Chapter 77: Guess the beginning correctly, the result is wrong

As the setting sun hangs diagonally on the sea level, the heat of the whole city is carried away by the cool sea breeze that blows constantly.

At 5 p.m., the door of the press briefing room of the Hong Kong Governor's Office slowly opened to both sides under the watchful eye of two guards, and then a Hong Kong government official announced that reporters from various media outside the hall could enter the venue to prepare first.

"Lu Feng, did you get any news in advance about this press conference?"

Lu Feng, the Hong Kong resident correspondent of the Southeast Asian Chinese Daily, came to the Hong Kong government's press conference hall early to party at the same time as Hong Kong sent out the news, and this time they grabbed a position close to the press conference desk.

Zhang Ting lowered his head and continued to adjust the camera in his hand, and said to Lu Feng, who was adjusting the position of the tripod.

"Sister Ting, there was no news at all beforehand, and I had communicated with other colleagues before, and they didn't get any news like us!

And the Hong Kong government's performance before this was very normal, and there was no sign of anything major happening......"

Zhang Ting, the first sister in their newspaper, was originally stationed in Tokyo by the company, but this time, in order to comprehensively report on the major event announced by the Hong Kong government, she rushed over to lead the team temporarily.

"And what kind of message will they release?"

With this question, Zhang Ting fell into deep thought for a while, but after thinking about it, she still couldn't understand it.

"I really don't know what to do, Sister Ting, Feng Fei from the Hong Kong Daily over there, I heard that you know each other, ask her, maybe she may know some inside information......"

As the leading newspaper in Hong Kong, Hong Kong Daily naturally responds quickly, so they are also in a very high position.

"Zhang Ting, it's really rare to see you here, what's the matter, Tokyo doesn't want to stay anymore, come to Hong Kong to relax?"

As Feng Fei continued to get closer to his own position, he naturally saw Zhang Ting not far away.

"What's the matter, I was temporarily sent here this time to dare to play, it's not as good as you, there is more money and less things to do close to home, which is like me, I have to run back and forth on both sides when I encounter a big news, and I'm tired!

Don't talk about this topic of sorrow, is there any inside information about this press conference, say it and let me share it......"

Seeing Feng Fei, Zhang Ting was not polite, and opened her mouth to ask for news, but she also knew that even if the other party knew about it, it was impossible to tell her, but this was also a temptation for her, if she didn't even know the other party, then she was sure that the next news released by the Hong Kong government would be major news, otherwise the secrecy would not have been done so thoroughly, and there was no news beforehand.

"Look at what you said, how would I know what the inside news is, if I had known the Tao a long time ago, why would I have come here, I just need to think about how to write the manuscript in the newspaper office."

As soon as he came up, he asked the insider, how could there be so much news, and Feng Fei was also angry.

"Also, even you don't know what to do, let alone others, but you always have a little analysis, how can we communicate ......"

confirmed an idea in his heart, of course Zhang Ting wanted to know more.

"Well, for the sake of our old classmates, I will talk about my analysis, which has to start with the current property market, as we all know, the land tax deed tax is one of the important sources of the Hong Kong government's finances, and the current Hong Kong property market, the situation does not need me to say more, it is absolutely very poor.

Then the people in power led by MacLehose naturally do not want this situation to continue, so they have to find a way to improve the current situation, undoubtedly, going north is their best choice, as long as they can reach some favorable agreement on the historical issue of Hong Kong, then it will undoubtedly greatly stabilize the confidence of those investors, driven by these people, a rapid economic recovery is just around the corner! ”

Feng Fei is also very smart, from the questions of her old classmates, she also affirmed that the announcement of the Hong Kong government must be a major event, and immediately reflexively remembered the matter of the Hong Kong government authorities going north last month.

"Are you saying that the two sides have reached some agreements on the historical issue of Hong Kong, which is why they held a press conference to announce this matter with such fanfare this time?"

Since she has been responsible for more news on the island country for a long time, she still wants to confirm this matter with Feng Fei again.

"It's pretty much the same, but what specific agreement has been reached between the two sides, and what kind of moves the Hong Kong government will make to stimulate the economy next, I think these specific contents may be the next news they need to announce......

The more Feng Fei speaks, the more she agrees with her analysis, and she is still a little confident in her insight and analytical ability.

"Listen to you say this, I think it is very likely, I have seen the specific information of Hong Kong's real estate industry before, first take the industrial building as an example, as of March this year, the total area of the existing industrial building adds up to about 12 million square meters, and there are about 1.8 million square meters under construction, of which the idle rate is about 8% ~ 10%.

However, since the second half of this year, the idle rate has begun to show a gradual upward trend, and recently, according to our analysis, it is likely to have reached about 14.2%.

After talking about industrial buildings, let's talk about residential buildings, compared with 78 years, the current property prices in Hong Kong have been about four times that of that time, what was the property price at that time, about 260 Hong Kong dollars per square foot, a 400 square feet residential unit is about 10 Hong Kong dollars, according to the average monthly income of 1500 Hong Kong dollars at that time, it only takes 70 months to buy.

But now, the price of a small residential unit has risen to about HK$1,000 per square foot, and the price of a residential unit of the same size has increased to about HK$400,000, while the average monthly income of a citizen family is only about HK$3,000, and the time required to buy a house of the same size has nearly doubled.

As of March this year, there were 21,300 residential units under construction, but by the middle of last month, its vacancy rate still reached 43.3%, and how many couples in Hong Kong registered for marriage every year, 200,000 couples, these people have a rigid demand for housing, and should have become the main force of property market consumption, but according to the current situation, at least 70% of the 200,000 couples cannot afford to buy a house, coupled with the hoarding of speculators, further urging the property market.

As for commercial buildings, not to mention, according to my understanding, the Golden Gate Building changed hands three times between December 1978 and September 1980, and the selling price increased from 715 million yuan to 1.68 billion yuan, an increase of 135% in less than two years, while the two federal and international buildings changed hands twice between August 1980 and January 1981, and the price rose from 1.089 billion yuan to 2.235 billion yuan in just six months.

The blazing trend of property speculation has pushed up land prices and property prices, so that the current prices are far from the actual affordability of Hong Kong people at that time......"

Regarding Feng Fei's analysis, Zhang Ting also reciprocated by telling the other party some specific figures he had.

"Zhilu said, look over there, the director of the Information Department, Angelo is here, I'll go, and the governor of Hong Kong seems to have come with me......"