Chapter 158: Choice

"The proverb 'the stock price jumps three times, and the gas is exhausted' has been proven to be inaccurate by the trend in recent years. In fact, in the bull market of the first two years, whether it is the market or individual stocks, there are often more than ten gaps, if you follow this proverb, you will miss a big bull market. ”

Tang Hao said impassionedly while reading a related article found on the Internet, "And Mr. Du Yucheng's theory of three jumps in a row has improved this proverb and narrowed the scope, that is, it is believed that if there are three gaps in the market in a row, there will inevitably be a short-term adjustment, or the end and change of the market." The theoretical basis is that there are no more than three things, which is the so-called one go, then decline, and three exhaustion. However, this set of theories has not been recognized by the public, nor has it been tested by enough practice, and it is purely a matter of looking at problems from historical experience, which is suspected of ideological rigidity. ”

Qi Fei nodded thoughtfully and said, "The fat man has a point. In fact, there are now many individual stocks that are pulling the limit in a row, leaving more than five gaps in succession, but they have been rising until they rise to the sky. ”

Hearing this, Ding Xu couldn't help but interject: "Mr. Du emphasized that jumping three shorts in a row is more accurate for the broader market, but it is not applicable to strong stocks." ”

"The same is true for the broader market! Gap theory experts like Mr. Du are always too nervous about these gaps and have studied many laws and laws. In fact, this is not necessary! ”

Tang Hao replied categorically, "Although the historical experience of the past is important, we must not judge the future with simple historical experience. The stock market is always full of imagination and creativity, and the market is like a cloud in the sky. It's changing all the time. If the new situation in the future is judged in the old way. It is likely to end up resting on its laurels. For example, the banker's deception line is like this. The pit is those old shareholders who rely on old experience to eat! ”

"There is a lot of truth in those words." Qi Fei nodded, and then praised for the first time, "Yes, the fat man has made great progress in the past two months, he has developed an independent judgment ability, and his eloquence has also improved a lot." It's no wonder that the people in your stock group have been fooled by you and called you a stock fairy. ”

"Haha, I'm pushing myself to that point. Therefore, I have to learn a little bit of stock trading knowledge every day, otherwise the cowhide will be torn apart sooner or later, which is called putting it to death and being reborn. Tang Hao laughed, then got back to business and said a rather sharp sentence, "Now many stocks in the Shenzhen market are similar to the trend of the Shenzhen Component Index, and there have been three gaps in a row within a few days. According to Mr. Du's gap theory, should all Shenzhen stocks be liquidated and sold? Ridiculous! ”

Hearing this, Ding Xu and Qi Fei both laughed. I also think that Du Yucheng's theory does have some problems.

Ding Xu thought about it, so he came to the final conclusion. also made what he thought was the right choice: "Okay, maybe it's true that we think too much, and the market may continue to soar, so let's not be busy jumping to conclusions, let's stay on the sidelines first, and implement it according to our established dynamic take-profit method." ”

"That's right, let's deal with it." Qi Fei looked at his watch and said with a smile, "It's still early, why don't you go for supper?" ”

"Eat a yarn! I'm losing weight! This kind of thing as supper has long been quit. Tang Hao said depressedly, then turned around and left.

"Hey, people can go, wallets must be left!" Qi Fei shouted.

"Get out!" Tang Hao waved his fat right hand and said without looking back.

"This dead fat man, why is he losing weight every day, why should he not get along with himself?" Qi Fei asked suspiciously.

Ding Xu smiled but did not answer.

Since the three-person group discussed the conclusion of staying on the sidelines, Ding Xu did not make a decision to clear or reduce his position in the miracle group, but just reminded everyone that the Shenzhen Component Index has gapped three times in a row, and it is necessary to observe closely to prevent a phased peak and fall in the short term.

There is still an excited and optimistic discussion in the miracle group, and there is no worry about it, for example, Zhao Zheyi has repeatedly said that the market can only be considered strong and enter the bull market only if it continues to create gaps.

Only healthy life said that the big plate and buns were strictly bought and he was ready to sell the Baotou steel rare earth tomorrow.

"Health, what is your basis?" Zhao Zheyi asked.

"I don't know much about other indicators, I like the slow kd indicator, so I only use this indicator to judge." Healthy Life replied, "The K value of the Shanghai Index is only 77, which is still a little far from the 8O that means buying." But just now the group owner said the problem of jumping three times in a row, I took a look at the KD value of the Shenzhen market, and now the K value has reached 85, showing that I have bought, and it is estimated that the Shanghai Index will soon be bought, so I decided to clear my position and wait and see. ”

"Haha, then you are far worse than the group leader, the group leader knows at least ten indicators." Zhao Zheyi laughed and teased.

