Chapter 247: New Year's Investment Plan
Tuesday, January 6, fine.
Early in the morning, Ding Xu got up, opened the file on the computer, and recorded the three points he had thought about all night, which can be regarded as an investment plan for 2oo9 years:
First, form a profit model that suits you and always adhere to it.
Whether you can catch the price limit, whether you can successfully do T, and reduce costs seem to be important in the short term, but for medium and long-term strategies, they are not too important things. If you want to make money in the stock market, the most important thing is to form a profit model that suits you, and always adhere to this profit model, so as to repeat the profit model repeatedly and make profits steadily.
After reflecting on it for a night, Ding Xu believes that the profit model that suits him should be to carefully select a suitable stock, buy it at a low level, and adhere to the strategy of long-term is gold, and insist on holding it in the medium and long term.
It is precisely because of this shareholding strategy that Ding Xu has accumulated more than 80,000 yuan of start-up capital from 10,000 yuan, just because he has held Baotou Steel rare earth for a long time in that bull market.
Later, in 2oo8, Ding Xu operated the three stocks of China Railway Second Bureau, Tongli Cement and Baotou Steel Rare Earth. The first two stocks are based on the policy of four trillion investments, boldly chasing market hotspots, and were originally prepared to be held in the medium and long term, but because these two stocks continued to rise, they began to generate risks, and finally took profits and left the market, and turned to invest in Baotou Steel rare earths. After three operations, the profit was expanded to about 4o yuan.
As for Qi Fei's operation of Qianyuan Power on the cooperative account, it is basically operated with a short-term mentality, fast in and fast out, Ding Xu also once envied Qi Fei's huge profits during this time, so he was also keen to do T for a while, but this time he lost sleep all night, and finally thought about one thing clearly, what suits him is the best.
In the future, most positions should have the courage to stick to long-term holdings, and do not do t lightly, so as not to be unable to get on the bus. A quarter of the positions are used to make short and medium term, chase market hotspots, and lead the group to improve short-term skills.
In the new year, there must be new progress, new plans. It is necessary to reflect on last year's investment strategy, focusing on changing the previous wrong investment methods, reducing the mistakes of one's own lack of understanding, and tailoring a set of investment plans that belong to oneself.
This investment plan should be long-term and not easily changed due to changes in the market.
As for whether the investment plan can be recognized by others, it is not important, the important thing is that you can fully understand and implement the plan.
If you can do this, you can stick to investing, otherwise you would rather rest than make mistakes.
Therefore, this year's investment plan, Ding Xu first figured out and clarified this point.
Second, develop your own unique and effective analytical methods.
Whether it is for individual stocks or the market, a real stock speculator must be good at analysis, do a lot of homework before buying and selling a stock, analyze the pros and cons in depth, and strive to make comprehensive trade-offs and comprehensive judgments.
There are different schools of stock market investment analysis, some focus on the technical side, some focus on the fundamentals, and some only focus on the news side.
It cannot be said that one will necessarily be effective, because people's personalities and areas of expertise are different, and the ways they adapt and become familiar with are also different. These traditional analysis methods have their own advantages and disadvantages.
Today, with the increasing scale of the market and the main capital, the main force is becoming more and more intelligent, and any way can be used by the main force in reverse. For example, for investors who like technical aspects, the main force will create all kinds of deception lines to induce shareholders to chase up and down. For shareholders who like the news, the main force will deliberately leak some fake news to induce shareholders to take over at a high level and cut meat at a low level. As for the fundamentals, some of the main forces will cooperate with the layout of listed companies, such as making various articles on the financial statements to thicken this year's performance or deliberately artificially create huge losses to achieve their own goals.
Therefore, we must combine the advantages of these analytical methods to form a unique and effective analytical method, so as to make the most of our strengths and avoid weaknesses, and fully see what is behind a stock, so as to reduce and avoid mistakes.
The third is to insist on giving priority to investment, supplemented by speculation.
Ding Xu believes that the stock market is originally a place with speculative colors, especially the Chinese stock market, the main force of the control determines the trend of many stocks, speculation themes, speculation concepts, speculation imagination, is still the mainstream of the current market. Even if the performance is good, as long as the plate is big and the funds can't be speculated, it often becomes a salted fish. For example, PetroChina, which was known as "the most profitable company in Asia" and "will inevitably rise to more than 100 yuan" before its listing, has been falling from the opening price of 48 yuan to less than 1O yuan now. And some loss-making small-cap stocks have been speculated to the sky. Therefore, simply investing in value like Warren Buffett is not entirely applicable in the Chinese stock market.
However, even if there is a strong atmosphere of speculation, the growth of listed companies is still an eternal theme, and even if a large-cap stock like PetroChina may not be easily hyped, it is still easy for a small and mid-cap stock to double once its performance has improved significantly.
There are even some junk stocks that have no performance and no future, but the main forces of all walks of life have crossed the sea, using various methods such as restructuring and backdoor listing, constantly creating all kinds of hot concepts, creating one after another myths of grass chickens turning into phoenixes, attracting followers and speculative funds to enter the game and take over.
