Chapter 803 The Soviet Union Can't Be Allowed to Collapse Early

Speaking of this, Sun Xue glanced at Guo Zhuocheng again, and said coquettishly: "You can rest assured!" Hmph, that's stingy. You have so much money, and you still care about the loss and profit of buying and selling grain here? Won't the bank you set up be another cash cow for you in the future? ”

The beautiful girl was coquettish in front of her, especially the flying vinegar that could be clearly detected, which made Guo Zhuocheng feel good.

Of course, he is also happy about the relevant initiatives of the IIC company: the IIC company presided over by Princess Madeleine can indeed buy grain futures while purchasing large quantities of grain. This method is often called cash-out hedging, and it is also the most common method used by large companies in previous lives to purchase or sell bulk goods. Before purchasing bulk goods, if large international companies or groups expect that the price of the goods will rise significantly due to their own large purchases, then these large companies will generally buy futures contracts for the goods before they make a move, as the saying goes.

Once the price of the goods really rises sharply when purchasing, although the purchase itself pays excess costs because of the price increase, it can offset some of the additional expenses because the futures contract makes money, and because of the price leverage, double the capital can buy ten times the amount of the contract, and sometimes the money in the futures market is much more than the increased cost. In other words, the operation of the guò futures market is equivalent to purchasing commodities at the original price.

On the contrary, if the large international company or group wants to sell the bulk goods, it can simply sell the futures contract before the sell-off, that is, buy down. The price of goods plummeted due to a massive sell-off. It is a loss in terms of selling action alone, but it is a profit in the futures market, and the offset of the two can ensure the value of the spot.

Of course, it is absolutely feasible to hedge value in theory, and many large international companies often achieve the purpose of maintaining value or even making money because of this. However, if the operation is not good, or if it is sniped by someone with a good intention, it is likely to lead a fiasco, and both losses will be lost, both inside and outside. It is not uncommon to end up with heavy losses.

In this regard, China has suffered several big losses, the most famous are China Aviation Oil, Zhuye and State Reserve Copper, and other three incidents, all of which are famous for their huge impact, and it can be said that these three major events have caused China to pay a lot of tuition fees in the futures market.

Just take the Zhuye-incident as an example to illustrate the relevant risks: this happened in the previous life in 997, when China had just entered the initial stage of the international futures market, and the international fund fought a beautiful battle of "long and short". It has given China a disadvantage in the financial market.

At that time, the Zhuzhou smelter was one of the largest lead and zinc production and export bases in China.

The incident began with a staff member who had been trading in the international futures market for two years. After carefully analyzing the international production and demand for zinc, this expert concluded that the price of zinc in the international market will fall sharply, and China will have an opportunity to take advantage of it. On the one hand, he built YÌ Zhuye to sell zinc to the international market, and on the other hand, he used his authority to sell a large number of zinc futures contracts in LME, with a volume of up to 450,000 tons of zinc, when the total annual output of Zhuye was only 00,000 tons.

His actions were targeted by foreign financial institutions and forced positions, and the price of zinc not only did not fall but rose under the impetus of international bulls. In the middle of six or seven months from the beginning of 997. Bulls pushed up London zinc prices by more than 50%!

In order to prevent the liquidation of the position, Zhuye had to increase the margin, so that the deeper and deeper the loss, the loss became bigger and bigger.

When the increasing amount of losses made Zhuye unable to bear it, the helpless leaders of Zhuye had no choice but to report to their superiors. Rescue to the state. The report was reported layer by layer, and finally alarmed the central bosses. Under the direct intervention of the central boss, the person in charge of the relevant competent department personally came down to squat, while taking measures such as position stop loss, margin call, and reasonable adjustment to deal with the position urgently, and at the same time mobilizing the supply of other domestic zinc plants through various channels to sell to the world, and strive to reduce the price. Minimize losses.

However, due to the large selling position, I finally had to buy some contracts at a high price to close the contract, and the loss was as high as nearly 1.5 billion yuan on the day of the final concentrated liquidation!

As a result, Zhuye suffered huge losses and malaise, and the relevant responsible persons were naturally severely dealt with.

Thinking of the risks, Guo Zhuocheng wanted to ask about the situation in the futures market and how many futures contracts Princess Madeleine and her sisters bought, but he also thought that he was a layman in finance. Especially this time the surge in food prices was not in his previous life, it was caused by his own rebirth, and he was even more bottomless in his heart as a financial novice, so he couldn't help but ask, and he didn't arrange for Sun Xue to understand.

But Sun Xue knew Guo Shucheng's mind very well, and said: "You don't have to be weak, and I have no objection to you marrying that foreign mother-in-law." They haven't passed on the relevant information yet, but they said that they will definitely make a lot of money this time. They also promise that they will buy much more food than you expect, and that the funds will not increase much. ”

Regarding the faint vinegar revealed in Sun Xue's words, Guo Zhuocheng smiled and put it away: As long as Princess Madeleine and her sisters can buy food and make money, it would be fine.

