Chapter 251: Demagogy
"Who can guarantee that Spain will not become a second Greece?"
Zhong Shi's sonorous voice resounded throughout the audience, like a nuclear bomb exploding in everyone's ears, and suddenly all the participants in the audience were at first incredulous, and then began to discuss regardless of social etiquette.
This is Madrid, the capital of Spain, the U.S. Embassy in Spain, and like Gross and others, Bell Stone attends a cocktail dinner that only American businessmen are allowed to join.
Naturally, it just so happened that among the many attendees, there were also one or two local Spanish journalists.
"How is this possible?"
A tall, thin middle-aged man was the first to question, "Not to mention the situation in Greece, how can Spain collapse just because it is the fifth economy in the eurozone?" ”
"It can't be, it can't be!"
He added, shaking his head.
Hearing him say this, the others nodded yes.
Unlike Greece, Spain is not only an agricultural powerhouse in the eurozone, but also an industrial powerhouse, producing at least 2 million cars a year. Although it is still not comparable to Germany, France, Italy and other countries, Spain is too developed compared to countries like Greece with a GDP of only 100 billion euros.
"Nothing is impossible!"
Zhong Shi's tone was still so strong, without a hint of concession or compromise, and he retorted categorically, "Ladies and gentlemen, you should know that the price of joining the eurozone is the loss of the right to issue currency. In this case, if there is an economic depression, then there is only one possibility to save the economy, and that is fiscal spending. ”
"Keeping the current tax rate unchanged, in the event of a slowdown or no growth in GDP growth, or even a regression. The revenue of the state treasury will inevitably decrease, and I believe everyone is well aware of this situation. But the environment calls for the government to spend more to stimulate the economy, so it has no choice but to borrow. ”
"If I'm not mistaken, last year the Spanish government started working on an economic stimulus policy, and so far they have spent a lot of money. It is believed that it will not be long before they publish their financial situation. At that time, the deficit will definitely reach a level that the market did not expect. ”
"Guys, in the current situation, what can high debt and high deficits cause?"
Zhong Shi looked at everyone, his eyes burning, "Yes, it's panic!" It is conceivable that the stock market will plummet and bonds will be sold off. Banks are run, society may fall into disorder, and the whole country will be in a panic, a scene of the coming end. ”
"These are not alarmists, but high-probability events!"
Everyone felt a chill when they heard this, and their faces changed color, but Zhong Shi still didn't plan to let them go, and continued to bewitch. "Think about what your investments here will look like, what will become of your wealth here? Assets may be looted. Funds may be frozen. Maybe there is no problem with your personal safety, but the development you want, the profits you want, and even your principal, are all in danger. ”
"Is this what you want?"
Zhong Shi finally asked rhetorically.
Silent!
The audience was silent!
Everyone was immersed in the apocalyptic scene depicted by Bell Stone. I couldn't come back to my senses for a long time.
Yes, for those of them who invest overseas, what drives them to do these things is profit. If the situation that Zhong Shi said really happened, then for them it was really the end of the world.
Although, so far. Not everyone believed Zhong Shi's rhetoric, but it was undeniable that Zhong Shi had succeeded in casting a shadow on their hearts.
"Alarmist!"
It was still the tall and thin middle-aged man who questioned before, he was the first to come back to his senses and said disdainfully to Zhong Shi, "Regardless of whether what you said will really come true, just talk about your motivation for publishing this speech, I don't believe you will really be so kind to remind us!" ”
"That's right!"
"That's right!"
……
After his reminder, everyone understood.
If you talk about professional things, naturally no one present will be the opponent of Zhongshi's debate, but not everything pays attention to the sharpness of the debate, and more often people still look at the motivation of the departure.
As soon as the question of motivation was mentioned, everyone realized that Zhong Shi and most of them had no intersection, so he gathered everyone and reminded this question "kindly", which itself had a problem of unclear motives. Most of them would not believe that Zhong Shi could be well-intentioned.
No adult would do such a thing without motivation. Naturally, it is impossible for the US government to do such a thing, after all, it will offend the Spanish government.
"This ......"
Zhongshi began to hesitate.
"Look at it, this guy is talking nonsense!"
"It turned out to be a liar!"
"It's so disappointing, it's such a person!"
After being silent for a while, the crowd suddenly erupted in a burst of doubts, and Dare to Love Zhongshi did not give a reasonable explanation, which made them feel disappointed. The huge psychological gap made them come up with all kinds of unbearable words.
"Actually, that's the ......"
Seeing that the scene was about to get out of control, Zhong Shi had to stand up again, rub his hands, pretend to be embarrassed, and hesitate for a long time, before he said, "I plan to organize an exchange fund ...... recently"
He didn't go on, but the meaning was obvious.
"I see!"
Only then did everyone suddenly realize that it was a money-seeker.
Everyone is no stranger to this kind of fund manager who seeks to manage money, after all, they have all had similar experiences. So when Zhong Shi said this, they quickly figured out Zhong Shi's motives. Of course, this motive perfectly explains why Zhong Shi said these words, so the crisis that had plagued them just now quickly dissipated.
But then, the next question arises, is what Zhong Shi said just now exaggerated in order to attract funds?