Therefore, in the final analysis, speculation and speculation are still carried out around performance and the inherent value of listed companies.
Therefore, it is necessary to avoid the confusion and confusion of various concepts, focus on the possible future performance improvement of listed companies, and focus on investment, supplemented by speculation.
After formulating the investment plan for the new year, Ding Xu was in good spirits, hurriedly washed up, and ran downstairs with two dark circles under his eyes.
Yang Kui was already driving the second-hand Kaiyue car and waiting downstairs.
During this time, Yang Kui, a big man in the Northeast, was a little depressed, originally the arrival of Tao Xia and Tao Li gave him an unexpected surprise, but he didn't expect that he only had contact for a few minutes, and he only had time to fight with Tao Li for a few moves, and the two left without giving Yang Kui a chance to meet again.
The next day, Ding Xu went to dance morning exercises and saw Tao Xia and Tao Li again, but Yang Kui slept lazily that day and failed to see Tao Li again. When he learned about this coincidence from Ding Xu's mouth, he immediately screamed and grabbed the ground, beating his chest.
In the next few days, Yang Kui simply stayed by Ding Xu's side, never leaving an inch, and even slept in Ding Xu's house. It's just that Tao Xia and Tao Li never appeared again, and went back to the capital directly, making Yang Kui feel like he had lost his soul in the past few days.
"You're going to start buying stocks today, are you ready to earn back your wife's capital?" Ding Xu yawned, and with a careless word, he hooked Yang Kui's soul back.
"Ready!" Yang Kui grinned excitedly and said with a smile, "I'm ready to meet the price limit!" Come on, the more the merrier! ”
"You want to be beautiful, we are doing long-term, the pursuit of long-term stable value-added, not overnight rich-type profiteering, not buy today, tomorrow can be a short-term strong stock, you have to have long-term determination and confidence, including short-term quilt cover do not be upset!" Ding Xu admonished uneasily.
"That's right...... I'll listen to you, as long as I can multiply it tenfold, I can do anything. Yang Kui scratched his head and smirked.
Hearing the word tenfold, Ding Xu couldn't help but roll his eyes.
Yang Kui's story, Ding Xu is the most clear.
Yang Kui, a retired special soldier, took the demobilization fee and the pension defrauded from his father during the bull market last year, and invested 250,000 yuan to speculate in stocks, but he was fooled by the people of the securities company and lost 150,000 yuan in the bear market, leaving only 1o thousand. He was angry for a while, broke the leg of the account manager, and paid another 230,000 yuan to settle the matter, avoiding prison speculation, for which he owed Tao Li 180,000 yuan, and his principal was only 5 yuan.
To this day, Ding Xu still remembers the gloomy eyes when Yang Kui asked him for help, and he hoped that he could help him fry 50,000 yuan to 500,000 yuan, pay off the debt he borrowed from Tao Li, and pay off his father's pension.
At that time, Ding Xu felt that this was an almost impossible task, and Yang Kui was short-tempered and his force was strong, if he helped him lose the 50,000 yuan, he would be in big trouble, so he flatly refused.
Unexpectedly, Yang Kui's stubborn temper came up, and after standing in the snow all night, Ding Xu's heart softened, and he still agreed, thinking that his principal was small anyway, and if he helped him lose money, it would be a big deal to take the money on it.
In this way, Ding Xu and Yang Kui reached an agreement, and Yang Kui also volunteered to be his bodyguard. After Tang Hao and the other three bought a second-hand Kaiyue car, Yang Kui naturally became a driver, and Tang Hao and the others paid a little salary from the profits in the cooperative account.
Of course, Ding Xu knew that with Yang Kui's ability, there would be no problem to be a bodyguard anywhere, and he would be willing to stay by his side and get a pitiful salary, so he naturally had high hopes that he would help him turn over in stock trading.
It's a bit stressful.
Because of this, Ding Xu had not helped Yang Kui operate before, just wanted to wait until a lower position to buy back Baotou Steel rare earth, but it was empty yesterday.
However, today Ding Xu has completely figured it out, it doesn't matter if he misses 7 points, he still has to continue to implement the long-term strategy he formulated last year.
So today, Ding Xu is ready to help Yang Kui and Tao Xia both fill their warehouses with rare earths.
Facing the cold air, Ding Xu took a deep breath and prayed silently in his heart: "I hope I can have a good opportunity to buy back the buns today, and I hope to have a good harvest this year." ”
With a fierce fist shake, Ding Xu got into the car and said with high morale: "Go!" ”
"Where are you going?" Yang Kui didn't know if Ding Xu had eaten breakfast or not, so he asked directly, so he subconsciously asked.
"Go make money!" Ding Xu, who was full of concerns, smiled and answered the question.
……………………
(Heartfelt thanks to 5 hardcore book friends such as "Come and See If You Are Lonely", baby2o11o211, Sky Flying 88, General Yuwentai, "GDQ123" and other 5 hardcore book friends generously rewarded as the leader of this book, welcome to the alliance leader group (miracle group) exchange.)