"Maybe, but I can't learn the complicated operation of the group leader, I think the kd value is bought, and there is a risk. I'll sell the buns tomorrow and pick them up when they fall to a low level. Healthy Life replied, "On November 17, the K value of the Shenzhen market reached 9O, fell back to 59 on November 28, and now it has risen back to 85, much like a double-headed." If the double head is made, the drop is not small, and I have to avoid it. ”

Zhao Zheyi smiled and said, "What double-headed?" You're so funny, buns are not stocks in the Shenzhen market, but stocks in the Shanghai market, buy in the Shenzhen market, what's the matter with the Shanghai market? ”

"The Shenzhen and Shanghai markets are linked, since the beginning of this year has been strong and Shanghai is weak, if the Shenzhen Component Index can not break the half-year line, peaking and falling, the Shanghai Index will follow." Healthy Living patiently explained.

"Don't tell me anything about the linkage. The Shanghai Composite Index is indeed weaker than the Shenzhen Component Index, but now that it has crossed the 6o daily line, it should be its turn to be strong, and it is its turn to be strong for a while. Zhao Zheyi said impatiently, "If you don't believe it, then go and sell steamed buns, I think you will definitely regret it." ”

"I never regret trading stocks." Healthy Life smiled, "Baozi is making money now, making money, and it's right to leave whenever you go." If I choose the wrong one, it doesn't matter, there are many opportunities in the stock market, and there are also many good stocks. ”

"Well, everyone will have their own choices, we choose to stay behind, and we choose to stay and wait and see, I hope we are all right, and we can all make money smoothly." Jade Shadow came out to play a round.

"Don't write poetry. Since it is a choice, then there must be one side that is right and one side is wrong. Either health is wrong, or we are wrong, how can it be all right? Zhao Zheyi smiled bitterly.

Marie, who has just joined the group, said poetically and proudly: "It doesn't matter if you are right or wrong for a while, as long as the long-term direction is right!" We don't know each other in life, but we have the same interests; We come from all over the world, but we all share a common goal. May we join hands and welcome one new miracle after another. ”

"Marie, your words are very similar to the classic quotations of the sixties of the last century." Zhao Zheyi was amused and laughed, "Have you ever been popular. Guardsman? ”

"I copied Sister Yuying's words." Mary replied with some embarrassment, "I just thought it was funny, so I borrowed it." ”

Soon, everyone talked about being too popular. The story of the guards, the healthy clearance decision was also quickly forgotten.

Before going to bed at night, Ding Xu climbed the building of the miracle group, also saw this passage, and observed the slow kd indicator mentioned in healthy life, and now there are indeed signs of buying more strictly.

The Slow KD indicator, also known as the Slow Stochastic Indicator, is similar to the KDJ, but it discards the J-value, which is the fastest moving and most responsive, so it is a slower stochastic fluctuation.

The usage of the slow KD indicator is very simple, greater than 8o means buying, the probability of a pullback is high, less than 2o means selling, the probability of rebounding is high. When the K value crosses up at about 2O, it is regarded as a buy signal; When the K value crosses downward at around 8o, it is considered a sell signal.

According to the experience of the stock market, the slow KD indicator is more suitable for short-term trading, because it is not prone to jitter noise, and the buying and selling points are more clear than the KDJ indicator.

The double-headed signs of healthy life are indeed more obvious, and once they are done, the power of killing will also be reflected.

Ding Xu didn't care much, after all, in his opinion, it is obviously too hasty to rely on only one indicator to decide on the behavior of buying and selling, at least we must observe some technical indicators more, and combine them with reference objects such as moving average K-line volume and gaps to be able to make a judgment.

Combined with other indicators, although some technical indicators reflect buying, the trading volume of the moving average K-line is still normal, and it should be possible to go up for a wave, at least until the Shenzhen Component Index officially hits the 12o daily line.

So Ding Xu simply looked at the SKDJ indicator and went to sleep with confidence.

But the next day, Ding Xu regretted it a little. (To be continued!)

ps: The cervical spine pain these days, the pain is very uncomfortable, and it doesn't help to keep doing cervical spine exercises, it is estimated that the code words and stock watching, chatting too much a while ago, so that the cervical spondylosis is strict again. But I'll try to write a second chapter today.

In addition, I would like to remind everyone to stay in front of the computer less, try to do more outdoor sports, even if you have to use the computer often, you must stand up and exercise your neck and waist more, otherwise it will be very painful to have lumbar cervical spondylosis like me.

It's hard to buy health, remember.

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