In the evening, Zhang Wen bought some cooked dishes, beer, snacks, and prepared to watch the game in the middle of the night, Spain vs. Honduras.

In order to compensate for the failure of this football lottery bet, Honduras is recommended, and the handicap is two goals / two and a half goals, and the recommended score is Spain 2:0. And vowed to break the news that Spain would never win more than 2 games, so that fans boldly bet.

This is basically the same as Zhang Wen's judgment: if you let more than two goals, you can bet on the lower handicap, and if you let two goals, there is a great possibility of going water.

Zhang Wen looked at the odds offered by major casinos on the football betting page, and saw that the odds of Spain vs Honduras were two goals/two and a half goals, but the water level in Honduras was too low, only 1.66. If Spain wins by two goals, it can only win half of 0.66 0.33, that is, it may only win 33 yuan if you bet 100 games, and the odds of 2:0 in the score board are only 4.5.

The casino has 4,500 yuan, which is almost all the available funds, gritted his teeth and took out the profit of 900 yuan in the past 5 days, 800 yuan to suppress Honduras, and 100 yuan to press the score 2:0. If he loses, he will go to the Internet tomorrow to greet the eight generations of his ancestors who "swept the world".

I slept until almost 11 o'clock, slept until I woke up naturally, and I was in a good mood, and I saw more than 4 o'clock in last night's live broadcast, and sure enough, Spain was 2:0.

Open the casino account, the profit has arrived, betting on Honduras 800 (two goals/two and a half goals, 1.66) and the profit is 264 yuan; Bet 100 yuan score 2:0 profit 350 yuan, account funds are now more than 5,100 yuan, open the football lottery network, the first prize is vacant, "sweep the world" won a second prize, 420,000, a loss of 800,000, according to the 50% guarantee, "sweep the world" their own loss of 400,000, the remaining 400,000 is the lottery friends who bought with the single to digest it, Zhang Wen's 40 yuan came back 13 yuan. Zhang Wen's own 16 yuan small duplex won 7 games.

Last night's "sweeping the world" heavy bet single recommendation let a lot of people win money, so today the Internet is very lively, this issue has a rollover bonus, lottery friends on the next football lottery betting discussion is very warm, "sweep the world" said the next bet about 1 million, and predicted that there are still a lot of unpopular, lottery friends are also excited to increase the amount of betting.

Zhang Wen looked at the next issue against the shape shì, not very optimistic, "sweeping the world" betting volume is too large, and the copy can't make a lot of money. However, this kind of betting is beneficial to the syndicate initiator, and the frequent winning of the lottery makes the stars and crowns behind the initiator's name continue to increase, and it is easy to attract more followers.

I took my daughter out for a meal of KFC at noon, I don't understand, how children like to eat this kind of foreign fast food, looking at my daughter's satisfied appearance, I am also very satisfied, my daughter has always been the softest piece of Zhang Wen's heart, talking and laughing with my daughter, sometimes noisy, it is really enjoyable. It's a pity that it's only between daughters, and my wife is like a stranger now......

Well, if there is a divorce, what will the daughter think, the daughter is almost 12, and she will be 14 years old in two years, she should have her own ideas, choices, and then talk about it, or focus on the present, and it is imperative to turn around her situation first......

In the afternoon, Zhang Wen washed his clothes and dried them out, during which he vacuumed the house, mopped the floor and other housework, anyway, now Zhang Wen did what he should do, and then, read the book and do the question, the dinner was washed and cut by his wife, Zhang Wen came to take charge of the spoon, there is no way for his daughter to like to eat Zhang Wen's dishes, the power of father's love is great, for his daughter to eat happily, Zhang Wen's level of cooking is constantly improving, and sometimes he also checks the cooking method of some dishes on the Internet, and the progress of cooking skills makes Zhang Wen a little proud from time to time......

In the evening, Zhang Wen began to study a new round of football lottery, and found that this issue of football lottery 310 is very difficult to place an order, and there is nothing special about the odds. I simply didn't buy this issue, and I bought 20 yuan with "Sweeping the World", and sure enough, this time "Sweeping the World" a domineering order of 1.6 million, there are really a lot of buyers, and the purchase progress has reached 75%, it seems that the popularity of "Sweeping the World" is still very strong.

I also saw that there was a person called "Huangliang Dream" in the buying area who also sent a betting slip, with a total amount of 120,000 yuan, a minimum guarantee of 50%, look at his past records, won the second prize twice, and the total prize money actually hit 670,000, and the amount of bets each time is not large, less than 50,000, it seems that this boss is a cold type. This time, the betting amount is quite large, and Zhang Wen also bought 10 yuan, wanting to see how he bought his bet slip.

Or study a single game, in fact, the study of odds is not very helpful to the football lottery, because the number jù can only be seen to change when the game is present, and the football lottery is bought a few days ago, and the chapter text on the Asian handicap analysis is more, and for the purchase of football lottery, it is more useful to analyze the odds changes in the European handicap.

Zhang Wen found that the main idea of analyzing the odds for a long time is to stay in the comparison of the odds of the casinos, the difference in the water level, and the analysis of all aspects of the team's factors, and then make a judgment, but the effect is not ideal, the victory or defeat is almost five or five open, of course, Zhang Wen generally bets on the Asian handicap, and the 50% winning rate is sure to lose, because the average water level is only 0.9. The winning rate of playing Asian handicap must reach more than 55% to be profitable.

How can I increase my win rate? To change the way of thinking, profit, right, profit, the profit of the casino, the betting amount and odds of the casino, and the change of the water level to calculate the profit of the casino, so as to see the casino's prediction and judgment of the game. So how do you know how much to bet and how much to bet for each time period? It's a number that no one can tell you.

Zhang Wen thought of a way: no matter what the amount of betting is divided into 10,000 shares, a game, the initial set in the game 20 days before the game opened, Zhang Wen will be counted as the first record point, and then the initial time to the average odds of the first 10 days before the game is counted as a record point, and then from the first 10 days before the game to calculate a record point every day, and then the closer to the game record point increased accordingly, to the day before the game, increased to 20 record points, a total of 60 record points were set, and the betting share of each record point was not the same, The closer you get to the match, the bigger it gets, and the share of bets on the day before the match is set at 60%. The profitability of each record point is then calculated.

Simple example: initial draw, upper handicap: 0.9, lower handicap: 0.9, then the casino's profit on this record point is 0.1 on the upper handicap, plus 0.1 on the lower handicap, which equals 0.2. Of course, it can't be so simple, but also take into account what the situation is like when the market changes, what will happen if the water level is lowered, how the betting amount should change, and how to calculate the profit of the casino, the profit of the casino, and the profit of the casino.

And the distribution of the current betting amount is their own assumption, but also according to the results of the game reverse calculation, Zhang Wen put this idea on the paper into a tree-like directory, obediently, it is simply a huge project!

Sort out your thoughts today, and design a table with Excel tomorrow, you can be real, hey, hooligans are cultured, and casinos can't stop it.