Chapter 161 No Rise, No Rise
"We have endured the sharp drop from 6124 points to 1664 points, don't fall in an uptrend! Pick a good stock and cover it. β
'What? What makes a good stock? This is a question to ask yourself! You don't always ask others and ask others, you have to think for yourself, think more, analyze more. Remember, true investment confidence comes from yourself! The real destiny is in your hands! β
Qi Fei is like drinking wine today, and he keeps talking in the group, almost like swiping the screen.
"Brother Qi, why are you so excited today?" Ding Xu couldn't help but ask him in the three-person discussion group.
This three-person discussion group, with only Ding Xu, Qi Fei and Tang Hao, is a space dedicated to discussing stock trading.
"Because I'm happy! Yesterday it fell, and my clients were worried, and to be honest, I was worried too. If Lao Du is right, jump three times in a row, and count them all, this wave of market will really end. Then the next two years may still be a long bear market, and my company and I will have a hard time. Qi Fei said with a smile, "Fortunately, looking at today's trend, the market will not only not end, but will continue to rise." β
"Today. The Central Economic Work Conference is coming to an end, and according to the theory that every meeting must fall, if it does not fall before and during the meeting, it is likely to fall sharply after the meeting, don't you worry? Ding Xu asked.
"No, if it goes down, it will continue to fall today." Qi Fei replied, "However, Qianyuan Power is really not good, and it fell by nearly 5% in the morning, but fortunately, it has rebounded just now, and I have cleared it." β
Originally, Qi Fei used the power sector as a relay hotspot for the year. Prepare to do medium to long term. But Qianyuan Power has risen too fast recently. There are three daily limits in just four days, so they can only be operated as short-term.
Since it is operated according to the short-term operation, it is operated according to the 8% proportional take-profit method, rather than the take-profit method according to the moving average. Because of this kind of fast-rising strong stocks, even the 5-day moving average is rarely touched, and if the stock price falls below the 2O daily moving average, the decline will be considerable.
Yesterday, Qianyuan Power not only hit the five-day line, but also the highest price of 13.59 yuan from yesterday. After that, the lowest price of diving was 12.41 yuan, and the maximum decline had exceeded 8%, which met the standard of the pre-set proportional take-profit method. And the whole decline process showed a resistance decline of a sharp and slow fall, which was very similar to the method of the main force shipment, so Qi Fei decisively decided to follow the main force to ship.
It's just that the stock price fell too fiercely yesterday, and Qi Fei felt that it was too cost-effective to ship at that price, so he was ready to find a suitable opportunity to ship today.
Unexpectedly, after Qianyuan Power rose slightly this morning, it plunged sharply again, falling to 11.8O yuan, a drop of more than 5%. Compared with yesterday's highest price of 13.59 yuan, it has fallen by more than 13%.
Meanwhile. The broader market also plunged sharply at one point. This made Qi Fei regret it, patted his thigh hard, and muttered regretfully: "If I knew this, I should have cleared the position at the end of yesterday!" β
Fortunately, the market staged a miraculous reversal again in the afternoon, and Qianyuan Power also rebounded with the market, and the end of the market was pulled into a red plate, but it only rose to 12.7o yuan and fluctuated up and down, not following the market.
Seeing this situation, Qi Fei was completely dead and confirmed that the main force was shipping, at least in stages. So it began to ship in batches, and finally sold all 219oo shares of Qianyuan Power at an average price of 12.53 yuan, and sold a total of 2744o7 yuan. After deducting the commission of 1,098 yuan and stamp duty, plus the remaining 147 yuan on the original account, there is still 273456 yuan on the account.
The 219 lots of Qianyuan Power were bought at an average price of 8.38 yuan on November 25, and a total of 183522 yuan was spent at that time, and it only took half a month to appreciate by 49.5%, and the income was enough to be satisfactory.
But Qi Fei still had some regrets about this, and muttered: "I knew that we sold it for about 13 yuan yesterday, so we could make a little more money." After all, yesterday's way of pulling and falling slowly is obviously shipping, and I shouldn't have any illusions anymore! β
"Brother Qi, why are you so greedy? You are asking for the god of stocks. Only the stock god can always buy at the lowest point and sell at the highest point. We small stockholders, as long as we sell roughly at a high level and buy at a low price, it's good! Ding Xu smiled.
"Hehe, I'm a little greedy." Qi Fei also smiled, and said, "Ding Xu, I have to admire you, looking back afterwards, among those power stocks, it is indeed Qianyuan Power that has risen the best." This kind of small-cap stock controlled by the market maker, once the bull B rises, it is indeed very bullish. β
"Well, it's easy to pull up. And I feel that the stock of Qianyuan Power is worth continuing to track, after all, so far, there has been no volume in the process of falling, including when it fell to more than five points today, and it has not been put in large quantities. β
Ding Xu said, "I feel that this stock is too urgent, there are very few followers, and the goods in the hands of the dealer can't be pulled out at all, so he must pull it up again in the future." At that point, we can go and eat him again. β
Qianyuan Power closed at 12.5O yuan today, down 1 point, with a turnover of 33.91 million and a turnover rate of 2.22%, which was lower than yesterday's trading volume.
"I also feel that there is still a drama in the future of this stock, wait and see, if its daily trading volume shrinks to less than 1% again, you can consider buying again." Qi Fei nodded.
"Why the 1% standard?" Ding Xu asked curiously.
