Chapter 305: Contour Principle
Qi Fei nodded and replied, "Well, once a stock successfully completes in-flight refueling, it will inevitably be followed by a wave of sprints, and the continuous rise of the Great Sun." Once this upward trend slows down, it is likely that it will be the time for the main force to start shipping, at least it will peak in stages. Therefore, for retail investors, the more they rise, the more careful they must be, once the rally stagnates and there are signs of shipment, they can run away before the dealer finishes shipping. ”
"That's not a good idea. Sometimes the stagnation of the rally is washing, and sometimes it is shipping, which is difficult to distinguish. Yanzi sighed and replied, "You also know that we retail investors are always at a disadvantage. The main force can cheat the line, use funds to control the market, and make various technical indicators, false trading volume and other false appearances. ”
"There is a relatively simple way to judge by the principle of contour." Ding Xu interjected, "Generally speaking, the height of the second wave of increases is often equal to the height of the first wave of increases, which is the principle of equal height." ”
"Well, this contour principle works. Northern shares seem to be like that. The goose's eyes lit up and he said happily.
There were two waves of rapid rise in northern shares at the beginning of 2oo6, and it took 8 trading days to increase by 44%. After that, it traded sideways until March 23. On March 24, it rose sharply again, with an increase of 5o%, and then there was another small in-flight refueling.
These two waves rose quickly, and the first wave took 8 days, an increase of 44%. The second wave took 13 days. Up 5o%. The timing and increase are indeed about the same.
"But after April 11, it went sideways for another six days, and after another small air refueling, there was a third wave. , an increase of 67%. The time of the pull-up is about the same, but the amplitude is getting bigger and bigger. After looking at the historical trend, the goose asked a new question, "And the third wave has only begun to ship." If the second wave is over, if it is shipped sideways, you will miss out on the fattest profit. ”
"That's true, but in an ordinary small bull market, there are usually two waves of such a fast pull. But the time period we analyzed was in that wave of the big bull market, and the first two waves basically rose with the rapid rise of the broader market. And when the third wave rose, the market rose from 1385 points on April 2o to 1678 points on May 16, a sharp increase of nearly 3oo points, and the main force will definitely not give up such an opportunity to rise. ”
Ding Xu explained. "And these three waves of pull-up, overall, each wave of pull-up is still close to 5o%. Roughly the same. Therefore, judging by the principle of contour, at least it will not be too wrong. ”
"Well, there's some truth. What do you think of Qianyuan Power, which is also ready to refuel in the air? Qi Fei scratched his head in confusion and muttered, "Last year, this stock has been sideways, and then it has risen quickly, up 51%. After that, it went sideways for another month, and instead of rising, it fell by a dollar. On January 12th, it was hard to increase the limit, creating a new high in recent months, I thought it was going to go all the way up, but I didn't expect it to rise a price limit, and it began to go sideways again, and it also closed out two meteor lines that rushed up and down, which really made my eggs hurt! ”
"Well, it looks a bit abnormal, but Brother Qi, you have to see that this is a large head and shoulders bottom, and it has just crossed the neckline at the bottom of the head and shoulders." Ding Xu reminded.
Qi Fei was woken up by Ding Xu so little, and immediately came to his senses, looked at the recent trend of the K-line chart, exhaled a long breath, and suddenly realized: "Well, that's right, that's the neckline at the bottom of the head and shoulders." But when you say that, I realize that I have made a mistake, and this head and shoulders bottom can be seen from a bigger perspective. In this way, at present, I have just broken through this neckline position, and I really need to take a look again, and I will step on this neckline position again. ”
"I hope not to step back, otherwise it will be weaker, after all, it is in the form of a price limit to break through the long yang, and it is best to go sideways at present." Ding Xu said with a smile, "It stands to reason that the increase has doubled, and this kind of meteor line that has risen and fallen has continued to appear, which is often a sign of the main shipment." However, today's trend is a little weird, especially around one o'clock in the afternoon, the volume fluctuates, I think the main force is still deep control, and it is currently judged to be a wash, so there is no need to be nervous. ”
"Tell me more." Qi Fei became interested.
"You see, at 11:29, the deal was 144 lots. At 13 o'clock, it was 198 lots, but at 13 o1 points, the volume broke through and dropped to 55 lots, 13 o2 points, o lots, 13 o3 points, 38 lots, 13 o4 points, and it was another o lot. In the next six minutes, 9 lots, 9 lots, 17 lots, 8 lots, 42 lots, and 277 lots were traded. Ding Xu explained.
"Well, the trading volume suddenly dropped from hundreds of hands to dozens of hands, a few hands, and even two minutes without a deal, indicating that the previous big deal was just the main force in the reversal, once the main force stopped the reversal, and after testing the trend for a few minutes, there was almost no transaction. After the test, the main force reversed the volume again. Qi Fei nodded and replied.
