Chapter 390: The Arrogant Deyin

You must know that if you can know the news of the implementation of QE in Europe in advance, for a financial giant like Zhongshi, the benefits that can be obtained are simply immeasurable in numbers.

If nothing else, the exchange rate changes after the implementation of QE alone can increase Zhongshi's wealth by as much as 50%. Based on his current net worth of nearly $400 billion, this part of the wealth has reached as much as $200 billion.

Not to mention the income of the capital market, interest rate market, and derivatives market.

It is no exaggeration to say that if the female prime minister confirms the news to Zhong Shi now, so that he can lay out in advance, then Zhong Shi's wealth is very likely to more than double in the next few years.

It is not impossible that even the first trillion-dollar billionaire in the entire history of mankind will appear!

And this wealth is basically taken out of the pockets of Europeans.

So even though her heart was very shocked, the female prime minister still endured the violent shock in her heart, and tried her best to make a gesture of curiosity and inquiry, just to confuse Zhong Shi at this time.

"Well...... this"

While thinking about the rhetoric, he secretly observed the female prime minister's expression, but to Zhong Shi's disappointment, there was no change in expression on the female prime minister's face at all, not even a slight muscle twitch, which was very different from the situation he expected. Immediately, he could only honestly say, "I judged it based on the data and the economic situation." ”

"After the end of the QE policy in the United States, although the recent economic data is not good, it is unlikely that the QE policy will be restarted again. The Fed is caught between preventing inflation and economic growth, so it is likely to continue its ultra-low interest rate policy in the short term, a cycle that could last as long as two to three years. As for Japan, the long-term deflation has caused them to implement a policy of low interest rates and over-issuance of money, but even so, their economic growth is still pitiful, and the possibility of them implementing negative interest rates or even QE cannot be ruled out when the overall world economic growth is sluggish. ”

"Huaxia has also implemented a proactive fiscal policy and invested huge sums of money in infrastructure construction. Such a move will ensure that they will maintain high economic growth for at least the next two to three years, and will even become the engine of the entire world economy. Europe, which is still in the midst of a debt crisis, is in a slightly more awkward position than several other major economies. ”

"On the one hand, there is the sluggish economic growth, and on the other hand, there is the ultra-high unemployment rate. The increase in unemployment benefits will lead to a deterioration in finances, and in order to compensate for this income, strong economic stimulus policies will be necessary across Europe to ensure that the debt crisis does not spread and worsen. Because countries have lost their monetary policy, they can only choose fiscal policy if they only stimulate their own economic policies, but in the current situation, they can only do economic stimulus on a small scale, because if the fiscal deficit is too large, it is very likely to provoke international speculators to attack them, causing them to fall into a debt crisis. However, the effect of small fiscal stimulus policies on the eventual recovery of the economy is not very optimistic. ”

"And as the center of the European Union, there should also be a lot of pressure during this time. On the one hand, in the face of unbalanced economic development in various countries, how to choose the formulation of monetary policy; On the other hand, under the pressure of the rescue, it is necessary to recover the loan within the specified time, and to ensure the economic development of the rescue country. For France and Germany, there are inflationary pressures, so the game of monetary policy should be a key issue for European countries in the near future. ”

"Exactly as you say!"

Regarding this point of Zhong Shi's analysis, the female prime minister did not deny it at all, "According to your analysis, what will be the next European monetary policy?" ”

As Zhong Shi predicted, there is a fierce game of monetary policy within the EU during this period, and several countries in the deep debt crisis strongly demand that the ECB carry out a monetary policy of deflation, that is, a large amount of money into the market to solve the debt crisis. As for France and Germany, they are worried that too much money will lead to inflation in their own countries. The two sides have been arguing over this issue for months, and there is still no way to reach a compromise.

The female prime minister had an idea and wanted to see if Zhong Shi, an outsider, had a better solution.

"In fact, there is no possibility of a return to the whole thing, unless Europe abandons the policy of monetary integration!"

"From the perspective of France and Germany, it is understandable that they resist easy monetary policies, because their fiscal revenues are sufficient to support their economic stimulus policies, and they are not in a debt crisis." But for other countries, it is only a matter of time before they fall into debt. ”

"If there is no willingness to make sacrifices, then the ultimate monetary decision is to cut interest rates first, and even impose negative interest rates on institutions at some point, in the hope that they will lend out all of their positions. But if these tactics fail, Europe will eventually have to choose the QE policy. Although France and Germany will not reluctantly agree, they will have to make sacrifices if they are to maintain European integration. ”

Zhong Shi finally spread his hands and said unmistakably, "There is no way to do it. However, in my opinion, it is better to implement the QE policy directly, which will reduce a lot of time and restore the European economy as soon as possible; On the other hand, it can also show other countries Germany's determination to maintain European integration. ”

"Politics is complicated!"

