Chapter XXII

As soon as the four people at the front and back tables heard it, the old man all spoke like this, it seemed that he couldn't say no! I have to say two meanings.

"The economic crisis is not a product of capitalism!" Sitting side by side with Fang's father, a middle-aged man in his forties said stubbornly. "Our country would not have had an economic crisis like Japan's."

Someone started, and the others naturally wanted to echo a few words, Dad Fang frowned and shook his head slightly.

The old man listened to their words without any new ideas, and gradually put down the pen in his hand, but paid careful attention to everyone, and saw Fang's father's expression, "Look at the appearance of the little comrade, I don't agree with what they said." ”

Dad Fang was directly named, but he couldn't shirk it, so he had to move his buttocks, sit up straight, and arch his hand with a smile, "Then I'll just talk about it, you are all seniors, if there is anything wrong, please correct me a lot." Fang's father put a very low posture.

Everyone else sighed in their hearts, and they all looked at the first person to speak, and Dad Fang was really bold, not to mention that the spokesman had a background. Let's just say that the big Buddha sitting behind here, who knows what the origin of the people is, discuss with the other party, in case this is an economic authority, isn't this an axe! At this time, it's absolutely right to be humble!

However, seeing that Fang's father's posture was low enough, the others were in the mood to watch the excitement and listen to what he had to say.

"Okay, tell me about it!" The old man said, picking up the pen again. Dad Fang thought for a while, organized the language, and said: "I just said that the economic crisis is the product of the capital, I understand it this way, I think that the economic crisis does not matter whether the surname is capital or the surname, in fact, any economic system will produce economic crisis, no exceptions. This is not a very new term. Since ancient times, economic crises have been occurring and repeating, but in different forms and causes. ”

"Whoa......" Everyone else looked at Dad Fang like a madman, this person wouldn't have a problem with his head! How dare you say that! The lecturer on the podium just said it. The economic crisis is a product of capitalism, how can it be that it has existed since ancient times! Even listening to the subtext, socialism creates an economic crisis. You just want to gamble, little brother. You can't bet like that!

Everyone thinks that Dad Fang is gambling after taking the wrong medicine, he is completely betting on what kind of old leader the other party is, or the old chief, and he doesn't know much about the economy.

But is it that easy to get to the top? If you can't get it, you will break yourself first!

The dormitory with Fang's father quietly pulled the corner of Fang's father's clothes, and was glared at by the old man's cold eyes. He withdrew his hand in a daze.

The old man was interested, and it was rare to hear different points of view, so he looked at Dad Fang with encouragement, "Tell me more specifically." ”

Fang's father continued, "In the past, we were in an agrarian economy. The biggest characteristic of the agricultural economy is that it is cyclical, because the growth of crops is cyclical, and this is not subject to human will. He paused and continued, "To put it bluntly, the growth of crops depends on the sky, and the cause of this economic crisis is mainly due to natural disasters. Natural disasters such as wind, fire, drought, and flooding will break this law, and if crops cannot be produced in the field, a crisis will appear; The second is the war and the high degree of land annexation, the desolation of a large amount of land, and the emergence of a large number of landless peasants. It can turn an economic crisis into a crisis for the whole society. For example: the change of dynasties. ”

The old man bowed his head slightly and was silent, but he was willing to listen to Dad Fang's words.

"After entering the industrial society, especially into the development of science and technology, the production of crops is no longer limited by the previous law, not only the yield increases, but also the off-season planting, satellites to the sky, and the cooperation of water conservancy and meteorology, at this time, the society has a high degree of resistance to the agricultural economic crisis, at the same time, another economic crisis appeared, that is, excess inventory. Industrial production is completely unaffected by the laws of nature, as long as the machine is turned on, how many products can be manufactured, coupled with the step-by-step upgrading of production technology, the production efficiency is getting higher and higher, and the speed of manufacturing products is getting faster and faster. When a market opportunity is seen, capital will fully intervene, so a large number of products are manufactured in an instant, and soon the problem arises, the market is highly saturated, there is no longer a need for so many products, and it is impossible to digest so many products, so capital begins to withdraw from the industry, factories begin to close, workers are fired, unemployment increases significantly, and the crisis arises, which is the economic crisis of the industrial age. ”

Fang's father continued, "The reasons for Japan's economic crisis this time are very complicated, first there was a financial crisis, which is spreading to the real economy. Part of this is due to the fact that in the 70s of the 20th century, Japan began a process of economic and financial liberalization and internationalization. In the 80s of the 20th century, this process accelerated rapidly. In 1985, the Japanese government issued a proclamation entitled "Current Situation and Prospects for Financial Liberalization and Yen Internationalization", which opened the prelude to the comprehensive liberalization and internationalization of Japan's economy and finance. The international financial giants have carried a large amount of capital to speculate on the Japanese stock market and property market, which has greatly raised housing prices and exchange rates, and made them seriously bubble. Then at the beginning of this year, a large number of short orders were launched, causing the collapse of the Japanese stock market, followed by the property market, in order to force capital to flee in all directions, leaving the country's asset prices worthless. ”

