Chapter 195: Guillotine, pedicure knife
Ding Xu turned his head in some surprise and looked at it, and it was Teacher Du Yucheng who was patting him on the shoulder.
"Mr. Du, I'll communicate with my friends in the QQ group, mainly to ......share your incisive analysis with them," Ding Xu said with some embarrassment.
Mr. Du was teaching a class to a junior majoring in investment today, while Ding Xu was listening in the corner as usual. Although he is only an auditor, he is also a student of Teacher Du Yucheng, and it stands to reason that he should concentrate on listening to the class and not desert.
Just now, Mr. Du was analyzing the plate, but Ding Xu chatted about QQ, and chatted a little devotedly, but he didn't show that Mr. Du came to his side and showed his own small actions, so he was naturally a little ashamed, and quickly found a better excuse to try to get by.
Fortunately, Du Yucheng didn't care, and said open-mindedly: "It's okay, you're busy with you." I just want to ask you, what do you think of yesterday's guillotine? ”
The decapitated guillotine that Du Yucheng mentioned is, of course, not the kind of torture tool that Bao Zheng used to kill the heads of corrupt officials, but refers to a stock term.
In stock terminology, the so-called guillotine refers to a long black candle that falls below several moving averages at the same time, similar to a guillotine cutting moving average.
For example, a few days ago, the Shanghai Index rebounded slightly, and the short- and medium-term moving averages were gradually glued together, and yesterday's long black line, which fell by 4.55%, fell below the 1O, 2O, 3O, and 6O daily moving averages at the same time, forming an ugly long black line, like a guillotine, cutting the moving average system that was just ready to be arranged in a bullish row.
This is just the opposite of the Hibiscus water candle that breaks through several moving averages at the same time.
On candlestick charts, the influence of a single candlestick is limited. Generally, it is not enough to judge the market outlook, and it is necessary to combine several K-lines before and after to judge.
But there are also some special candlesticks. A single candlestick alone can indicate a very clear change in the market outlook, and the broken knife is one of them.
Overwhelmingly speaking. Once the guillotine appears, the stock price will be adjusted for a period of time.
"The broader market plummeted for a year, from 6,124 points to 1,664 points, a whopping 73% decline. In this wave of rebound, the Shanghai Composite Index rose from a maximum of 1664 points to 21oo points, with a maximum increase of only 26%. Compared to the previous decline, this rally is not very high. Even at the highest rebound of 21oo points, many main forces are still losing money, which is not enough to support all the main forces to flee. ”
Hearing that Mr. Du Yucheng did not pursue his desertion. Ding Xu breathed a sigh of relief and replied unhurriedly, "And yesterday, when the interest rate cut was good, it seemed like a guillotine, scary enough, but it fell below 19oo points, and those main forces still couldn't get rid of it, let alone how much profit there were." Therefore, in the short term, there is a risk of continuing to adjust the wash. But in the medium to long term, this should be just a small episode. ”
"Well, you go on." Du Yucheng nodded approvingly.
"The bear market is out of the long yang, and the bull market is out of the long yin. I think it's still the beginning of a bull market. The investment of four trillion yuan will continue to ferment in 2oo9! ”
Ding Xu said loudly, "The bull's head of the bull market has been exposed, and yesterday's guillotine knife." It can't break the bull's head at all, so it's not actually a guillotine. At most, it is a pedicure knife, just repairing the feet of the bull for the big plate. Dig a corn or something, the purpose is to make the market go further. Of course, by the way, also repair the retail investors who follow the trend and let them hand over the bloody chips. ”
Hearing such a novel metaphor from Ding Xu, the senior brothers and sisters who were listening to this question and answer with their ears pricked up on the side couldn't help laughing.
"It took a long time for the main force to create a dragon slaying knife, ready to slaughter a group of retail investors, but you said it was a pedicure knife...... Ding Xu, you're too spoofed. Liu Yue said a little speechlessly.
"The analogy sounds a bit cheesy, but it's very graphic."
Du Yucheng commented, then walked to the front of the computer connected to the projector, called up the K-line chart of the Shanghai Index for nearly a year, and said to the students, "Ding Xu's vision is very far, which is the benefit of observing from the medium and long term." Indeed, the guillotine generally only appears at the top when it has important technical significance, and it can be called a guillotine. Ding Xu is right, the market is only more than ten points away from the low point of 1664 points to rebound, yesterday's long yin line is indeed not a broken head, it is more appropriate to say that it is a pedicure, there is no need to panic. ”
The two-hour computer class was quickly over, and the market still did not improve, and the Shanghai Composite Index had a small rebound when it was almost ten o'clock, but it fell down after rebounding to 1887 points, and it seemed that there was no desire to make up for the downward gap in the morning. hope, and there is no desire to regain 19oo points. Hope.
"It's over, and the market looks like it will continue to fall! My clients, my money! After class, Liu Yue walked up to Ding Xu and said with a sad face.
"Didn't you clear your stock yesterday?" Ding Xu asked suspiciously.
"It's a deleveraging! It's not a clearance. Liu Yue corrected Ding Xu's statement, "Because I think the upward trend line that the guy likes to speculate in stocks is more reasonable, and it is also good for interest rate cuts, so I was a little lucky yesterday morning, and I felt that the market might be able to retract the upward trend line, so I only tried to sell half of it, not all of it." Later, the deeper it fell, the more reluctant it was to throw it. I didn't expect to lose more today, alas, most of the customers in my stock group did not clear their positions, but just followed me to reduce their positions, and they also suffered heavy losses......"
At this time, Baotou Iron and Steel Rare Earth has fallen to 7.84 yuan, a decline of more than 2%, and Liu Yue has only sold half, so he naturally suffered another loss.
Fortunately, Liu Yue uses the screen name of "Xiaolin" and often chats in the miracle group, and Ding Xu also knows some of her investments, such as her principal is only 10,000 yuan, even if she falls by 10% yesterday, she only loses a profit of 1,000 yuan.
"When the interruption continues, it will be chaotic." Ding Xu sighed with some regret, and then smiled, "But you only have a principal of 10,000 yuan, and you don't invest much, and you won't lose much no matter how much you fall." ”
"You can't say that." Liu Yue glanced at Ding Xu and said angrily, "You are operating hundreds of thousands, it doesn't matter if you fall by 10,000." But for poor students like us, a drop of 500 yuan means that there is no money to go to the Christmas Eve party tonight, and there is no money to go to Christmas tomorrow! ”
"Uh...... That's when I remembered that tomorrow was Christmas. Ding Xu patted his forehead and said as if he had just woken up from a dream.
"Yes, yes." Liu Yue nodded vigorously, the expression on her face suddenly became cute, her eyes narrowed into a crescent moon, and she said with a smile, "Dear Lord of the Group, what benefits are you going to prepare for Christmas?" (To be continued!)
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