After saying this, the two reinvested in the analysis of the market.

"In the downward trend of the market, especially after falling below the upward trend line, almost more than 9o% of individual stocks will fall sharply, whether it is a market maker or a floating capital, whether it is a fund or an institution, or a large household, they will desperately flee."

Liu Yue is worthy of being a senior sister who has studied investment for two and a half years, although she does not have the same cautious ideas and inspiration as Ding Xu in stock selection, but she still has her own unique views on the trend of the market: "Only those Duzhuang with too high a concentration of chips can't ship, so they have to buck the trend and pull up, in order to attract the attention of the market and take over their own plates." Therefore, once the current market falls below the upward trend line, do not hesitate and be nostalgic, and immediately leave the market to wait and see. When the interruption continues, it will be chaotic! “

Hearing the last eight words, Ding Xu was stunned, and thought silently for a while before he said sincerely: "Sister Liu, thank you for the reminder!" ”

"Don't call me Sister Liu, call me Xiaolin. As soon as you call me sister, I feel like I'm getting old. Liu Yue glanced at Ding Xu.

"Okay, thank you, Kobayashi." Ding Xu smiled.

Over the weekend, Ding Xu discussed with Qi Fei again, and Qi Fei also agreed with Liu Yue's statement, but was slightly optimistic.

Qi Fei believes that if the news continues to maintain a vacuum, and there is no substantial positive support on the policy, the market is estimated to fluctuate sideways at the lower track of the rising channel, and the time for consolidation may be 3-5 days, and the index fluctuation range should not exceed 1o%.

As for the operation of individual stocks, Qi Fei thinks. As long as the Shanghai stock market does not fall below the upward trend line, it can continue to hold shares. Among them, the main consideration is to buy some high-quality growth stocks. In order to wait for the opportunity of the annual report market to come. For the theme stocks and concept stocks that have risen sharply in the early stage, due to the obvious signs of capital shipments, it is necessary to stay evasive and wait-and-see; If you hold a heavy position in such stocks, you should reduce your position until you liquidate your position.

Listening to Qi Fei's opinion, Ding Xu was a little speechless.

These opinions do have a point, but no matter how they sound, they don't sound like they are aimed at themselves. It's more like giving Qi Fei's advice to those customers. It seems that this guy has a lot of customers recently, and he is also very busy, so he has to make up the number of suggestions for customers.

Synthesis of the opinions of the people. Ding Xu thought carefully for a while and came to his final conclusion - although the downward trend of the broader market has begun to form, there is no need to be too pessimistic for the time being, and only need to closely observe the support of the upward trend line of the Shanghai market next week. and whether the Shenzhen market can return to the upward channel. If the Shanghai market eventually follows the Shenzhen market and falls below the ascending trend line. then resolutely wait and see.

Now that the operation strategy is clear, Ding Xu announced his thoughts in the miracle group.

Most of the group members supported Ding Xu's decision, but only Zhao Zheyi unabashedly expressed his disdain: "Miracle, I think you are deceiving yourself!" When the stock price falls 15% from its peak and falls below the 2O or 3O daily moving average, you have to consider liquidation. Although the bun has not fallen below the 3O daily line, it has fallen by 16%, and it has fallen below the 2O daily line and the 6O daily line. Why don't you call on everyone to clear their stocks? You're saying one thing and doing another. There is no real bottom line! ”

Although he was sharply despised, Ding Xu, who has always adhered to the principle of the catfish effect, was not angry, but smiled: "Isn't the 3o daily line still broken?" Besides, when I say a break below the 2O daily moving average, I mean an effective breakdown. What is an effective breakdown? After falling below the moving average, it cannot be recovered within three days, and it is called an effective break. ”

"If it falls down, it falls, what is effective and ineffective? I think it's because you don't want to give up and make an excuse, haha. Zhao Zheyi continued to despise Ding Xu.

