164 There is no one-size-fits-all solution

After a good night's sleep at noon, Zhang Yuanyi finally recovered from exhaustion.

Seeing that Lin Danqing was reading a book and drinking tea in front of the small stone bench in the courtyard, Zhang Yuanyi walked over.

"Yuanyi is here, sit" Lin Danqing looked at Zhang Yuanyi and said with a smile.

After Zhang Yuanyi sat down with an "um", Lin Danqing did not talk to Zhang Yuanyi about anything, but continued to drink tea while reading a book.

Zhang Yuan looked at the clear blue sky for a while, and then turned his head to look at the flowers and plants in the courtyard for a while.

Neither of the two of them spoke, there was silence in the air, and after about five or six minutes, Lin Danqing finally spoke:

"Yuanyi, before I can start teaching you the skill of futures, you must know something." Lin Danqing's voice began to slow down, and he said slowly, "In the entire history of mankind, the most complex and unpredictable thing may be the trend of futures. As far as my senses and experience are concerned, I don't think any profession in this world can compare to the madness of this profession......"

Zhang Yuanyi listened quietly, and when Lin Danqing began to focus on his own explanation, Zhang Yuanyi was sometimes easily attracted by the other party's narrative, and he no longer thought about other things, but followed Lin Danqing's thinking to think.

"What I'm going to tell you you'll probably never hear from anyone else, I hope you'll spend your whole life trying to figure it out, if you really want to be a great master."

Zhang Yuanyi nodded heavily.

Lin Danqing took a sip of tea, paused for a moment, and continued: "Futures, it is not a static existence. ”

"Huh?" Zhang Yuan was stunned for a moment.

"Futures, it is like a living form, someone once described futures as a small and dynamic thing like biological cells. The relationship between man and it is like looking at the solvent on a glass slide with a microscope, and you are looking at the species of the lower world through the eyes of a higher world creature. ”

"You see, there is only one thing in this world that is eternal, and that is death." Lin Danqing continued, "No life can escape, and neither can those cellular creatures with magical powers. As an observer, we must be soberly aware that the living cell bodies that make up futures are the lives of another world, the free existence of the life of the observer. Therefore, the observer can only recognize and discover it, but cannot intervene and influence these cells. That is, man can never control the activity of those cells. ”

"Back then, when I first started in this field, when I first started learning about these cell bodies as an observer, I was confident that I could make a difference. But after nearly thirty years of fighting with these cell bodies, I realized that I couldn't control them. I will always be an observer, not a controller. ”

Lin Danqing sighed, then lowered his head and meditated for a while.

Then he continued: "You may be so confused by my narrative that you can't figure it out. In fact, my narrative is an expression of self-awareness, and many times you need to grasp the spark in my thoughts, those insights. There are some things that I also don't describe accurately, and you need to use your own wisdom and mind to crack it. Now let's move on to the cell bodies that make up futures."

"An observer must understand the mutual position between himself and futures, never try to be a controller, and always think of himself as an observer. There are three principles to pay attention to in this process: First, futures themselves are alive and alive. It is the ability to dodge and the ability to flexibly manifest itself as the environment changes and time goes by. In other words, futures do not have a stable form, and the knowledge of the past of futures does not allow you to predict the future. When the observer learns about the new form of the futures, the futures themselves also learn that they are recognized by the observers, and the mutation occurs. The pattern and trend of futures will inevitably tend to mutate in a direction unknown to the observer. It has enough intelligence to prevent the observer from catching its dynamic laws. So, the first thing we know about futures is its eternal variability. ”

"Second, the organisms that make up futures are inherently uncatchable. What does this mean? Its meaning, in layman's terms, is the uncontrollability of futures. Futures themselves are a life that exists and is nothing. ”

"Third, the simplicity of futures. Futures are futures, they don't represent anything, and of course nothing represents it. Futures are so simple that they only follow one kind of law, and any appearance other than this law is a false mirror image. In other words, the spores reflect the origin of the whole world. Don't use complex theories to express spore futures, the more elaborate the expression may be contrary to the essence of the future. ”

Lin Danqing didn't seem to care about whether the talented Zhang Yuanyi could understand his own narrative at this time, and he continued to communicate with Zhang Yuanyi in almost demonic language.

"Master, you just said that futures follow a law, so what is the law it follows?" Zhang Yuanyi asked softly.

Lin Danqing turned his face slightly and looked at Zhang Yuanyi fixedly.

