Chapter 362: You Don't Recommend Stocks

Ding Xu didn't expect that his new crocodile leather shoes would be damaged in the snow, and he wanted to buy a pair of new leather shoes, but because the shopping mall in the second junior high school was not open, coupled with Tao Xia's urging, he hurriedly bought a pair of black cloth shoes and rushed to the banquet.

I thought that everyone would not pay so much attention to their shoes, but I didn't expect everyone to look at themselves from head to toe, and suddenly found their wolf bèi appearance, coupled with the waiter's untimely shoe handing action, which made this more obvious.

Because of this, Ding Xu encountered everyone's mocking eyes as soon as he entered the door, and even Tao Xia couldn't help laughing.

This meeting impression score can basically be counted as 0 points, how to get back a city and save a little dignity? Ding Xu thought nervously and quickly, but found that no excuses and explanations were enough to cover up his embarrassment.

Said that he just went to help his aunt chase the thief, so he ran his shoes badly?

Please, on the second day of the Lunar New Year, the thief will also celebrate the New Year, so the ghost will believe such a lame excuse!

It seems that this face is lost.

In that case, let's be calm and tell the truth.

Ding Xu turned his heart sideways, showed a bright smile, and said with a smile: "Haha, let everyone laugh." Just as there are often sudden downturns in the stock market, my new leather shoes also suffered an accident in the snow just now, so I incurred a little loss. ”

Talking while playing haha is one of Tang Hao's unique skills of the smiling tiger, Ding Xu also learned this trick from Tang Hao, and used it at a critical moment to see how it works.

"Haha......" Tao Xia had already stopped laughing, and was about to help Ding Xu play a round, listening to Ding Xu's words. I couldn't help but laugh again. Laughter is like the crisp sound of a bell. It echoed in the private room for a long time.

"Hey......

"Huh."

Maybe it was because Ding Xu's explanation was ingenious, or maybe it was because he was infected by Tao Xia's laughter, and several guests present couldn't help but chuckle. Their eyes also changed from mockery to playfulness, and finally to a hint of appreciation.

As the so-called three sentences do not leave the bank, the guests invited by Tao Mingyuan today are all private equity traders, fund managers and other industry elites, and they are very familiar with the stock market. Ding Xu's frank and humorous words involved the stock market again, which suddenly made everyone feel a little cordial. So they resolved the embarrassment in front of them, and also narrowed the distance between each other by the way.

Even Tao Mingyuan's originally tight face quietly relaxed because of Ding Xu's decent response.

"Ding Xu, this is Xu Zhihai, a private trader." Tao Xia hurriedly stepped forward and introduced the invited guests to Ding Xu, and helped Ding Xu uncover the scene just now.

"Hello, Xiaoding." Xu Zhihai was a tall middle-aged man with a Chinese face, and he stretched out his thick palm with a smile when he heard the words. He shook hands with Ding Xu gently.

The other three guests, one is named Du Tengfei. It's a young man in his twenties, a trader of a public fund, a little baby fat, and a bright smile.

The other is Huang Jun, deputy editor-in-chief of a securities newspaper in Beijing and a stock commentator, wearing a pair of wide-rimmed glasses with a stern expression, a bit of an old pedant.

There is also a middle-aged man named Chen Xirong, a fat man like Maitreya Buddha, who met Tao Mingyuan, who is the manager of an investment company in Beijing, and can be regarded as a success.

These are all elites who have been in the sea of stocks for many years, and after a few cold words, they began to continue the topic just now and discuss the stock market.

Ding Xu listened silently, only thinking that they were all very good, and quoted scriptures, and sure enough, what is Hongen theory, big five waves and small three waves, magic numbers, national macro policies, micro regulation and control, and they are all out of nowhere.

When it came to the place of the arising, the crowd argued loudly.

When the argument came to an end, they began to ask Ding Xu's opinion. Ding Xu didn't dare to show ugliness at first, but only said that he was a new shareholder, he didn't understand anything, he came to learn from everyone, and he refused to talk about his opinions.

However, Xu Zhihai pushed him against the wall with a word: "Xiaoding, don't be modest, being too modest is pride." We all know that you are a young stock god, and you have some fame on the Internet, so don't hide it and be honest. ”

"Don't you know what's going on? It's just a way for Sun Securities to promote their company. Ding Xu couldn't excuse himself this time, so he smiled bitterly, "Okay, since Brother Xu said so, I'll be ugly." I think that the four trillion policy will give birth to a wave of small bull market, and the target should be doubled, that is, 3328 points......"

