This time, I followed the deputy prime minister around Western European countries, and I was really shocked!

In the He family, the first words He Haifeng said to the Lin family brothers and sisters made Lin Fanghua so depressed that he fell into He Lan's arms, but Lin Zhenhua laughed heartlessly.

"What's wrong? What did I say wrong? He Haifeng asked in confusion.

"Uncle He, you have disappointed me so much!" Lin Fanghua shouted, "How can such words come out of your mouth?" ”

Lin Zhenhua smiled and repeated what his sister had told him before, and Lin Fanghua picked out a few words of worship and frustration in Du Xiangyang and Ma Jie's letters and told everyone to listen.

"What's so strange about this, our classmates are now also saying that they are foreign." He Lan said.

"What about you?" Lin Zhenhua asked.

He Lan snorted at He Haifeng and said, "I listen to Director He give me political lessons every day, and I don't dare to worship foreign countries." ”

He Haifeng sighed and said to Lin Zhenhua: "In the past, we always criticized the admiration of foreigners, but now it's good that this word is not mentioned, and it has become that foreign conference tables are rounder than China's." His last sentence was naturally aimed at the content of Du Xiangyang's letter relayed by Lin Fanghua.

Lin Zhenhua said: "Isn't this strange, Lao He, didn't you also say that you felt shocked after going abroad?" ”

He Haifeng said: "Yes, it is indeed very shocking. The level of economic and social development of others is simply too high. If we don't catch up with the time, we will really be abandoned by the times. Chairman Mao once said that if you fall behind, you will be beaten. Comrade Xiaoping also said that China must learn from the developed countries, and if it does not reform and open up, it will be expelled from the club. We went out this time, and what we saw and heard, I felt a lot of pressure. ”

Lin Zhenhua said with a smile: "It's good to be under pressure, isn't it said in the movie, the well does not produce oil without pressure, and people are light and fluttering without pressure." We have pressure to be motivated. ”

He Lan looked at Lin Zhenhua strangely and asked, "Brother Xiaohua, why do I think that when you say this, you are quite light." After my dad came back from Western Europe, he was sad every day, why don't you worry? ”

"Really?" Lin Zhenhua was a little stunned by He Lan's words, as if he was indeed a little different. He turned his head and asked He Haifeng, "Old He, aren't you?" I was so shocked when I went out of the country, and I was so sad all day long? ”

He Haifeng said: "What does Lan Lan know." I am worried, not entirely because I see the gap with the developed countries, but the most important thing is that there are problems in our current reform as a whole, and if these problems cannot be corrected, the reform will be useless if it is not done well. ”

"Is it that serious?" Lin Zhenhua asked in surprise.

He Haifeng asked rhetorically: "You don't feel any problems in the enterprise?" ”

Lin Zhenhua thought for a while and said: "There is indeed a bit of a problem, it seems that the stalls of the whole country are too big, the scale of infrastructure is too large, the supply of materials is tight, and the price of raw materials has risen sharply. Fortunately, because we undertook the export task, many materials were directly allocated by the counting and engraving department, and it is said that the life of those township enterprises was very difficult. ”

He Haifeng nodded and said, "You are very right. Now the entire economy is in danger of getting out of control, and the central authorities are very worried about this. Since last year, the central authorities have delegated a lot of power to the localities, and the advantage of this is that it has fully mobilized the enthusiasm of the localities. However, the problem is that the enthusiasm of the localities is too high, and all localities are working hard and fast, and the stalls are getting bigger and bigger, which has completely exceeded the level of the state's financial resources. ”

Lin Zhenhua said: "By the way, Lao He, we went to the Frankfurt Equipment Exhibition this time, and we also encountered this situation. The blind introduction of color TVs, refrigerators, motorcycles and other production lines in various places, just one Ariston refrigerator production line, it is said that the whole country has introduced nine, exactly the same. ”

He Haifeng's face showed the gloom that He Lan said: "Our state has seen the data reported by the Customs and the Bureau of Statistics respectively. Customs estimates that the deficit of the entire foreign trade this year may exceed $10 billion, equivalent to half of the annual export value. If there is really such a big deficit, then the less than $10 billion in foreign exchange reserves that we have managed to pick up in the past two years will not be enough to fill in. ”

"That's what they said, Minister Gao." Lin Zhenhua said.

"It's foreign trade. The situation in domestic trade is even worse, with prices of many commodities rising sharply this year due to rising raw material prices affecting downstream industries. The Bureau of Statistics estimates that this year's retail price index may exceed the existing one, and the consumer price index is estimated to be unstoppable. He Haifeng continued. "Isn't this inflation?" He Lan asked in surprise.

