In the afternoon, the lecture was "The Contemporary World Economic Pattern", and the lecturer was very young, a young man of about twenty-seven or eighteen years old, who arrived at the podium early and waited for the bell to begin.

When it was time for class, an old man walked into the classroom leisurely with his hands behind his back, with a calm atmosphere.

The lecturer on the podium immediately spotted the uninvited guest, and immediately descended the steps, ready to meet him.

The old man waved his hand to stop the lecturer's movements, then put his hands behind his back again, and walked towards the back of the classroom as if no one was around, holding a notepad in his hand, and happened to sit behind Zeng Yi. After sitting down, the old man opened the notepad, then took out the glasses case, put the old huā glasses on, unscrewed the pen, and put it aside, as if he had come to listen to the lecture.

This made the four people in the 312 dormitory collectively start to be nervous, although they don't know the origin of this old man, but looking at this bearing, they know that this old man must be extraordinary, and he is by no means a mortal! There is such a person on his back, and he still has a little discipline in this class, so as not to get into trouble.

When the class bell rings, the lecturer begins to give a lecture on the pattern and context of the contemporary world economy, mainly in the macro aspect.

Because there was an unidentified guest in the classroom, everyone was in a small fight

Heart, listen carefully to the lecture and take notes.

During the study period of the Central Party School, this situation can happen at any time, and it is not uncommon at all, according to the regulations, the people of the Central Organization Department will study with the class and secretly observe the performance of each student during the party school, which will be an important reference for the promotion moment in the future. The further education department has implemented it in this regard, and the students in the youth cadre class are not leaders with real power in important positions because of the uneven quality of the good and the bad, or they are randomly checked.

Some veteran leaders and leaders who live near the party school will occasionally come here and observe two classes according to their own interests, and in addition, the old professors of the party school will also come to inspect the classroom effect of the young lecturers at any time.

It's all possible, and no one is sure who the old man in the classroom is.

In the middle of the class, the lecturer suddenly mentioned the economic crisis, and someone in the class asked about the economic crisis, to figure out how the economic crisis came into being, and how to deal with the economic crisis.

The curriculum of the Central Party School is more practical, and the classroom atmosphere of each class is also more free, encouraging everyone to ask questions, allowing unlimited discussions.

After the lecturer shared his views on the economic crisis, some of the students in the class did not understand it, so they began to debate that some people thought it was like this, some people thought it was that, some people thought it was planning... The economy does not produce economic crises, while some people believe that any economic system produces economic crises, without exception.

The classroom was divided into several factions, and Jīlie was debating.

The four people in the 3 dormitories did not participate in the discussion, and there were strangers behind them, so they had to be careful about what they said.

"This classmate!"

Zeng Yi felt the old man behind him gently pat his shoulder, and Zeng Yi had no choice but to turn his head and look at the old man.

The old man smiled kindly and said, "Why don't you express your opinion?" What are your views and understandings, if it is not convenient to discuss, you can also tell me about a small exchange? ”

As soon as I heard this, the scalps of several people next to me were numb, although everyone's usual work can be related to the economy, but for the economic crisis, there is really no research, how dare you express any opinions.

"Tell me about it!" The old man smiled and put the pen on it, as if he would never record it, so that everyone could speak boldly with confidence.

Zeng Yi couldn't shirk it, so he had to move the stool, turned his body around, and said with a smile: "Then let's discuss and discuss casually, if there is anything wrong, please correct me." ”

Zhang Wenqi sighed in his heart, Zeng Yi was really bold, you know who the other party is, just discuss it with the other party, in case this is an economic authority, aren't you a class with an axe! At this time, it's absolutely right to be humble!

"Okay, tell me about it!" The old man was very happy to see that someone was willing to discuss with him, so he closed the notepad and sat up straight.

Zeng Yi thought for a while, sorted out his thoughts, and said: "Regarding the economic crisis, I understand it this way, I don't think this is a very new term, since ancient times, economic crises have been constantly occurring and repeating, but the form and reasons have changed. ”

The old man became a little interested and said, "Let's talk about it specifically!" ”

Zhang Wenqi and others pinched their sweat, isn't this nonsense, the lecturer just said that the economic crisis is a product of capitalism, how can it have existed since ancient times. Little brother, you just want to fight, but you can't fight like this!

Everyone thinks that Zeng Yi is fighting, he is completely betting on what kind of old leader or old chief the other party is, and he doesn't know much about the economy, if you can talk about the other party's heart, it is undoubtedly a ladder.

But is this ladder so easy to build? If you can't get it, you will break yourself first!

Zeng Yi continued: "In the past, we were in the era of agricultural economy, and the biggest feature of agricultural economy is that it has cycles, because the growth of crops has cycles, which is not subject to human will. Once this cycle is disrupted, the agricultural economy and society will still be in economic crisis."

