Chapter 169 Seventy percent mentality, thirty percent stock selection

In short, in the stock trading life of a healthy life, selling, resting, and buying are three important components, and none of them is missing. For example, when the bear market fell unilaterally this year, he strictly adhered to his operational discipline, only grabbed a rebound after falling below 2ooo points, and rested the rest of the time to avoid the loss of failure to buy the bottom.

Many retail investors are full of positions all year round and never know what the short position rest is, which does not matter in a bull market, but in a unilateral bear market, it is the fastest way to lose money.

"I think that whether stock speculation can be successful or not, the stock speculation mentality accounts for 70%, and the stock selection technology accounts for 30%. If the mentality is stable, it will be more than half successful. And if the index is not stable, the shareholding mentality will not be stable, and it is easy to make mistakes in operation, even if you buy a big dark horse, it is likely to slip out of your hands. ”

Speaking of which, Healthy Living concluded, "So, I think the argument of 'putting aside the index and making individual stocks' is a kind of foolishness. Unless you're a real short-term expert, you can't do it. And most of us retail investors are not, including me, we will be excited when the market rises sharply, and nervous when the market falls sharply, so I am used to keeping a close eye on the index and making individual stocks. If the market is a bear market with a unilateral decline, even if it peaks in stages, I insist on a short position. Only when the market is up or the box is shocking, I dare to do individual stocks. Only in this way can we have a good operating mentality and make money. ”

Hearing this, he cherished and concluded: "Health, I summarized your operating ideas, which is to rest in the bear market that is falling unilaterally, and only go to individual stocks when the market rises for a long time or the box is shocking." And your method of making individual stocks is also very simple, that is, judging the market and individual stocks according to the slow KD indicator, and buying and selling. Sell and buy. Is that right? ”

Listened to the cherished summary. Healthy living is somewhat speechless. After a while, he said: "It should be that I am not good at expressing it!" I just said such a big pass, and the typing was sore, but it only took a few dozen words to help me summarize it. That's right, that's it! ”

"It doesn't seem complicated, does it seem like it's easy to do?" Cherish said with some uncertainty.

"It's really simple, but it's not easy to do." Healthy Living corrected, "I have a friend. His stock speculation idea is simpler than mine, just one sentence, hold shares above the 1O weekly moving average, and hold coins below the 1O weekly moving average! With these 16 words, he entered the market in 95 years, and so far, he has made 20,000 yuan into 2 million, an increase of 100 times! ”

"Wow, awesome! With these 16 words, how did he do it? Cherish asked curiously.

Healthy Living replied, "A few years ago." I'm just like you, even though I'm in a big bear market. But I can't bear the loneliness, so I'm always doing short-term work, and I've lost a lot of money. As a result, I met this friend once, and he criticized me and said that in the bear market, I frequently do short-term trading, and if it sounds good, it is short-term, and if it is ugly, it is a dead long! Because in the bear market, only short positions and rest are the only correct choice, and those who always think that there are opportunities to make money in the bear market are dead bulls who always have illusions and are doomed to lose! ”

"How did you answer?" Cherish asked.

"I said, I always think that it is a big bottom at the moment, and it is time to buy the bottom. However, he said, the words 'always think' just show that I am very stubborn, and stubborn people are not easy to recognize reality, so they are not suitable for stocks. Because the stock market doesn't go according to 'what I think,' it goes according to what the market thinks. He also said that it is better to do a short term a hundred times in a bear market than to do a long term once in a bull market. ”

Healthy Life said with a smile, "I think his words are very reasonable, so I asked him for advice on how to speculate in stocks, and he told me a very simple but very effective investment method, which is to hold stocks above the 1o weekly moving average and below the 1o weekly moving average." This method is really simple, but it is difficult to do. Because any kind of persistence is not easy. Sometimes, the simpler the method, the harder it is to stick to it. If it weren't difficult, everyone would have made money a long time ago. ”

"And then?" Cherish and ask.

"Later, I learned his method, but this method is really difficult, because it is necessary to wait until the stock price crosses the 1O weekly moving average, I am afraid it will be half a year or even a few years, so it will take a long, long time to operate once, and I feel that the whole person is going to rust."

