Chapter 148: The Gap is the Flag!
After listening to Tang Hao's question, Ding Xu smiled and replied: "All the funds in our cooperation account have bought Qianyuan Power, and it has not been withdrawn yet, how can we have the money to do the Second Bureau of China Railway?" ”
"That's a shame. I think Qianyuan Power has made almost a lot of money, and it has earned three daily limits in four days, what do you want to do? Tang Hao couldn't help but say, "This kind of stock is like a rising tide, rising fast and ebbing quickly." So don't be too greedy, take it when you see it. ”
"Well, rat, you are not greedy, you have a sense of crisis, this is very good, it can be seen that you also have the talent to do stocks, you are called a stock fairy in those stock groups, and it seems that you are not a wave. Worthy of a name. ”
Ding Xu was a little surprised and encouraged, and replied: "Qianyuan Power, this stock, was originally going to be the middle line, but since it has risen so fast, it will definitely not last, so it can't be operated according to the moving average profit-taking method of the middle line." But the recent high is 12.74 yuan, today's lowest fall to the annual position of 11.9o yuan, it stopped falling and rebounded, the maximum decline is less than 7%, has not reached the proportion of the profit method of 8%, next week to see it, if it does not go well, then find a high point to ship. ”
"Well, that's good." Tang Hao reminded, "Remind me before you ship, I will ask the guys in the group to follow the shipment." ”
"It's a bit of a big impact." Ding Xu said with a headache, "The outstanding shares of Qianyuan Power are only 115 million, the key is that the dealer is highly controlled, and the trading volume is usually very small, even if it pulls a few daily limits, there is only more than 30 million trading volume today." And you have nine groups there, nearly 2,000 people, and if you have a tenth of the people who follow this stock. It will inevitably alarm the dealer. ”
"Rest assured. Not many people followed. I encourage them to do the two stocks of China Railway Second Bureau and Baotou Iron and Steel Rare Earth, after all, the plates of those two stocks are large and the transaction is much more active. Moreover, Qianyuan Power has pulled three daily limits in a row in the past few days, and it seems to be relatively high, and most people dare not chase it. Tang Hao hurriedly declared.
"That's pretty much it." Ding Xu was relieved.
Not long after chatting with Tang Hao, Mr. Du Yucheng walked into the computer room and found Ding Xu.
"I didn't expect the market to be so strong today, and I didn't even step on the 6o daily moving average. The gap was only half filled, and it turned around directly. Du Yucheng said with emotion, "In this way, the three stocks you said in the morning will also go up, count your luck as a kid, Tang Hao operated according to your opinions, and finally maintained your undefeated myth." ”
"It's really just a matter of luck, I didn't expect the market to be so strong today, and I just refused to fill the gap." Ding Xu smiled, and then asked sincerely. "Mr. Du, this 2o point gap left yesterday. What do you think, do you think it will be made up next week? ”
The so-called gap refers to the area where there is no trading in a certain period, and the table xiàn on the K-line chart is the blank space between the high and low prices of two adjacent K-lines. Whether it is a broad market index or a stock price, if there is a period of price without any trading in a fast and large movement, then it is displayed on the stock price trend chart as a vacuum area, and this area is called a gap.
There are two types of gaps: up gaps and down gaps.
For example, the closing price of a stock yesterday was 1O yuan, the highest had risen to 1o.2O yuan, and today it opened high and went high, the closing price was 1o.8o yuan, and the lowest price was 1o.3o yuan, then 1o.yuan is the gap of the upward gap. There is no deal at this dime price, it is like no man's land.
If you look at the two sides of the battle between the long and short sides, you can understand the significance of the gap.
On the battlefield, after a period of confrontation between the two warring sides, one side was defeated and fled, and the battle was retreated. The victorious side crossed the river by boat and pursued the victory. At this time, although the victorious side achieved a temporary victory, it also faced problems such as supplies and retreats. The big river is behind him, and if the other party strikes back, the side can only fight with his back. If you are defeated, you will not even have a way out, you will inevitably fall into the river, and you will become the loser from the victorious side.
Therefore, if the great river is seen as having no gap, then the temporarily victorious side must fight hard, constantly pursue the victory, advance forward, strive to get away from the river, and establish a stronghold to stabilize the position.