"Quite simply, before this wave of rise, that is, before the start of the up-limit board, the daily trading volume of this stock was basically within 1%." Qi Fei said with a smile, "If there is no follow-up market, and the main force does not do the trading volume correctly, then the trading volume should return to less than 1%, which is considered normal." β
At this time, Tang Hao was also bubbling in the three-person discussion group: "Okay, I've already asked them to sell Qianyuan Power with you." Whew, it's dangerous, my reputation for life is almost ruined. β
On December 5, Ding Xu advocated buying three stocks for short-term use in Du Yucheng's class, namely Baotou Iron and Steel Rare Earth, Qianyuan Electric Power, and China Railway Second Bureau.
The trend of Baotou Iron and Steel Rare Earth in the past three days is the strongest, rising for three consecutive days. Among them, the daily limit on December 8.
The second game of China Railway is also good. The daily limit is on December 8th. It fell 2% on December 9 and rose 41% today. Due to the obvious need to close the neckline at the end of today, the shape was not good, Tang Hao finally listened to Qi Fei's opinion and asked his group friends to clear the position at the end of the day.
Only Qianyuan Power is a little closer, rising for one day and falling for two days. Fortunately, Tang Hao recommended buying around 11.9o yuan when he stepped back on the annual line on December 5. Otherwise, the stock would have hedged the buyers today.
Despite this, when it fell to around $11.8O in the morning, buyers also began to lose money. Fortunately, the market reversed in the afternoon, giving everyone the opportunity to ship at a position about 5% higher than the purchase price, otherwise Qianyuan Power would have become Tang Hao's first stock that failed to recommend.
"Fortunately, Ding Xu's three tickets still made me bullish again. Especially on December 8th, Baotou Iron and Steel Rare Earth and China Railway Second Bureau both rose to the limit, and Qianyuan Power also rose by more than 5%, and the group members looked at me. It's like seeing the god of stocks come down to earth. Hahaha......" Tang Hao said triumphantly, "Have you thought about what stocks to buy?" If you think about it, sue me. They had just cleared their warehouse, and now they are all waiting to be fed. β
"Don't worry, I don't have a hot spot worth chasing now." Qi Fei replied, "If your funds are really idle, you can consider adding Baotou Iron and Steel rare earths, anyway, Ding Xu and you are continuing to hold it, and there is nothing to add a little more." β
"I'm not in a hurry, let's wait and see." Tang Hao hesitated for a moment and said, "The price limit of the bun was only raised two days ago, and it has risen for three consecutive days, they must think that this stock has risen high." β
"You don't understand the truth that the strong are always strong?" Qi Fei said helplessly, "Whatever you want." It's good to keep the funds, it's already December, and you can consider doing the annual report market. β
"It's too early for the annual report, right? At least until January next year, this year's results will come out. Tang Hao asked suspiciously.
"You're outdated. In fact, the annual report market has already begun to show its edge today. Don't you have it, today is the world of small and medium-sized boards, a large number of small and medium-sized board stocks have risen sharply or even the limit, creating a money-making effect and driving the weighted stocks, so to speak, the large-market index is almost pulled up by the small and medium-sized board. β
Qi Fei smiled and said, "More than 7 percent of the daily limit varieties in the Shenzhen market today belong to the small and medium-sized board, and there are basically two characteristics. First, the share capital structure is small, the performance is good, and it has the ability to transfer and distribute highly, which is in line with the expectations of the annual report in advance. The second is to look at the K-line and control situation of the stock, many small and medium-sized board stocks are long-term capital entry. β
"How to distinguish whether it is long-term or short-term funds from the K-line pattern of individual stocks?" Tang Hao asked curiously.
"Short-term funds are generally made by floating capital, and they will quickly pull the price limit to attract the attention of the market, and the offensive is very aggressive. The long-term funds are relatively stable, and generally establish a slow bull channel with large rises and small returns, which is conducive to the in-depth development of the market and the maintenance of the long-term upward channel of the market. Qi Fei replied, "Most of the control techniques of this kind of long-term funds are very sophisticated, and the control ability is also very strong. β
"Oh, so the market will go up for a while?" Tang Hao suddenly realized.
"If there is no accident, it should still rise for a while, at least until the Shenzhen Component Index breaks through the half-year line." Qi Fei replied confidently.
"Ding Xu, what do you think?" Tang Hao asked again.
"I think so, too." Ding Xu replied.
"If you all say that, then I'm relieved." Tang Hao was completely relieved this time.
Unexpectedly, the next day, the trend of the market made Ding Xu and the other three cry and laugh. (To be continued!)
PS: It was mentioned in the weekend solution: "The next resistance level is 2334 points, which is not only the high point of May 29, 2o13, but also the position of the line connecting the high of 3478 points in 2oo9 and the high point of 3186 points in 2o1o, which coincides, so we still need to pay attention to it." β
Today, the Shanghai Composite Index rushed to 2331 points and took the initiative to retreat and adjust, three points short, and did not touch 2334 points.
After six consecutive mid-yang shorts, today's market shows weakness. This week, the August economic data will be announced, and it is expected that the number will not be much better, and the economic downside risk in the third quarter is still there, and the bears who have been beaten to the point of being powerless will most likely take advantage of the weak economic number jΓΉ, as well as short-term buying and other opportunities to counterattack. It is expected that there may be a sharp intraday decline this week, with a maximum decline of more than 2%.
But even so, there is no need to worry that the market will peak in this round. As I said in the chapter, the bull market comes out of the big yin, and the bear market comes out of the big yang. So if there is a negative candlestick this week, don't panic, this is not a signal of the end of the rally, but still a squat before the upward attack.
Again, this is a cross-year market, a wave of small bull market tailored for the registration system.
The only thing we have to do is to choose a strong stock in the upward channel and enjoy the growth of profits.
As some of the self-selected stocks I analyzed in the Miracle Group and VIP Group, they are all hitting new highs at the moment, and it will be a good time to make money, so let's enjoy it.
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