Lin Zhenhua looked at her curiously and said, "Yes, at a young age, you know inflation." ”

He Lan retorted dissatisfiedly: "What is a young age, I'm already old, okay?" Inflation who doesn't know, we have also studied political economy. However, doesn't it say that inflation occurs only in capitalist countries, and why does inflation occur in our country? ”

Lin Zhenhua didn't know how to answer her, so he had to kick the ball to He Haifeng: "Ask your father, he is engaged in economics." I only understand industry, not economics. ”

In fact, it is not that Lin Zhenhua does not understand the economy, but he does not know how to explain to the high school students of the old island year that inflation will also occur in socialist countries. In the era of the profit-based economy, all prices were controlled by the state, so there was no price increase, which gave people the impression that inflation would not occur in socialist countries. In fact, economists have long said that all goods are supplied with tickets, which in itself is a manifestation of implicit inflation.

After the reform and opening up, the state gradually relaxed its control over the market and successively adjusted the prices of some commodities, resulting in an increase in the price level. Among them, "the price adjustment of the year is the largest, the consumer price index of that year, that is, people are accustomed to say that the increase in the concave four reached the level of 7 again, however, the state also issued price subsidies to urban residents, so the impact of this price increase is not obvious. In the years that followed, prices rose at about Z levels each year, and wages rose even more during the same period, thus diluting the impact of price increases.

In the year of Gu, due to overheated investment, prices rose sharply, and the fourth year suddenly reached in this year. The impact of Mi's high position on the whole society is very strong. When middle school students like He Lan knew that inflation would also occur in China, that confidence in the original social system collapsed.

In fact, the price increase in 1985 was just the beginning. In the 12 years from then until 1996, China's CPU growth rate reached an average of 11.2%, with 5 CPUs higher than that, and that year it reached an all-time high.

These 12 years can be said to be the most difficult 12 years for China's economy, and it is also the most impetuous and turbulent year for Chinese society. Today's Lin Zhenhua is standing on the threshold of this year.

If you don't understand the meaning of this set of numbers, then you might as well travel back in time and take a look at the scene in 2011. This year, in the mouths of the brick family, is a year of soaring prices and the economy on the verge of collapse, and the facts

In 2011, China's CPU only rose by 11.2%. If 55% CPU means that the economy is on the verge of collapse, then an average annual CPU growth of 11.2 in 12 years is enough for China to collapse

Defeated 24 times

"The issue of price is a very serious one." He Haifeng said, "

The irrationality of our country's price system, especially the low prices of heavy industrial products, has seriously affected the development of the commodity economy. Now the black market price of a ton of steel is as high as 5,000 yuan, and the factory can only get 1,000 yuan

Yuan. Steel mills are unable to make enough profit from the sale of their products to scale up reproduction, while the market has to pay a high price due to steel shortages. ”

"What does the state think?" Lin Zhenhua asked.

He Haifeng said: "Now there are two views in the theoretical circles, one is that the state should strengthen planning control to avoid excessive price growth. The other is that the state should completely abandon control, abolish tickets, allow prices to float freely, and give rise to great order from chaos. Don't say it, the latter faction still has the upper hand now. ”

"Lao He, I really don't understand these things." Lin Zhenhua said, "However, I have a little doubt, let's talk about reform, how can it become more and more chaotic?" I don't just think this way, but Director Zhu of the Machinery Committee also says this. He even said that it would be better to go back to the era of the calculating economy.

He Haifeng nodded and said, "Complaints like Director Zhu's have been heard countless times by our Physical Reform Commission. However, everyone is complaining about the shortcomings of the economy, and they know better than anyone that the comrades in these actual departments who put forward a profitable commodity economy in those years were also the most vocal in these actual departments. Generally speaking, the chaos that has emerged at present is an inevitable phenomenon that occurred when the old and new systems were in transition.

In the era of the economy, we controlled the economy through state executive orders. A pure market economy, on the other hand, is the management of the economy through economic means. Now that our country has relaxed the control of criminal planning, the economic constraints have not kept up in time, which has led to the loss of control in management, and chaos is inevitable. He Lan frowned and said, "Dad, what you said is too complicated, right?" Also, I remember that you studied industry, why do you talk about the economy now? ”

He Haifeng said with a smile: "No way, I'm doing this now, don't you know what to do?" ”

As he spoke, he went back to the study and took a few books, handed them to Lin Zhenhua and said, "Xiaolin, here are a few new books from domestic scholars, which analyze the current and future economic situation very well, you can take them and take a look." You are now the leader of a large enterprise group, and you have to keep an eye on the macro situation, not only on technology. ”

"Let me see." He Lan didn't wait for Lin Zhenhua to pick up the book, and snatched the book from his father's hand first. He Haifeng glared at her, but he didn't have a problem with this daughter. He Lan is the only girl in the family, she has been pampered by He Haifeng since she was a child, and she is not afraid of him as a father at all.

