Chapter 178: Reversing Murphy's Law
After the close of trading on December 16, Qi Fei was a little worried about the future trend of the broader market, believing that he should be ready to run away at any time, which is the so-called strategic retreat.
Qi Fei's reasons for being bearish on the market are similar to Ding Xu's, which are nothing more than two:
First, although it continued to rebound today, it was still not large as yesterday, and the Shanghai Composite Index even hit a new low since December, and the Shenzhen Component Index was only 400 million more than yesterday's 27.2 billion land. This shows that the funds are unwilling to invest real money in the rebound, so the strength of the rebound is relatively weak, and the downward gap has not been filled so far.
The second is that the Shenzhen Component Index has not been able to return to the rising channel for three consecutive days, and it has effectively fallen below the rising trend line, which is more dangerous. Moreover, the Shanghai Composite Index also fell below the upward trend line in intraday trading today, which is a red signal for the bears to counterattack.
"I think Gluttonous Half Immortal has a point, you really have to be careful, after all, after falling below the rising channel, there is often a wave of killing. If you can avoid it, you still have to avoid it. At this time, a group member called "Reversing Murphy's Law" said, "I think that in the case of unclear upward and downward trends, you might as well come out and wait and see, so that if the market rises, you will pay a loss of 1o% at most, but if the market falls, you can avoid a decline of dozens of points." ”
Reversing Murphy's Law is an interesting girl, the screen name is "Beautiful Rendezvous", because it is deeply set by Baotou Steel Rare Earth, so she changed the group business card to "Full Head Bag". But during this time, the price of Baotou Steel's rare earths was not ideal, so she changed her name to "reverse Murphy's law." ”
Murphy's Law is a psychological effect, proposed by an American engineer, with four main contents: first, nothing is as simple as it seems; The second is that everything will take longer than you expect; The third is that things that will go wrong will always go wrong; Fourth, if you are worried about a certain situation. Then it is more likely to be born.
To put it simply. It's when the odds of a good and bad thing seem to be the same. Things are going to go badly.
Meili used to prefer to do short-term, her biggest headache is that when she is optimistic about two stocks at the same time, she chooses one of them to buy, and in the end, the stocks she always buys do not rise or even fall, while the stocks that she does not buy continue to rise sharply. She thinks this is exactly what Murphy's Law is doing, as the so-called things that go wrong will always go wrong, and the stocks that will go wrong will always be wrong......
For this. She changed the group card to "reverse Murphy's Law", hoping to reverse this law.
Because the name is so long, the group members habitually call her "Murphy".
Strange to say, after changing her name, she often made the right choice every time she was faced with a two-choice situation.
At first, Murphy thought that this was the reason for changing the name of Geely, but later after being reminded by her friend Bao Erdan, she felt that after entering the miracle group, the concept and mentality of stock speculation have changed greatly, and the level of stock speculation has also improved. In this way, you will pay more attention to details when selecting stocks, so that you can make the right choice.
Don't say anything else. The stock selection principle of "choosing stocks with poor performance or even loss performance" emphasized by Ding Xu alone gave her a lot of inspiration, and therefore she encountered several daily limits after choosing stocks with poor performance, which made her feel lucky and helpless at the same time.
Because of this, Murphy likes to stay in the miracle group more and more to listen to everyone's discussions, eagerly absorb more stock trading experience and theories, and slowly get used to independent thinking and decision-making.
For example, now that Qi Fei proposed to avoid the risk of the market falling, Murphy thought about it for a while and came to his own conclusion.
However, the glory days have always been bullish, and he does not agree with Murphy's conclusion: "In the medium to long-term uptrend, you should be comfortable holding and not moving around." If it is a medium and long-term downward trend, you should rest assured that you are short and don't always think about buying the bottom. Now is the mid to long-term uptrend, so don't be intimidated by short-term declines!! ”
"Radiance is right! High-quality stocks like Baotou Iron and Steel Rare Earth, many people have persevered when they fell thousands of points, and they were not scared out by the bookmaker, but unfortunately, they rebounded a few dollars a little, and then adjusted it and went back to the next gear, and many people were washed out! A group member named "Eat Not Fat" chimed in.
Like the name "Reversing Murphy's Law", the name "Eat Not Fat" also has some auspicious meanings in it, all of which are pinned on the screen name to realize dreams that are not easy to achieve in life.
The above sentence is more tactful, and if you talk about people, it means that you are actually a big fat person if you don't eat fat.
He opened a seafood restaurant at home, and it happened that he liked to eat more, so it was equivalent to a bee falling into a honey pot and only caring about eating all day long.
As for the ideal of not being fat, no matter how you eat, of course it is just an ideal.
"I'll admit you're right, but if you see it right, it's also a happy thing to make a difference!" Although most of the group members still think that it is not wise to sell Baotou Iron and Steel rare earths now, Murphy is obviously tempted and wants to sell high and buy low to make a difference.
However, the next day, the market did not go as Murphy and Qi Fei had envisioned.
Wednesday, December 17, light rain.
Today, the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets both opened higher, and then repeatedly shocked, making up for the gap in the high opening.
After ten o'clock, the Shanghai Composite Index and the Shenzhen Component Index both rose quickly, and a few minutes before the close of the morning, the Shenzhen Component Index reached a maximum of 7375 points, an increase of 1.71%, and the Shanghai Composite Index also rushed to 2oo3 points, an increase of 1.42%, recovering the 2ooo point mark.