The female prime minister smiled dumbly, waved her hand for a while, and said to Zhong Shi, "Many times I don't count what I say, and they don't count what they say, and a balance can only be achieved through complex games." Maybe it's not the best balance, but it's certainly the most acceptable. ”

"Whether or not Europe will implement QE is another matter!"

Although the economic situation in Europe was being discussed, the female prime minister did not relax her vigilance against Zhong Shi at all, and did not reveal a word, which made Zhong Shi disappointed and secretly admired. However, he couldn't make a plan, and he made another plan, "That is, what I promised you at the beginning, if you give a heavy blow to the speculators all over the world." If you can give me a clear answer, then I can lay out this plan now. ”

"What kind of plan is this?"

The female prime minister was still not fooled, but asked flatly, "Don't expect to probe into this level of secrets." Tell your plan first and see if it's possible. I'll tell you if the time comes. ”

"That's ......"

The other party's tone was so tight, Zhong Shi felt helpless, he had no choice but to tell the female prime minister the whole plan, "In this way, the world's funds may pour in, and when the time comes, we will catch them off guard again, and promise to let them spit out all the money they have earned before." ”

"Is this appropriate?"

After listening to Zhong Shi's narration, the female prime minister's face showed a rare trace of solemnity, and she pondered for a long time before she said, "If this is the case, then the whole thing will be too big, and I am afraid that the other party will not cooperate!" ”

"But what if I bring Huaxia in?"

Zhong Shi smiled strangely, and then said, "Germany is implementing industrialization 4.0 to eliminate the current industrial system, and I think even these backward equipment have a broad market in China." If we can reach an agreement on this, I don't think the Huaxia government would mind helping them. In this way, wouldn't a win-win situation be formed for all three parties? ”

"This ......"

The female prime minister's expression finally changed, and she was silent for a long time before she said, "At least so far, the European side has no plans for QE, so there is no way to realize this plan of yours for the time being." But if the time comes, I hope you are ready for everything. ”

This sentence was basically equivalent to giving Zhong Shi a reassurance, and he immediately nodded his head in joy.

……

Frankfurt, headquarters of Deutsche Bank.

After the meeting with the Chancellor in Berlin, Zhong Shi and Ivana rushed to Frankfurt, where they would discuss LIBOR with the German leadership.

Founded in 1870, Deutsche Bank is currently one of the largest banks in the world. It is a commercial bank, which is also an investment bank, and it engages in two types of banking business all over the world. With branches all over the world and total assets of more than 1.5 trillion euros, the bank is a true giant.

At present, Deutsche Bank is listed in Paris, Vienna, Geneva, London and Frankfurt, and its shareholding is very diversified, so the practice of listing is to prevent the risk of being acquired.

The current chairman of the board of directors of Deutsche Bank is Joseph Brown. Ackermann, a German born in Switzerland.

"Hey, hey, what are you doing?"

When Zhong Shi and the others walked into the entrance of the Deutsche Bank Building, a burly security guard walked over, pointed at the three of them and shouted in German, "This is not a public place, idlers are not allowed to enter, you know?" ”

"Don't worry, let me come!"

Zhong Shi and the others were stunned for a moment, and at this time Ivana took the initiative to ask, "I'll communicate with him." With that, she took the initiative to greet her and began to talk to the security guard in German.

"Didn't you call them before that and tell them we're coming?"

Zhong Shi thought it was strange, because according to business etiquette, the top executives of Deutsche Bank should have greeted them at the door now. Although in front of Deutsche Bank, Tianyu Fund is just a small point, but no financial institution in the world dares to underestimate this "small point".

"Of course I informed them!"

Jiang Shan couldn't help but feel a little aggrieved, and hurriedly replied, "I called their chairman's office directly, and it was received by a female secretary." I told them exactly what the time and cause were, and God knows how this happened! ”

"Maybe they were negligent!"

So far, Zhong Shi has no way to blame anyone, so he can only comfort himself like this, "Although this situation is rare, it doesn't mean that it won't happen." If that's the case, let's wait and see! ”

"Damn, they won't let us in!"

While the two were waiting, Ivana came back in a huff, and her first sentence burst into a foul mouth, "These security guards actually said that they didn't receive relevant notices." And they confirmed with the chairman's office that there was no such thing as us coming to visit! Damn, these dog-eyed guys. ”

"If they're in my department, I'm going to make sure they're good-looking!" She secretly said fiercely, obviously angry.

"What?"

Zhong Shi was stunned, and couldn't help but glance at Jiang Shan again. Seeing Jiang Shan sweating at this glance, he quickly took out his mobile phone and started calling.

"Are the Deutsche Bank people not going to see us?"

Ivana was still angry, and complained vigorously, "Damn, they're just a bank, and they're putting up such a big shelf." Don't they know that we are saving them? ”

"It's not clear what is going on now, don't jump to conclusions for the time being!"

Zhong Shi said lightly, but there was already a hint of ruthlessness in his eyes, "When their people appear, let's see what is going on!" ”

He's a little upset! (To be continued.) )