Next, Ding Xu began to explain his views in detail, as well as the basis.

Ding Xu didn't know how many times he had said these opinions and bases in the miracle group, so he was familiar with them, and he also cited various numbers to prove his views.

Although there is no computer in front of him, those moving averages and points, as well as the hot sectors and leading stocks driven by the policy, are all in Ding Xu's mind. Therefore, Ding Xu spoke effortlessly, just like he was talking about it in front of the computer in a miracle group.

This feeling is a bit like a chess player polemic without a chessboard, and it is particularly exquisite in real skills.

Xu Zhihai and the others listened silently, occasionally asking a few more professional questions, but fortunately, Ding Xu has always had the habit of simplifying the complex, and he also answered them one by one.

Everyone also seemed to be just talking amicably, and they didn't embarrass Ding Xu too much.

After half an hour of communication, Ding Xu almost poured out the little goods in his stomach, and the faces of Xu Zhihai and the others changed from a little joking to a trace of solemnity.

Dignified means attached, and nature is a good phenomenon.

Tao Xia saw it in his eyes and was happy in his heart.

At this time, Tao Xia sent the waiter to get a pair of new leather shoes and sent them to the private room, Ding Xu changed into new leather shoes, straightened the suit on his body, and suddenly felt relieved, and there was no longer any strange feeling of incongruity.

"We all know your stock trading results from Boss Tao. I thought you were a young man who had some shit luck and met two big bulls, but I didn't expect you to have some material in your stomach and your eloquence is good. Huang Jun's face was not harsh at all, and his expression was stern. For the first time, there was a hint of an appreciative smile. Said. "If you are interested, you can come to work in our newspaper after graduation and be responsible for writing stock review articles, how about it?"

"Editor-in-Chief Huang actually gave Ding Xu such a good opportunity?" Tao Mingyuan glanced at Ding Xu, a little surprised.

"Thank you very much for the kind invitation, but my dream is to be a super retail investor. Give me three and a half years first, and if I don't have financial freedom by the time I graduate from college, I'll definitely give you serious consideration. "Ding Xu doesn't want to be a stock commentator. He was even more reluctant to show that his ideal was just to be an office worker writing manuscripts in front of Tao Mingyuan, so he chuckled.

"Yo ho, it's really ambitious to achieve financial freedom during college." Du Tengfei said with a smile, "I think when I was in college, I also had such an ideal. But as you can see, I'm just a trader now, and I'm still a long way from a stock trader, that is, a securities worker. ”

"Because people are gods. You're a scumbag. Chen Xirong is obviously very familiar with Du Tengfei, and joked when he heard the words.

"Uh-huh. Ding Xu is not only a god, but also a leader. I heard that you have a miracle group that takes everyone to speculate in stocks for free? Du Tengfei replied with a smile.

"Hmm." Ding Xu nodded and replied.

"You don't have eyes?" Du Tengfei said with a smile.

"Huh? Why? Ding Xu was stunned.

"Do you want to hear the truth?" Du Tengfei's face suddenly became stern, and his face changed faster than turning a book.

"Yes." Ding Xu's heart sank, and he quickly nodded.

"My advice is, don't recommend stocks to others, don't!" Du Tengfei said seriously.

"Why?" Ding Xu frowned.

"In the simplest words, what is a retail investor? It was a group of people who were full of greed and fear. What is Stock God? Or what is a super retail investor? That must be a man who overcame greed and fear. You can barely be regarded as the latter, so the communication between you and the former will inevitably have a natural gap, and it is destined to be a cup! Du Tengfei lit a cigarette and said leisurely.

"I want to hear about it." Ding Xu was a little shocked when he heard it, and couldn't help but use an ancient word.

"In our circles, there's a picture circulating called the ending of a recommended stock, which is a flowchart or something. Someone asks you to recommend a stock, but you don't, so he thinks you're really not interesting, and you have one less friend since then. If you recommend a stock, he may not thank you much if he earns it, and even think that the stock you recommend is not as fast as the stock he originally looked at. Of course, since he has made money, he will also ask you to recommend another stock, if the stock you newly recommended falls and he loses money, he will either think that your level is too poor, or think that you deliberately recommend a bad stock to him, so you may have one less friend. ”

Du Tengfei spat out a smoke ring and said, "In short, that's it, if you don't recommend stocks, or if the recommended stocks fall, others may complain about you, or even stop treating you as a friend." Why bother with you bothering to be thankless? The more successful you are in stock trading, the more stocks you recommend to others, the fewer and fewer friends you may have, and you will end up in a terrible end. I've learned so much in this area that I don't generally recommend stocks anymore if anyone asks me to recommend them. Of course, this is also related to my profession, after all, I am a trader, and any stock I say will inevitably have the suspicion of being an insider, let alone say. ”

Hearing these words, Ding Xu fell into deep thought.

