Text-only online reading of the domain name of Biquge

"Haha, Zen Master, you joined the group late, so I haven't heard of miracles say this metaphor, we have heard it a long time ago." The license plate smiled and interjected, "To put it simply, doing a long line is like taking a direct express bus, resisting any temptation to get off the bus to see the scenery and make the difference, and sit all the way to the end and enjoy double the profit." Doing a short trip is like riding a bicycle to go on an outing, looking here and there, it looks relaxed and exciting, but it doesn't take long to even lose sight of the butt of the direct bus. ”

"Well, I did say this metaphor in the group a while ago, in order to deepen everyone's impression, I can also analyze it from another angle, that is, the question that the Zen master wants to ask, why is this happening?"

Ding Xu analyzed, "When a stock falls to a historical low in a bear market, after a period of consolidation, and begins to rise in volume, there are signs of starting, we can judge that the main force has basically collected enough chips, and its stock price can still rise back, and it can more than double the profit." At this time, buying is equivalent to taking a direct express bus, and you can get more than double the profit. It sounds easy, but it's also very difficult, and not many people can do it! ”

"Why?" The Zen master asked.

"Because after all, this is different from the direct express bus in life, the direct express bus in life, there is a transportation company behind it, there is a credit guarantee, as long as you get on the bus, the driver will be responsible for sending you to your destination safely. But in the stock market, you can't get a credit guarantee. The possibility of doubling may be your own judgment, or it may be the driver's judgment, but this is all unknown, and no one can be absolutely sure that it can be doubled until the stock price actually doubles. And in the process of driving, there will be various temptations or intimidations that will confuse you all the time. It makes it easy for you to doubt your own judgment and even wonder if this driver is a liar. This wave of pulling up is not a fake breakthrough, it is a real shipment. ”

Ding Xu said with a smile. "For example, when I stop at every small station, sometimes a beautiful woman will appear and say to you, handsome guy, get off, I opened a room, waiting for you. Sometimes big men appear. Say to you, boy, I put a bomb in the car, and it exploded five minutes later, and if you don't get out of the car, you'll die. In short, the stock price is high and low, rising and falling, so that you can see the opportunity to do T at once, and feel the fear of breaking the position at once. You'll give yourself all sorts of reasons to get off. There are very few people who can insist on not looking, not listening, not thinking, not fearing, and not being greedy, so there are very few people who can finally sit at the station and get off decisively. As I've often analyzed before. Retail investors have a profit of ten points, which is like holding a bowl of hot soup, and they can't wait to cash it out immediately. And with a few points of loss, I can't wait to cut the meat quickly. ”

"Well, that's the case, so I said that retail investors speculate in stocks, and what they speculate on is their own basis for stock speculation, and what they fight against is their own greed and hatred." Eating not fat nodded in agreement. "The problem is that a lot of people don't have the skills to trade stocks, and they don't have the ability to analyze fundamentals. So they don't have a basis for their own judgment. One can only choose to trust the driver's judgment. For example, in our group, many people used to buy a stock. I listened to the recommendations of analysts or relatives and friends, and after a long time, I forgot why I bought this stock at that time. ”

"Well, blind obedience is a terrible thing, many retail investors have basically not enjoyed the happiness of making money, and they will be trapped when they buy it, standing guard on the high hill, it seems that the purpose of stock speculation is to solve the trap." Yanzi said with deep feelings, "For example, I just listened to the introduction of a buddy, bought a stock, and was put to death." Last year, my QQ signature has always been 'fighting for the rest of my life'. I'll go, it's too sad. Fortunately, now that there is a miracle for this old driver, I see hope for unraveling. ”

"You're right, blind obedience is dangerous, so you must use your hands and brains more and try your best to form your own analytical and judgment skills, so that is the way to continue to make profits. Without technical and analytical skills, you can only choose a good driver for the time being and let him take you where you want to go. How to choose, first, you have to rely on your own experience and experience to judge whether the driver is trustworthy. Second, once you choose, try to trust the driver all the time. Because he is the only one who holds the steering wheel, the one who is at the helm, you don't change it lightly. Don't believe him all at once, doubt him all at once, and choose to believe A today and B the day after tomorrow, then you will be at a loss, and it will be over. ”

