Chapter 836 Assessment (Medium)

If there is a real estate crash, then there is only a large-scale increase in infrastructure to survive this economic crisis, the bursting of the real estate bubble brings not only the possibility of bank bankruptcy, but also a large number of unemployed people, such a large number of real estate construction projects bring a huge number of construction workers, when these construction companies have no jobs, these construction workers will immediately lose their jobs.

The next is a series of problems caused by unemployment, so Yang Yiwei can give only these suggestions, Yang Yiwei is not a god, this kind of national-level problem is not something that Yang Yiwei can solve, which must be regulated by the government. Fortunately, China's economic system and government system dictate that any kind of crisis will not erupt as quickly as the free economy of the United States.

In the case of this kind of housing market collapse, as long as the Chinese government centralizes power strongly enough, it will first let some second- and third-tier cities start to collapse, control the housing prices in the first-tier cities, maintain the number of these housing prices, and then free up its hands to solve the problem of the real estate crash in the second- and third-tier cities, and then liberalize the real estate market in the first-tier cities in batches.

Once the collapse comes, there is no way to resist the general trend, and it is already very awesome to be able to control the collapse in batches, even if it is the most rear-end S city, the capital, which is the largest city in China, is also a crash ending, the only difference is that perhaps the price of these places such as S City has fallen from 40,000 or 50,000 per square meter in some central areas to about 10,000, which is already quite good.

There is a kind of nature in people's bones, buying up and not buying down, and when the holiday was crazy in the past, people were desperately buying. But once there is a large-scale price drop, there are not many people who buy it, and no one wants to lose all the money they have earned in their lives, right? In fact, China's real estate market has now fallen into a kind of pathology, think about it, in many first-tier cities, to put it mildly, for most ordinary people, the money of three generations of a family has gone to pay the down payment on the house.

How much money do you have left in your hands to spend? Without consumption, the circulation of goods cannot be stimulated, and the circulation of goods is not smooth. The companies that produce these items are at risk of bankruptcy, or simply bankruptcy, and in order to avoid such bankruptcy, these companies will naturally divert funds to invest in something that is not easy to go bankrupt, what is it? Real estate! Look at those companies. What does Xiang Yueqing do? I made a restaurant, but now I don't do a restaurant anymore and I do real estate.

What does Youngor do? costumes. Now I'm also going to do real estate. Although it is said that they are not caused by consumption and other problems, they also see the huge profits in it and let these companies do real estate, and the results of such behavior do not need to be understood. The result of this is that these companies are going to be unlucky.

China's resistance to the two world's economic crises is not based on anything else, but China's huge population and the speed of economic development that is on a rapid upward trajectory. Relying on a strong real economy! Eighty percent of China's real economy has gone to real estate. According to some reports from the State Council, such products as refrigerators and TVs in China. Even if it is not produced for ten years, it will not be sold.

There is a high degree of overcapacity, and the reason for the high degree of overcapacity is not how awesome our factories are, but that our people's money is used to buy houses and they have no ability to consume! This is the root cause of overcapacity. Anyone can think about it. If the housing prices around you are only one-third or one-half of what they are now, think about how much money you can save, and what will you do with the money you save? Eat interest in the bank?

No, 80% of people will take it out and spend it, whether it is electrical appliances or clothing, this will be consumed. In fact, China is now facing the same economic crisis as the United States, the difference is that the Chinese population base is large, and this crisis cannot break out for the time being.

However, Yang Yiwei has no way to do these things, it is like an abscess in the human body, you can pierce it if you want to, but when you pierce it, you must be prepared for the pus brought by the rupture of this abscess to flow out and infect other good organs. But for fear of this infection, if you don't dare to pierce it, it will grow bigger and bigger, and it will still break after the worst infection.

It depends on how the prime minister chooses, whether it is a one-time solution with a thunderous method and a strong man's broken wrist, or forcibly suppress the speed at which the abscess grows, and then cut it off little by little. The first is to win quickly, in the fast lane of China's economic growth, if it is pierced now, although it will hurt, but because the economy is in an upward channel, it can be slowed down at a very fast speed, and then it is a healthy body.

