Chapter 125: Father Meng's Warning
In 2011, Huaxia will conduct shale gas bidding to allow enterprises to exploit shale gas, starting from the second round of bidding, many listed companies are involved, with the help of shale gas concept, the stock price has also soared.
Wu Yue had checked a lot of information about shale gas because of stock speculation, and thought about it: "The shale gas revolution is related to the energy strategy of the United States, and now the Middle East countries are becoming more and more self-reliant, Russia is relying on oil to re-emerge, and the game of the dollar tying oil is already a little inadequate." Therefore, the United States wants to reduce its dependence on overseas energy sources, and even develop new energy sources to weaken the position of oil.
Under the impetus of the Obama administration, shale gas has boomed, production has increased significantly, and US oil imports have also declined. However, there seem to be some shortcomings in shale gas extraction technology, and the output will decline rapidly after exploitation, and the geological conditions in China are very different from those in the United States. Shale gas extraction also consumes a lot of water, and the injected chemicals can pollute the groundwater.
In short, shale gas may be a political gamble for the United States, but the reserves of shale gas are huge, and if it is really successful, China can also achieve energy self-sufficiency, so we cannot ignore it. I think the state can select some areas with stronger ecological and environmental tolerance, demarcate the scope and invite bidding from enterprises in the whole society, so that they can enter the industry on a small scale. Even if it fails at the worst, it will not affect the country's economy. ”
Father Meng nodded and said: "Your method is a safe plan, the country has been in foreign countries a lot, and some experts suspect that this is a scam." But the prospect of shale gas is too much for us to refuse, so we will definitely try it on a small scale. ”
Now in the eyes of Father Meng, Wu Yue is completely a financial genius, and said with a smile: "If you were asked to invest, would you invest?" ”
Wu Yue said with a smile: "From an investor's point of view, I won't invest, because the new technology may allow me to make huge profits, but it was a bottomless pit before, and the investment must limit the possible losses to a range." But if I look at it from the perspective of a national manager, I have to invest. And shale gas is not necessarily a hoax entirely, at least not so much shale gas produced in the United States out of thin air.
For the time being, shale gas will not affect the status of oil, but the coal industry will be affected. The development of shale gas will allow the United States to export a large amount of coal to the international market. State-owned enterprises are bloated and have high costs, and even if they are raised to the same mechanization rate as in the United States, they will still be higher than the cost of coal plus freight in the United States. At that time, coal companies may be in the red, and the beneficiaries of the coal reform will be miserable in a year or two. China should become a net importer of coal this year, right? ”
China is the world's largest coal producer and used to be an exporter of coal, but in recent years, with economic development, more and more coal has been imported.
Meng's father has received data that China will become a net importer of coal for the first time this year.
Father Meng nodded and said, "Your speculation is correct. ”
Wu Yue shook his head and said: "In recent years, the price of coal has risen sharply, although the economic crisis has caused the price of coal to fall sharply, but compared with before, the price of coal is still much higher. High coal prices will continue to weigh on coal prices as they attract re-exploitation of mothballed coal mines in developed countries and large exports to Asia. The heavy use of coal will also pose a serious problem for us. ”
Father Meng was born in the coal industry, so naturally he would not be ignorant of the problem of coal, and said heavily: "Pollution." ”
He also had some knowledge of the situation in which developed countries had begun to dig up coal exports to Asia, which made him trust Wuyue's judgment a little more.
The mothballing of coal mines in developed countries is not as a strategic reserve, nor is it simply because of environmental protection issues, but because oil has been at a low level for a long time in those years, and the profits of coal companies have decreased, so they have to close down. By the time oil prices soared, environmental policies restricted the use of coal. However, after the use of coal in Asia increased sharply and the price of coal was also raised, coal companies in developed countries revived in large numbers and began to export large quantities of coal to Asia.
Wu Yue nodded and said, "I'm afraid that the smog problem in my country will become more and more serious, especially in big cities." In a few years, maybe the capital will become a fog capital. ”
Now the air in the capital is already very poor, especially in winter, it will become gray from time to time.
Meng Mu had already cleaned up the kitchen and came out, and when she saw that the water of the two people was cold, she changed a glass of water for the two of them.
Father Meng also reacted and said with a smile: "You drink some water and come and chat." ”
"Okay."
After saying so much, Wu Yue was also a little thirsty, so he took two sips of water and moistened his throat.
Father Meng also took a sip of water and said with a smile: "The insights are extraordinary, the young people now are amazing, it seems that we have to abdicate earlier to make way for Xian." ”
Wu Yue hurriedly said: "A little scholar's opinion may not be accurate. ”
Father Meng smiled: "Your views are very close to the predictions of some experts, very forward-looking, of course, there are many different opinions, but I personally still think your predictions are more accurate." ”
What Wu Yue said was what would happen in the next few years, and he naturally knew that it would definitely be accurate.