Ding Xu continued to explain, "For example, if you get on this bus and suddenly hear the driver of the other car yelling, my car is faster. So you think that train is more suitable for you, and you get on that train again. At this time, other drivers also shouted, saying how good their car was, how bad the car you were sitting in, so you kept changing back and forth, and finally most of the day passed, and you were still playing in circles. ”

"That's right, I just don't have the skills, so I don't have the confidence. After buying a stock, as long as my colleague said that the stock was not good, I would waver, and the next day I sold it and changed to the stock recommended by my colleague, and it rose sharply as soon as I sold it. Bao Erdan said dejectedly, "Frequent stock swaps are indeed taboo, and I also know that this problem is not good, but it just can't be changed." ”

"Well, I understand the metaphor of miracles, it's good, but it's still a little subjective. Even if the average retail investor has some technology, but is not proficient, and the main force is often unexpected and violates the laws of technology, so how can we judge that it can be doubled in the future? The Zen master interjected.

"It's actually very simple, just make stocks that are near historical bottoms and haven't risen sharply in recent years. If there are signs of a main kick-off, they are stocks that are worth our involvement, and I call them bottom safety stocks. For example, some sub-IPOs in O7 and O8 can be analyzed by post-compounding, and they encountered the big bear market in O8, which fell by more than half compared with the market price, and even fell to one-third or one-quarter of the market price. This kind of stock, once the market goes well, it is relatively easy to double. There are also some old stocks that have been in the line for many years, and the bull market in O7 has risen more than tenfold, but at the end of O8, it fell to near the starting point of O5, and it is not difficult for such stocks to double, such as steamed buns, which have now doubled. Ding Xu replied.

"The latter is easy to understand. It shows that Zhuang is a strong village, and after fighting, it is not difficult to pull it up. But what is the logic of this falling below more than half of the market price? After all, they haven't gone up by a lot. Can you be sure that the main force will be able to pull back to the market price? The Zen master asked.

"It's very simple, after the reform of the split shares. With the new rules, major shareholders will have a few years of lock-up periods after each stock is listed. The ban can only be lifted after the expiration of the restriction period, at which time many major shareholders and company executives will choose to sell and make themselves tens of millions or even billionaires. Although the cost of the original shares of major shareholders and executives is very low, when the stock price is lower than the market price, they are generally unwilling to sell in this position, and often do market value management. Pull the stock price back above the market price and sell it again. In this way, when you buy below half of the market price, you will have a greater certainty that you will be out of the market when it rises back to the market price, which will naturally double. Ding Xu smiled.

"This is indeed an ideal method, but many stocks fall below the market price, often because the industry is in a recession, and profits fall sharply or even losses. Is there any hope for such a stock to return to the market price? A group member named "Life Winner" asked.

"That's a good question. I have always believed that at this stage of the Chinese stock market. Both performance and subject matter are secondary, and the most important thing is the cost of the main force. For us retail investors, the most important thing is to follow the banker. Lurk in when the stock price is lower than or equal to the cost of the main force, and retreat when the stock price is significantly higher than the cost of the main force and the main force begins to show signs of shipment. ”

Ding Xu explained, "For example, the stock price of a stock is 1o yuan, the earnings per share is 1 yuan, and the price-earnings ratio is ten times. When the performance fell to 5 cents per share, it fell by half, and maybe the stock price also fell by half, to 5 yuan. But when the performance slipped to 1 point, it fell by 99%. Will the stock also fall 99% to a dime? If the performance is at a loss. Will the stock price fall into negative territory? This is obviously impossible, at least for now, regardless of how many stocks are losing money. None of the penny stocks are less than one dollar. ”

"Yes, it does. But why is this happening? The winner of life scratched his head in confusion.

