Chapter 115: Special Quantity and Price Patterns
The trading volume of the K-line moving average is the three most important analysis basis and analysis content in technical analysis, and the trading volume is one of the most important links.
There is a saying in the stock market that trading volume can't fool people. This proverb mainly refers to the volume of the entire stock market, not individual stocks.
Market makers can manipulate stock prices, make all kinds of beautiful candlestick charts, and make technical patterns such as false breakouts. Similarly, the dealer can also use guò to make a turnover.
This kind of reversal is to use the different accounts in the hands of the market maker to buy and sell stocks, that is, the left hand is poured to the right hand.
Through guò inverted, you can artificially create a technical graphic that breaks through new highs in volume to attract followers to take over; Or artificially create a big yin stick that falls sharply to scare away retail investors who want to sit in a sedan chair.
Of course, this kind of reversal can only be concentrated in a certain week, a certain day, and a certain period of time. From a longer period of one month, one quarter, or more than one year, the trading volume as a whole is basically impossible to fake.
Because the investment of funds requires real money, and the long-term amount of inversion also requires huge commissions and stamp duties, generally no bookmaker will be generous to the point of such a loser.
Therefore, the relationship between volume and price is an object worth focusing on for investors. It can be said that if you can accurately grasp the correspondence between trading volume and stock price, the success rate of stock trading will be much higher.
There is one of the most important principles of the relationship between quantity and price, that is, the same direction of quantity and price.
Volume and price in the same direction, that is, the volume and stock price must be consistent, under normal circumstances, the volume will increase with the rise of the market, and will also decrease with the decline of the market.
As the saying goes, volume comes first in price, if the stock price hits a new high. There must be a confirmation of the volume. If the volume diverges from the volume of the stock price, such as the stock price hitting a new high. The volume has not been enlarged or even reduced accordingly. It is a red flag, this upward trend may be terminated at any time, and there will be a situation of falling volume.
This situation is known as volume-price divergence.
Of course, there is no absolute thing in the world, even if there is a volume and price divergence, it will not necessarily fall immediately, and even this kind of price increase and contraction will occur many times in a row, and in the case of continuous volume and price divergence. The stock price has repeatedly hit new highs.
Speaking of this, Qi Fei explained: "According to the analysis of the group owner, this is the favorite trick of the bookmakers in the past two years, that is, constantly using the form of price increase and volume contraction to remind retail investors of risks. Most retail investors believe that price increase is the golden rule of a healthy trend, so they basically dare not follow this kind of stock, until the market maker pulls to the ideal high and begins to tell stories, during which the price limit is constantly pulled. And with some advantages and concepts, retail investors will swarm in, do short-term, and finally take over the goods in the hands of the dealer. Stand guard in a high position. ”
Qi Fei is right, this has always been a secret weapon used by Ding Xu when selecting stocks.
There are seven common forms of volume and price:
The first is the low-level volume increase price flat form. After a long period of decline, the stock price began to stop falling at a low level. At the same time, the volume is constantly increasing. However, the stock price has not risen synchronously, but has fluctuated sideways. This is a typical form of main sucking. Generally, after Lao Zhuang fled at a high position, he chose to re-enter the market at a low position to pick up cheap chips. Or there is a new big money that is suppressing the opening of positions. Once the stock price turns upwards with the effective cooperation of the volume, it indicates that a bottom has been formed. The market is likely to continue to rally in the future.
The second is the normal price increase and volume increase pattern, which is the most normal volume and price pattern in the rise. When the price rises, the volume and energy will increase, and the volume and price will cooperate, and the market will continue to rise. This means that the upward trend will continue until the volume price diverges and the trend is reversed.
The third is the abnormal price increase and contraction pattern. If the price rises quickly and the trading volume shrinks quickly during the rising process, it means that the market is not healthy, and the disk may top and reverse at any time, turning from rising to falling.
Fourth, the trend pattern of rapid exhaustion. The stock price and trading volume showed a slow upward pattern in the early stage of the rise, and then the rally increased, and in the final stage, the volume and price soared together, and then the trading volume and stock price fell rapidly. This kind of trend is often born in the concept of stocks or when there is an explosive positive, the market maker will take advantage of the relevant concept to be speculated, or the sudden positive shipment of listed companies, which makes the trading volume increase sharply, and the stock price falls rapidly after a wave of sharp pulling, indicating that the market is about to reverse.
Fifth, the high-level stagflation pattern. After a long period of rise, the price basically does not rise, there is an obvious stagflation, but it still maintains a large trading volume, and repeatedly fluctuates in a wide range in a more obvious box, during which most of the big yin and big yang lines alternately appear, which seems to be still very strong, but the stock price as a whole shows a gradual downward trend. This is usually the main force of the high-level shock shipment market, after the completion of the shipment is about to fall sharply, belongs to Ding Xu believes that the "flying knife stock".
Sixth, the volume of the downward pattern. This situation appeared in the early stage of the falling market, when the stock price fell, the trading volume was enlarged simultaneously, indicating that the selling order increased significantly, large funds and investors are no longer optimistic, and a large number of stocks are being sold, so it is easy to form a situation of killing more, and the trend of turning long to short can be basically confirmed, and investors should avoid this trend.
