been continuously intensified, and the number of cases has increased by double digits every year. It seems that in the future, it is really necessary to set up a special agency to deal with such a thing. ”

"In addition to anti-dumping, there is another means commonly used by Western countries, which is to engage in non-trade barriers related to standards and certifications, including environmental protection standards, social responsibility standards, and technical standards. Protect your country's industry. In this regard, our government probably has no experience at all, right? Not to mention businesses. Lin Zhenhua continued.

Huang Gang asked, "Brother Lin." You said these are these standards. Is there any readily available information for that standard? I'll tell you the truth, we've heard of these things, but down to the nitty-gritty. But I don't know anything. The Ministry of Foreign Trade may have a little more information than we do, but it is also very limited. Including some leading comrades. They all think that as long as we join the WTO, everything will be fine, and there will be no more trade frictions. ”

"Huh. So there's an old saying that says it well. Most importantly, educational leadership. Lin Zhenhua said with emotion.

"Is this an old saying?" Zhang Qiong questioned with a smile.

Lin Zhenhua originally wanted to make a joke and liven up the atmosphere, he smiled at Zhang Qiong, and then said to Huang Gang: "That's it, Xiao Huang." I'm going to go back and ask our group's special legal counsel, Mr. Qian Yuanping, who is a Hong Kong lawyer, to give you a lecture. Over the years, I have been studying trade policy issues, and I am very knowledgeable about various trade wars.

Also, when I was in Jingxi last year, I met a returnee who specializes in social responsibility research, named Xie Mingcheng, and now our group is entrusting her to help us do some international standard certification work, also to deal with non-trade barriers, and you had better invite her to talk to you another day. ”

"Well, good, I've booked all of them." Huang Gang hurriedly took out his work diary, wrote down the two people Lin Zhenhua said, and asked Lin Zhenhua to report their mobile phone numbers, planning to ask them to go to the Planning Commission another day to talk. If they are really as godly as Lin Zhenhua said, it is also very necessary to arrange for them to give unified lectures to the officials.

"Huang Gang, I think, we can't always count on Brother Lin to recommend talents to us to solve problems, right? Can we find Renmin University, as well as foreign trade and economic cooperation schools, and let them conduct relevant research? These are all new topics that have emerged in the process of our country's participation in international competition, and we should give full play to the wisdom of scholars to study them. Zhang Qiong gave Huang Gang an idea on the side. Zhang Qiong graduated from the Authentic Planning Department and now works in the Planning Commission, but she is not in the same department as Huang Gang. ..., Huang Gang said: "That's for sure, I'm preparing to make a report to the leadership, asking for instructions to organize relevant universities and research institutions to carry out research in this area, which should belong to the category of soft science." Now let's listen to Brother Lin's suggestions, I think many of Brother Lin's ideas are much more clever than the experts in universities. ”

"Well, then I'll move on." Lin Zhenhua said that he has always believed that a lone branch is not spring, and that China's industrial development must rely on everyone's strength. As an official of the Planning Commission, Huang Gang can sometimes affect tens of thousands of enterprises with a single policy, so Lin Zhenhua is still very willing to communicate with him more.

"There is another killer trick in Western countries, which is to force the renminbi to appreciate. This trick was already used against Japan in 1985, and that was the Plaza Accord. After the Plaza Accord, the rapid appreciation of the yen led to a significant decline in the international competitiveness of Japanese companies, and the Japanese economy has been in a slump ever since, and it is still half-dead to this day. Lin Zhenhua said.

Regarding the Plaza Accord and its impact on the Japanese economy, Huang Gang has studied it specially, and knows that what Lin Zhenhua said is true, he said: "Our country is a country where the government controls the exchange rate, as long as we insist that the renminbi does not appreciate, there is nothing Western countries can do, right?" ”

"If you want to add sin, why should you do it?" Lin Zhenhua said, "What's more, the value of the renminbi itself is indeed undervalued, and the current exchange rate of the renminbi against the US dollar is 8.3 to 1." In fact, the things that can be bought in China for 8 yuan are several times more than what can be bought in the United States for 1 dollar, so it makes sense if Western countries accuse the yuan of undervaluation. At that time, if Western countries refer this matter to the WTO as a dispute and demand for resolution, the WTO will not be completely biased towards the West, at least it will not be biased towards us, right? ”

"Hehe, that's true." Huang Gang laughed, as an official of the Planning Commission, of course he knew the true value of the renminbi. Although there is no pressure to force the renminbi to appreciate in the international arena at present, according to what Lin Zhenhua just said, perhaps in a few years, the voice calling for the appreciation of the renminbi will appear.