"Because whether it is performance or subject matter, it is just a tool for the main force to make money. The main force can create some negative and make the stock price plummet, so that the main force can pick up cheap chips, but it is impossible for the main force to suppress only one percent of the original stock price, which will be significantly lower than the average cost of the main force, and the main force will lose money, and it is basically impossible for him to return to the original position. Even if the main force level is powerful, it can be pulled a hundred times,? ”

Ding Xu said with a smile, "So no matter how the stock performance drops or even loses, there will be a limit to the decline of the stock price, which is generally below half to one-third of the market price." At this stage, the main force is basically losing money and shouting, in order to dig a pit at the bottom and force retail investors to spit out bloody chips. After the main force eats up the chips at the bottom, you will see, the company's performance will often improve, and various themes will also appear, and then it is time for the main force to start to rise and make a lot of money. And even if the fundamentals of the listed company are still very poor and there is no theme, the main force will still rise, because if he doesn't pull it, his own liabilities will become more and more, and the capital chain will be broken. So sometimes, the loss-making stocks are more ferocious, because the main force is in a hurry! ”

"That's exactly what happened. Miracles: Did you study psychology? How do you know so much about the psychology of market trading? The night asked sultry and admiringly.

"I studied law, and I learned it myself. However, to be a qualified judge, prosecutor, and lawyer, you must learn a little logic and philosophy, and you must learn to empathize. For example, imagine if you are the main force, how to force retail investors to sell low and buy high. Ding Xu smiled.

"No wonder." The night nodded sultryly, "Miracle, I understand your analogy." I just want to ask, how can you tell when the direct bus will start? Like you said, if this kind of stock has been trading sideways at the bottom, a horizontal is a few months or even a year or two, and the main force is endlessly shuffling, what should I do? ”

"That's really the biggest problem. In fact, the big brother of Jiangchuan Yuhuo has analyzed his safety stock standards in the group before, he works in a bank, and he is better at fundamental analysis. His criteria for safe stocks are mainly low valuation, good fundamentals, good financial indicators, good industry prospects, good dividends and high transfer ability, such as bank stocks. However, this kind of large-cap stocks with a depression in value tend to consolidate for several years before rising, and it is difficult for us retail investors to wait until the day of doubling. Therefore, the safety stocks in my mind pay more attention to the banker from the technical indicators. ”

Ding Xu said with a smile, "My standard is actually very simple, one is the concentration of chips at the bottom, which can be judged from the main tracking bar and the chip bar, which indicates that the stock price is lower than or equal to the main cost, and the downside is small and the upside is large." Second, there must be signs of start-up, requiring the volume to be amplified, and the moving average to go well, preferably in a bullish arrangement, posing for an upward attack. For example, after breaking through the long-term consolidation box, after the moving average bulls are arranged, the pullback after the first break through the long white line is the best time to intervene. At this time, I intervened, waited less time, and obtained more profits, so that I could eat the fat fish body, and I didn't have to eat the fish head with less meat and more bones. ”

"Doubling sounds like a lot of ease." The strange uncle interjected, "I just entered the market, and I don't understand anything, so I listen to the old driver of Miracle." Since then, I have been sitting in the car in a proper manner, being a well-behaved beautiful man, and I don't want to provoke any flower girl. ”

Everyone was amused by Uncle Strange's words, and the phrase "be a well-behaved beautiful man" has since become one of the buzzwords of the miracle group. Many years later, this sentence was even adapted into a classic line in a popular online drama.

That's an afterword.

…………………………… Dividing line ..............................

(Heartfelt thanks to "ydfq1998", "bitter one", "holding hands and talking about dreams_" and other 3 hardcore book friends generously rewarded as the leader of this book, welcome to enter the alliance leader group (miracle group) family exchange, I wish you a lot of money.)

Well, seeing the title of this chapter, my friends, you know I'm complaining to you. It's Valentine's Day, what have you all done? I have been a quiet beautiful man and woman, and I have been staying in the group to chat about stocks and grab red envelopes, you have grabbed a red envelope for a day, is it enough to buy a bouquet of roses?

Let's go to the streets at night. Go ahead, don't always listen to my uncle's story, I want to hear your wonderful stories too.

I can only be a quiet beautiful man, but you can't.

Don't stay in front of your computer all the time and live up to this annual Valentine's Day.

Especially the young people who are single, don't stay at home, don't rot.

There are several Valentine's Days in your life, we don't understand before the age of ten, and we don't ask after the age of fifty, so there are actually only 4o Valentine's Days in your life!

Happy Valentine's Day and great harvest.

Finally, I wish the group members of the alliance group a happy wedding "barbarians like the wind". The barbarian must not learn from the fat aunt, he sneaked out on the Internet on the wedding night, and refused to be a quiet beautiful man, there must be something wrong with this guy...... Haha, the fat man is lying down again...... (To be continued)

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