Seventh, the normal price decline and volume shrinkage pattern, which is the most normal volume and price pattern in the fall, usually born in the middle of the falling market, and may also appear in the middle of the rising market. When the price falls, the volume of energy shrinks, and the market mainly declines in a negative way. This shows that investors no longer try to buy the bottom and cover short positions after shipping, which means that the stock price will continue to fall until the volume can shrink to the limit and the price will no longer fall, and then it may usher in a rebound or reversal. For this pattern, investors should wait and see, and must not blindly buy the bottom, otherwise it is likely to be deeply trapped in the continuous decline.
Although the consensus on the volume and price patterns in the market is mainly these seven types, in the summer vacation of this year, Ding Xu has appeared another special volume and price form - a non-fast-exhausting price increase and volume contraction pattern!
This pattern is as follows: the volume and price continue to rise, but do not form a fast-depleting surge, and then the volume will gradually decrease in the process of pulling, but the stock is very tenacious and continues to climb. It rises higher and higher, and finally rises to a formidable mid-air. However, the trading volume is still slow to expand, which makes those shareholders who believe in the year-on-year relationship between volume and price cry out incomprehensible.
This is the case. It often appears on small and mid-cap stocks, becoming an enviable big bull stock.
The reason for this situation, in fact, there is no other ingenuity, it is nothing more than six words - the dealer is highly controlled!
Ding Xutong's research on a large number of individual stocks shows that for a small and medium-cap stock, there is often no transaction for 2-5 minutes, and a small number of buying orders can easily push up the stock price, which shows that the main force is well controlled, and it also shows that such a stock has the potential to rise continuously. If this phenomenon is born after an extreme contraction in volume. Then it means that the stock price has successfully bottomed out and is about to rise sharply.
For example, like Qianyuan Power, it once used only a thousand hands of orders at the end of the market, and directly pulled the shares up by four or five points. Therefore, Ding Xu judged that the main force was highly controlled, and after Jian Yì Qi Fei bought the stock, he recently harvested two daily limits in a row.
This is not because Ding Xu can predict the future, but because of the law of the relationship between volume and price - since the main force is highly controlled, it means that most of the chips are concentrated in the hands of the main force, which naturally means that the bottom has been formed. The main force took so many chips. Nature is not used for collection, but to be sold to retail investors, and then it will naturally rise.
If the main financial strength is strong, ready to do a long village. If the stock price rises to several times or even more than ten times, then in the process of pulling up, in addition to the price limit or when the market is washed, a larger volume will be released. Other times the dealer doesn't do much at all. As a result, there will be a continuous volume-price divergence in which the stock price continues to rise while the trading volume continues to decline.
Because the dealer has a high degree of control, he keeps doing trading volume every day. It can only make its cost go up, plus some bookmakers have a deep background. I am not afraid of being questioned by shareholders, and I am not even afraid of being investigated and punished, so I don't bother to do trading volume at all.
At the same time, this abnormal pattern can also give a strong risk warning to floating capital and retail investors, so that they dare not follow the trend and buy.
As for pulling the ideal increase, the dealer naturally has a way to tell the story and ship.
This kind of continuous price increase and contraction, not fast or slow continuous climbing, Ding Xu believes that it is also a very mysterious and healthy trend, and even the cradle of big bull stocks.
Of course, the only thing to be careful about is the same relationship between volume and price, if the volume is amplified again in the subsequent rising process, it may mean that the main force is shipping at a high level, and it must be observed and confirmed in time to decide whether to escape the top.
For example, the stock of Shenzhen Energy, in the big bull market from 2oo6 to 2oo7, has repeatedly occurred - Shenzhen Energy in 2oo6 has more than 500 million circulating disks, of which the closing price on May 9, 2oo6 was 17.39 yuan, up 4.3%, and the turnover rate was 12.22%; At the end of June 11, the daily limit closed at 2o.68 yuan, and the turnover rate dropped to 8.15%; On June 27, it rose 8.11% to close at 24 yuan, but the turnover rate fell again to 7.49%.
The stock price is rising higher and higher, but the turnover rate is getting lower and lower, and the market maker is obviously in control. In the end, the stock has risen from 5.55 yuan in 2oo5 to 31.47 yuan in 2oo7, and only then stopped its rise with more than ten consecutive negative candlesticks that fell in volume.
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(Learn from the pain,Since last night,Change the shortcut name of QQ to "less than 5,000 words do not open",And resolutely implement the code word discipline of resolutely not opening QQ before the end of a chapter,So the procrastination that can't be cured these days has been cured,Last night was also three changes as scheduled,Today's first update is also out at more than ten o'clock...... Well, from today, the update time is back to normal, it's still 10 o'clock in the morning and evening, and I will choose a timer cloth so that everyone can watch it on time.
In addition, the website sent me a message that I should not open a single chapter to analyze stocks, so as not to cause unnecessary trouble. I thought about it carefully and felt that it still made sense, although I repeatedly stated that I was not recommending stocks, but just discussing with you, but in case the stocks I analyzed fell, would individual readers be in love? Therefore, in the future, I will not open a single chapter for analysis.,Only discuss and summarize with you in four skirts.,At most a few simple prompts at the end of the chapter.,I'll try to delete or change the single chapter that has been opened.,Fortunately, it's free...... Hehe, sorry, please understand. (To be continued!)
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