…………………………… Dividing line ..............................

(Heartfelt thanks to the following 22 hardcore book friends for generously rewarding the alliance leader of this book, welcome to enter the alliance leader group (miracle group) family exchange, I wish you smooth sailing, good luck, and great profit - "Book Friends 150420211951592", Come and read the book, the three precepts of the law, the book friend 150420202115741, Xue Langyun, youuu, rippling Xiaoxi, messy Xiaoqi, Xiaoheijun, demigod to atone for sins, Xiao Ge 2015, no empty and no smile, rare confused board, headless ghost, Book friend 150420121532873, Y source is like this, ^O^ fearless, 117angus, gaohai79, silence a, snow under snow, "zcc12".

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The following is part of the content of the disk operation on April 20, which is only for your reference to my analysis and does not constitute investment and construction. Don't blindly imitate:

Last night's text mentions the Ding Crab Effect. Really. Zheng Shaoqiu became famous again, and the Ding Crab effect was fulfilled again, even the benefit of the 1% RRR cut was no match for the replay of "The Great Era", hehe, it's interesting to say, but it's actually not like that.

In fact, this effect is understandable, after all, the RRR cut is good. However, there are also downsides to the expansion of the scope of securities lending and the suspension of capital allocation. Moreover, after the recent RRR cuts, the trend of the next day is often a decline such as opening high and going low, and then it slowly reflects the positive effect. In addition, the stock price is originally the resonant result of the psychological fluctuations of shareholders. So when incense. The Hong Kong stock market skyrocketed. The Financial Secretary of Hong Kong also claimed in the media that "The Great Era" will be rebroadcast on TVB today, hoping to help investors warn of risks, so some funds and shareholders who are superstitious about the Ding Crab effect will naturally choose to sell, which further strengthens the Ding Crab effect. Then the Hong Kong stock market was transmitted to the mainland stock market, and then there was a decline.

That's it. Moreover, this decline is only short-term, and it is impossible to change the general trend of A-shares.

But. There are actually readers who ask me not to write Xia Xia anymore in this chapter, how is this possible, this plot has not been written yet, unless we just met, Ding Xu was captured by aliens...... In addition, do you want to make Xia Xia into a second Ding Crab and create another Xia Xia effect, haha.

It's not like that, it's just a coincidence.

Even more reliable than coincidences is still fundamental and technical analysis.

As mentioned in the weekend's assignment, the Shanghai Composite Index opened sharply higher last Friday, skipping the integer mark of 4,200 points in one fell swoop, which is an unprecedented phenomenon in this wave of growth and is rare in history. Because each integer pass is a position for the long and short sides, it is definitely inappropriate to advance too quickly, and it will inevitably be counterattacked by the air force that has suffered losses, so I mentioned last night after the text: "The market jumped over the 4200 integer mark on Friday, which is a hidden danger, and this wave of rise since last year has never ignored an integer mark, so there is a high probability that it will step back in the future...... Bullish in the medium and long term, beware of shocks in the short term. Monday's trend is most likely to be two, one is to open high and go low, then it is necessary to be cautious in the morning to chase high to prevent the intraday step back to 4200 points, and the other is to open low and go high, do not rule out that the morning will quickly step back to 4200 points, and then pull up after filling the gap. ”

This concern has been confirmed by the trend, although there is a good hedge against the bearish, although the morning opened slightly higher after diving, but did not fill the gap, but in the afternoon the strength of the bulls began to weaken, including the sharp shock trend of the south car and the north car, triggering the large market blue chip stocks diving, the Shanghai index also dived rapidly, the lowest fell to 4190 points, as scheduled to step back on 4200 points and fill the gap.

After all, the trading volume of the Shanghai Index today exceeded 1.1 trillion yuan, and some stock trading software has exploded, and it has been stuck at the display screen of one trillion. The daily volume of transactions is accompanied by the yin line, is it the sky-high price, is it a exhaustion gap?