The second is safe, the risk is small, and the problem can be solved at the worst, but once the growth of this abscess cannot be suppressed, the consequences are terrible. And if you want to get rid of this abscess without causing great harm, it's not that there is no way, it's just this way...... Yang Yiwei didn't say it in his heart.

There is a way, and it is very simple, but the consequences are unpredictable, and this method is simple to put it bluntly, war! War seems to be the final result of human beings being unable to resolve their contradictions, but in fact, 70 percent of the wars that have broken out in history have been caused by economic problems.

Not to mention World War I and World War II, let's talk about modern times, whether the United States fought Iraq in the past, or recently in the Middle East against Syria and so on, in fact, to put it bluntly, it still wants to provide an opportunity to consume arms and stimulate the development of domestic military enterprises and civilian enterprises.

Look at the actions of the United States in the world after its dominance, which action did not take place before and after the economic crisis? After the outbreak of the subprime mortgage crisis in 08, the Middle East immediately began to be chaotic, and the United States began to intervene strongly.

From 2000 to 2001, the U.S. Internet bubble burst, which led to a recession in the U.S., and then a certain uncle did something that caused a sensation in the whole world, this uncle became famous, but Afghanistan was unlucky, and the United States launched the war in Afghanistan. There are a lot of people who speculate about the relationship here, although Yang Yiwei doesn't want to speculate, but no one knows what the situation is now.

Is there a reason why China wants to do it? If Yang Yiwei does not appear, it is possible to continue to develop, because Diaoyu Dao will move with Japan, or because of Scarborough Shoal with the Philippines. Although the issue of the Diaoyu Islands has now been resolved, and Japan's heavy industry has suffered a certain blow, the contradictions between the two sides have not been fundamentally resolved.

Hugging Lulu while discussing this with her indiscriminately, Yang Yiwei was thinking about this matter in his mind, if the Starfall Group could help, Yang Yiwei naturally didn't mind helping. But for the time being, he doesn't have a good way to help, and now he can't think of it, although Konishi started the simulation calculation because of the Prime Minister's proposal, but this is like a matter that a country solves, Konishi wants to calculate a result, I'm afraid the time is not short.

However, when Yang Yiwei was thinking nonsense here, he didn't expect that someone was also thinking about the Starfall Group, with the end of the activities of the Starfall Group, the people who stayed in the Starfall Park at night were actually tens of thousands of people. And those who returned to their respective hotels naturally began to upload some of the things they took pictures through the Internet, which seemed to have little effect, but they had a great effect on assessing the strength of a group.

At the moment, Obama is waiting in his office, while Chris and others are waiting, and some countries in Europe are also waiting. "Are the results of the assessment out?" Obama knocked on the table and asked, and Chris immediately whispered a few times to the secretary behind him before turning back and saying, "Mr. President, it will take a while." ”

"Well, while we're waiting, let's talk about your analysis first." Some things are top secret, and Obama can't tell his staff, although some of them can also know the way, but whether they want to let them know the way still needs to be evaluated.

"The strength is very strong, although it is hard to believe that this group has reached such a point in just a few years, but we ignore the content of his development, from the conclusion drawn from various reasons, the star fall group in terms of materials science, I am afraid that it has come to the front of all countries in the world, and all the products they produce now have an indescribable relationship with materials." Chris pondered for a moment before speaking.

"What about some of the sample studies we have in our hands?" Obama nodded, then asked again.

"It's not ideal." A hint of helplessness flashed across Chris's face, and he shook his head. "There is some progress, but it is too slow, Mr. President, you should know that it takes a long time for some materials to be synthesized in the laboratory to mass production, and some of these materials can be synthesized in the laboratory, but we still have no clue about the method of mass production."

Materials, as long as they are analyzed in the laboratory, the composition is easy to analyze in modern technology, but the analysis of the composition, and the mass production of this material, these are still two concepts. Just like a CPU, now even an ordinary person knows that it is nothing more than hundreds of millions or even billions of transistors on a piece of silicon, and the production method is explained in one sentence, but there are few that can do it. (To be continued......)