"License plates, you don't understand this, do you? I asked you to read more technical books, but you just wouldn't, and you didn't even mention an objection to the idea. Ding Xu said helplessly, "Okay, let me explain to you, what is an effective break." ”

The so-called effective breakdown refers to the fact that the stock price falls below the trend line or an important price after running in a certain price area for a period of time, and cannot rise back above the price within a number of trading days, which is called an effective breakdown.

There is considerable controversy in the industry regarding the confirmation principle of a valid breakdown. One of the most widely accepted principles is called the "Double-Three Method", that is, if one of the two conditions is met, it can be confirmed if it falls below the important price level by more than 3%, or if it falls below the important price level for more than 3 days.

According to Ding Xu's understanding, the reason why it is necessary to confirm the break in the technical form with the effective fall method is to prevent the main force from cheating the line, so it is necessary to reserve three days or 3% to test the authenticity of the break.

This is because the main force really wants to pull up in the near future, even if it falls below the important price level and important trend line to wash, but generally will not exceed the 3% position, and they are mainly fast washing, most of them will retract the stock price above the trend line within three days.

The same is true for the broad market index, sometimes the main forces jointly smash the market and short sell the heavy stocks, so that the originally good upward trend is suddenly stopped by a large black candle. However, such short-term behavior cannot be sustained, and generally within three trading days, the market will return to its original track.

Zhao Zheyi listened to this explanation, and finally stopped talking, it seemed that he was going to wait with everyone for about three more days and wait and see.

"Healthy life, this time only you escaped to the top, come out and share your experience and experience." Ding Xu remembered the fact that a healthy life escaped from the top of the world only based on the single indicator of slow kd, and couldn't help but be a little curious.

When Shen Cheng pointed out three consecutive jumps, the miracle group was excited and optimistic to discuss, and was not worried because of Ding Xu's reminder, at that time, only healthy life said that the big plate and buns were strictly bought and ready to sell Baotou Steel rare earth the next day.

At that time, Zhao Zheyi argued with Healthy Life, and Healthy Life proposed that he only liked the indicator of slow kd, so he basically only used this indicator to judge. The KD value of the Shenzhen market has shown that it is bought, and it is very similar to doing more than half of the double-headed pattern, which will cause a large decline, and it is estimated that the Shanghai Composite Index will soon be bought, and form a downward linkage effect, so he decided to clear his position and wait and see.

After seeing these chat records that night, Ding Xu also studied the SKDJ indicators, and now there are indeed signs of buying more strictly, and there are indeed more obvious signs of doing double-headed.

But Ding Xu didn't care much, because he felt that it was obviously too hasty to decide on buying and selling by relying on only one indicator, and at least he had to observe some technical indicators more, and combine them with reference objects such as moving average K-line volume and gaps to be able to make a judgment.

Combined with other indicators, although some technical indicators reflect buying, the trading volume of the moving average K-line is quite normal, and it should be possible to go up for a wave, at least until the Shenzhen Component Index officially hits the 12O daily line.

Because of this, Ding Xu simply looked at the SKDJ indicator that night and went to sleep with confidence.

And now, Ding Xu regretted it, but it was too late.

Therefore, he wants to know why a healthy life is more reliable than the conclusion he made with a comprehensive analysis of more than a dozen indicators.

This is an important question!

……………………

(I'm going on a business trip next Monday.,It may take Thursday to come back.,To save the manuscript and update it regularly.,Try to ensure that it keeps changing.,And until now,There's not a chapter in the manuscript.,I'm going to work hard today.,So there's only this chapter today.,Forgive me.。

Try to code four chapters today, and update one chapter at eight o'clock every morning from Monday to Thursday next year. I can't analyze the market every day in the back of the chapter these days, but I should say that the chapter on Friday night has been made clear, so it's good for everyone to cover the stock calmly. (To be continued!)

Tips: The new domain name "biquge.info" has been launched by Biquge, and the original domain name is about to be discontinued. Please tell each other, thank you!