Chapter 70: Waiting for the Rabbit

"Yesterday's trading volume in the Shanghai market exceeded 100 billion, which is the highest volume in recent months. The amount of heaven is sky-high, and 2o5o points will be the highest point of this year! Yesterday, nearly 8oo stocks fell to the limit, there is no doubt that the market and individual stocks have not yet released the momentum of the fall, and the market will continue to fall today! He Dehua blushed and said loudly.

"Deputy Manager He, you are wrong. Since the market was able to fall for no reason yesterday, it can rise for no reason today, completing a beautiful counterattack! I predict that today and tomorrow, the market will rebound with a vengeance, if it is strong, it is not ruled out that there will be a yang and yin today, and even hundreds of stocks will rise to the limit! Not to be outdone, Qi Fei retorted.

"Yang wraps yin? Are you saying that the market can rise by more than 6% today, plus hundreds of individual stocks? Old Qi, you're daydreaming! I see, your sensitivity to stocks has long been worn out by life! He Dehua sneered.

"Deputy Manager He, I think that your previous sensitivity to stocks has been worn out by your position as deputy manager! The bull market has come, and you are still looking at the stock market with a bear market rigid thinking, which is called bureaucracy? "Qi Fei came to the other way, and gave back to the other.

"The bull market is already here? Haha, naïve! The theme stocks and concept stocks in the early stage have all fallen yesterday, which indicates that this rebound has ended, and the market is not good again! 1664 points is just the bottom of the policy, and the real market bottom has not yet appeared! The financial crisis has not passed, and the market has not really bottomed out, so you are talking to me about the bull market at this time? He Dehua had a disdainful look on his face.

"It's you who are naïve! 2 trillion railways, 1 trillion yuan in disaster areas, and 4 trillion yuan in infrastructure, these economic stimulus policies have just been introduced, and there will be supporting measures later, and the impact of the financial crisis on China is weakening. Moreover, the trading volume in the past half month has continued to expand, and the market will not end so lightly, otherwise it will not conform to the laws of stock market operation. ”

"Then tell me, what should be the law of the stock market?"

"From the perspective of technical indicators, yesterday the market rushed to near the 6o daily line, and suddenly encountered a lot of selling pressure, which eventually caused the market to plummet. In my opinion, this kind of rapid decline after a series of sharp rises is often a sign of a quick adjustment and a quick end. Technically, as long as it does not effectively fall below the low of November 12, this rally will not end, and the future shape is also very clear. The upward trend of the bull market will not change, and the only thing investors should do well is to adjust their positions and swap stocks and sell high and buy low, not to clear and short positions! ”

"Let customers fill up their positions for the next plunge? I have to say, you are too sloppy with your client's construction! ”

"Deputy Manager He, I think it's the most hasty decision for you to build an empty position for them and let them taste the pain of stepping on the empty later!"

Early in the morning, there was a fierce quarrel in the small conference room of the Huairen Business Department of Sun Securities.

More than a dozen analysts and investment advisers in suits and leather shoes sat around a long oval table, helplessly watching Qi Fei and He Dehua spit on each other.

Since Chen Zhengqiu took office, the sales department has formed a practice of holding a market analysis meeting every morning in order to accurately predict the trend of the market, so as to provide customers with professional advice.

Although the final outcome of the discussion is often different from the actual trend of the broader market, or even the opposite direction, Chen Zhengqiu insists that letting everyone talk about it every day can improve the professionalism of every analyst and investment consultant, or at least improve their eloquence, so Chen Zhengqiu will be happy to do this kind of analysis.

Analysts and investment advisors in the sales department are also accustomed to these kinds of meetings and use them as an effective way to exchange ideas and improve their eloquence.

In the past, meetings were gentle. Everyone is relatively tactful when expressing their opinions, no one will say anything to death, and try to choose some ambiguous and vague language, because this is the most distinctive feature and the best ability of securities analysts.

However, today, because of the addition of Qi Fei who had just returned to the team, He Dehua seemed to have found a way to get back to yesterday's field, and at the beginning of the meeting, he directly named Qi Fei and asked him to express his opinion.

Qi Fei told the results of his discussion with Ding Xu in the morning, especially emphasizing the two views of "the bull market is out of Changyin, and Changyin is not terrible" and "it is difficult to buy cattle and turn back", but he was sneered at by He Dehua on the spot, saying that Qi Fei had not woken up yet.

