Chapter 349: Rubbing the Line

"Xiaohong, your friend is really good." At this moment, even if you don't eat fat, you have to be convinced, and give a thumbs up.

"Damn, I'm a man, why do you call me Xiaohong?" The red scarf was in a hurry, "Don't call me Xiaohong again, and then call me anxious with you." ”

"Okay, Red." Eating not fat grinned, "Since then, we have one more soft girl in the miracle group, everyone applauds." ”

All the friends laughed and swiped the screen desperately.

"Okay." The red scarf reluctantly accepted his fate, "Xiaohong is Xiaohong, but why can't it be called Dahong, or Changyang?" ”

"Miracle, the morning has closed, and the market has turned red, but why did you open so low in the morning, is there a problem?" SS asked suddenly.

"It may be that Hong Kong stocks fell sharply yesterday, affecting A-shares. The Hang Seng Index closed at 12,960 points on January 20, down 380 points, or nearly 3%, and it is estimated that it is still affected by the financial crisis and the inability of the global economy to recover. Ding Xu replied, "In addition, there is a report in Hong Kong media that a spokesman for ICBC said that ICBC is holding a meeting to study the possible sale of its H shares by strategic investor American Express, which has also aroused investors' concerns." ”

"I'm going, the Americans just sold the shares of the Construction Bank, and now they are going to sell the shares of the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China?" Luoluo said helplessly, "Then what do our investors have to worry about, buy it, this is called investment!" ”

"Why do you say that?" Ding Xu asked with interest.

"Quite simply, Warren Buffett sold all of PetroChina in 2007, and our media was shouting that it would cost 100 yuan. Investors are even more enthusiastic about chasing higher at the opening price of 48 yuan. Say it's value investing. Because PetroChina is the most profitable company in Asia, the result? Now, almost all foreign investment institutions are selling Chinese bank stocks, and the average price is less than two Hong Kong dollars, which is as cheap as the price of cabbage, and those who once chased PetroChina, known as investors, are still worried that the price is too high. It's going to fall, it's really speechless. ”

"Well, that makes sense, that's the difference between a bull market and a bear market environment." Ding Xu nodded.

"Yes, it's a difference in mentality. According to my understanding, if a stock falls by more than half, or even 80%, it is like Baotou Steel rare earth. At this time, it can be said to be an investment if you buy boldly, because the value is undervalued. There is a need for a value revaluation. And a stock has risen one or two times or even four or five times, and the main force may ship at any time. At that time, chasing high is a typical speculative mentality, wanting to play the baton game, and often playing yourself to death in the end. Luoluo replied.

"Luoluo, your understanding is still good, although I always thought that I was a speculator, not a so-called value investor. But after listening to your words, I suddenly feel like an investor. Ding Xu laughed.

"Now that the global economy is gradually coming out of the impact of the financial crisis, all industries are at a low point and are climbing out of the pit. Luoluo said with a smile, "Yesterday, the first black president of the United States, O. Bama, who was sworn in as the 44th president of the United States, called on Americans to put aside greed, irresponsibility, and common mistakes and make difficult choices to withstand the storms of war and recession. You see, Obama's first priority is how to deal with the financial crisis, so he will definitely make a lot of efforts in this regard, and the global financial crisis should pass in a short period of time, and it will not last for three or five years, as many experts fear, and plunge the world into a recession that is difficult to save. So there is nothing to worry about in A-shares, I think the miracle you said about the small bull market should be able to be established. ”

"Well, I never doubted that. Today's low opening can't scare me, after all, the kneading line a few days ago is obvious, it's a washing dish. Ding Xu smiled.

"What do you mean by kneading thread? Marvel. Yachito asked with interest.

"Oh, this is a combination of K-lines, which generally appear in the process of rising, and the basic graphical features are composed of two T-shapes, one positive and one negative, and sometimes it can also be composed of shooting star lines and hanging necks. For example, on January 19, the Shanghai Composite Index was a meteor line with a long upper shadow, and on January 20, it was a hanging neckline. These two long upper and long lower shadow lines, like the two blades of an electric fan, are combined into a pair of propellers, sweeping up and down, cleaning the floating chips, and playing the role of a washing plate to reduce the pressure of pulling up in the future. ”

Ding Xu explained, "It stands to reason that the meteor line and the hanging neck line, as well as the positive and negative T-line, are all bearish signals. However, if it occurs at the low and middle levels in the process of rising, it can generally be understood as a wash, continue to be bullish, and can intervene. If it occurs at a high level, it is often a peak signal, and it should be judged by combining other factors. If you find signs of a main shipment, you should sell the stock in time. ”

"What are the other factors?" Yachiri asked very curiously.

