"Tao Xia, do you think the buns can go up today?" After reading Tao Xia's text message, Ding Xu laughed for a while, took two deep breaths, and then slowly calmed down with some surging thoughts, and gave Tao Xia a text message.

He didn't say anything else, just chatted with Tao Xia about stocks.

Of course, this is purely useless, after all, Ding Xu has nothing else to do, but he still has a little capital to be proud of in terms of stock speculation.

Tao Xia, on the contrary, is very good in all aspects, but she really has no experience in stocks, and she is obviously not enthusiastic about discussions involving stocks. After all, the more she communicated with Ding Xu, the more she felt that she had no talent to be proud of in stock trading.

Especially after discussing stocks with Ding Xu several times in the miracle group, Tao Xia was obviously aware of the gap between the two sides and his status in the miracle group, so he was a little discouraged, and simply handed over the decision-making power of stock operation to Ding Xu, and became the shopkeeper himself.

So after hearing Ding Xu's question, Tao Xia's answer was also very simple: "I don't know, I'm not a stock god, and I don't want to guess its trend." Just put it there, you just help me keep an eye on it, I don't bother to care. ”

"Uh...... You have to learn some techniques, at least you have to learn to predict the trend, learn to keep an eye on the market! Ding Xu hurriedly replied, "Otherwise, if you make money in the stock market in the future, you will go to your father to get sè, and he will ask you how you made the money, whether it was earned by your own ability, how do you answer?" He wants to ask you how to choose stocks, and you don't know how to deal with it, right? ”

"That's really a problem!" Tao Xia was obviously shocked by Ding Xu's words, and replied after a while. "Then I'll try to learn more skills."

"Good! This is the aspiring youth! Ding Xu laughed happily.

Although Tao Xia didn't say that he wanted to learn techniques from himself. But since she wants to learn technology. Naturally, it is inevitable to deal with himself more, and the private chat information will inevitably explode, and when he thinks of this, Ding Xu is overjoyed.

It didn't take long for Tao Xia to call over: "I'm too lazy to type, I'll talk to you for two yuan." I remember yesterday you said in the group that the market stood on the 6o daily line, and today's task is to hold the 6o daily line. And the bun came down yesterday after touching the 6o daily line. It will also be interesting to see if it can stand on the 6o daily line today. It seems that the 6o daily line is important? ”

"It's really important." When it came to technology, Ding Xu immediately became focused, "I'll tell you about the 6O daily moving average." ”

For the 6O daily moving average that the market is impacting recently, Ding Xu and Qi Fei have had an in-depth discussion, attach great importance to this moving average, and reach a consensus to take the 6O daily moving average as an important basis for trading.

The stock software provides a lot of moving averages, and in the process of using the software, investors have also formed some conventional tacit understandings, such as the common 5-day, 1O-day, 2O-day, 3O-day, 6O-day, 12O-day, and 25O-day moving averages. It is widely used by investors.

In addition, it is necessary to "5, 1o, 2o, 3o, 12o days. 5 weeks, 1o weeks, 2o weeks, 3o weeks" and other time parameters" are not only popular in the domestic stock market, but also in foreign stock markets. And it is not only popular in the stock market, but also in the bond market, foreign exchange market, gold market, and futures market. The moving average made from these time parameters is used as one of the analysis tools and is widely used.

And among these moving average parameters, the 6o daily moving average is a very important medium-term moving average.

Excluding weekends, there are about 2o trading days in a month, so the 6o daily moving average is the closing average price of the last three months, which is of great significance to the market and the later trend of individual stocks.

Among many technical indicators evolved from the moving average, the 6O daily moving average is an important support point, and if individual stocks effectively fall below the 6O daily average price, the market outlook is mostly not optimistic.

The 6o daily moving average of the broader market is even more important. There are many experienced old investors who regard the 2O or 3O daily moving average as the short-term lifeline of the market, the 6O daily moving average as the medium-term lifeline of the market, and the 12O daily moving average as the long-term lifeline of the market, that is, the bull and bear dividing line.

Once the market falls below the 2O and 3O daily lines, savvy old investors will be out of the sidelines. Once the market falls below the 6O daily moving average, these old stockholders will immediately choose to rest their short positions, go out to travel and relax, and no longer do any operations. It has to wait until the market regains its footing on the 6o daily line and the medium and long-term trend regains before re-entering the market.

Although stock critics will always have the saying of "putting aside the market to do individual stocks", but more than 9o% of the trend of individual stocks is closely linked to the trend of the market, even if there are 1o% of strong stocks in the market can rise against the market in the continuous decline, but this is a very small number after all, want to buy such stocks in the falling market, and buy the probability of winning the lottery is about the same.

