"The industrial policy of the Soviet Union was very successful before and after the Second World War, making them leap from a backward agricultural country to the second largest industrial country in the world.

However, the policy of relying too much on heavy industry was correct in the past, and it was even more necessary in the war years, but it is wrong in the present and in the era of peace, because heavy industry occupies excessive energy, manpower, material, and financial resources, and deprives the broad masses of peasants, especially the peasants, of their interests.

Although the lives of ordinary people in the Soviet Union are now better than those of the Chinese people, or even much better, there is a saying that 'we do not suffer from poverty, but suffer from inequality', and now the disparity between the rich and the poor in the Soviet Union is too great, and the prestige of the officials has greatly hurt the hearts of the ordinary people, and the officials and their families have rich food and clothing, while the common people are worried about bread. Although China is poor, the reward for the rich and poor in China is small, and everyone is almost on the same starting line, without too much resentment, and more importantly, our life is improving day by day, while the life of the people in the Soviet Union is getting worse day by day, so the mood of the people of the two countries is completely different.

The Soviet Union's reckless militarism and its excessive pursuit of high-end weapons and high-end technology in disregard of domestic realities made the national economy even worse, and the gold they had managed to reserve was already used to buy food. In the future, they can only rely on the sale of crude oil, ore, and timber to support the people's livelihood. In addition, the national policy of the Soviet Union was also a major factor in the proliferation of internal contradictions, and the separation between the republics and the possibility of conflict could break out at any time. Therefore, I think that the decline of the Soviet Union is inevitable, and it will not be long before it will decline to the level of second-rate countries, and that their union republics may well become independent from the Soviet Union. ”

In particular, China's ruling party, because it was worried that it would also follow the old path of the Soviet party, spared no effort to conduct an all-round study of the former Soviet Union, seriously dissected the historical process of the Soviet party, and even carefully studied each Soviet government and head of government. It can be said that countless efforts were expended.

In his previous life, Guo Zhuocheng also wrote a lot of treatises on this subject, whether it was Chinese, Russian, or many Western countries, and he himself thought a lot about it.

But. There are many, many people and institutions involved in the study of the collapse of the Soviet Union. There are thousands of opinions that come with it, and almost everyone has a different point of view. Some explain it economically, some explain it from the institutional point of view, and some explain it from the political point of view. Others explain it from the military and scientific and technological perspectives, and there is no unified statement at all. If there is unification, the most that can be said is that a power class headed by high-ranking officials has been formed within the Soviet Union, who have degenerated into moths of the state, leading the common people to distrust the government.

Among the reasons for these summaries. There are also many people who regard the US "Star Wars program" as the greatest contributor to the collapse of the Soviet Union, and brag about how wise and clever the US Government was at that time, and how clever it was to turn the Soviet Union around at a small price, and finally dragged down the powerful Soviet Union.

These US fans also boasted that the "Star Wars Project," which the United States had to suspend because it was unable to fulfill its main function, was a sharp weapon of the US Government against the Soviet Union, and beautified this failed project, which cost more than $250 billion, as a perfect empty plan directed by the US Government.

Guo Zhuocheng's so-called "Star Wars program" for the United States to drag down the Soviet Union is nonsense at all, and it is not worth mentioning at all, and at best it is the last straw that crushed the Soviet Union. This plan was simply impossible and incapable of leading to the collapse of the huge Soviet Union, if not for internal Soviet reasons. This failed plan could not have had much impact on the Soviet Union.

Guo Zhuocheng did not fully understand why the Soviet Union suddenly collapsed in this life, but because he knew that the collapse of the Soviet Union was a real fact, he explained the reasons cited by some experts in his previous life. Because the "Star Wars program" of the United States has not yet been proposed, Guo Zhuocheng did not talk about it.

Using the current situation to speculate what will happen in the future is not as simple as doing a math problem "one plus one equals two". Moreover, the reasons mentioned by Guo Shucheng are almost all general, and it is impossible to infer the decline of the Soviet Union from these reasons.

Everyone here is a human spirit, how can they not hear that Guo Zhuocheng is "perfunctory" them? If Guo Zhuocheng said that these reasons led to the decline of the Soviet Union, and even led to the independence of some of the union republics. Then the USSR should have fallen apart a long time ago, because these problems have long existed. It's not new to the moment at all.

