Fan Hongyu also knows that when the Soviet Union has not yet collapsed, it is a bit "crazy" to talk about the future Russian president with Mr. Bao and others. Leonid is also very unpleasant in the eyes of traditional politicians. But this is a fact that is about to happen, as a "foreseeer", Fan Hongyu feels that since he has the opportunity to get close to the highest power figure like Old Man Bao, who can profoundly affect the overall situation of domestic politics, he should bring this matter up. As for how much of a difference it can make, it depends on luck.

Of course, Mr. Bao's "evaluation and positioning" of him is also very important. If Mr. Bao only treats him as a "little friend" of Bao Xing, the effect is not obvious. If Old Man Bao is impressed with him, it is a different matter.

Moreover, in a few years, our country will face tremendous geopolitical changes, and the relationship between Russia and the countries of the entire CIS Central Asian region will also have a profound impact on our country's future national strategy.

Seeing that Bao Ping'an disagreed, Fan Hongyu smiled slightly and said: "Uncle Bao, Leonid, if in the era of peace, there are indeed many shortcomings, but it is undeniable that in the troubled times, this person has a unique personality charm and huge appeal, which can attract a large number of followers, and it is entirely possible to soar to the sky. ”

"Troubled times?"

Bao Ping'an raised his eyebrows slightly, and looked at Fan Hongyu with a smile.

"Do you think the USSR is in troubled times now?"

Old Man Bao's eyes were calm, and he didn't seem to have much interest in this answer.

Fan Hongyu said with certainty: "I think that the Soviet Union is now in trouble. At least there are signs of it. After Gorbachev came to power, he pursued a reform policy from the top down, a package of reforms, and it was not mainly based on economic reform, but mainly on political reform. In such a large country. Carrying out top-down reform of the political system is an extremely risky act. ”

Bao Ping'an's expression became stern, his eyes flashed, and he said, "Xiao Fan, you must have a basis for speaking!" ”

Despite being a private party with no outsiders, Fan Hongyu was a young man who talked freely about the governance measures of the top leaders of neighboring countries. And by their first name. There is no sense of respect, and listening to the ears of a high-ranking person like Bao Ping'an, it will naturally feel very inappropriate. Especially now that China is also undergoing a nationwide reform, it is all the more necessary to be cautious in words and deeds.

Fan Hongyu was born with a calf, and Bao Ping'an couldn't follow him to "think wildly", it was necessary to give Fan Hongyu a reminder.

Don't get carried away!

Fan Hongyu is not afraid at all. Lang Sheng said: "Uncle Bao, no matter ancient or modern, Chinese or foreign, any major reform in history. In order to succeed, there must be one basic premise, which is the stability of the regime. The most basic system of governance and management system. There can be no confusion. This has been verified by numerous historical facts. For example, the Meiji Restoration in Japan, the first thing was to deify the Japanese emperor and do everything possible to maintain the imperial power system. Loyalty and faith in the emperor are instilled in the hearts of every Japanese citizen. This was the basic prerequisite for the success of the Meiji Restoration. Under this premise. First of all, it is necessary to reform the economic system, put an end to the state of being closed off from the rest of the country, and introduce advanced technology and civilization from the outside world, so that the country can gradually become rich and strong. If Japan's Meiji Restoration, as soon as it comes up, it will overthrow the emperor and bring down everything, and the whole country will be in chaos first. Another example is that the reason why Shang Ying's reform and Wang Anshi's reform of the law were able to achieve a certain degree of success was that it was necessary to ensure the stability of the political power and the absolute dominance of Qin Xiaogong and Song Shenzong could not be shaken, so as to ensure that the various measures of the reform could be smoothly implemented throughout the country. Without the support of Qin Xiaogong and Song Shenzong, Shang Ying's reform and Wang Anshi's reform would not have been successful at all. But Gorbachev's perestroika, different. As soon as he came up, he wanted to break the political system of the CPSU and start reforming from within the CPSU, which was very undesirable and could cause serious problems. How can you first cut off the roots of a big tree and expect it to be fruitful? ”

Bao Ping'an's pupils shrank suddenly, as if he was quite shaken.

A smile flashed at the corner of Old Man Bao's mouth, and he said quietly: "Then tell me, what kind of problems will go wrong with Gorbachev's reforms?" ”

Obviously, the old man's heart is far less calm than his appearance.

This little fan is getting more and more interesting, but it's not like the brave man who "has no hair on his mouth" as they imagined.

"Yes, Grandpa Bao."

Fan Hongyu owes his body again, and the etiquette is very thoughtful.