And once this kind of strong stock makes up for the fall, the decline is also very amazing. Just like after the end of the bull market in January 2oo7, some small and mid-cap stocks continued to hit new highs, but in the catch-up market that began in May 2oo8, they also fell extremely fiercely, no less than the large-cap stocks that fell in advance.

Therefore, if the market falls below the 6o daily moving average, experienced old investors will not be like some new investors, always fantasizing about being able to catch the 1o% strong stocks and realize the ideal of making money against the market. Old investors will regard this ideal as a dream and the source of losses, and stay away.

In short, in the eyes of old stockholders, although the moving average has a certain lag in judging the trend, the medium and long-term moving average reflects the general trend of the market very clearly and is easy to grasp.

Although there are many moving averages on the software, in the eyes of some old investors, they only need to use a simple 6O daily moving average to see the medium-term trend, which is called simplifying complex problems.

For example, Qi Fei had carefully studied the Shanghai Index trend chart since 2oo4 last night, compared with the 1O day, 3O day, 12O day and other moving averages, the 6O daily moving average can more clearly show the greater change trend in the medium-term market, and at the same time does not appear too sensitive or too lagging behind, which is more obvious in the stock market from 2oo6 to 2oo8 years with an obvious unilateral trend.

Before the bull market peaked from January 2oo6 to January 2oo7, the index only briefly fell below the 6O daily moving average three times between August 2oo6 and June-July 2oo7, and the rest of the time it ran steadily above the 6O daily line, thus giving birth to a wave of big bull market.

After peaking below the 6O daily moving average in November 2oo7, the index only briefly rebounded to the 6O daily moving average in January 2oo8, and on January 17, the gap fell, breaking down the 6O daily line at 5272 points again, officially announcing the failure of the market's rebound efforts in early January.

After falling below the 6O daily line on January 17, the stock index fell, breaking through the 5ooo, 4ooo points and annual lines all the way, and the big bear market began. After that, it fell all the way below the 3ooo and 2ooo mark, all the way to 1664 points. During this period of endless ups and downs, the market has also had many brief rebounds, but at most it has been close to the 6O daily moving average, and has never touched the 6O daily moving average, let alone broken through this moving average.

For example, on April 24 and September 19, 2oo8, the management successively bailed out the market, and the market blew out twice, and even once rose to the limit, but the highest point of the rebound was still more than 100 points away from the 6o daily line, and the rebound ended hastily.

It was not until November that the 6o daily line began to flatten and was close to the index, and the market saw the hope of standing on the 6o daily line again. However, on November 18 and November 27, the Shanghai Composite Index turned around and fell sharply twice as soon as it touched the 6o daily line, declaring failure again.

Therefore, this kind of inertial thinking that is close to or touches the 6o daily line and begins to fall sharply, has formed a psychological resonance in the market, causing a psychological panic, as long as the market touches the 6o daily line, there will be a shrinking transaction and a decline in individual stocks.

And yesterday, December 4, the Shanghai Composite Index opened strongly above the 6o daily line, and opened high and went high, although it began to dive after two o'clock, the increase fell from nearly 5% to 1.84%, and set a recent volume of 125.7 billion, but after all, it closed above the 6o daily moving average.

This is the first time in 218 trading days that the Shanghai Composite Index has finally stood on the 6O daily moving average again, which is of great significance!

………

(There is a third shift today before 12 o'clock to make up for yesterday's arrears.) In addition, the author's testimonial is attached to today's market analysis. (To be continued!)

ps: The market fell below 22oo points, and the washing was very fierce, this is the fourth consecutive black Thursday this month, which can no longer be explained by coincidence, but shows that all Qiē are under the control of the main force.

The pit of this new share subscription was indeed dug a little deep, and with the downside of the P fan, the Shanghai Composite Index penetrated 22oo points. However, the area around 218o-22oo is the bottom of this box type finish, which has enough support. From the perspective of the 3O daily line and the 6O and 3O minute moving average support on the daily line, 2188-2192 points are the most important support.

Today's 8 new shares subscribed, tomorrow only 2, frozen 900 billion funds, resulting in a local capital vacuum, and bring inertia squatting, and wait for next week's funds to thaw after the return, there will be a new rebound momentum. Now that foreign capital continues to flow into A-shares, it will take another wave of market to make a profit, so there is no need to worry about the adjustment in the past few days. As long as it does not effectively fall below the 3o daily line, the market will not die. Of course, if even the gap of 8 points between 2127 and 2135 is filled, the market will really die, at least it will be a more terrifying second bottom. And before that, don't worry, every time a relatively large market starts, it will be tossed so repeatedly. It's still shaking in the box, and it's not time to give up and run away, so have faith.

Technically, indicators such as the large market KDJ have been sold strictly, coupled with strong support below, there is a high probability that it will rebound tomorrow and regain its position at 22oo points.

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