220 divided into two factions

When a newcomer entered the group, some shareholders immediately warmly welcomed him.

Zhang Yuanyi and the fat man each made an expression of hugging hands.

Hei Tianyou specially introduced Zhang Yuanyi:

"Far away, our sales department customers, rich experience in stock trading, if you have any questions, you can communicate with the distance more."

As soon as everyone listened to the introduction of the group leader Heizi, they welcomed Zhang Yuanyi's arrival.

Zhang Yuanyi hugged his fists and thanked everyone for their enthusiasm.

He found that as soon as the stock market rose, the market sentiment increased significantly.

Looking at the content of the chat, people who didn't want to enter the stock market some time ago and have been short are also itching to speculate in stocks.

Many retail investors are exchanging what they have recently bought and sold.

Suddenly, a shareholder named "Yanyu Jiangnan" @Zhang Yuanyi asked:

"Distant god, what stocks are you speculating on lately?"

"Uh...... I'm also an ordinary shareholder, not a god, what's there for us to communicate together" Zhang Yuanyi casually sent a smiling expression.

"Since the group leaders have focused on recommending you, don't be modest, great god"

……

Retail investors have said.

"Then I'll ask Yanyu Jiangnan's question, let's talk about a question"

When everyone saw Zhang Yuanyi say this, they immediately quieted down.

"I don't think we stockholders, especially new investors, should 'speculate in stocks' now!"

"Huh?"

Everyone didn't understand.

Some shareholders said:

"We came in to make money, how can we make money without speculating in stocks?"

"That's it"

……

Everyone questioned it.

The corners of Zhang Yuanyi's mouth turned up slightly, and his fingers thunderbolted on the keyboard: "I mean not to speculate, but you can 'buy stocks'!" ”

"What does that mean?" Yanyu Jiangnan also raised questions.

"The so-called stock speculation is actually to sell high and buy low, that is, to buy at a low price, and sell at a high price when it rises, so as to earn the difference." Zhang Yuanyi said in the group.

"But everyone thinks, this low buy and sell high is a direct money transaction, neither to set up a factory nor to open a store, the money can become more and more, there are such good things in the world, so everyone is attracted to join the team of "stock speculation". ”

However, if we make a statistic, since the early 90s of the last century, how many people in the so-called "retail investors" stock speculation army have succeeded in "selling high and buying low"? How many people have increased their families by "buying low and selling high"? According to my investigation, to be honest, although our Shanghai index has risen to 1,800 points, for thousands of retail investors, at least 2/3 is still in a state of lock-in! ”

Some shareholders nodded in agreement.

"Well, there's a little bit of truth to that!"

Zhang Yuanyi continued: "Ask the friends of the stockholders who often 'speculate in stocks' around you, and you will find that some people may have had the experience of making a lot of money, but the wealth on the paper quickly turned into a cloud of green smoke, and the vast majority of them have a 'blood and tears account book' of 'cutting meat', and the successful 'stock speculators' do not mean that there are none, but as far as I know, there really isn't much, so we need to reflect, can this stock still 'speculate'?" ”

At this time, a shareholder with the online name "Dentist Zhou" spoke:

"I'm a new shareholder, I think stocks must be interesting to speculate, otherwise everyone doesn't speculate, so who will make money? I think it takes wisdom to make money, and if you're smart, you can definitely make money in the short term! ”

"You're right, as long as you're smart, you can definitely make money in this market, that's right" Zhang Yuan saw that someone was putting forward different opinions, smiled slightly, and continued to say in the group:

"But you have to be smart enough, no one who comes in to speculate in the stock market thinks they are stupid, they all think that they can make a lot of money in the stock market with their ingenuity, but we have to see the reality, not all smart people can make money in the stock market."

"Well, well, I'm right from afar, I think I'm okay in business, but it's always a loss when I come in here"

"Well, when it comes to my heart, support the distance!"

Some shareholders saw the truth of what Zhang Yuanyi said, so they came to support.

"Maybe every new investor has to go through time to experience in the market," Zhang Yuanyi made a cute expression, and then returned to the truth:

"Anyway, as far as my experience is concerned, I think that in the current situation, there will be a big opportunity in the stock market, my advice is not only that new investors who lack experience in stock speculation should not 'speculate' stocks, do not trade frequently, and the average old stockholders had better not 'speculate', to change the previous investment strategy, the most important thing to do now is to carry out trend investment, to "stock investment" to buy and leave! ”

The new shareholder "Dr. Zhou" just now was not happy

"In the distance, the stock market has risen to 1800 points, and it has almost doubled from 998 points, and you are still singing here! Haven't you seen the market pullback in the past few days? Moreover, there are obviously more short posts on some securities websites, and there are more and more of them, and they are getting more and more empty! ”

"I wipe ......" Zhang Yuanyi was a little unhappy, but the stock group, it is difficult to unify everyone's opinions, you sing too much, naturally some people will sing short.