Lin Zhenhua said: "China wants to fully enter the international market. Some game rules still have to be followed, and the value of the RMB is a problem. Sooner or later, it will be exposed. So. This question also needs to be prepared in advance. ”

"Dumping, non-trade barriers, currency value, there are really a lot of things." Huang Gang folded his fingers and calculated, "If Western countries really use all these means, it will be enough for us to drink a pot." Ringo. You said so much difficulty, then. Is there any good countermeasure that is not available? ”

Lin Zhenhua said with a smile: "Director Huang, you can't be too Huanggang." You're a government official, I'm a businessman. I was able to introduce you to so many questions. It's already an obligation. You're still asking me to provide countermeasures, isn't that too much? Why don't we change the two of us, you go to Hanhua to be the chairman, and I go to the Planning Commission to sit in your office? ”

"Change it, change it, that's what you said, whoever doesn't change is a puppy!" Huang Gang agreed without hesitation. In front of Lin Zhenhua. He is a little junior brother, and it doesn't hurt to play tricks.

"Uh......" Lin Zhenhua was choked. He is the position of the chairman of the Chinese family. It's really much more affordable than Huang Gang, the deputy director of the Planning Commission, not to mention exchanging with Huang Gang, even if He Haifeng wanted to change with Lin Zhenhua when he was the deputy director of the Planning Commission, he wouldn't do it. Lin Zhenhua has always been a relatively free and casual person, and in his opinion, in addition to some scenery on the surface, government officials really can't compare with a chairman of a company in terms of freedom to do things. ..., "Forget it, I'll admit it." Lin Zhenhua could only break his promise and gain weight, "I should have known that you government officials are thick-skinned, and reasoning with you can only be boring." ”

"Really? How did I hear that it was a certain chairman who just said that it didn't count? Zhang Qiong exposed Lin Zhenhua's shortcomings and cheered for Huang Gang.

Huang Gang said: "Zhang Qiong, don't be too demanding of the comrades of the enterprise, they are cheating in the market all day long, and it is their professional requirement that speaking does not count, but it is not as good as our government officials, speaking must count." ”

"I can't tell you." Lin Zhenhua hurriedly raised his hand to say goodbye, he brought the conversation back to the topic, and said, "Let's get down to business." I believe that the most important thing to deal with the trade war that may be launched by Western countries is to comprehensively improve the competitiveness of our own enterprises. If our technical level is high and the product quality is good, it is difficult to defeat us in those crooked trade frictions. ”

"You're right, our Planning Commission has also been studying this issue recently, requiring domestic enterprises to enhance their own strength, especially to strengthen product development, master core capabilities, and no longer simply fight for quantity and cost as in the past." Huang Gang said.

Lin Zhenhua said: "The second aspect is that the state should support enterprises, and in the face of various foreign trade sanctions, the government should come forward to support enterprises. If they file a trade lawsuit against a Chinese company, we have to actively counter-sue it. Anyway, trade rules are very flexible, and if we are more resolute, the WTO will also be somewhat restrained. ”

Huang Gang hurriedly wrote it down, and said at the same time: "This is also very important, we do lack the experience and courage to fight lawsuits with developed countries, and always want to settle things and calm people. ”

Lin Zhenhua arched his hand to Huang Gang and said with a smile: "With Director Huang's words, our company is about to burn high incense, Director Huang is really the Buddha of our company." ”

"How dare you, how dare you, a big entrepreneur like Mr. Lin is the pillar of our country and the bread and butter of our government officials." Huang Gang also replied with a smile.

After the two finished talking and laughing, Lin Zhenhua continued: "There is a third point, which is also what we lack, that is, we should actively cultivate our own spokespeople in Western countries, let them speak for China, so as to divide their power from within. ”

"This ......" Huang Gang was finally dumbfounded, Lin Zhenhua's third countermeasure was so bold that even an open-minded young official like Huang Gang couldn't help but feel shocked.