Since it is necessary to analyze the trend of the next week in detail in combination with the news of the weekend, and today's market is relatively healthy, the following analysis is made for today's market, and if there is heavy news on the weekend, then analyze it separately:
Today, the market fluctuated in a narrow range, closing at 2938 points, with a turnover shrinking to 42o400000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000 Small- and mid-cap stocks continued to remain strong,,, outperforming the market for the fourth consecutive day. At the same time, there are 1,883 stocks rising in Shanghai and Shenzhen, far greater than the 851 stocks that fell, 53 stocks have a daily limit, and there are no falling stocks.
In this case, many stocks that have stagflated in the early stage have made up for the rise, especially the low-priced stocks are more active, represented by steel and transportation. This makes the original shareholders who are full of short positions finally have a chance to make up for the rise in the past three days, which also proves that my previous strategy of holding shares and waiting for the plate rotation and making up for the rise is right.
On the day of Tuesday's crash, I predicted in time that the weighting would just shift gears, with weights going from three to two or one, and small and mid-cap stocks going from one to two or even three, and that's happening now. As for someone asking me whether I switched from 28 to 82 at this point, I feel that this cannot be concluded from this, and it can only be said that there is a high probability.
Why can't this conclusion be made after the small and mid-cap stocks have risen for four days?
As I said last night, financial stocks such as brokerage banks have adjusted for three days, and then they will slowly rise up and recover. Today, brokerage stocks have collectively rebounded, and bank stocks are still lying in the nest, but they will join forces to lead the market upwards in the later stage. And once the weights are strong to the upside, small and mid-cap stocks may have to take a break again.
So, as for how to go up after that, that's the key point.
The management doesn't want to have a continuous mad bull trend now, so Xinhua News Agency has continuously shouted and shouted that the market has fallen and plummeted.
However, the plunge is a plunge, and the broader market is still in a new upward channel.
As I said in the chapter, the original upward channel, the Shanghai Composite Index is connected by a low of 2o49 points on July 22, a low of 2194 points on August 28 and 29, a low of 2284 points on September 22 (and a low of 2289 points on September 23), with a slower upward slope, about 45 degrees, which is similar to the angle at which the melancholy poet looks up at the sky.
After that, a new and steeper upward channel was formed, in which the opening price of 2452 points on November 21 (the lowest point of the day was 2446 points), the low point of 2665 points on December 2, and the opening price of 2855 points on December 1o were connected points, forming a slope with an angle of about 65 degrees.
After the formation of this rising channel, even the big black rod that passed 5 on December 9 did not fall below this rising channel, but only fell back to the lower band after breaking through the upper band upward. The lowest on December 1o fell to 28o7 points, falling below the ascending trend line, and then retracted on the same day, forming a single needle to probe the bottom.
And next Monday, the lower band of the new ascending channel is located around the 294o point, and even if the market wants to continue to move sideways, it will face the test of the lower band. Basically, there are only two options, one is to continue to climb up the upward channel, which requires the weight of brokerages and bank stocks to start with, and there may be a mid-yang line. It's just that even if it comes out of the mid-yang line, it is estimated that it will no longer be as fast as the previous one, and it may climb in a gentle way under the watchful eyes of the high-level. Another possibility is to simply fall below the lower band of the ascending channel, then it is necessary to calculate the downward target according to the calculation method mentioned in the book, falling below the ascending trend line.
Judging from the current situation, the adjustment of heavyweight stocks is relatively modest, and it is more likely that the first trend will be chosen next week to continue to rise.
Of course, the premise is that there is no heavy dà negative.
It's been a thrilling week, and you've been fighting for a week, so don't think about stocks and enjoy life on the weekend. Climb the mountain, climb the height, look into the distance, look at the sky high and make the mood open.
Good health and good mood are really good.
In the capital market, it is to enjoy life, and never forget this. Affecting the mood for the sake of a little profit in the stock market, or even being fascinated, is really putting the cart before the horse.
Especially young people, don't squander your body just because you're still young, stay in front of the computer all day long to read the news and talk about stocks. To tell the truth, people like me who have strict problems with the lumbar and cervical spine are not what they want most, but health. Although my goal is to have 10 million and achieve financial freedom, if I have 10 million and can exchange this 10 million for a healthy body ten years ago, I will definitely choose to exchange.
It's just that there are no ifs in this world, so please cherish your body.
Don't think I'm joking, if you're like me two months ago, you often feel itchy bones in your cervical spine, and you have a phobia as soon as you sit in front of the computer, you're going crazy and you're going to have this thought.
Fortunately, although I have often been sleep-deprived recently, under the guidance of the alliance leader, I insisted on taking medicine with my mouth open, and I did aerobics every day, and I still got better.
So I always hope that all of you sitting in front of the computer can take care of your cervical and lumbar spine, and don't wait until you are like me to regret it.
The reason why I want to say these words is because at one o'clock in the morning, I also saw some group friends discussing stocks, and I couldn't wait to open the market immediately, so I felt it.
Get out of the computer, go hiking, and get exercised.
Happy weekend.
(ps: It seems that the last sentence of Happy Weekend has only been finished for a long time, why is the week over again?) The days of stock trading are really like flowing water, fleeting. )r1152
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