Chapter 199: Above the third line is a bull market

The moving average system is familiar to investors, and the parameter settings of the moving average are varied.

For example, if there are five trading days in a week, the default moving average is set according to the 5th, 1O, 2O, 3O, 6O, 12O, and 25O (annual line), which is generally in the MA2 parameter.

Investors who believe in Gann technology, because Gann attaches the most importance to the number 7, they like to set the moving average to 7 days, 14 days, 21 days and other time periods to take multiples of 7.

Some technical investors who like the Fibonacci sequence like to set based on the Fibonacci sequence, such as the 3rd, 5th, 8th, 13th, 21st, 34th, 55th, 89th, 144th, 233rd and other series of moving averages. In the use of large parameters, 55, 89, 144, 233 in Fibonacci numbers are often used in combination with other numbers, such as 72, 113, 187, 288, 384, 576, 748 and other numbers.

In the past, Ding Xu also specialized in studying the moving average problem, including these special moving average settings, and finally decided to only use the moving average system that comes with the software, but added a special 453-day line to the MA2 parameters.

The reason for this decision is that Ding Xuxian, the special moving average system adopted by stockholders seems to be very creative and can also prevent the dealer from cheating the line, but in fact, not every stock maker will create a deception line, deliberately create a deception line, but will bring a lot of trouble to themselves.

This is because the default traditional moving average in the software is set on a weekly basis of five trading days. It is used by the vast majority of shareholders. And the stock price is originally the resonant result of the psychology of shareholders. Therefore, the 5-day, 1O-day, 2O-day and 25-day parameters are the most widely used moving average parameter settings, and the market reaction caused by the breakdown or breakthrough of these moving averages is the largest.

In this case, the market maker can achieve the goal as long as the operation idea of the normal moving average is operated, so the market maker will use a combination of different parameter settings to analyze the stock, but in the pull up stage. Most of the time, the stock price will still be operated in a way that conforms to the traditional moving average system, allowing retail investors to help them hedge their positions.

And the special parameter moving average, in fact, is not much different from the traditional moving average, such as the 21-day moving average that some investors think is very smart, and the 2O daily moving average in the traditional parameters is also very small, and similarly, the 13-day moving average often used by some technical people is not much different from the traditional 1O daily moving average.

Therefore, Ding Xu generally only uses the default traditional moving average parameters in the software, but he feels that the 25o daily line that comes with the system is not enough to see the longer term. Therefore, a 453-day line recommended by Qi Fei was used.

After Qi Fei said the 453-day line, Ding Xu observed. Now according to this moving average to observe the trend of many bull stocks, we can see that this moving average is more important and effective for many bull stocks. Once this moving average is broken and stepped back into place, there is often a wave of aggressive offensives. Although this is not absolute, there is a high probability, which is enough for Ding Xu to pay attention to the long-term moving average of this large parameter.

It's just that the three moving averages proposed by Qi Fei tonight, the 445-day line, the 62O daily line, and the 99O daily line, are all moving averages with large parameters, and they are also long-term moving averages.

For example, calculated according to 25o trading days a year, the 99o daily line is only ten days away, which is the four-year moving average, which is not a small parameter!

"It is summarized as the 469 line, which should be the first number of these three moving averages, this name does not matter, but why do you have to use such a large number of parameter settings?" Ding Xu was a little puzzled.

"Very simply, the reason why some people like to use these large parameters for more than a year is because they believe that these large parameters contain the window of time, the principle of the golden section, and the accumulation of the average cost and trading volume of the market in a large time period. This also provides a basis for investors to buy the dip and sell the dip and sell the bargain. ”

Qi Fei replied, "In addition, you know, the shorter the time period, the easier it is for the main force to manipulate the stock price, including the deception line. The longer the time period, the more difficult it is to cheat the line, and the more difficult it is to manipulate the stock price. Therefore, the longer the timeframe moving average, the more accurate it tends to be on the big trend. For example, according to what I just said, these three lines, I feel that the judgment of the bull and bear market of the market is relatively accurate. If you strictly follow these three lines, it should be easy to make a profit, and it will be a long-term and stable profit. ”

"Oh, how do you say?" Ding Xu suddenly became interested.

Ding Xu naturally knows that in the stock market, it is not difficult to make money, and every shareholder has had the experience of making money. And the most difficult thing is how to make a long-term stable profit, not only to make money in the bull market, but also to make money in the bear market.

"Let me give you a little bit of this blogger's point of view." Qi Fei began to introduce.

Mathematically speaking, as long as it is an integer, it can be set as a moving average, but this effectiveness is to be observed, one is the process accepted by shareholders, and the other is whether the indicator effect on the support pressure level is effective, and whether it can provide an obvious role in the research and judgment of the market, such as the continuous research and judgment of the trend and the research and judgment of the support pressure. At the same time, it is also necessary to pay attention to the time effect, for example, some moving averages are valuable in one time period, but they fail in many other time periods, and the value of such moving averages is not high.

After a long period of research, almost all the integers from 1 to 1ooo have tried to set the average parameters, and finally the average numbers that have an obvious effect on the A-share market are 5 days, 13 days, 2O days, 34 days, 6O days, 89 days, 12O days, and 25O days, and the average of these parameters has a more obvious reference role in the research and judgment of individual stocks and indexes.

In addition, for the research and judgment of the broader market, there are three long-term moving averages, and the effect is also very significant. That is, the three moving averages of 445 days, 62o days, and 99o days, can also be applied to weekly and other time periods.

For the sake of memory, the first digit of these three moving averages is combined together and it can be called the 469 moving average.

The blogger believes: "On the daily level graph, the 469 moving average is the dividing line between bulls and bears in the broader market, since the birth of the Shanghai Composite Index, where the stock index stands firm in the third line, the bull market will really come, where the stock index is offline, the market is in a bear market." ”

It can be said that above the third line, there is a bull market. Under the third line, the road to the bear market!

On the weekly line, the 469 moving average can be used to judge the bottom of the general trend, and the three weekly lines constitute an interval, just like a moat at the bottom.

"It's kind of interesting." Ding Xu curiously clicked on the right chain on the K-line chart, selected the main chart indicator, and then chose to modify the main chart indicator, and on the first MA indicator window, the moving average was modified to 445 days, 62O days, and 99O days, so it can indeed indicate the boundary between the bull market and the bear market more accurately.

"Now the market is still below the three moving averages, so it's still a bear market?" Ding Xu shook his head and said regretfully.

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(Thank you for your generosity in rewarding you as the leader of this book, and welcome to the Miracle Group family.)

The reason why this chapter writes about these three moving averages in detail is because I am now, the current market has broken through the four moving averages of 445 days, 62o days, and 99o days, and the Shanghai Composite Index has just broken through the last 99o daily moving average, stepped back for a few days, and began to break through again today. Personally, I feel that after a period of time, it will officially start to hit the 24oo point mark and march towards the previous high of 2444 points. Therefore, I continue to maintain the judgment of a month or two ago, which is a cross-year market, a small bull market tailored for the registration system.

Tomorrow there will be more than 10 new stock news, maybe the short term is bearish, but the new stocks will not stop, the market will continue to rise, wait and see.

For those who are worried that they will not reach 2444 points, and that this is the last crazy book, looking at the history and current situation of these three moving averages may help strengthen confidence.

O1O buns and 714 Jinrui have made announcements today.,The specific interpretation is that I'm in the miracle group and the V group.,If you're interested, you can take a look.。 (To be continued!)

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