Qi Fei was furious, and he argued with He Dehua. As a result, the two debated for half an hour, and in the end, no one could convince anyone, and they could not come up with a clear result.

After all, they used to be masters and apprentices, and they knew each other's ways of thinking and weaknesses very well, so they fought very well and fought fiercely, just like the brothers and sisters when they practiced martial arts, they fought very well and fought fiercely, but they just didn't win or lose.

Seeing the endless debate between the master and apprentice in the past, everyone was helpless.

"Wonderful! It's been a long time since we've had such a wonderful debate in our sales department. A hundred flowers bloom is spring, let others talk about it. At this time, Manager Chen Zhengqiu, who had been listening silently, applauded a few times, looked at his watch again, and said with a wry smile, "The market is about to open, there is not much time, each of you only says one sentence, is it bullish or bearish?" ”

"I'm bullish."

"I'm bearish!"

……

After a while, the results came out, most analysts and investment advisors were still bearish, and only four people supported Qi Fei, including Qi Fei's apprentice Yang Zhi.

He Dehua glanced coldly at the few analysts who supported Qi Fei, and the expression on his face was a little gloomy.

In He Dehua's mind, this is not just a matter of being bullish and bearish, but a matter of standing in line!

"Well, today's advice to customers is tentatively set as - cautious optimism, not only to prevent the risk of the market continuing to fall, but also to see the opportunity after the crash, not to be overly pessimistic. Meeting. In the end, Chen Zhengqiu decided on the results of today's discussion and trading strategy.

"It's the same as not saying." Qi Fei rolled his eyes and sneered.

By the time Qi Fei returned to the office, the bidding had already begun.

At 9:25, the call auction ended, and the Shanghai Composite Index opened at 1889 points, down three points.

Seeing that the market was opening low again, Qi Fei was a little worried, and muttered: "Ding Xu, Ding Xu, I am out of my mind today, I hope your judgment is right, otherwise my face will be lost!" ”

After the official opening of the market at half past nine, many stocks fell sharply again, and railway stocks were the largest declines in the heavyweight stocks, and China South Locomotive was once close to the fall limit, confirming that yesterday's turnover rate of more than 42% belonged to the flight of funds.

Fortunately, after the market opened low, electronic and information stocks quickly strengthened, driving some sentiment, and then with the support of heavyweight stocks, the market stubbornly pulled up, and there were many stocks that rose sharply or even rose to the limit, which somewhat diluted the panic atmosphere brought about by yesterday's sharp fall.

It's a pity that the good times didn't last long, the market just rose a little, and it was suppressed by the selling, and it turned red all of a sudden, and then turned green all of a sudden, tossing back and forth for more than an hour, and the market was still lukewarm.

What's worse is that forestry and cement stocks are ebbing rapidly, and the capital is very resolute in reducing positions.

Tongli cement because of yesterday's suspension, dodged the big fall, today's fall effect is very obvious, the morning opened at a price of 6.85 yuan, down more than 9%, close to the limit.

After the opening, Tongli Cement rebounded rapidly after hitting the limit price of 6.82 yuan, and then it has been fluctuating back and forth at a position of about 7% decline.

"Alas, there is no way, the morning is close to the fall limit, and it has touched the dynamic take profit ratio of 8%, and it must be shipped today." Qi Fei frowned, quite unwilling, but still gave Tang Hao and Ding Xu the news of preparing for shipment in time.

Soon, Ding Xu's message replied: "Optimistically, even if Tongli Cement wants to ship, it will have to meet the line for half a year before shipping." After all, it has risen to a position close to the half-year line, and touching this line is easier to arouse the illusions of retail investors and attract them to chase the rise. I took a look last night, the position of the semi-annual line is at 7.69 yuan, and I put the sell order at 7.67 yuan or 7.68 yuan, and wait for the rabbit! ”

"Do you think the good luck of selling the second bureau of China Railway yesterday can be repeated?" Qi Fei quickly replied with a text message.

"Don't forget, our judgment is that the bull market will continue, and the market will rise in the next two days, and it is even possible that the yang will cover the yin and swallow this big black candle. If the market rises sharply, Tongli Cement naturally does not need to make up for the fall, and it is entirely possible to rise to the position of 7.69 yuan. Ding Xu replied.

"This ......" Qi Fei hesitated a little, and finally made a decision, "Then wait until the market is about to close before shipping, if it can't rise at that time, I must implement the trading discipline and resolutely sell!" ”

"Okay." Ding Xu's answer was concise and clear.

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