The characteristics of the exhaustion gap, last time I analyzed the gap on April 13, that is, the third gap in ten days, and there was no volume enlargement when the gap came out on the day, so it is not completely consistent, but the big gap on April 17 is more consistent, because the trading volume on the day exceeded 900 billion, and a large number of them were put in, and today they made up for the gap with a huge amount of more than 1 trillion, and quickly filled the gap, therefore, from the perspective of the consequences of the exhaustion gap, although today's intraday also hit a new high of 4356 points, But a shock correction may be staged on this occasion.

Today, in the analysis of the miracle group, there may be a problem with the software, showing that today's low of 4190 points has stepped back to the upper band of the rising channel since November 20 last year, and I have looked at it with the software at home, and I have not stepped back on it, so I still maintain the judgment of the weekend: "I think I may have to touch the upper band of the rising channel again, and it is visually estimated at around 4140 points." My software has limited functionality, so draw a parallel line at this upper band, roughly equivalent to the closing price on April 14. Of course, if the main force is strong, it is possible not to touch this position. If the main force is weak, it is also possible to fall below 4140, that is, to fall back into the ascending channel.

In a bull market, it is often possible to go up and overshoot, and to fall too much. ”

Of course, as I said in my discussion at the Miracle Group today, the gap is closed, and in a sense, it is also a good thing. Because the competition between the long and short sides has come to an end, there are no gaps and too many regrets. New battles will be fought in the future. The undesirable result is to build a weekly pivot below 4356 points, and the ideal is to continue to pierce above 4300 points, and build a dense trading area and weekly pivot around 4300-4600 points, where the end of January to early March 2008 in the process of falling in the process of the stop fall platform to digest the psychological pressure area, the market debate about the market-oriented bubble digestion, and then rise again, is expected to impact the 6000 points around the historical highest point of the trap area, Once these two areas are digested, it will be a new historical market, the sea and the sky.

Of course, the medium and long-term trend is still upward and optimistic, but short-term shocks must be psychologically prepared, depending on whether the bulls can exert their strength tomorrow and the day after tomorrow. If you can rush to 4300 points, it is of course more ideal to build a pivot in the 4300-4600 point range, so that you can get twice the result with half the effort, and build a pivot below 4356 points, you can only count the squat before the jump, and then 4300 points in the future, it is still inevitable to re-shock.

As for the sky-high price, don't worry too much, this is at most a phased top, not a bull market top. In 2007, the amount of heaven also appeared around 530, and then it went from more than 4,000 points to 6124 points, and then sprinted by nearly a third.

In fact, I personally feel that 6124 points should not be the top of this bull market before, this wave of bull market should be able to hit a record high, and 6124 points will not be tossed for too long, which was predicted in January this year, and it is also hinted at in "Our Goal is the Sea of Stars". But I couldn't just say that at the time, otherwise people would think I was crazy. However, it can be said now that this helps everyone to strengthen the confidence of the bull market, after all, at 4300 points, the high-level is still blowing warm winds, indicating that the height of this bull market will be considerable.

Of course, it is still the same sentence, the medium and long-term trend is optimistic, and it cannot be said that there is no shock adjustment in the short term. At present, the competition for long and short is very fierce, not only in today's sky, but also in the right to interpret the negative and negative, and in the influence of public opinion. For example, "Huijin Reduces Holdings, Rumors Lead to the Fall of Bank Stocks, and Brokerage Firms Refute Rumors", which is a war between long and short sides. And today's Xinhua News Agency comment, some media use the title of "Xinhua News Agency's Seven Discussions on the Stock Market: Beware of "Irrational Bubbles", while the Oriental Fortune Internet Stock Bar uses the title of "Xinhua News Agency for A-share Support: The Critical Period of Economic Transformation Needs Slow Bull and Long Bull Support", the content of these two articles is exactly the same, but the focus of the report is different, and the title is different, which also indicates that the long and short competition has entered a white-hot trend, and they are playing their own cards, and the long and short divergence means that the disk shock will intensify.

And I still say that for ordinary retail investors who do not have strong short-term technology, if they can't do well in the band, they can choose an effective method that seems a little stupid, cover the safety stocks in their hands, and wait patiently for the double. As for the wind and rain, you can choose to carry it hard. As long as you don't get out of the car, the meat is rotten and stewed in the pot, and you can still drink the fragrant broth in the end. (To be continued......)