The same is true of the long-short battle in the stock market, from the K-line chart, those shapes that are completely shaped, whether it is a consolidation pattern or a reversal pattern, or stocks that fluctuate slightly with low trading volume in the price area with less volatility, once a breakthrough gap is determined in the way of gapping up or falling, the trend and direction of the future market have basically been indicated.
In the words of chess, once a gap is formed, it is a pawn who has crossed the river, and can only move forward, not retreat.
Of course, there are also cases of failure.
When there is a gap in the stock price, after a few days or more of change, and then the stock price reverses and returns to the original gap price, it is called the closure of the gap, also known as filling the gap or filling the gap.
For gaps, many technical operators believe that any gap is abnormal and must be closed in order to buy or sell with confidence. There are also technical schools that believe that if the gap is not closed within three days, the gap is absolutely meaningful, the gap will not be filled in the short term, and the gap will become support.
Just as there are all kinds of debates about technical indicators, there are also various debates among technologists about whether the gaps need to be filled. But the broader market will not pay attention to these arguments, it goes its own way, and there are often situations where a gap is not filled for months or even years.
For example, this wave of market, starting from the lowest point of 168o points on November 7, has now closed two gaps.
On November 1o, when the market first started, the Shanghai Composite Index opened sharply and opened high, closing a large gap of 2o points in the area of 1762-1782 points. It has been a month now, but there is no sign of filling the gap at all, but it has risen higher and higher, rising above the 2ooo point, which is more than ten points away from the gap.
After that, when the Shanghai Composite Index crossed the 6o daily line, it opened higher on December 4, leaving a gap of up to 2o points from 1965 to 1985 after closing.
At 2 o'clock this afternoon, the Shanghai Composite Index fell as low as 1,975 points, filling the gap of 10 points. Just when everyone thought that the gap would be completely filled, the Shanghai Composite Index turned upward and closed a white candle again.
"Why do you care so much about this gap?" Du Yucheng did not directly answer Ding Xu's question, but asked rhetorically, "What I care about is that the market has not hit a new high today." As for whether the gap is filled, does it matter? ”
"Of course it's important. The gap often occurs after a long-term consolidation of the index and stock price, and once there is a gap, it indicates that the consolidation has ended, and it will continue to march in the direction of the long and short indicated by the gap. This gap is the banner of bulls or bears, and the market can only move forward, not retreat! ”
Ding Xu said solemnly, "Once the upward gap is filled, this military flag will fall, which means that the upward trend has been changed and the stock price will fall." On the contrary, the downward gap is filled, and the downward trend will be reversed. So I think that if the market is strong, it should not fill this gap, and it can only rush upwards next Monday, not to 1965 points, otherwise it will be a big trouble! ”
"The market is strong? I think it's precisely the market that is too strong, too strong. The 6O daily line, which has not broken through for more than 200 days, needs to be repeatedly grinded and digested, but yesterday the Shanghai Composite Index chose to open higher above the 6O daily line, and then opened high and went high, and basically did not touch the 6O daily line in the intraday. ”
Du Yucheng shook his head and said, "Today is the case again, the 6O daily line is at 1965 points, and the Shanghai Composite Index only fell to 1975 points before turning around, and did not touch the 6O daily line at all, which is too light and floating, too no fireworks." You must know that victory without bloody battles will always make people feel unsteady. ”
Ding Xu understood Du Yucheng's words, so he became silent.
Du Yucheng's words are indeed reasonable. For such an important moving average as the 6o daily line, it is indeed necessary to grind it, so that the trapped chips and the new funds can be exchanged and converted to form a new line of defense, so that the original pressure level becomes a support level.
In the past two days, the market has jumped over like a rope skipping master, but the overall increase is not large, and it has not hit a new high, which gives people a somewhat unsteady feeling.
"Besides, what you just said is obviously not right. Because you don't know the difference between a breakout gap and a relay gap. Du Yucheng added, "Not every gap is a flag, some gaps can be filled, and some gaps must not be filled!" ”
Hearing this, Ding Xu scratched his head and said a little embarrassedly: "Regarding the classification of gaps, I really haven't studied them carefully, so please ask Teacher Du for advice." (To be continued!)
PS: The Shanghai Composite Index jumped up on July 28, leaving an 8-point breakout gap in the 2127-2135 area, which is the banner of the bulls in this wave of market. As long as this gap is not filled, the military flag will not fall, and the bullish market will expand in depth. In order to deepen your understanding, I will write about the gap today.
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