"For example, whether it has fallen below the important moving average, in addition, the rubbing line that appears on the way up is generally a small T-shape, the upper and lower shadows are not too long, and the amount of energy will generally shrink. Yesterday and the day before yesterday, the Shanghai Composite Index was more in line with this situation. Ding Xu explained.

"Thanks, it's up again." Yachito smiled with relief.

After chatting about these contents, Ding Xu hurriedly finished his lunch, and began to sit in front of the computer again, staring at the plate, ready to observe the next move of Zhongbing Optoelectronics, whether it was a pull up or a callback.

When it was almost one o'clock, he was about to open the market, when Ding Xu's mobile phone suddenly rang.

Ding Xu grabbed his mobile phone and looked at it, and immediately smiled, it turned out to be Tao Xia, who had not been in touch for many days.

"Xia Xia, you're finally willing to call me." Ding Xu suddenly forgot about the stock and quickly connected the phone.

"You're a rake!" Tao Xia pouted and said, "If I don't call you, you will forget about me, right?" Hmph, no wonder they all say that men are the most attentive, and when they catch up with others, they don't cherish them. ”

"Wronged!" When Ding Xu heard Tao Xia's rare coquettish words, his heart suddenly felt as sweet as honey, and he hurriedly distinguished, "I'm not afraid to call you rashly." Was it discovered by your parents and your parents? You said it last time. Say you were hospitalized. Don't rush to contact you. ”

"Whatever you say makes sense, anyway." Tao Xia snorted.

"By the way, Xia Xia, how is your face healing?" Ding Xu hurriedly asked.

"Uh......" Tao Xia hesitated for a moment and said softly, "The doctor said, fortunately, the concentration of sulfuric acid is not high, it may be mixed with water or something, plus I found the best doctor in the capital, and now it is almost better." The doctor said. There shouldn't be any scarring. ”

"Holy, thank goodness!" Hearing this good news, Ding Xu suddenly burst into joy and laughed, "Thank you to the one who sold pesticides for selling fake pesticides!" Well, there seems to be a person in our miracle group whose name is selling pesticides, it can't be the sulfuric acid he sells, I'll thank him later. ”

"You're stupid, sulfuric acid is not a pesticide." Tao Xia covered her mouth and smiled.

"Haha. I was too excited to forget. Ding Xu came back to his senses. I couldn't help but ask excitedly, "So, Xia Xia, can you be discharged from the hospital before the Chinese New Year?" Can I go back to Huairen City? I'd love to see you right away. ”

Hearing this, Tao Xia's heart was sweet, and he said softly, "I want to see you too." But I'm afraid my dad won't agree. ”

"What's the matter, didn't you say they agreed last time?" Ding Xu scratched his head and asked in a tangled manner, "Why did you change your hexagram again?" ”

"Last time, they looked at my face as if it was ruined, and they were afraid that I wouldn't be able to open it, so they agreed, but now they say they want to reconsider." Tao Xia said with a smile.

"I'll go, don't bring people like this, go back on your word, I protest!" Ding Xu was extremely depressed and said, "No, I'm going to the capital to see you and make it clear to your father in person." ”

"Do you really want to come to the capital to see me?" Tao Xia felt a sweet heart and asked happily.

"Well, I really want to!" At the thought of being able to meet Tao Xia, Ding Xu's heart had already thrown the stock out of the clouds, and he couldn't wait to buy a plane ticket immediately.

"Don't worry, wait until I find an opportunity to test my parents' tone." Tao Xia hesitated for a moment and said.

"Well, hurry up and try it, I'll buy a ticket." Ding Xu said anxiously.

"Look at your monkey hurry...... Good bye! Tao Xia smiled sweetly and hung up the phone.

"Goodbye, goodbye, see you again, it's called goodbye." Ding Xu laughed, walked back and forth in the study several times, and took a few deep breaths, then calmed down and came back to the computer to look at the stocks.

Seeing this, Ding Xu frowned.

After the opening of Zhongbing Optoelectronics at noon, it seemed that because of the pressure of catching up with the big orders of friends without red scarves, the rhythm of the upward attack stopped suddenly, the stock price began to move sideways, and then began to fall slightly, and the center of gravity continued to decrease.

…………………………… Dividing line ..............................

(Heartfelt thanks to "Silver Black Lightning", Hundreds of Millions of Light Years Away, Moonrise Sky Mountain, Tianxin in the Heart, jackeyzfm, Illusion Ultimate, Nameless XX, lcs2000, lunasea0, weiye2046, Shanghai Book Friends, Woolen 168, "Little Pooh" and other hardcore book friends generously rewarded as the alliance leader of this book, welcome to enter the alliance leader group (miracle group) family exchange, I wish you smooth sailing and good luck.)

