The miracle group was very quiet, and everyone was listening carefully to Ding Xu's live broadcast.

"Without the impact of sudden news, technical indicators are more effective now. According to my calculation of the downside target below the ascending trend line, the Shanghai Composite Index will fall to around 1785 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index will fall to near 6659 points. Today, the Shenzhen Component Index fell to a minimum of 67o4 points, which is only 45 points away from the target level I calculated, less than 1%, which is already very close. However, the Shanghai Composite Index is only 1832 points at its lowest, which is still 47 points away from the target level I calculated, and it has not yet fully fallen into place, and there is still about 2.5% room for decline. ”

"As for Baotou Steel Rare Earth, the target I calculated was 6.69 yuan, and today's lowest price was 7.45 yuan, which was still o.76 yuan from the target position, and there was nearly 1o% room to fall. Whether it is the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets or Baozi, it has not yet fallen to my target level. I feel that there will either be a long yin after that, which will fall directly into place, or it will fluctuate sideways, slowly falling, and exchanging time for space, and the decline in this way will be smaller, and it may not fall to the target level I calculated. ”

In the past, most of the live broadcasts were made by Qi Fei in the group, but now as Ding Xu enters the Department of Economics to study investment, Ding Xu has more and more opportunities to watch the market. In line with the intention of encouraging Ding Xu to improve his level, Qi Fei handed over more opportunities for live broadcast and commentary to Ding Xu.

Ding Xu is also happy to make this kind of explanation in the plate, after all, this kind of explanation must combine fundamentals, news and technology at the same time, which is also a challenge and test for his ability.

Without challenges, there is no improvement. That's how Ding Xu understands it.

However, this morning's market was very dull, and the market dived again in the afternoon. There are no sectors and stocks that Ding Xu feels interested in and can buy the bottom. Plus it's Christmas. The misunderstanding with Tao Xia last night has not been resolved. Therefore, for the whole day, Ding Xu was a little distracted and absent-minded, and he was lazy to explain.

Finally managed to close at three o'clock in the afternoon, Ding Xu looked at the plate, sighed, and quickly summarized in the group: "This afternoon, the market dived again, and the Shanghai Composite Index fell to 1832 points at the lowest point and closed at 1852 points. fell 11 points, or o.61%, with a turnover of 43.1 billion, which shrank again from yesterday, and the Shenzhen Component Index was similar. Today is Christmas, I don't plan to continue to analyze the market, everyone should also withdraw, and when Christmas is over, we will go to the bottom. Merry Christmas to all! ”

"Miracle, is your calculated downside target really reliable? I always felt a little bit like a sword. After all, the stock market is not a place where mathematical formulas can solve problems. Zhao Zheyi asked a question.

Ding Xu smiled. "This is how the question should be understood," he explained. Stock price fluctuations are actually a confluence of investors' psychological fluctuations, so if the technologists believe in the calculation formula for falling below the uptrend line. Then when they fall to the target level, they will come in to buy the bottom, so that the stock price will naturally rise, which further strengthens this theory, so it still has reference value. ”

"Understood." Zhao Zheyi replied, "Thank you, go and find Xiaolin for the holiday." ”

"Uh, didn't I say that yesterday? That was a beautiful misunderstanding! Ding Xu replied with a smile.

"Beautiful misunderstanding? Can I ask weakly? The big meat bun laughed and asked playfully. Are you going to spend Christmas with Scholar or Kobayashi today? ”

Hearing this, Ding Xu's expression was a little gloomy, and he reluctantly said the word "roll", then stood up and prepared to leave the computer.

But the moment he stood up, his eyes suddenly stared straight ahead, and he couldn't believe his eyes for a while.

Today is Christmas, the students' minds are no longer on the stock market, before three o'clock in the afternoon, there are few people left in the classroom, and after the closing, there is only Ding Xu alone.

But at this moment, near the door of the classroom, there were suddenly two more girls.

A girl has a ponytail and healthy wheat-colored skin. The dress is quite weird, in winter, but wearing a wide pair of sunglasses,

This girl stood up straight, with an awe-inspiring military temperament, and she looked quite special.

Dan Ding Xu only glanced at the girl, and then stared at another tall girl in a red trench coat.