It seems that this new investor is more affected by the views of some financial websites that are short.

Zhang Yuanyi made a wicked smile and continued:

"I also browsed some short posts just now, and found that the short singers in our market are full of imagination, and even some of the empty wording is very creative and eye-catching, and its appeal must be very strong!"

"You may have seen it, so I'll give you a few examples, such as: 'Salute to the martyrs who attacked Qianba', 'The head is already perfect', 'Warmly welcome the greedy small retail investors to pay for the money-making market', 'The last chance to retreat', 'A round of magnificent slaughter has begun', 'The bullish trap has been formed', 'I clearly see a three-foot-long big stick again'......"

"You see, these words are very contagious, but they ...... What I want to say here is: as far as the current index is concerned, in my opinion, the upward trend has been formed, and the current decline is the time to enter the market, and the old investors know that once the bull market is formed, every pullback is a good opportunity to enter the market! Now the more fierce and terrifying the bear-bearers sing, it shows that there are more people who hope to fall around 1800 points. We all know that some time ago, with the continuous rise of the stock market, there are more and more people who take profits. ”

Zhang Yuanyi continued to express his opinion.

"In this market, just like stock recommenders blowing stocks into the sky, we can't be gullible, and at the same time, we shouldn't be scared by short sellers! In this market, whether it is short or long, it is just singing, and what determines the rise and fall of the stock market is not how well the lyrics are written! And be sure to watch carefully how the market changes. ”

"You can review the changes in the stock market since the beginning of this year: through the share reform and full circulation, through the listing of large-cap blue chips, through the continuous optimization of the resource allocation of listed companies and the continuous improvement of performance, through the mandatory dividend and other policies to protect the interests of investors, it can be determined that the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets have begun to have investment value, and people can achieve higher investment returns through trend investment and medium and long-term investment without 'speculation'!"

Hearing Zhang Yuanyi say this, "Doctor Zhou" said again:

"Far away, I don't know the truth of medium and long-term investment, but which stocks are worth being a real 'shareholder'? The performance of many 'high-quality stocks' has become faster than the "change of face" of Sichuan Opera, with excellent performance before listing, poor performance after listing, and ST soon, who dares to make long-term investment? As a new shareholder, I had no choice but to speculate! It's still cool in the short term! ”

Zhang Yuanyi did not deny that there was some truth in what "Dentist Zhou" said in the first half, but when he saw the second half, he was indeed speechless, obviously against him! He said to trend investing and medium- to long-term holding, while "Weekly Dentist" continued to advocate short-term trading!

At this time, some shareholders supported the view of "Zhou Dentist", and some shareholders supported Zhang Yuanyi's view, and the public opinion of the obvious stock group was divided into two factions.

Zhang Yuan smiled, suddenly thought of the news he saw yesterday, and said in the group:

"Have you ever wondered why those Middle Eastern oil giants and Saudi princes spent huge sums of money to buy H shares of China Merchants Bank? Why did ICBC's global issuance trigger a rush to buy? Why are life-saving money such as social security funds and insurance funds stationed in the 'elephants' and not thinking about the 'rats'? This shows that they are optimistic that the current blue-chip market will continue, and they buy stocks for short-term speculation or medium- and long-term investment? Is it for speculation or do you want to be a gambler? I think you can think about this question! ”

"Well, you have your reasoning, I have my opinion, but I want to ask you a question, far away" Dr. Zhou is more energetic.

"You say, what's the problem?"

"You say medium and long-term investment, how long is the term?"

"About a year!" Zhang Yuanyi replied affirmatively.

"That means from September now to around September next year?"

"Yes!" Zhang Yuanyi glanced at the fat man next to him, smiled, and continued to reply.

"Do you bet?" Dr. Zhou said suddenly.

"First brother, this girl is obviously not convinced!" The fat man looked at the chat content in the chat group, glanced at Zhang Yuanyi, and said with a smile.

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Even with the confirmation of today's news that the US-China trade talks will take place, today's Shanghai index trend is still a little weird. At present, the Shanghai Composite Index is at the key support position of the circuit breaker bottom in February 2016, and it seems that the bulls and bears are going to start a competition. However, a break below the previous low of 2638 is not so important in my opinion, and the Shenzhen Index and the ChiNext Index have already fallen below the circuit breaker bottom in February 2016, so it makes no sense for the Shanghai Index to hold on so much. Today's stock index trend presents us with a difficult problem. However, in my opinion, if it does not fall tomorrow and continues to rise, but it is also necessary to maintain the necessary rationality and patience, only by standing firmly on the ten-week line can it be considered stable, otherwise even if it rebounds but does not stand on the ten-week line, there is no meaning. If there is another extreme situation tomorrow, that is, tomorrow it falls and erases today's gains again, then 2638 will be broken quickly, and the Shanghai Composite Index will experience a sharp decline. These are two possibilities, what I can do is to make inferences based on market changes, don't be easy to buy the bottom at the moment, don't be in a hurry.