"Well, for the time being, I believe in your motives, but how can you prove that anything you say is possible?"
It was the tall, thin man who questioned loudly.
Zhong Shi understood a little. It seemed that among the people present, the tall and thin man was a person of great prestige, and at that moment he nodded, smiled at the other party and said, "This gentleman, if you care about what has happened recently, you will notice. Nothing I said was alarmist. ”
"It is a fact that Greece's national debt has been downgraded. Next, maybe Portugal! In case you don't know, just two years ago, the rating agency Moody's issued a warning about Portugal's fiscal spending, which means that Portugal is also targeted by the market. Where it will be next, I don't know. But I know that Spain is in the same situation as them, and it is only a matter of time before they are targeted. Maybe it's tomorrow, maybe it's next week, maybe it's next month, anything is possible. ”
"What you're doing now is avoiding future risks, and that's very important."
Zhong Shi continued to bewitch, "In short, this is what to expect. Of course. Now I offer another possibility, which is to avoid risks at the same time. Wouldn't it be better to be able to reap quite a lot of money? ”
“……”
Everyone was speechless for a while, at this time, Zhong Shi still did not forget to promote his own fund, which made them more determined, and the other party's motives were from the heart.
But they all ignore one of the most important issues, which is if it is a simple fund pitch. It is categorically impossible to resort to the power of the US Embassy.
"Ladies and gentlemen, do you have any other questions?"
Seeing that the scene fell silent, Zhong Shi finally asked, "If there are no other questions." I guess it's time for me to finish too. ”
"Wait......"
It was still the tall, thin middle-aged man, who seemed to be on par with Zhong Shi, and had been tirelessly asking, "If what you said really happened, what would happen to the future of Spain, and what should we do?" ”
His attitude seemed to change a little, but it seemed like he was inquiring about how Zhongshi could make a profit.
"This ......"
Zhong Shi was a little hesitant, but when he looked at the crowd in the audience and saw that they were all looking expectantly, he simply said, "Obviously, if there is a real crisis in Spain's debt, then the first thing to hit is investor confidence. The stock market could fall, bond yields would soar, and so on, all of which were predictable. More importantly, because Spain's share of the eurozone is far from comparable to that of a country like Greece, it will deal a major blow to the euro. ”
"Of course, we also know that the eurozone will not sit idly by."
He changed his tone and then added, "Perhaps the most important countries in the eurozone have come up with a rescue plan, but this will inevitably lead to an increase in spending by other countries." What kind of scale it will reach, and how the whole situation will go, according to my own level, I can't judge it at the moment. But it is undeniable that a crisis is just around the corner. ”
"Perhaps the most serious consequence could be the collapse of the euro as a whole, which of course is the most extreme case."
Zhong Shi's face gradually became solemn, "At that time, no market will be safe, and compared to Europe, the United States will at least be stable." There will be a massive flow of money back to the United States or other safe countries, the exchange rate of the euro will plummet, unemployment will increase, business life will be more difficult, and perhaps there will be a wave of bankruptcies. ”
"If you are in the real economy, it is very likely that there will be a decline in profits and layoffs in the coming period. I believe that these are not what you want to see, but these are high probability events. There may be some countries that will leave the eurozone, and maybe some countries that will go bankrupt. In short, the whole of Europe will be in chaos, probably to a point that you can hardly imagine. Even if it's not for profit, you should think about your fixed assets. ”
In the crowd, the two of them had been writing hard, quickly recording what Zhong Shi said. Naturally, these two people are the local Spanish reporters who got in, and like their counterparts in Portugal, they originally just wanted to get an exclusive, who would have thought that they would catch a "whale", both of them were full of inexplicable excitement, knowing that this time they were definitely worth the trip.
Of course, they didn't believe what Zhong Shi said. In their opinion, this is a complete exaggeration, alarmism, and a way to promote their own funds.
"If we end our business here in time and transfer the money out, won't it be fine?"
The tall and thin man sneered and said, "If what you say becomes true, I think we only need to close the business here in advance and transfer the funds out, so don't we avoid all these risks?" ”
"At the same time, there's no need to join your so-called fund!"
He had a look of disdain on his face. Obviously, he was not very satisfied with Zhong Shi's words, and then sneered.
"That's what you want! As long as the trend of capital flight is formed, it will simply be unstoppable, and the situation will be worse! ”
Zhong Shi's heart was so happy that he wanted to immediately clench his fists and roar, but he still maintained his apparent calmness, and even pretended to sigh with an expression and said in a heavy tone, "If that's the case, it's naturally okay." But you're missing out on a chance to make money. ”
In fact, in Zhong Shi's heart, what he wanted to say most was: "My fund will not be open to people like you!" (To be continued.) )
PS: Thank you book friend tik_sun, Trickery, Europe 56, and Bookworm 18622 for voting for the monthly pass! Thank you book friends for your 123 under the sunshine, and the heavy reward of the heart! At the same time, I would also like to thank the book friend for the evaluation votes of the monthly ticket madman who has no vote, as well as the chapter praise of the electromagnetist and Xiaotao 9527! I am very glad to receive so much support, everyone's support is my biggest motivation, continue to work hard~