However, Guo Chucheng soon thought of another thing: in his previous life, in order to earn valuable foreign exchange, although there was a shortage of food, China was still a grain exporter. And the USSR was an importer of grain, both in previous and in this life. Now that China has become a grain importer, it is undoubtedly worse for the Soviet Union, and the level of grain prices has a direct impact on the livelihood of the Soviet Union. And because of China's strength, the Soviet Union faced much greater resistance in Afghanistan than in previous generations, and now they have increased their military aid to Vietnam. In this way, the pressure on the Soviet Union must be much higher than in previous lives.

He secretly thought in his heart: "If China competes with the Soviet Union for food in the international arena, the Soviet Union will be further short of food, and even some citizens will starve to death in batches, will the disintegration of the Soviet Union be much earlier than in the previous life?" Or because they sensed the danger of losing their country, the Soviet leaders carried out political or economic reforms ahead of schedule? ”

Then he thought further: "Is the early collapse of the Soviet Union good or bad for our country?" Once the Soviet Union collapsed, Western countries, especially the United States, would have one less competitor, and would the previous tactics against the Soviet Union turn to China? That's what they did in their previous life, and they should do the same in this life, right? If they reform ahead of schedule, it will be even worse for China, and if they follow China's example, or even better than China's reform, then China's rise will be even more difficult. ”

"No! It is better for the Soviet Union to follow the old path of its previous life, so that China will have more time and more opportunities. Thinking of this, he couldn't help but be faintly worried, and couldn't help but seriously analyze how to prolong the disintegration of the Soviet Union, at least let China have enough technological background and economic strength, and be able to not be afraid of any blockade and encirclement by Western countries, or that the blockade and encirclement of Western countries are not enough to make China suffer huge losses, so that the Soviet Union can disintegrate. Or, the USSR must be prevented from carrying out reforms that it did not have in its previous life.

He said to himself: "In order not to make a big change in the world, should our country reduce the amount of grain purchased?" Do you want to remind the country to reduce its support for Afghan resistance groups? ”

When Sun Xue next to him went to Guo Zhuocheng's wandering world, he felt very depressed, feeling that he was disrespecting himself too much, and he thought about the Spanish woman when he talked to him. But she didn't dare to bother him, not only because he was her leader, but more importantly, because she knew that he probably had something important in mind.

Who knows, but hearing him say such a bunch of headless and tailless words, she was dumbfounded.

If the previous question was a bit inexplicable, because she had heard Guo Zhuocheng say that the more grain she bought this time, the better, and at that time, she conveyed Guo Zhuocheng's order to the IIC company in charge of the Spanish woman to buy as much food as possible with as much money as possible, and now why did he say that he would reduce the number of purchases? Could it be that purchasing more food would make a big difference in the world?

And the latter sentence is out of touch, why did the matter of talking about food go to Afghanistan again? Where is this, how to talk about the Afghan resistance from the grain trade?

She saw Guo Zhuocheng's eyes towards herself, although she came over unintentionally, she still couldn't help asking: "Director, what are you thinking, why is it that there is food for a while and Afghanistan for a while?" ”

Guo Shucheng was stunned for a moment, collected his thoughts, and said, "It's nothing, I was thinking about it just now." Let them toss about the food. ......, thank you, this bowl of noodles was also eaten by me, you can also go and rest, girls sleeping late are not good for the skin. ”

Sun Xue was very speechless about Guo Shucheng's frequent words that the other men around him didn't say, but she still knew that he was caring about herself, and a trace of sweetness welled up in her heart, and said, "Well, you also have to rest early." Director, the work is too busy, so you can only take your time. ”

Guo Shucheng nodded and said, "Okay, I'll go to bed after I finish dealing with these." By the way, you can contact the people in Mr. Qian's office tomorrow morning, and ask the leader who led the team to Argentina to conduct a missile demonstration to come to me once, I have something to tell him. ”

Sun Xue snorted, poured a glass of boiled water for Guo Zhuocheng first, and then cleaned up the dishes and chopsticks and left.

Looking at the back of Sun Xue leaving, Guo Zhuocheng smiled, and his mind returned to Princess Madeleine, feeling that he still had to pay attention to it, and he was afraid of 10,000 just in case.

After making up his mind, he wrote a sentence on a sticky note: Please report to me once a day on the changes in the grain in the London futures market

The next morning, Guo Zhuocheng took his secretary Yan Yu to a research institute in Beijing to go to a new engine for tanks, in the afternoon to another factory to go to an important part of the aircraft, and in the evening to attend a technical review meeting.

The third day was still full of meetings.

It can be said that Guo Zhuocheng's life is extremely busy and fulfilling, especially when the scientific research results are presented in front of him, he does not feel tired at all, but is very happy.

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