After listening to Guo Shucheng's conclusion, Li Guanding of the Intelligence Bureau asked suspiciously: "Director Guo, are your reasons?" ......, that's too unconvincing, isn't it? If you say that there will be rebellions and wars of invasion within the Soviet Union, I would believe it, but I really can't understand that they are in decline because of the fact that these countries basically exist. What country does not have a huge disparity between the rich and the poor, what people in power are corrupt, and what ordinary people have no daily necessities? Some are even stricter than in the Soviet Union. ......, Director Guo, can you be more specific, is there a correlation number jù? ”

"To be specific" is obviously a euphemism, if it weren't for Guo Zhuocheng being covered by the supreme chief and others, Li Guanding would have scolded: "What kind of bullshit reason are you talking about? Pure speculation, nothing dry. Do we believe that the huge Soviet Union will decline because you are so open-mouthed? Should we therefore adjust our policies on foreign affairs, national defense, and so on? This is child's play! For the reasons you mentioned, I could name several of them when I opened my mouth. ”

It cannot be said that Li Guanding, who is in charge of intelligence, is too demanding of Guo Zhuocheng, but it is really because Guo Zhuocheng and Li Guanding are in different positions: Guo Zhuocheng knew that the Soviet Union would decline, and he would not say the reason for it. Besides, how many reasons can he come up with in a hurry, so many experts in his previous life did not study anything in his life, everyone started from the existing results, and in turn looked for the reasons for the collapse of the Soviet Union, how could he infer the sufficient conditions for what had not yet happened?

And Li Guanding still doesn't know if this will happen, he is not a reborn, he doesn't believe or dare not believe that there is such a pie in the sky at all, not to mention that ordinary people who engage in intelligence have a characteristic, that is, they think about defeat first and then win, and never take what is possible as something that will inevitably be realized, but think more about how to retreat if the desired effect is not achieved, and how to think about the way back.

He could not infer the conclusion of the decline of the Soviet Union from Guo Zhuocheng's words, not only did he not have a quantitative number of indicators, but also did not impress him with facts.

Li Guanding, who has excellent eyesight and quick thinking, even reached the cold sweat on Guo Zhuocheng's forehead, and it was obvious that Guo Zhuocheng showed some timidity, and his dodgy gaze showed the panic in his heart.

He couldn't help but let out a sneer from his heart: "Boy, you are so bold, you are blowing in front of the supreme leader, hum!" ”

However, when he looked at the Supreme Chief and Yu Gangqiu, he found that they all looked pensive, and even eager to try. Even General Xu, a rough man in the army, also looked at Guo Zhuocheng, who was asked by himself.

Only Qi Pengduo, the foreign minister, looked at this and that in a daze.

When it came to the expressions of the Supreme Chief, Yu Gangqiu, and General Xu, Li Guanding, who thought that he had asked the other party and grabbed Guo Zhuocheng's handle, did not feel any joy, and even felt cold all over his body, feeling that he was falling into the ice cellar: "Why do they believe him so much?" Didn't they come out of his weak heart, and didn't come out that the reason he just said was just nonsense? No! No way! They must have come out, with their wisdom, with their decades of experience in knowing people, not to mention the wise gods like the supreme chief, even General Xu, a military giant who has read countless people, must also come out. Why do they have this expression? ”

According to Li Guanding's estimate, there are people who can disguise and lie more than Guo Zhuocheng, and they can also see through it at a glance by the supreme chief, and he will never believe that they are not as embarrassed and weak as Guo Zhuocheng is now.

Li Guanding had no choice but to set his eyes on Qi Pengduo, wanting to get an answer or hint from him, but unfortunately, his expression was similar to Li Guanding's, still at a loss.

Seeing Li Guanding coming, he just gave him a wry smile back.

Li Guanding is right, Guo Zhuocheng is indeed empty-hearted now: he is panicked and depressed in his heart.

Guo Shucheng was terrified because he reached the gaze that pierced into the depths of his soul in the eyes of the supreme chief, Yu Gangqiu, and General Xu. He was afraid that the previous three would be able to wear the secrets they had hidden in their hearts, that they would know that they were reborn. The more they believe in themselves, the more they trust themselves, the more they know, and the more they doubt him.

"If they knew I was born again, what would they do to me?" Guo Zhuocheng thought a little panicked, at this time, he didn't care about wiping the cold sweat on his forehead, "It's really that sooner or later you have to pay it back, your own expression is so weird, can they not doubt it?" Didn't they call me from Qionghai Island to this kind of secret meeting, just because they knew I was weird? What am I going to do? ”

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