Lin Zhenhua said: "Thank you Lao He, I will definitely take a good look at these books when I go back." However, Lao He, what I am most concerned about now is how the policy will change next, whether to recycle or continue to release? Well...... Asking you this, isn't it considered to be inquiring about state secrets? ”

He Haifeng said: "This matter has a certain level of secrecy, but you can listen to it." As I said earlier, there are also a number of opinions in the theoretical circles on the next step of economic policy, and the opinions of the central authorities are not unanimous. For now, though

People tend to choose a compromise path, that is, neither let go too much, nor take too much. Next month, the State Development Planning Commission convened a meeting of the leaders of the provincial and municipal planning commissions, and the main spirit was to blow a cold breeze on everyone.

Let us appropriately reduce the scale of investment, so that the economy can be relatively smoothly lowered from an excessively high position. By the way, one economist calls this kind of policy a soft landing. ,,

"I know, that's the way the U.S. space shuttle landed, right?" He Lan interjected while reading the obscure economic books at hand.

He Haifeng said: "Lan Lan is really right, everyone was inspired by the landing of the space shuttle. ”

"The core of a soft landing is still landing. So, the whole policy should be inclined to contraction? Lin Zhenhua asked.

He Haifeng looked at Lin Zhenhua, shook his head helplessly, and said: "

Kobayashi, I've found that you always get to the heart of the matter at once. That's right, the overall goal is contraction, because without contraction, it is no longer possible, and the whole macroeconomy cannot always float in the sky. In fact, we are now both hands-on

If a soft landing doesn't work, you can only land hard. However, if you want to make a hard landing, it is estimated that you will break a lot of bottles. ”

"Then I'll understand." Lin Zhenhua said, "I have to plan for a rainy day when I go back." ”

"Come" Brother Xiaohua, these books are for you, go back and study hard. He Lan closed the book in his hand and handed it to Lin Zhenhua.

Lin Zhenhua put away the book and asked with a smile: "How is it, Lan Lan, do you understand?" ”

"Understood." He Lan said. After speaking, she left her position, walked to the sofa where He Haifeng was sitting, sat on the armrest of the sofa, and said to He Haifeng: "Dad, I want to discuss something with you." ”

"What's the matter, so serious?" He Haifeng looked at her and asked. He knew that once this daughter began to withdraw from Jiaojiao, there must be some unreasonable requirements.

He Lan said: "We are going to divide the subjects next semester, and I want to study liberal arts." ”

Hearing He Lan's words, without waiting for He Haifeng to say anything, Lin Fanghua jumped up first: "I object, Lan Lan, your grades are so good, isn't it a waste to study liberal arts?" ”

"yes, you have such good grades, why do you want to study liberal arts?" He Haifeng also asked, he didn't refuse directly, but wanted to listen to his daughter's opinion. From the bottom of his heart, his opinion is consistent with Lin Fanghua, studying liberal arts is the choice of students with poor grades, and this daughter's grades are quite top-notch, how can she think of studying liberal arts?

"What do you mean by wasting your liberal arts?" He Lan protested loudly, "Liberal arts are also important! Look at my dad, he used to study science and engineering, but now he has also changed his career to liberal arts? By the way, Brother Xiaohua, why don't you express your opinion? ”

Lin Zhenhua's thinking is somewhat different from He Haifeng and Lin Fanghua. In later generations, the status of liberal arts students has been greatly improved, and studying liberal arts is no longer just a choice for poor students.

Hearing He Lan ask himself, Lin Zhenhua said with a smile: "Liberal arts and science are good, it's just that there are many majors in liberal arts, what do you want to study?" Chinese, history, law, economics, you have to say a direction, everyone can help you judge. ”

"Of course it's economics!" He Lan said, "Look, isn't it all an economic problem just said by your state? I have already thought about how important it is to study economics when I go to university, and then I will become the director of the Planning Commission to help you deal with these annoying economic problems. ”

Lin Zhenhua said to He Haifeng: "Old He, it seems that there is a successor." ”

He Haifeng caressed his daughter's head and said, "Well, if you really think about it, go and learn." However, you should better ask your teachers for their opinions. ”

"Our teacher has agreed a long time ago, and he said that as long as the parents agree, he will agree." He Lan said triumphantly, and after that, she turned her head to Lin Zhenhua and said, "Comrade Lin Zhenhua, you have to be careful, when I graduate from college, I will be your leader."

"Resolutely obey the command of the leader!" Lin Zhenhua said playfully...... I wanted to get 5,000 words and send it again, but after thinking about it, I still forgot it, and now it's 4,650 words. There are some historical materials on the economy for you to recall those years.

【Shenshui Alliance Xia Lan'er】