At noon, Ding Xu reluctantly realized that some financial media that were still singing short yesterday suddenly changed their faces and began to count how many good things there were.
Of course, many of these so-called positive expectations are hazy positive expectations.
And the funny thing is that after the market rose and fell yesterday, these media are still counting the top ten negative things in the future, and those headlines haven't even had time to be taken down from the website, and seeing that today's market rally is gratifying, these media quickly turned to bullish.
Therefore, Ding Xu has always felt that the media is fickle, and those so-called masters are not necessarily higher than themselves. So, don't take the media too seriously.
Ding Xu has always been a take-it-or-leave-it doctrine, and for the financial media, he likes to read some information collected by the media. But never believe the conclusions drawn by the media. All conclusions. Whether professional or unprofessional. Ding Xu had to look at both the positive and negative views, and finally came to his own conclusions.
Maybe the conclusions I came to at the beginning were naïve, but as long as you stick to it, you will definitely benefit for a lifetime, not only in the stock market, but also in other areas of your life except for stock trading.
"The deep component finger seems to be very strong. But it's just that it has just hit the lower band of the upward trend line, and if you can stand up in the afternoon, it's really strong. At noon, Qi Fei commented.
For the Shenzhen Component Index, Ding Xu also has high hopes, hoping that it can rush back into the rising channel.
But the stock market is always full of variables, yesterday the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets fell sharply in the morning, rose sharply in the afternoon, and came to a magical reversal. Today, it rose sharply in the morning and dived in the afternoon.
Just after one o'clock in the afternoon. The disk, which had already rushed into the air, began to dive without warning.
First of all, PetroChina continued to have more than 1,000 active sellings and began to smash the market. Then there was a concentrated sell-off of other weights, especially the brokerage rights, which were collectively smashed, and the weights and weights went down collectively.
However, the power of the disk protection has also begun to appear, and after a wave of diving, there are often one or two plates rushing upwards to pull the index back a bit.
By three o'clock in the afternoon, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 1,976 points, up slightly by O.O9%, with a turnover of 69.7 billion, and the trading volume was enlarged compared with yesterday. The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 7,286 points, an increase of o.5%, with a turnover of 3.5 billion, and the trading volume was 7.4 billion more than yesterday.
"I can see that the deep component finger is like a kraft candy, always sticking to the lower edge of the upward trend line, but it just refuses to stand up. The Shanghai Composite Index is also a kraft candy, always sticking to the upper edge of the rising trend line, and it looks like it may fall below the rising trend line at any time, but it just refuses to fall below. After closing, Qi Fei said helplessly.
"What are you doing with the market? Your big. Even the Taurus has risen so well, the third price limit is up, cool to you! Zhao Zheyi said sourly.
Today is big. Even the Taurus watch xiàn eye-catching, high open and high, leaving a second gap, just after one o'clock in the afternoon, it firmly sealed the daily limit, and closed out the third daily limit board of the big white line. The closing price was 5.32 yuan, with a turnover of 110 million and a turnover rate of 1o.66%.
"Well, big. Even the Golden Bull is indeed rising well, but today is the second gap, and this is not a word board, it is a continuous long white line. If it continues to jump up tomorrow, I'm afraid it will be according to Mr. Du Yucheng's theory of jumping three times in a row. Ding Xu replied.
With the big . Even compared with the Golden Bull, Baotou Steel Rare Earth is much weaker, today it rose to 8.64 yuan, an increase of nearly 5 points, and then fell quickly with the market, closing at 8.34 yuan, an increase of 1.34%, a turnover of 162 million, a turnover rate of 4.64%, and the volume has been amplified.
………………
I was too tired from work yesterday, and I felt too sleepy when I got home at night, and I wanted to sleep first and then code words, and finally overslept, so I explained it in the book review area and went back to sleep......
Yesterday's judgment of the market, last night more than 11 o'clock has been posted in the book review area, today's market index change is very small, can basically be applied to yesterday's market analysis, so the book review area of the paragraph pasted up, for your reference - "The index today is a gap high, and then once again hit a new high this year, the Shanghai Index with 2365 points to refresh the high." However, at about two o'clock in the afternoon, he began to dive into the water and turn green, filling the gap that opened high. I think this is still normal, one is that there is a dense hedging area near 235o points, and it is normal to grind here, and the other is that the day before yesterday said that there will be divergences in the funds that are ready to hold coins or hold shares for the holiday, and the main force takes the opportunity to test the market when it rushes up, and it is also normal to wash the market in the fall.
My personal strategy is to still hold patiently and hold full positions for the holidays, because I am not a stock god, and I don't know when the market will take off for the third time, so I use the stupidest and most effective method to cover the ......
The last 4 days of the Dream Cup preliminary round, still ranked 1o, may be squeezed down at any time, let's see if there are any Dream Cup tickets, especially the friends who have been rewarded in the past two days, there is a vote for every five yuan rewarded, don't waste it, the preliminary round of the Dream Cup is only these four days, it is the last chance to enter the semi-finals, so the list is very competitive, please support a lot! (To be continued!)
Tips: The new domain name "biquge.info" has been launched by Biquge, and the original domain name is about to be discontinued. Please tell each other, thank you!