Special thanks to the first hardcore alliance leader "Book Road Walker" for another huge reward of 10,000 yuan, I wish you good health and good fortune.

Thanks to "Sixi West", Shuo? The world, patience is king, light makeup, "sincere 19" and other hardcore alliance leaders once again rewarded a large amount, I wish to continue to make a lot of money and continue to double.

Regarding the broader market, it is relatively strong today, although there have been several waves of small dives in the intraday, but the close still stands above the 3800 point mark.

However, tomorrow is April 2nd, which is the magic number of the 34th day of this wave of rally, and it may be a change window. This morning, I saw that the position of the equity fund has exceeded 87%. The Eighty-Eight Spell also worries me. Although I haven't studied whether the 88 spells in the big bull market work, this signal still worries me a little.

When the average position of the fund is much higher than the historical average of about 80%, and the position level of the open-end equity fund is even close to or exceeds the critical line of the "88% curse", the "88% curse" of the A-share market has repeatedly appeared in recent years, and there has been a great adjustment.

According to the research report of Minsheng Securities, "Fund Position Monitoring Weekly Report: The Overall Position Rose for Four Consecutive Weeks, and One-third of the Fund Approached Full Operation" reported: "The fund position monitoring results on March 29, 2015 show that the average position of open-end active stock-biased funds in the sample increased slightly: from 86.99% in the previous period to 87.73% in the current period, rising for four consecutive weeks. Compared with the previous period, the number of funds with more than 90% positions increased to 344, accounting for 58.2% of the sample size, and 1/3 of the funds were operating at full capacity. The average position of equity funds increased by 65BP to 89.67% of the period, and the average position of hybrid funds increased by 96BP to 83.52% of the period, and the position of hybrid funds increased slightly more.

In this period, 256 equity funds actively reduced their positions, accounting for 62.9%; 97 hybrid funds actively increased their positions, accounting for 52.2%. Most hybrid funds actively increase their positions. ”

As for the content and meaning of this report, I analyzed it in detail in the miracle group this afternoon, so I won't say more.

It stands to reason that the market has overcome 3,800 points, and it should rush to the 4,000-point mark, and then there will be a big adjustment, but the main force is often unexpected, and we have to consider this risk factor. Because everyone thinks so, the main force doesn't necessarily do it. Just like yesterday, after the real estate benefits came out, most of the real estate stocks that rose in advance were set up high and low, trapping the retail investors who rushed into the good.

On the other hand, I haven't used magic numbers on the big market before, which are 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34...... Such numbers. However, I rechecked the market in the morning and found that this wave of rise in the broader market is still more consistent with this kind of number, which adds to my worries.

It seems that the Fibonacci sequence has been at work.

For example, the wave that opened on November 20 last year, after seven consecutive suns, began to adjust on December 1, which was the eighth day. On December 9, it fell 5.43%, which was the 14th day, one day short of 13. December 18th is the 21st day. After that, it rebounded and fell sharply. The 34th day was January 8, which fell 2.39%, after which a wave of correction began. It was not until February 6th, the 21st day, that the adjustment ended and the Spring Festival red envelope market began. These two times, 34 and 21, coincide well.

Then the red envelope market will be opened from February 9th, and it will be adjusted on the 8th day, that is, on February 25th. March 3rd to 6th continues to adjust, it is the 12th-15th day, close to the number of 13. Yesterday, March 31, was the 32nd day, and there was a correction, close to the number 34. So I'm a little worried about tomorrow, and seeing that the fund position is close to 88%, I feel like I really need to be careful.

In addition, the top management is accustomed to announcing the issuance of new shares at the beginning of the month, and now there are rumors in the market that there are estimated 30 new shares issued in April, if the news of new shares is released in the past two days, the market will worry about the acceleration of the pace of new stock issuance, and some funds will habitually flow out, avoid risks, and the market is prone to habitual adjustments. After all, in this bull market, the news of new stocks often becomes the fuse for adjustment.

So these three factors come together, and I think this issue needs to be seriously considered. In order to leave enough mobility, I reduced my position this afternoon, left some cash in my hands, ready to wait and see, if there are more callbacks, look for opportunities to pick up cheap, if there is no callback, it doesn't matter, the market has a lot of opportunities to make money in the bull market, and then find a chance to go in. The most important thing is to ensure the safety of funds, after all, I am full of positions plus financing, the current principal has increased by 9 times compared with the beginning of last year, plus financing is more, if there is a greater risk or try to avoid, this is the operational discipline. To achieve financial freedom, you must make fewer mistakes and avoid adjusting rather than taking short-term risks.

The above is a personal operation and has been announced in the miracle group as usual. At the same time, it is also stated that it is only a personal opinion and operation, please do not blindly imitate, please think and make decisions independently. (To be continued......)