"Yes, it stands to reason that the transaction after the price limit should be very active, and the turnover rate should be in the range of 8%-15% to be relatively normal. But the price limit on January 12 is abnormally small. After the price limit,、, there is basically only one possibility, that is, the main force is still deeply controlled, and retail investors have not followed the trend, and the main force in the future market has only one way to continue to rise. Until you wait until you get the right shipping location. will be shipped. Ding Xu smiled.
"That's how it should be." Qi Fei was relieved. said with a smile, "Then if you follow the principle of contour you summed up, the wave of ,,, that rose quickly last year only took eight trading days, an increase of 54%. , if it rises by another 54%. , at present, it is only more than 14 yuan, and it is still early to peak. ”
"Well, but this principle of contour is not absolute, let's see when the time comes." Ding Xu replied.
…………………………… Dividing line ..............................
(Sincerely thank "Yang Yingfeng RX-78", "Xing Yuer" and other hardcore book friends for generously rewarding the alliance leader of this book, welcome to enter the alliance leader group (miracle group) family exchange, I wish you a lot of money.)
In a marathon, the runners will definitely save their body at the beginning, they will not run as hard as they can, they will start evenly. Until you get faster and faster, you can complete the sprint.
The same is true for the broader market.
After a streak of declines. For three consecutive days, he closed the small yang line and began to start with a broken step upward movement. During the period, there have been some ups and downs, including the intensive subscription of 17 new shares on Tuesday, including the rumors of the accelerated launch of the registration system in the past few days, from the rumors of the June launch the day before yesterday to today's May is expected to be submitted to the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange for review. In addition, the withdrawal effect of funds close to the end of the year, combined with the outflow of new funds, has also made the market unable to release volume.
It can be said that this period of starting is walking on thin ice, Monday's Shanghai market is 24o700000000000, Tuesday is 225.1 billion, today is 21o90000000000, that is, although it has rebounded for three consecutive days, the turnover is getting less and less day by day.
Personally, I feel that this is mainly due to the impact of the diversion of new funds, because the pre-holiday is close to the end of the year, and some private lending funds must be withdrawn from the funds to repay, and by the way, they will avoid possible negative effects after the holiday. Due to the fact that there is a bit of a vacuum in funds, the trend of heavyweight stocks and blue chips in the past few days has not been strong, and there has been no short-forcing trend. Today, although the Shanghai Composite Index closed the downward gap of 3,129-3,135 points on February 6, it did not rise resolutely, and the main force was like grinding foreign workers, and they did not make any efforts.
However, from another point of view, after the bearish has just passed, before the funds have kept up, the main force will naturally be like running a marathon, and at the beginning of the start, they dare not use too much strength at all, otherwise they will not be able to run later.
But after all, it's a slow and then fast process.
Now that we're starting to start, it's time to sprint.
So don't worry, let's follow the main force slowly, let the lost ground slowly recover, and let the profits gradually accumulate. Even if there are repetitions in the meantime, don't be disappointed and give up.
Again, there will be a rainbow after the wind and rain.
There are only four trading days left before the Spring Festival, there are two days left this week, and there are two more days next Monday and Tuesday. So, after closing the downward gap on February 6 today, unlike the soft trend of these days, a stronger mid-yang candlestick may appear at any time. Our strategy is also very simple, continue to hold the stock patiently, wait for the plate to rotate, and wait for the red envelope to be released by the main force.
Today is Xiao Nian, I wandered outside for a day during the day, and I went to participate in the community's cultural and entertainment bonfire party in the evening, and also participated in the aerobics performance, plus I kicked football yesterday until my whole body was sore, so I don't want to write too much content tonight, I want to go to bed early.
Actually, there isn't much to write about. This kind of experience, I have repeated, that is, in the first half of last year, in the miracle group, we experienced setbacks, experienced winter, all I can do is to continue to encourage everyone to persist in the low position, take a long-term view, and see the opportunities that 2,000 points bring to us.
Now, it's another chance. Similar to the description in the main text of these two chapters, this month's adjustment is equivalent to a major in-flight refueling, followed by a strong upward wave. So we still have to persevere.
Friends in the alliance leader group, you can go to the miracle group in the first half of last year, there are also my daily and weekly solutions, to see how we have gone through the wind and rain and ushered in the success of the mental process, maybe can bring some enlightenment to everyone.
As an aside, recently the QQ group launched a new function of receiving red envelopes, today is a small year, under everyone's appeal, I also made up the fun, bound a bank card, opened Tenpay, spent a few hundred yuan in several groups of red envelopes, I also used the mobile version of QQ to receive ten eight red envelopes. And some group members have received dozens or even hundreds of red envelopes, just count the amount of money received, it is indeed very little, it is not worth waiting for all kinds of red envelopes in front of the computer all day long. You must know that if a stock rises by one point, it is worth a hundred or even a thousand red envelopes. So, try to spend as much time as possible on stock-researching and exercising, which is more cost-effective. In addition to the two days of the big year and the small year, take a red envelope to ask for a lottery, you don't have to always stare at the red envelope to compare the real time, the number of the red envelope is just random, and it has nothing to do with character, the so-called character king is self-comfort, hehe.
Happy New Year. (To be continued!)
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