Chapter 5: The First Pot of Gold
Once the goal is set, Zhongshi begins to set the jihua.
The Latin American debt crisis that erupted in 1982 has already occurred, and it may be too late to make a fortune in it. However, the Plaza Accord of 1985 and the subsequent appreciation of the yen, the unprecedented boom in Japan's capital market, the "Black Monday" in 1987, and the bursting of the bubble in the Japanese stock market in 1989 will be his chances.
The Latin American debt crisis in the 80s can be traced back to the two oil crises in the 70s: in 1973, the Fourth Middle East War broke out, and in order to fight Israel and the United States behind it, the Arab countries in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) declared an oil embargo and suspended exports, causing a sharp rise in oil prices worldwide, as a result of which oil rose rapidly from less than $3 per barrel to $13 per barrel at that time. The Arab countries that waged the oil wars quickly increased their economic power, and hundreds of billions of dollars of wealth flowed into these countries.
The second oil crisis occurred in 1978, caused by the political turmoil in Iran and the ensuing "Iran-Iraq war", Iran's oil production fell sharply, upsetting the balance of supply and demand in the global crude oil market, and oil prices soared from $13 per barrel in 1979 to $34 per barrel in 1981, and OPEC countries once again made a lot of money.
OPEC countries generally have small domestic economies, and after removing the dollars used for domestic economic development, there are still a large number of "petrodollars", and these capitals must find suitable investment channels. If it does not continue to flow and appreciate, it will undoubtedly be a huge waste.
These dollars eventually flow into the "Eurodollar market" and the capital markets of the United States, turning them into bank deposits and securities assets such as stocks and bonds. With the entry of a large number of "petrodollars", financial institutions in the United States began to expand aggressively, and banks such as Citigroup, Manhattan Chase, and Bank of America all became giants at this time.
Out of consideration of national strategy, the United States began to vigorously support the pro-American developing countries in Latin America in the 70s, and the financial institutions of the United States saw the opportunity and issued loans to these countries and purchased treasury bonds at extremely low interest rates. And in the short term, the rapid economic development of these Latin American countries has also given them a taste of sweetness.
Walter, the head of Citibank at the time. Reston famously said that "a country will never go bankrupt," and it was under the guidance of this ideology that the large financial institutions in the United States stepped up their efforts and poured huge loans into European and American countries one after another.
The international trade of Latin American countries, which are mainly exports of primary products, has dealt a heavy blow to the export earnings of these countries because of the fluctuation of market prices, and in order to balance the balance of payments, Latin American countries can only continue to borrow, which has increased the debt burden.
With the increase in interest rates, the deterioration of the terms of trade, and the wrong monetary policies of Latin American countries, the debt crisis finally broke out in 1982, and Mexican Finance Minister Erzog asked the United States for help, which opened the curtain on the outbreak of the Latin American debt crisis.
The country may be going bankrupt!
Zhong Shi silently recalled the situation of the Latin American debt crisis in his heart, sighed lightly, and felt a kind of helplessness at the wrong time. But fortunately, there will be opportunities in the future, and when he thinks about it, his mood is better again.
Now there is a real problem in front of him, and that is that he has no money!
In the countryside in the 80s, how much money could the average family have? A few years after the reform and opening up, the rural people had just shaken off hunger and had enough to eat, and they simply did not have much money left in their hands. At this time, in the southern part of Jiangzhong Province, township enterprises were in full swing, giving birth to a group of people who got rich first, but in the northern part of Jiangzhong Province, it was still like a pool of stagnant water, and economic development did not improve at all.
The first pot of gold has always been a difficult problem for entrepreneurs, and Zhong Shi is naturally no exception, if it is obtained through illegal means, then it will bring original sin, and it will not be washed clean for a lifetime, Zhong Shi naturally does not want to do this.
It's just that in this place that is almost a primitive agricultural society, it is too difficult to make money, Zhong Shi has been thinking about it for more than half a month, and he still doesn't have a clue.
On this day, when Zhong Shi was eating, he unconsciously walked up again, staring at the sweet potatoes in the bowl in a daze. When Mother Zhong next to her saw this, she couldn't help but show a sad look on her face, she quietly kicked her husband's leg under the table, signaling Father Zhong, who was still gobbling up, to pay more attention to Xiao Zhongshi's eccentricity.
After getting his wife's hint, Zhong's father noticed Zhong Shi's eccentricity, he sandwiched a chopstick scrambled egg to Zhong Shi, touched his youngest son's head, and said dotingly: "Eat more good things, so that you can get better quickly!" ”
In the countryside in the 80s, eggs were undoubtedly very nutritious food, and most people were reluctant to eat them at all, so they were sold in the market. Only during the New Year's holidays can ordinary people see eggs and meat on the dinner table.
Zhong Shi stuffed the egg into his mouth with a bitter face, swallowed it in three or two bites, and then replied in a low voice: "Dad, Mom, you eat too!" His words immediately made the Zhong couple smile and praise their son for being sensible, but their chopsticks did not reach for the plate of scrambled eggs.
After eating a bowl of sorghum rice, Father Zhong handed the bowl to Mother Zhong and instructed: "Wife, give me another bowl of rice, I'm too tired today to move!" With that, he reached for the tortillas in another bowl. It seemed that he was really tired and hungry, and the amount of food he ate was a few points larger than usual. Mother Zhong took the rice bowl and prepared to put it in the rice bowl.