"The cause of this economic crisis mainly comes from natural disasters, such as wind, fire, drought, waterlogging and other natural disasters, which will break this law, and if crops cannot be produced in the field, the crisis will appear: secondly, it will come from the war and the high degree of land annexation, the barrenness of a large amount of land, and the emergence of a large number of landless peasants, which will turn an economic crisis into a crisis of the whole society."

The old man led slightly, noncommittal, but looking at his expression, he was very willing to listen to Zeng Yi continue.

"After entering the industrial society, especially into the development of science and technology, the production of crops is no longer limited by the previous law, not only the yield increases, but also the off-season planting, as well as the cooperation of water conservancy and meteorology, at this time, the society has a high degree of resistance to the agricultural economic crisis, at the same time, another economic crisis appears, that is, excess inventory." "Industrial production is completely unaffected by the laws of nature, as long as the machine is opened, how many products can be manufactured, coupled with the step-by-step upgrading of production technology, the production efficiency is getting higher and higher, and the speed of manufacturing products is getting faster and faster. When a market opportunity is seen, capital will fully intervene, so a large number of products are manufactured in an instant, and soon the problem arises, the market is highly saturated, there is no longer a need for so many products, and it is impossible to digest so many products, so capital begins to withdraw from the industry, factories begin to close, workers are fired, unemployment increases significantly, and the crisis arises, which is the economic crisis of the industrial age. ”

"Later, people have a solution to the industrial economic crisis: the first way is war, everything is destroyed, it needs to be rebuilt, and all the inventory will be digested: the second way is to develop upstream industries, such as steel overcapacity, then as long as the development of the automobile industry, railway infrastructure investment, the development of real estate, a large amount of steel excess capacity will be digested: the second way is to encourage consumption, create too many products, but not so many consumers have the ability to buy, As a result, high wages are paid, or loans are taken out to consume in advance. ”

"At this point, the economic crisis has evolved into another form, that is, the financial crisis, the credit crisis, or the surplus of liquidity, the shortage of liquidity, the debt always has to be repaid, when the person who owes the debt is unable to repay the debt, this model can not go on, and the crisis appears." The old man nodded at this time, this young man is not simple, full of wisdom to see everything, he asked, "Since there will be a new economic crisis in any way, what do you think is the best way to deal with the economic crisis?" ”

Zeng Yi smiled and said, "I think it is necessary to have a sound security system, and it is always not wrong to take precautions."

In ancient times, if there was a famine, the emperor would also open a warehouse to release grain, even if it was to let everyone drink gruel, but as long as they survived this year and the grain in the field was produced in the coming year, the crisis would be over. Although the form of the economic crisis today is the opposite of what it used to be, I think the solution is the same. As long as there is a sound unemployment pension and subsidy system, even if there is an economic crisis, people's hearts will not be very afraid, as long as it lasts for a year or two, the enterprise will digest the inventory, and then the economy will enter the upward stage again. ”

"So your view is that the economic crisis is not terrible and there is no need for economic stimulus measures?" The old man asked, his expression a little serious.

Zeng Yi was not stunned, and said: "The premise is that the guarantee system is sound and social stability!" Under this premise, an appropriate economic crisis can promote the survival of the fittest, as well as the reallocation of capital flows, thereby resolving the serious imbalance in social distribution. Zhang Wenqi and the others' palms were full of sweat at this time, Zeng Yi's courage was too great, and he dared to say that the economic crisis was justified, isn't this self-destructive future!

"What's your name?"

The old man asked suddenly, and the serious expression on his face disappeared, and he returned to his previous kind demeanor again. It's just that when he asked this, the old man felt that it was inappropriate, he had already made it clear that he would not record it before, and he was afraid that Zeng Yi would have any superfluous ideas, so he said: "Don't ask, don't ask!" At this moment, the bell rang for the end of class, and the old man stood up, patted Zeng Yi on the shoulder, and walked forward with his notepad without saying a word.

Passing by Hou Liangzhi's position, the old man stopped, knocked lightly on Hou Liangbei's table twice, and said with a smile: "This classmate must have other opinions, and he doesn't agree with the statement of our party school lecturer!" ”

Only then did everyone see that Hou Liangzhi, the bastard, had fallen asleep again, and he didn't know when he fell asleep, he was still in the same sleeping position as he was in the morning, but he didn't snore, and everyone debated so fiercely that they didn't notice him.

After the old man finished speaking, he left leisurely with his hands behind his back, and there was no sense of anger on his face, this bearing was much greater than that of Hou Dengke.

3,000 words sent! The arrears are smoothed out! Ha ha!.