What a beautiful girl she was...... Her delicate facial features, lovely nose, and eyes as bright as stars and as bright as autumn water are all so different.

And more importantly, this is the girl who has repeatedly appeared in Ding Xu's dreams.

"Tao Xia! Shouldn't she be in the capital at this time? Am I dazzled? Ding Xu thought that he had been looking at the computer for a long time, and he was dazzled, and he couldn't help but muttered while rubbing his eyes.

"Puff ......" Hearing Ding Xu's words, and seeing him rubbing his eyes vigorously, Tao Xia couldn't help laughing, revealing the shallow dimples on his right cheek, as well as the pair of cute and crystal little tiger teeth.

"Xia Xia, is it really you?" Hearing Tao Xia's laughter, Ding Xu reacted, ran over in three steps and two steps, but accidentally crashed into a computer desk, knocking the mouse and keyboard to the ground.

"Hey, be careful!" Tao Xia shouted helplessly.

"Why are you here?" Before the words fell, Ding Xu was already standing in front of Tao Xia, one hand still rubbing his right waist that was hurt.

"Christmas, go home and see your parents, and by the way, come and see if you were really beaten into a pig's head?" Tao Xia smiled, raised his head slightly, looked at Ding Xu's facial features, then pursed the corners of his mouth, and said softly, "Liar! Where did you get beaten into a pig's head? ”

"It's true! At that time, five or six people surrounded me, and I received at least a dozen kicks on my body. Thankfully, I was able to protect my face at that time, and my handsome appearance was preserved. Ding Xu's face was indeed not injured, and there was no blue nose and swollen face to exhibit. A classic line of Xingchi in "Tang Bohu Dots Autumn Fragrance".

Hearing this, Tao Xia laughed wildly, and only said after a long time: "Are you okay?" Forget it, if you had something, you wouldn't have come back to school, and you wouldn't have run so fast just now. ”

"It really hurts. Just to see you. I forgot about the pain. "Maybe it's because I often say this language with ** on text messages and QQ. Ding Xu said such words naturally.

"Ahem......" The girl in sunglasses suddenly coughed hard, and the lines on her face were a little stricter.

Even through the sunglasses, Ding Xu could feel the cold eyes of the girl in the sunglasses, and even the murderous aura, which was enough to make the temperature in the room drop by several degrees.

Hearing Ding Xu's words, and hearing the coughing sound of the girl in sunglasses, Tao Xia's face turned red and quickly pointed to the girl in sunglasses next to her. Whispered, "This is Tao Li, my bodyguard." ”

………………………………

(Some people say that I didn't specifically predict how the market will go after the weekend.) To be honest, it's because I'm a little entangled in this issue.

Because the market has risen so well, I want to pour some cold water on everyone, but considering that the market should be able to maintain the strength of inertia in the short term, it will rush to 2444 points, so I didn't go into detail in the weekend analysis.

Today, the Shanghai Composite Index rose to a maximum of 2436 points, only 9 points short of refreshing the 2444 high on February 18, 2o13. However, I feel like after breaking through 2444 points. I'm afraid I won't continue to rush to the 25oo mark, and it's likely to be in the cheers of shareholders. There is a short-term correction, and this correction may be even larger than the previous two weeks. Therefore, in this chapter, I would like to give a hint of the short-term risks of the broader market.

After more than 10 days of adjustment, the result was just as I predicted, with a sharp rise on Tuesday, four consecutive days of gains, and it took only four days to regain lost ground last week. But there is no doubt that the 28 differentiation is very strict, the main funds are basically used to pull index stocks, the small and medium-sized board and the gem are very weak, the index is at a new high, and most small-cap stocks have not returned to the position before the adjustment, so many shareholders have made money on the index but not made money.

Truth be told, this is not normal. Like this, elephants dance and pull the index wildly, but many small-cap stocks fall against the market, often under the cover of weighted weights.

And until today, there is no sign of making up for the gains in small-cap stocks, which are still elephant dances.

And although the index is red at the end of today, there are several waves of diving in the intraday, especially the wave in the afternoon is a relatively fierce dive, which makes me feel the abnormality of the trend, the divergence of funds, and also exacerbates my worries about adjustment.