Healthy Life said with a smile, "I used to be very impatient and couldn't bear loneliness, so later I added a slow KD indicator after practice to a stage of high selling and low sucking." For example, this time, although I am optimistic about Baotou Steel's rare earths in the long term, I will feel like a few days ago, I feel that I bought it, and when it peaked in stages, I threw it away, and I picked it up when I sold it. In this way, it can be regarded as adding a little fun to yourself to stock trading, and it will not be too dull and boring when doing long-term trading. ”

"And then?" Cherish asked again.

"There's no later, my story has been told so far, and the dry goods have been paid to you." Healthy Living laughs.

Hearing this, the reaction in the group was very enthusiastic, and many people sighed.

"Wow, awesome! Teachable! ”

"Learned, thank you!"

"The health lesson is very good! Usually not obvious, but it is a set of sets, and it is also leveraged to do, it seems that there are really a lot of masters in our miracle group! ”

Healthy Life modestly replied: "I am not a superior person, and my views are not necessarily correct, so we should selectively identify and absorb." If I can give you a little enlightenment, I will be very satisfied. ”

"I basically agree with the healthy living model, but I disagree a bit. The operation mode determines the income, and now the operation mode of healthy life is basically a short-term operation thinking, thinking about short-term profits, and pursuing the difference between fluctuations, but he is to buy buns with long-term thinking. ”

At this time, the guy who has been silent loves to speculate in stocks and finally spoke, "This is a different mode of operation, which requires a different way of thinking. If you buy buns is the bottom layout, after independent thinking and research, there is a sufficient basis for optimism, and the market trend and supporting policies have been confirmed by the market, then you can use a more relaxed operation method, mainly to rebound the trend, ignore short-term shocks and fluctuations, and gradually accumulate long-term profits, so as to put aside the trouble of short-term fluctuations. To put it simply, in general, don't do bands. ”

"But I have to do the medium and long-term, and I have to mix in some short-term operations to pursue a profit maximization, isn't it great?" Healthy Life asked rhetorically in confusion.

"Yes, it's really good, but it's a double-edged sword. If you make a difference, the main force does not follow the indicators you rely on, and after you sell the stock, the stock suddenly rises, and you may not be able to get on the car, thus missing the bull stock. Since the ideas of the two modes of operation are different between the short term and the long term, you need a lot of energy to distinguish them, and the operation is often prone to contradictions and confusion. ”

The guy loves to speculate on stocks and explained, "For example, if you make a short short in a long-term bullish trend and a short long in a long-term bearish trend, it seems to maximize the benefits, but in fact it is against the entire general trend, which is the risk!" Once done wrong, then the profit of the loss is often several times greater than the profit pursued. Similarly, I also told the group owner that he used to be like you, always thinking about taking everyone to do T and pursue short-term fluctuating profits. And now, I am now regretting that he didn't take the opportunity to do T like you, obviously, he made the same mistake! ”

"Well, you have a point, let me think about what the problem is." Healthy living is also mired in reflection.

"It's very simple, if you do a long-term job, you have to look at the KD indicator on the weekly chart, and if you do a short-term job, you have to look at the KD indicator on the daily chart. But now you are looking at the KD indicator on the daily chart, chasing the volatility spread of the daily chart, but claiming to be a long-term steamed bun, and that's the problem. The guy loves to speculate in stocks, and pointed it out sharply.

"I see, it does seem that there is a problem." "Then you mean, either do it as a short-term operation, or do it in a different way of doing long-term?" ”

…………

Hearing these discussions, Ding Xu smiled and did not interject again.

He liked the calm atmosphere of free discussion in the group.

Although Ding Xu has reservations and even opposes some operational ideas for healthy living, in any case, this kind of communication is very beneficial and can effectively promote everyone to think, summarize and improve.

If we practice the doctrine of taking things and always listen to the opinions of others, instead of thinking and making decisions independently, we will not be able to improve.

Only when everyone is accustomed to independent thinking and independent decision-making, can such a miracle group continue to grow, and eventually grow into a collective that can truly see through the vast majority of the bankers' tricks and make the bankers helpless, in order to create a miracle in the history of ZÀO retail investors. (To be continued!)

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