686. Ruhr District, Huaguo (1)
"Hehe, Uncle Yang, as you know, my major in college is economics, finance, and management, so I have always been concerned about the trend of national economic development. Since the 90s of the last century, after our country has intensified its reform and opening up, a large part of its resources and policies have been inclined to light industry and export trade industries, and these industries have indeed brought us rich returns. But when this economic model has developed for ten years, we have become the so-called shijie factory, we look back, our heavy industry has actually been lost, and on the other hand, the development of this light industry and export trade industry seems to have reached a limit. β
Yang Yuhe was not surprised by Li Yifan's opinion, but Xia Qinghe had to pay attention to Li Yifan at this time.
Although he was shocked by this kid when he talked to their family about cooperating with the ideal square before, but since then, the two sides have not had much contact, although he also knows that this kid is a genius, but today this kid opened his mouth, but he was still shocked.
From a macroeconomic point of view, he is right, but you must know that this is just a kid in his early twenties, how can he talk as if he is a veteran economist in a university?
"In recent years, because of the problem of import and export trade, we have frequently broken out trade frictions with the United States, the European Union, and even Japan and South Korea. For example, the United States has an anti-monopoly investigation on our export products, and the European Union has conducted an anti-dumping investigation on our exported shoes and counterfeit products. And Japan. South Korea and our frequent outbreak of agricultural trade friction. These are all illustrated. Our export capacity has reached the brink of excess. In my university, there were many classmates from Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and eastern Guangdong, and even a few of them, whose families were engaged in import and export business, and from their mouths, I got information. It's just that business is getting harder and harder to do now. The competition is too fierce, and the international business environment is not particularly good. β
Li Yifan said that these are the basic situations, but people like Yang Yuhe and Xia Qinghe who have access to the data of the Ministry of Commerce know that there are indeed some problems in the current domestic economic development model, especially such an export-oriented economy dominated by imports and exports, which has developed to an absolute bottleneck period.
"Next year, the new leadership team will come to power, and after they take office, the first thing they have to face is how to choose a good one. During their tenure, they can provide a long-term impetus for the economic development of our country. To put it bluntly, it is to find a suitable and new engine that can drive economic development. β
When Li Yifan said this, Yang Yuhe's face finally flashed a trace of surprise, being able to understand these things, for children of this age, is this kid a little too demonic?
"Oh? Then what do you say, what will the new leadership group look for to drive economic development? β
The smile on Yang Yuhe's face was quite playful, and Xia Qinghe, looking at Li Yifan's eyes at this time, was also full of interest, this young man in front of him really had the ability to surprise him.
"Hehe, without him, it's two, one is real estate, and the other is the automotive industry."
"Smack!"
The wine glass that Xia Qinghe had just picked up in his hand involuntarily fell to the dining table again, how did this kid's head grow? How could he have guessed that?
In fact, the proposition of economic development of the new leadership group is not a secret at all to their level, especially to officials who have thousands of connections in the center.
You don't need to contact the new leadership team, as long as you have contact with their think tank, you can know these secrets.
But those leading think tanks are not accessible to people at Li Yifan's level, but this kid actually guessed how this kid did it?
"Oh? Do you think so? β
Yang Yuhe had long been accustomed to Li Yifan's demonic performance, and he was more interested in how this guy guessed.
"Hehe, it's actually very simple, as long as you learn from the economic development of Japan and South Korea, you can guess that the road we are taking now has been walked by everyone. And the other point is that the current prime minister, what is the real estate reform done with such fanfare, isn't it actually paving the way for his successor? β
Li Yifan smiled and flickered, how could he tell him that he was a person from the past.
"Hehe, this can only explain that real estate can be used as an economic engine for future development, but how can you guess that the automotive industry is booming?"
Yang Yuhe asked again.