"Wait!" Zhong Shi suddenly screamed, startling the others, and Zhong Mu's hand shook, and she almost threw the bowl in her hand to the ground.
"Mom, show me the bowl in your hand!" Zhong Shi was also shocked, he quickly stood up, staggered to Zhong Mu, held the bowl firmly in his hand, and then ran out quickly.
"What is Little Stone doing?" Father Zhong and Mother Zhong were very surprised, and they stopped the chopsticks in their hands and followed. As soon as the two of them came out of the hall, they found Zhong Shi squatting by the well, carefully washing the bowl.
"Dad, where did this bowl come from?" After Zhong Shi washed the bowl, he looked at it carefully for a long time, and then asked Father Zhong, who was squatting in front of him and confused.
"What's wrong with this bowl? It was given by someone! Father Zhong didn't understand his son Weishenme's question, he often used this white porcelain bowl to eat, except that he felt that this bowl was smoother than the bowl he bought on the street, and there was nothing special about it.
"Who sent it? Did you give away anything else? Zhong Shi carefully put down the white porcelain bowl and asked anxiously.
As soon as he said this, Father Zhong and Mother Zhong noticed his abnormality, and their faces became serious. Father Zhong thought about it carefully, and then said with an uncertain tone: "This bowl seems to have been given by the educated youth back then." It is said that there was a group of educated youths who cut the queue here, worked hard every day, and couldn't eat, your grandfather saw that they were pitiful, so he often sent them some cornmeal, and then one of them gave this bowl, saying what is the heirloom of his family, and then your grandfather gave it to me. ”
"And then? What about the educated youth? Zhong Shi continued to ask.
"Dead!" Father Zhong sighed and said regretfully.
"Dead?" Zhong Shi couldn't help but be a little surprised when he heard this answer.
"Why do you kid know this? Hurry up and eat! Father Zhong tapped Zhong Shi on the head, then stood up and returned to the house without looking back.
The reason why Zhong's father was reluctant to say it was because there was a sensational incident in that educated youth, which was in 1977, when the country had just resumed the college entrance examination, giving many educated youths who had cut into the countryside a way back to the city. However, just as the college entrance examination was approaching, the village party secretary suddenly notified the educated youth that he would not be allowed to take the college entrance examination, saying that the descendants of the black five categories and rightists were not allowed to take the college entrance examination.
When the news came, it was like a thunderbolt in the clear sky, and it immediately shattered the dream of the educated youth. In fact, everyone knows in their hearts that the son of the village party secretary is pursuing a female educated youth, and the female educated youth likes this male educated youth, so she naturally disdains the son of the village party secretary. The village party secretary is obviously taking revenge for personal gain, but the places that can go to the college entrance examination are in the hands of the village party secretary, and a cadre of educated youths dares to be angry and dare not speak.
On a dark and windy night, this young man prying open the warehouse of the militia group, stole a shotgun and dozens of bullets, sneaked into the home of the village party secretary, and shot all the people in his house. He himself knew that this kind of thing would happen, and that heaven and earth would not be able to escape, so he shot himself in a remote cornfield.
The incident was a sensation, but in that era when information transmission was difficult, the spread was limited to the ten nearby villages and eight villages. It had been less than ten years since this incident happened, and Father Zhong was already a young man in his twenties at the time, so he naturally remembered it clearly.
Although Zhong Shi didn't know what was going on, it was enough to know that the young man had passed away, so that the original owner would never come back to ask for the bowl again.
Although he is not completely sure, Zhong Shi also has eight or nine points of affirmation, and the white porcelain bowl in front of him is produced by Dingyao, one of the five famous kilns of the Song Dynasty.
The five famous kilns of the Song Dynasty are Ru, Guan, Ge, Jun and Ding, named after the location of the cave, which is a pinnacle of ancient Chinese porcelain. The five famous kilns, led by the Ru kiln, each piece is unique and very few have survived; The most mysterious is the official kiln, the ruins of which cannot be found; The kiln is defective beauty; Jun kiln is to provide flower plates for the royal family; The kiln is dominated by white porcelain and celadon.
In the Song Dynasty, the development of Chinese porcelain reached its peak, whether it was the Yuan blue and white or the Ming Dynasty or the Qing pastel in the later generations, it could not be compared. Zhong Shi also had a little knowledge of these antique collectibles in his previous life, when Chinese antiques repeatedly hit new highs in auction houses such as Sotheby's and Christie's, and the price made him, a fund manager, staggering.
On November 11, 2010, a Chinese buyer auctioned off a Qianlong pastel hollow porcelain vase at a price of 51.6 million pounds (including commission, about 550 million yuan, the exchange rate at the time), which became the most expensive Chinese and Asian artwork.
In fact, few of those collectors are doing it for the art, just to be able to fetch a higher price at the next auction and to make a profit in the "drumming and passing the flowers" event. In order to cater to these boring rich people and raise more funds for his own fund, Zhong Shi in his previous life could only put down his body and study these antiques wholeheartedly, hoping to find a common topic in his conversation with them.
I didn't expect that the skills I learned in my previous life in order to please others will now come in handy, and it is very likely that I will dig the first pot of gold for myself!
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