There is also the steel plate I recommended before, the rise is small, there is a requirement to make up for the plate, recently did make up for the rise, but it did rise too sharply, Masteel shares are only expected to turn around the loss throughout the year, on four consecutive limits, today the steel plate in 6oo8o8, 6oo477, ooo717, ooo932 are up and down, which is a rare situation. Experience tells us that when the steel sector rises sharply, it is often the time when a wave of rally reaches the peak.

So tonight I took a closer look at the technical indicators of different cycles, only from the most commonly used indicator of kdj, it has been resonant for many periods, among which the kdj of the daily line, the k value is 82, the j value is 118, and the j value is strictly zhòng buy. The K value of the weekly line is 87, and the J value is 9O, so start buying. The KDJ of the monthly line is the most annoying, the K value is 86, the J value is 118, and the J value of September and January is 1O8 and 117 respectively, so it can be said that the J value of the monthly line has continued to be passivated. This is more dangerous, once the monthly line peaks, it may take a month or two to adjust before it can regain its upward trend.

Of course, like the big bull market in 2oo5-2oo7, it continued to be passivated for one or two decades under the premise of buying on a monthly line and strictly obtivating it, and then it rushed to 6124 points. This is also the defect of technical indicators, passivation and peaking, not necessarily the market will really adjust sharply.

I then looked at the MACD indicator, I want to find more basis, now on the daily MACD, August 6 closed at 2217, DIF value is 43, September 15 closed at 2339 points, DIF value is 4O, January 9 closed at 2389 points, DIF is 34, today November 3 closed at 243O, DIF value is 2O...... The problem is that the market continues to rise, but the MACD value continues to decline, and today it has fallen to a very low position, which is a bit exaggerated.

In addition, the Bollinger Bands of the daily Shanghai Index also touched the upper band......

Also, today's weekly K-line of the Shanghai Index has jumped above the 12O weekly line, and this 12O weekly line, since April 2o11, the Shanghai Index has not touched, which is also the last pressure line above the weekly line, I am afraid it is not so good.

In addition, the monthly line of the Shanghai Index has also jumped above the 6o monthly line today, and the 6o monthly line has not been encountered since April 2o11, and it is estimated that there will be a long time to repeat.

In addition, the vicinity of 224o-226o points is the previous high of last year, and it is also an area where chips are concentrated, and the pressure is relatively high.

So, given the above technical resonance in many technical indicators, I judge that the correction will start again this week, and the scale of the adjustment will not be small. The main force may choose to take a sudden dive around the impact of 2444 points to release the pressure of long-term indicator divergence and fight for the fund ranking battle at the end of the year, which will be a big scuffle.

At the earliest, it could be a sudden dive tomorrow afternoon.

Just like the title of this chapter - Encounter, the adjustment also often meets us unexpectedly, playing an encounter.

Announcing my operating ideas, I will closely observe the market in the past few days, and may reduce positions or even short positions to wait and see, and even do not rule out that when the opportunity is ripe, I will short-sell some financing targets with my backhand, so as to relive the feeling of shorting securities lending in the past and obtain some short-selling profits.

I didn't move the last time I adjusted, because I firmly believed that it would reach 24oo points, it would reach 2444 points, and insisted that this was just an adjustment on the way up, so I was unwilling to go, so even if I calculated the target level of falling below the upward trend line, I only reminded everyone in the book and in the group that I would rather meet the plunge with a full position and see the ending of this scene.

In a word, it is unwilling.

But this time, the market is about to rebound in place, and the goal I set this year has been basically completed, so my wish is gone, and there is no more pursuit, so I want to do it according to my own judgment.

Of course, in order to avoid causing everyone to follow the trend and then lead to stock turmoil, I will not announce my recent specific stock operations in the book and book friend group, at most share it in the miracle group.

Of course, this is only a short-term operation, in the medium and long term, I still think this is a bull market, and I am still optimistic about the market in 2o15, I just want to do the next t and get more profits, and that's it. And there is also a risk of going short, if the market continues to go up like a mad bull, I will have to go short for a while......

So, don't blindly imitate, make your own decisions.

I wish you all good luck in your investment. (To be continued!)

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