"The proposition of the new generation of real estate economy, the corresponding proposition, is the urbanization of the population, a large number of foreign population into the city, which will bring great expansion to the city. After the expansion of the city, transportation will naturally become a problem, coupled with the development of the past few years, there has been a part of the middle class in the country, they naturally have higher requirements for the quality of life, so the privatization of cars, should be a very logical thing, and the country has been shouting for many years to stimulate domestic demand slogan, the previous test is home appliances, but now it is time to find a new one, so that the people of the country can spend a lot of money consumption point, right? What could be more suitable than a car outside of the house? β
Although Li Yifan's explanation is a bit far-fetched, if it is carefully analyzed, it can be regarded as decent, and there are no loopholes.
"Well, that's what you said, what kind of image do you think our northern province should establish in this new economic reform?"
Yang Yuhe's question is very vague, but in fact, what do you think we should do?
But this could not be asked in front of Xia Qinghe and other people, so he used a more literary statement.
"Hehe, this is a good opportunity for our Northern Province to fight a turnaround! Uncle Yang, our northern province used to be the country's heavy industry base, steelmaking, ironmaking, and machinery manufacturing, but they are all our strengths. And in the future, these two industries, one real estate and the other automobile industry, which one has the ability to open up the field we are good at? So I think we should seize this opportunity, face up to difficulties, increase our efforts to tackle tough problems, cultivate and improve our own talent system, and revitalize our northern province, which is also a base for our husband. β
"Gotta get it, you give me these fake and empty clichΓ©s, these words are more slippery than what you say, you give us something to do."
Yang Yuhe waved his hand and interrupted Li Yifan's empty words, it seems that he really regards Xia Qinghe as a confidant, these are not shy about Xia Qinghe, and at this time, Xia Qinghe listened more seriously than him.
"Just say it, which one should we catch? Or rather, which industry is tilted like real estate or the automotive industry? β
Yang Yuhe has been swaying between this problem before, the original foundation left by the Northern Province is not fake, but more than ten years of hard work, no matter how thick the family foundation, it is almost tossed, so as the government of the Northern Province, if there is no national policy and resource inclination, there is really no way to achieve the situation of taking into account the two industries, so he must choose one of them as the object of key support and inclination.
"Hehe, then it depends on Uncle Yang, what are your ambitions?"
Li Yifan's expression was very weird, and Yang Yuhe's heart was sudden.
"What does that mean?"
"If you are engaged in real estate, especially if you are engaged in real estate in the province, this land project, I don't say that everyone knows, the investment is small, the effect is fast, and the most rapid GDP growth can be stimulated, and many people can rely on this to become political stars. But the side effect of this thing is also obvious, that is, the common people may not be able to afford to play, and the income of ordinary people in our northern province is there, compared with other developed areas in the country, it is poorly old. Moreover, this kind of project often leaves a lot of local debts, leaving a mess for future successors, and it is easy to breed corruption and make the people hostile to us. β
Li Yifan said this, Yang Yuhe's demeanor began to be solemn, it turned out that he was also like a real estate leader, but now it seems that he can't help but be cautious.
"But if you make a big effort to engage in industry, it will be a different story, this is a hundred years of livelihood, you look at the industrial enterprises in Japan and Germany, that is not the main body of national development, and even if there are many people in the leadership team, they dare not despise these industries. Let's talk about the automobile industry, you look at Japan and Germany, that is not the top croaking, their products, a large number of exports, our Chinese market, almost is divided between them and the Americans, so in my opinion, this is the opportunity, if we revitalize the old industrial base, to build the domestic Ruhr area as the slogan, vigorously develop the machinery industry, or the automobile industry, needless to say to compare with Japan and Germany, as long as we can really get out, can occupy the domestic market of the kind of products, Then our results are amazing. Uncle Yang, think about it, the development history of our domestic household appliances, and then think about this domestic car, it seems that it is still blank in China......"
Li Yifan's words made Yang Yuhe fall into contemplation, it is true that real estate has quick results, but it is easy to get scolded, but if you can make a name for yourself in the automobile or machinery industry, it is a miracle, and it will be praised for a long time, this is political capital.
The Ruhr area of Huaguo, hehe, this slogan is really good! (To be continued......)