In the early 80s of the 20th century, the Japanese government proposed that Japan should move from an "economic power" to a "political power," and Japan-US relations would become the cornerstone of a "political power." In the 1985 "Plaza Conference" and the "Louvre Conference" in 1986, Japan became the staunchest ally of the United States. In 1985, Japan was facing three major strategic shifts at the same time: from a "controlled economy" to an "open economy"; the transformation from an "economic power" to a "political power"; Change from "external demand-led economy" to "domestic demand-led economy". The concentration of such a major and profound change in such a short period of time threatens to deprive macroeconomic policy of room for maneuver. When issues such as internal equilibrium and external equilibrium, domestic policy coordination and international policy coordination are intertwined, it becomes very difficult to weigh, select, and adjust macroeconomic policies, and serious mistakes may occur due to the loss of balance. "So far, the economic crisis has evolved from the crisis of overproduction to another form, that is, the financial crisis, the credit crisis, or the excess liquidity, the shortage of liquidity." But the debt is always repaid, and when the person who owes the debt is unable to repay the debt, this model will not go on, and the crisis will arise. In short, Japan's economic crisis is inevitable. "Just like his daughter said, how can others be allowed to snore on the side of the couch, how can the interests of the United States be threatened, the little devil is a lamb to be slaughtered, and the knife is always in the hands of the Americans.

The others were confused, the old man nodded frequently in his heart, this young man was not simple, full of wisdom to see everything, he asked, "Since there will be a new economic crisis in what you do, what do you think is the best way to deal with the economic crisis?" ”

Dad Fang paused, smiled, and said, "I think it is necessary to have a sound security system, and it is always not wrong to take precautions." In ancient times, if there was a famine, the emperor would also open a warehouse to release grain, even if it was to let everyone drink gruel, but as long as they survived this year and the grain in the field was produced in the coming year, the crisis would be over. Although the form of the economic crisis today is the opposite of what it used to be, I think the solution is the same. As long as there is a sound unemployment pension and subsidy system, even if there is an economic crisis, people's hearts will not be very afraid, as long as it lasts for a year or two, the enterprise will digest the inventory, and then the economy will enter the upward stage again. ”

"So your view is that the economic crisis is not terrible and there is no need for economic stimulus measures?" The old man asked, his expression a little serious.

Fang's father was not stunned, and said: "The premise is that the guarantee system is sound and social stability!" Under this premise, an appropriate economic crisis can promote the survival of the fittest, as well as the reallocation of capital flows, thereby resolving the serious imbalance in social distribution. ”

The others looked at Dad Fang in surprise at this time, this guts was too fat! To say that the economic crisis is justified is to kill yourself! "Can you write down what you said?" The serious expression on the old man's face disappeared, and he said kindly. "Count the ......" said that it would not be recorded, and now it is asked to write a written material.

"Okay!" Fang's father immediately agreed, the significance of the Japanese economic crisis is too significant, so that we can take a little less detours.

The old man stood up, patted Fang's father on the shoulder, and without saying a word, he left the classroom with his notepad.

After the old man left, the others began to besiege Fang's father, "You are too bold, you dare to say that the economic system will be in economic crisis." ”

Fang's father shrugged, "The Soviet Union is not also a socialist country, and it is not yet an economic crisis. ”

"What nonsense are you talking about?"

Fang's father spread his hands, "I'm not talking nonsense, you haven't seen that the Soviet Union due to the war in Afghanistan and the arms race between the United States and the Soviet Union, coupled with the drastic changes in Eastern European countries, indirectly proves that the Soviet Union's ability to control is weakened, if it is not for his own care, how can he allow the drastic changes in Eastern Europe." Although the consultation was not yet developed at this time, some clues could still be seen on the TV news, of course, the most was that Fang's father got a lot of information from Fang Monan, even if he went to the party school, his daughter did not send less packages - newspapers and magazines.

The middle-aged man who shared the dormitory with Fang's father said with a smile, "Zhengping knows a lot." ”

"Hehe......" Fang's father scratched his head and sneered.

Because Dad Fang's remarks were too appalling, making him even more isolated, Dad Fang was still as usual, with a faint smile on his face, and the sky was high and cloudy. After the written materials were taken away, they were also lost in the sea, and no one asked. RV