In fact, many experts can predict it, but there are also many more experts who can't predict it, and it is likely that the leaders will not be able to predict the future, and it is inevitable that they will sometimes choose the wrong one.
Wu Yue really wanted to tell Meng's father that this was the truth, so as to reduce some losses for the country, although Meng's father may not be able to decide the policy of the energy industry, but it is always possible to work hard. No one knew if there would be a butterfly effect in Lu Dao, and he felt that he should still work hard.
Wu Yue thought for a moment and said cautiously: "I think even if my prediction is not accurate, it should not deviate too much." My financial sense seems to be very sharp, and I went long and short in the London gold market last month, but nothing went wrong. ”
Meng Tong watched Wu Yue and his father talk eloquently, pointing out the country, and admired it very much, and when he heard Wu Yue talk about London Gold, he also said as if offering a treasure: "Wu Yue made 100 million US dollars last month, and also made more than 10 million US dollars each to Zhou Yue, Wang Ting, Su Yao of the Su family, and Xu Nan of the Xu family. ”
Although the figures that Father Meng usually comes into contact with are astronomical, when he heard that Wu Yue had made so much money in a month, he was still stunned for a moment before he smiled and said, "Amazing, worthy of being a financial genius." How many times do you earn in a month? ”
Wu Yue thought for a while and said, "If you count me alone, I invested 70,000 US dollars before and after, and when I settled, my funds were more than 20 million. My money has multiplied more than 300 times, a little more than a month. Their money has increased more than 30 times in less than a month, and I took 60 percent. ”
Some people on the Internet speculate that if Wu Yue earns 100 million, it will almost increase three hundred times.
The media only investigated that Wu Yue had made more than 300,000 yuan by speculating in stocks, but did not investigate that Wu Yue's mother later gave Wu Yue 200,000 yuan. Everyone is also counting Wu Yue's initial capital as 300,000, not 500,000.
Two days ago, Wu Yue's father began to scatter money in the ancient city, and netizens speculated that Wu Yue might have earned at least 100 million, otherwise he would not have donated 40 million. earned 100 million, and the rate of return in a month is 300 times.
Of course, there are many people who still think it's impossible, maybe Wu Yue just asked his father to donate money, and he may not be able to come up with another 40 million.
There are many people in China who promise to donate, but there is no follow-up in the end, so many people still doubt Wu Yue.
Meng Tong's father also thought about this, and was also a little shocked when he heard that Wu Yue had really increased more than three hundred times in a month.
It was the first time Meng Tong had heard Wu Yue say how many times he had earned, he thought about it, and suddenly said: "You have invested another 50 million, if you multiply it another 300 times, won't we have 15 billion US dollars next month?" ”
"Huh"
Wu Yue shook his head and said: "I can't make so much money, last month's market was unilaterally rising, and I made money quickly." Gold should correct next month, and I'm going to be more steady, but a billion dollars should be fine. At noon, I looked at the market, and the account should have earned more than $200 million. ”
When the funds are small, he can operate aggressively and pinch the points in his memory to double the funds, but after the funds increase, he has to consider the impact on the market.
Meng Tong's parents were shocked by Wu Yue's lightweight appearance, and hundreds of millions of dollars seemed to be the same as dozens of dollars.
Meng Tong was much more immune, and said with a smile: "You make money like this, how can we spend it?" ”
When he saw his father coming over, he quickly shut up.
Father Meng glared at Meng Tong and said with a smile: "I'm afraid you are the person whose value has risen the fastest in the whole world, at your rate, I'm afraid you will be able to enter the rich list next year." ”
Wu Yue said with a smile: "After personal wealth can achieve freedom in life, it is a set of number games, and in the future, I will use most of my wealth for charity to help the disadvantaged." If there was a list of scattered wealth, I would probably be the fastest person to scatter wealth. ”
Father Meng is now more satisfied with Wu Yue, and praised: "It is very rare for you to have this kind of mentality at your age. ”
The two chatted a few more words, and Father Meng said: "If you can continue to make money for the Zhou family and the Xu family, it will definitely attract investment from major families." The struggle is fierce right now, you can invest in everyone, but don't get too close to any faction. I don't know who will win, but if someone falls, it will definitely be very involved. ”
Of course, Wu Yue knew that many high-ranking officials would fall in the country in two years, so he nodded and said: "Uncle don't worry, I have no interest in politics, I will focus on investment and charity." ”
Meng Tong didn't want to say too much about high-level things, so he nodded and said, "Well, this is the best, even if you become rich one day, you don't want to affect politics." You can criticize the government, but you must not try to manipulate the government, our country is different from capitalist countries, and we will not allow the rich to influence politics. ”
(Thanks to book friend "Brooks. Xijia "588 reward, "Tingyu Pavilion" continuous reward)