"I believe that Gorbachev's reforms will fundamentally destroy the foundation of the Soviet regime. He did not start with economic reforms, but gradually changed the economic environment of the country in a gradual way, so that the lives of the Soviet masses gradually became richer. Rather, it was carried out directly from within the CPSU, radically changing the previous model of rule that had been in place for decades. As a result, all kinds of suspicions and doubts will spread within the CPSU, the faith of party members and cadres at all levels will be shaken, and the team will have no combat effectiveness. Relying on a political party and political apparatus that has already begun to fall apart to run a country of this size is bound to be problematic. Not to mention the need to push for reforms. According to history, we can analyze that any tremendous reform will cause earth-shaking changes among the people, especially the people's ideological concepts. When the masses are mobilized, but without a strong body to lead and guide them, and all kinds of new ideas are allowed to spread, the country will be in chaos. Moreover, the situation of the Soviet Union was even more peculiar: they were a union state formed by fifteen union republics, with more than 100 nationalities on its territory, and without a strong centralized system and without the unanimous loyalty and belief of all the people, the country would be in chaos. When the time comes, even if Gorbachev wants to retract it, he will not be able to do it. ”

"What will happen after the chaos of the country?"

Old Man Bao stared at him and asked.

"Grandpa Bao, if Gorbachev and the party he leads cannot control the situation in the whole country, there will be two situations, one is local secession and chaos. Second, new political parties and ruling systems have risen to replace them. The Romance of the Three Kingdoms said well, the general trend of the world, if you join for a long time, you will divide for a long time, and you will be together for a long time. Throughout the history of the world's major powers, this has been basically the case. In the early days of the Republic of China, the Qing Emperor abdicated and Yuan Shikai replaced him. Then he went against the grain, and his life was whimper, and there was no strong centralized power, and the country was in chaos, and the warlords were fighting. We fought for so many years before we finally established a new country and reunited the country under the leadership of the great leader. Based on this, I believe that if Gorbachev insists on going his own way and continues to do so, the CPSU will inevitably disintegrate, the Soviet Union will inevitably split, and the union republics will become independent and become the territory of the nineteenth century. ”

Bao Ping'an's eyes suddenly showed a look of shock.

Bao Xing looked at Fan Hongyu's eyes, surprised but also very excited. Through a period of contact in the barracks, I have long known that Xiao Fan is a character, and I don't want him to be so "far-sighted". As for what Fan Hongyu said, whether it can be fulfilled and ignored, at least it can be said, it is very remarkable.

However, Bao Ping'an did not scold Fan Hongyu, but looked at the old man.

A meaningful smile flashed at the corner of the old man's mouth, and he asked, "Then, what will happen?" ”

Fan Hongyu said: "Then, it's the stage for Leonid and these people." There are talented people from generation to generation, each leading the way for hundreds of years. ”

"So, do you think it's time to start paying attention to Leonid and building friendship with them as much as possible?"

"Yes, Grandpa Bao. The icing on the cake is better than a charcoal in the snow. Once the Soviet Union really splits, the geopolitics of the whole world will change dramatically, and this is our chance. It is extremely difficult to find a path to prosperity and strength between the two superpowers. When one of them goes wrong, our chance comes. The energy reserves of North and Central Asia are immeasurable. There are also political, economic, and military cooperation in all aspects, all of which have great prospects. ”

Fan Hongyu said, quite confident.

Bao Xing interjected and asked, "So, what should we do?" ”

In his opinion, how difficult is it to carry out diplomacy between countries?

Fan Hongyu smiled, took a sip of the teacup, and said, "Baoxing, we don't have to worry about this." Naturally, people with great skills come forward to operate. ”

Old Man Bao laughed heartily, patted the armrest of the sofa lightly, nodded again and again, and said, "Okay, good!" Young people should have their own ideas and opinions. That's great! ”

"Yes, thank you, Grandpa Bao."

Old Man Bao looked at Fan Hongyu, his eyes were full of encouragement: "Hongyu, you surprised me. However, I'm also very happy. Our country is vigorously promoting young, knowledgeable, educated, and insightful cadres, and we are in need of talents like you. Although many of the things you just talked about are just your personal analysis, they are still very immature. But you dare you think about it, that's pretty good in itself. In the future, we will continue to carry it forward. Of course, when doing specific work, you should still be down-to-earth and not ambitious! ”

"Yes!"

Fan Hongyu replied respectfully, but he was not too humble. Old man Bao has been fighting horses for half his life, and his personality is different from that of ordinary founding fathers, and he is too cautious in front of him, which may not be a good idea.

At that moment, Old Man Bao asked some about the situation in the Yanhua area, and he was very concerned about the lives of the masses in the old revolutionary area, and Fan Hongyu answered them one by one. Although Baoxing had also served in Yuyang before, the soldiers did not know as much about the local situation as the government cadres. The old man was very satisfied with Fan Hongyu's answer.

At noon, Fan Hongyu stayed in the courtyard and accompanied the old man and Bao Ping'an and others to have Chinese food.

ps: Yesterday, thanks to the grace of all the kings, more than 500 monthly passes, this is the fifth chapter of yesterday's addition. Today's two chapters are guaranteed to be updated in the afternoon and evening. (Site. Your support is my biggest motivation. )