After a while, he asked, "Do you know the famous Feng Guozhang, Peng Jiahui, and Liu Qiang in the futures market?"

Zhang Yuanyi shook his head.

"Feng Guozhang is the most famous senior analyst in the history of our country's securities, and has set a record of 25 consecutive months of profit without loss; Pang Jiahui was once a Chinese on Wall Street who made $500 million; Liu Qiang is the first person in the securities industry on the list of China's richest people for five consecutive years. ”

"Oh!" Zhang Yuanyi was a little surprised, there are so many cattle, he has never heard of them, it seems that there are many cattlemen in the stock and futures markets.

"Since you haven't heard of them, surely you don't know their ends?"

Zhang Yuan nodded after hearing this.

"Feng Guozhang died a few years ago with only 5,000 yuan in savings, and Peng Jiahui was accused of fraud by hundreds of angry customers and imprisoned for eight years, and when he came out, he was penniless; And Liu Qiang committed suicide by jumping off a building after the stock market broke out after the last round of bull market ended. ”

"Why is this happening?" Zhang Yuanyi was also shocked.

"The reason is simple, they all have one thing in common, which is that the probability of success is always much higher than everyone else. But the strange thing is that the money they have accumulated ninety-nine times without being able to withstand the loss of a single failed blow. ”

"Why is this happening?" Zhang Yuanyi asked again.

"Why, you ask? The reason is simple, because they are trying to control the futures variety. They all thought they had found a way to predict futures variations once and for all. If you have time, you can take a look at a book about futures theory written by Liu Qiang, called "Technical Analysis of Futures Market", which is very famous and is still a must-read for people in the futures industry. Until now, many futures elites still advocate the kind of thing that can only fail in the end and will never succeed. ”

"Master, do you mean to say that the failure of these people stems from their theories?"

"That's right! When they elevate experience to theory, failure is doomed. I have said that futures itself is an intelligent life, it has a tendency to mutate in a direction unknown to the observer, and it always mutates in a direction unknown to the observer. When it realizes that the observer has seen through its truth, it will inevitably mutate, thus causing the theory summarized by the observer to fail. ”

"You mean that if the observer doesn't elevate experience to theory, then the organisms that make up futures don't mutate, right?"

"You're right! When the observer does not try to explain the futures themselves in terms of laws, then the futures life form cannot predict that it will be recognized by the observer. That is to say, while the Tao does not grow taller, the demon does not grow taller; But if the Tao tries to surpass the demon, the demon will inevitably grow taller. ”

Therefore, we have a saying in China that "the road is one foot high, and the magic is one foot high"

So how do you deal with this? If the Tao can't defeat the devil, then how can you become a winner in the game of futures?" Zhang Yuanyi's voice was a little eager.

"Yes! If the Tao cannot defeat the devil, how can you become a winner? You asked a very good question, a question of essence. If you want me to say that anyone who works in the profession of futures has one trait that is the same. Yuanyi, do you know what it is?"

"Master, what is it?"

"Greedy!" Lin Danqing said steadily.

"Greed? Master, I think the attribute of greed should be human nature. ”

"That's right! Greed is indeed human nature. It is because it is human nature that people always try to become winners by defeating demons. But in reality, there is only one simple, effective, and only one way to become a winner. ”

"Master, what is it?"

"Failure!"

"Failure?" Zhang Yuanyi really couldn't figure it out.

"The truth is simple, but the devil in futures is difficult to defeat, and there is always a mistake waiting for us by our side. So if you want to be a winner, you have to look for it from defeat, not from victory. ”

"I still don't understand, master."

"Have you read history?"

"I've read it!"

"Then you should know that there are many examples in history that prove that the winner who wins at the beginning often ends up dying, and the loser who survives ends up being the winner in the market."

"Why is that?"

"Because the loser chooses to be flexible and change, while the winner relies on victory and refuses to change. That's the essential reason. ”

"Change comes from failure, not from victory. Master, is that what you mean?" Zhang Yuanyi asked.

"Yes! That's what it means. This is true for nations and nations, as well as single-celled life. ”

"Is there a failure that makes it impossible to win?"

"Of course there is, but in terms of probability, the final winner must only be born from the initial loser and not the initial winner."

"So?" Zhang Yuanyi looked back on history, and the final successful emperor in history was in the process of his rise, and indeed many people experienced many ups and downs at the beginning, and even failed and setbacks.

"So master, how does this point of view you just mentioned apply to futures?"

"As long as you do it in the simplest way possible."